[Long-Term Hodlers Analysis] Waiting for a lower price entry.This is a follow-up from previous day BTC analysis.
From a daily timeframe view, we have seen solid red candle bodies with substantial trading volume backing it's movement.
From a 4-hourly timeframe view, we can observe short-term seller exhaustion.
As such, in the coming hours, we are likely to observe price retesting 48700 ~ 49300 levels.
Depending on the outcome, we can determine if the price has the momentum to retest 50000 level or drop towards 43200 level.
Based on my observation and opinion, a short-term downwards consolidation is likely going happen.
Even if it test 50000, the probability of a reversal still seems more likely.
My first buy order is set at 43200 to capture dropping price, if it happens.
You may check out my YouTube link below for video rundown of the above analysis.
Btcpriceprediction
[Detailed Analysis on BTC/USD]: Price Action & My OpinionWhat do you think? Is it the turning point for Bitcoin Price Action or Bitcoin's Flight to the Moon is halfway? Comment down.
Here is what my analysis says:
1. Rising Wedge Pattern on Daily:
Starting from the start July 21, 2021, Bitcoin started formation of rising wedge - First one smaller timeframe (4h):
and then on Daily Timeframe shown in the chart.
It broke down from the wedge and the bulls entered the market at $44000 that drove the BTC price from $44k to $49500! Yes, that's massive but if we look on the daily timeframe, it seems like a retest of upward sloping support of the rising wedge (which was broken on August 16, 2021) is being retested, hence making it now a resistance.
Looking at zoomed out view of BTC Daily Chart, we can point that there is a strong resistance zone for Bitcoin from $49500 to $51000 which BTC was trying to break but failed.
Some other technical, when drawn on Weekly timeframe, are predicting that Bitcoin can either take U-turn from $49k level or if this strong level gets broken, then the ONLY hurdle between Bitcoin's new All Time High is $58000 level. We can see a huge sell-off there as well.
2. Decreasing Volume:
Decreasing Volume is one of the factor that is showing that BTC's current trend is not very strong for Bitcoin to go straight to the moon. It needs a massive correction, accumulation and then the bull flight.
3. Indicators:
Renown Indicators like RSI and MACD are also pointing that bears have started stepping into the market.
RSI is showing Bearish Divergence on Daily Timeframe while MACD is doing bearish crossover.
4. My Opinion:
In my opinion, Bitcoin will not get volatile immediately but will range for a while. Bull will try to exhaust the resistance to move the price up while bears are waiting for the greed to make its ATH.
Currently, on hourly timeframe Bitcoin has just broken Head and Shoulders Pattern and technically, it should test $47800 level. Next strong support level is $42900 which is Weekly 21EMA + Global Support. Till then, we can scalp but I will not be in favor of any days longs trades.
After this week's close, we could see some volatility in the market. Get ready!
Stay safe and happy trading.
Comment down your thoughts.
Muneeb.
#SyedMuneebAli
Bitcoin $526,000 August/September 2022August Capitulation: Fractal taken from prior capitulation in March 2020, lines up with the Gann speed fan & prior all-time-high Capitulation > Cycle Top: The time between the two would be 12 months exactly which is necessary to qualify for long-term capital gains tax in the US Elliot Wave Theory: Remains validated Fibanocci Indicators: Circles, extensions & parallel channels all bring confluence to this exact date & price Cathy Woods: Her macro-scale price predictions on well-known assets tend to be correct, Tesla 2018 prediction for a $800 share price in 2021 was correct (factoring in the stock split)
BTC bottom is in? Time to long?Could 28k be the bottom?
I mean, china usually bans BTC and then it pumps after that
There is a lot of FUD and many people are expecting a 20k btc.
Is it possible that china and the whales have already started buying btc back up?
Now to TA:
A lot of short term bullish indicators
We broke out of a falling broadening wedge which was caused by an inverse head & shoulders
We haven't hit the target for the inverse H&S yet and it seems like we are creating two double nested bull flags
I do think there is a possibility where we drop from here a bit but, BTC looks like it wants to move up from here
Could be a good LONG trade to take
BTC/USDT - Trend analysisBTC/USDT remains bullish on the charts as it picked up support from the lower price range while holding above 29th April 2020 low. If the price moves between the congestion area before testing and making a support above 0.786 FIB, a continuation on the up-side could be anticipated if the Trend Analysis is respected.
Bitcoin🦍Gorilla On BTC Next Shocking Dump($66k Fakeout Loading?"Trade what you see not what you think" is one of my most favorite quotes even though I don' know the origin, The current market in its state is not a clear one just yet. My last analysis call for 40k is still in play, though I see some chance rising for The bull to attempt breaking the Current resistance of 60k but what are the chances of loosing money if you buy this breakout ?
In my opinion, base on the current BTC price action I see the 60k to 62k resistance action as a very strong resistance to over come, But Then I see a strong possible rejection coming.
From This above daily chart we see price respecting the Daily chart Support that I made mention of in my last analysis that we will get a bounce to 56k to 60k. but the problem why I don't see this crossing 80k is because of what I am seeing on the weekly chart where we have a buyers line support at 42k to 38k area which in my opinion is a better buy entry point but will require good patient.
How about shorting the market Bitcoin 🦍Gorilla, Is it a good time to short since its at a resistance?
I see Tomorrow likely to be a red day in my opinion to 54k down move and hopefully we don't break 50k this time.
If you have been following my update, Our Target on this channel has been 68k since Jan, I have been warning about this 60k to 68k coming dump and Now This next rejection can be a deadly hit on BTC as we are currently heading back to that resistance of 60k to 62k.
I am always open minded, So the chances of my 68k target is there but I am still seeing the weekly chart screaming 40k and I am a price action trader that base most of my decision making on weekly and daily chart, therefore I wont be
Good patient trader will get 40k entry and a strong one will get 20k, This is my second month talking about this incoming dump plan, It will hit like a film trick......Be warned, This is no financial advice so please do more research thank you.
Bitcoin in correction phaseHi guys btc is in correction as it formed double tops and didn't break it so now personally i think it will either retrace from 0.6 fib or 0.5 fib after that we will see the price moving towards the double top again breaking it and moving to the next resistance
Hope you enjoyed my idea
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Thanks
Repeat of 22-23 March going down to 51000Looks like there still a chance we are going to 51000 as we still not gone pass the ceiling yet and most likely follow the same line as 22-23 march and we can expect touch down on 25 march.
So it gonna be a long waiting game for it to go down and not be just a simple one day action moving up or down.
BTC: The Curve DownGood day to all profit makers!
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- We have followed a sharp curve down.
- Will need to see what happens when we reach the converging points
- Consult the chart for more information.
- Note:
- This is just my current idea.
- I am not a financial advisor! and this is not financial advice
- There is always a huge chance of different patterns taking shape in these ever-changing charts.
- My views and charts can and most probably will change!
- I can be 1000% wrong!
- Trade responsibly.
- Be focused.
- Have a plan.
- Stick to the plan.
- No FOMO.
- Take the time to study YOUR own charts and come up with your own ideas as you are going to trade with your money.
- Never trade what you are not willing to lose
- Remember Stop-loss is your friend.
- Smile!
- Good Trading and Good Luck
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BTC - 4h. The local critical point is $33,400.Yesterday will be remembered this week as the day of the consolidation breakthrough. The sellers broke the $32000-33000 range and tested the $28,800 mark .
In our previous idea, we expected a local continuation of movement in the triangle, but globally, we expected a price drop.
The price of BTC began to slow down strongly in the range of $30700-31300 . The 4-hour candle with the largest volumes looks very small, which indicates the large limit orders of buyers who restrained the price. False breakdown of this range gives buyers a chance for rehabilitation.
On the chart we have published two potential trades that we see at the moment. So far, there is too little information to determine whether the BTC price has completed its correction or not.
If buyers can't control the $33,400 mark, the decline will continue for the next week. Target $26,200.
The main problem with this scenario is $30700-31300. However, closing part of the position in this range will significantly reduce the risks. This manipulation will allow us to calmly expect the price of BTC to continue to fall.
If the price is fixed above the $33,400 mark, we see a good opportunity to trade with the $36,460 target. Whether there will be a prospect of breaking the trend line and the beginning of a new growth channel - we will see the circumstances.
P.S. we experiment with writing ideas. Today's format is new for us. If you like this format - write about it in the comments and like it. Have a good trading day.
P.S.2. Yesterday we saw the statistics of our top 11 ideas for 4 months. If you haven't viewed it yet - link below:
BTC-4h. 38645 can be a big problem for buyers.Buyers in the BTC market received a rather strong blow . Unsuccessful weekend trading and the uncertain closing of last week's candle provoked a 20% drop in the price of BTC.
Given that the decline was in increased volumes - the probability that the BTC market began to correct the frantic growth trend is high. However, the local wave of growth that began on December 11 has not been broken.
Buyers kept the white trend line and the range of $33,500-34400 . If the next 12 hour candle closes above this range - buyers will launch a counterattack. The rise in the price of BTC at reduced volumes and the test mark of $38,640 will be good signals for the continuation of the correction of BTC with a target of $26,200.
P.S. if the global correction of the growth wave has started now, the market will cool down for a long time after such a rally.
If you are interested in a deeper idea about BTC - read our global BTC idea:
BTC-2h. Buyers are holding the blows and targeting $25,000.The weekly BTC consolidation continues to deplete market participants. Since December 17, sellers have tried four times to break the $22,500-22700 range. During the last attack of sellers, the price could only touch this range.
As a result, buyers have formed a new local trend line . The price of BTC continues to remain between critical points. Buyers are now gaining the courage to test the $23850-24000 test. Given the price movement in the sloping consolidation channel - the next local target of buyers is $25,000.
The dominance of the BTC continues to grow steadily, sacrificing other coins.
To start falling prices in the BTC market, sellers must show aggression and not allow buyers to consolidate above $24,000.
After breaking the $22,500 mark , the correction of BTC's long-term growth will begin. What will happen in this case with other coins - it's scary to think. Suffice it to mention how XRP fell.