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BTC WEEKLY CHART TRADING PLAN ROUTE MAPDear Traders, Take a look at the BTC weekly chart—I’ve clearly marked all the key areas for you. As you can see the weekly trendline is already broken which confirms bearish. It appears that BTC may be repeating a familiar pattern heading into 2026. Compare the area highlighted with the orange circle in 2022 to the orange circle marked for 2026. In 2022, price retested the trendline and formed a bull trap, where many buyers were likely caught. Price was then rejected from that zone, printed a bearish engulfing candle, the EMA 20 crossed below the EMA 50, and a strong bearish move followed to the downside. If the EMA 20 crosses below the EMA 50, price is likely to revisit the EMA 200 (shown by the purple line) as a key support zone, where a bounce can be expected. Following that bounce, BTC could potentially break above the previous high around $125K and, if momentum continues, most likely extend toward the $150K region. This chart is shared to give you a heads-up on potential traps ahead. On the other hand, if the EMA 20 does not cross below the EMA 50 and candle bar closes above the trendline, it would confirm bullish trend continuation without a deeper pullback. Its Important to practice patience, and risk management. The Quantum Trading Mastery
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by TheQUANTUMTraders
BTCUSDT: Range Structure & Reversal RiskHI! Bitcoin is currently trading inside a well-defined range, where price action has formed a Head and Shoulders structure within the upper half of the range. The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly developed, signaling weakening upside momentum after repeated failures near range highs. Price is now hovering near the range midline/neckline zone. A confirmed breakdown below this level would activate the pattern, opening the door for a move toward the 85,600–86,200 demand zone, which aligns with prior strong accumulation. As long as the price remains below the right-shoulder high, bearish pressure dominates. However, a strong reclaim back above the head would invalidate the pattern and keep the price rotational within the range.
Short
by melikatrader94
9
BTC/ISD) Beraish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical of analysis depicts a bearish descending channel* on the BTC/USDT 4-hour chart with the following key elements: 1. Channel structure Price is moving within a clear descending channel (black parallel lines), indicating a sustained downtrend. 2. Breakout point: The black dot marks a recent break below the lower channel line, signaling potential continuation of the bearish momentum. Mr SMC Trading point 3. Target: The projected downside target is ≈80,428.17 USDT, shown by the horizontal “target point” line. 4. EMA (200): The blue exponential moving average (200-period) is acting as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish bias. 5. Price action: The latest candle closes at 89,037.66 USDT down -0.36% for the session, with reduced volume (-1.33% Vol). The overall idea is that after the breakdown from the channel, the analyst expects BTC/USDT to head toward the 80.4k support zone. Please support boost this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
#BTC/USDT is currently strongly bullish#BTC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 89300. The price has bounced from this level multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 90200 First target: 90600 Second target: 91256 Third target: 92000 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
2
BTC Trade Plan (December 12, 2025)BTC Trade Plan (December 12, 2025) (D1 Neutral / H4 Buy dips / H1 Locally bullish / M15 Trend) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: neutral • D1 range (approx): 89,000 – 94,000 • Key D1 zones: • Supply: 93,000-94,000 tested highs • Demand: 89,000-91,000 supports • H4 bias: buy dips • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – supply cluster/rejection • H4 Buy Zone 1: – demand area/gap fill potential Active setups are trend-aligned relative to D1/H4. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) • Idea: trend-aligned long on dips (neutral structure support). • Time horizon: multi-day. • Context: stable macro, neutral derivatives. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) • Idea: buy dips toward supports. • Time horizon: intraday. • Context: H4 demand zones, local bullish. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) • Idea: scalp minor trends upside. • Time horizon: minutes–hours. • Risk: higher-risk in expansion regime. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs Concept (if relevant) • Idea: BTC dominance high, neutral vs ETH/sector. 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 demand, LVN support. • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Liquidity sweep or SFP at/under key low, then reclaim (liquidity_sweep_reclaim). • Evidence of liquidation_spike_reversal and absorption_at_level. • ML-Predictive (15m): upside probability ≥ downside. • On-chain and regulatory risk not at “extreme”. 🟥 3.2 Short Setup (Counter-Trend) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 supply + put-biased skew. • Pattern tags (from pattern_library): Trigger conditions (non-exhaustive example): • Price trades into the H4 sell zone and forms required pattern combination (e.g., double_sweep_high + vwap_rejection). • Orderflow: evidence of absorption_at_level and delta_divergence_high. • ML-Predictive (15m): downside probability ≥ upside. • Event/Regulatory risk is not “extreme” and uncertainty is not “high”. 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: • Stop: 88,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 key low/demand invalidation; idea is wrong below this level. Short setups: • Stop: 95,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 structural high or OB invalidation; idea is wrong above this level. 🟢 5. Targets Long: • TP1: 93,000 – local HVN/VWAP or M15/H1 level. • TP2: 94,000 – H4 supply/OB retest. • TP3 (optional): 95,000 – extended D1 objective (HVN). Short: • TP1: 91,000 – intraday HVN or VWAP retest (H1). • TP2: 89,000 – H4 demand / LVN void. • TP3 (optional): lower – extended D1 objective (gap fill). ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline risk: • Trend-aligned setups: typically 1.0 (relative unit). • Counter-trend setups: ≤ 0.5 (relative unit). • Adjust up/down using: • high volatility_context, normal onchain_risk_profile.risk_level, normal sentiment_state.sentiment_risk, normal anomaly_state.manipulation_risk, overall_event_risk normal, uncertainty.level medium, trade_readiness.status ok_to_trade. Final recommended relative risk per setup: 0.8 for trend long, 0.4 for counter-trend short. ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • Thin liquidity and high slippage risk • Macro headwinds (DXY flat, NQ flat) • Elevated regulatory risk (bank competition news) ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions • For long bias → bearish flip: • Close below 89,000 with sell delta, failed demand. • For short bias → bullish flip: • H4 close above 94,000 with rising OI, positive delta, and acceptance above the OB cluster. ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Reject highs with range_high_rejection, short direction entry 93,000-94,000, stop 95,000, targets 89,000-88,000, differs as bear continuation vs base range grind. ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Main assumptions: stable macro, neutral derivatives/on-chain. • Main vulnerabilities: regulatory shifts, large whale flows. • Behavioural risk notes: do not average into losers, do not increase leverage beyond a safe threshold. ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints • Uncertainty level: medium. • Avoid high leverage, require strict pattern confirmation before entry, limit the number of trades.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
BTC/USD – Bearish Reversal Setup with Defined TargetsBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after rejecting the upper resistance near $94,652. Price is currently trading below the mid-range zone, and if bearish momentum continues, we could see a move toward the lower support levels. Entry Zone: Around $92,218 – $92,329 Invalidation Level: Above $94,652 (setup fails if price breaks this level) Targets: Target 1: $90,028 Target 2: $88,297 Target 3: $86,513 This analysis is based on resistance rejection and trendline support structure. Always apply risk management and position sizing. DISCLAIMER : I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Revan_Dynasty_Trades
3
BTC Trade Plan (December 10, 2025)BTC Trade Plan (December 10, 2025) (D1 Neutral / H4 Buy dips / H1 Locally bullish / M15 Trend) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: neutral • D1 range (approx): 90,000 – 94,000 • Key D1 zones: • Supply: approx 94,000 rejection • Demand: approx 90,000 support • H4 bias: buy dips • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – supply cluster • H4 Buy Zone 1: – demand area Active setups are trend-aligned relative to D1/H4. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) • Idea: trend-aligned long on dips. • Time horizon: multi-day. • Context: neutral structure with macro stability. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) • Idea: buy dips in range. • Time horizon: intraday. • Context: H4 demand zones. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) • Idea: scalp upside moves. • Time horizon: minutes–hours. • Risk: higher-risk in event regime. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs Concept (if relevant) • Idea: none. 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned Example) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 demand, possibly with absorption. • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Liquidity sweep or SFP at/under key low, then reclaim (liquidity_sweep_reclaim). • Evidence of liquidation_spike_reversal and absorption_at_level. • ML-Predictive (15m): upside probability ≥ downside. • On-chain and regulatory risk not at “extreme”. 🟥 3.2 Short Setup (Counter-Trend Example) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Context: H4 supply + neutral bias. • Pattern tags (from pattern_library): Trigger conditions (non-exhaustive example): • Price trades into the H4 sell zone and forms required pattern combination (e.g., double_sweep_high + vwap_rejection). • Orderflow: evidence of absorption_at_level and delta_divergence_high. • ML-Predictive (15m): downside probability ≥ upside. • Event/Regulatory risk is not “extreme” and uncertainty is not “high”. 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: • Stop: approx 90,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 key low/demand invalidation; idea is wrong below this level. Short setups: • Stop: approx 95,000. • Logic: break of H4/H1 structural high or OB invalidation; idea is wrong above this level. 🟢 5. Targets Long: • TP1: approx 93,000 – local HVN/VWAP or M15/H1 level. • TP2: approx 94,000 – H4 supply/OB retest. • TP3 (optional): higher – extended D1 objective. Short: • TP1: approx 92,000 – intraday HVN or VWAP retest (H1). • TP2: approx 91,000 – H4 demand / LVN void. • TP3 (optional): lower – extended D1 objective. ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline risk: • Trend-aligned setups: typically 1.0 (relative unit). • Counter-trend setups: ≤ 0.5 (relative unit). • Adjust up/down using: • high volatility, normal onchain risk, normal sentiment risk, normal manipulation risk, normal event risk, medium uncertainty. Final recommended: 0.8 for trend long, 0.4 for counter-trend short. ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • Event risk high (Fed decision) • Thin liquidity and high slippage risk • Macro headwinds possible (DXY flat, NQ flat) • Elevated regulatory risk (bank competition news) ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions • For long bias → bearish flip: • Close below 91,000 with sell delta. • For short bias → bullish flip: • H4 close above 94,000 with buy delta. ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Failed range break down, trigger range_high_rejection, short direction entry approx 93,000-94,000, stop 95,000, targets 91,000-90,000, differs as bear continuation vs base range. ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Main assumptions: stable macro, neutral derivatives, neutral on-chain. • Main vulnerabilities: Fed surprise, large seller. • Behavioural risk notes: do not average into losers. ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints • Uncertainty level: medium. • Avoid high leverage, require strict pattern confirmation, limit trades.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
BTCUSDT Trade Plan (December 08, 2025)BTC Trade Plan (December 08, 2025) (D1 Bearish / H4 Sell Rallies → Compression / H1 Neutral / M15 Chop) ⬛️ 1. Higher Timeframe Context (D1 and H4) • D1 bias: bearish (descending channel post-ATH) • D1 range (approx): 84,000 – 126,000 (current lower third) • Key D1 zones: • Supply: 100–105k (broken) • Demand: 88–90k channel low • H4 bias: sell rallies turning compression (ascending triangle forming) • H4 zones of interest: • H4 Sell Zone 1: – recent rejection + supply cluster • H4 Buy Zone 1: – weekend low + trendline Active setups counter-trend long on dip (whale accumulation support), trend-aligned short only on clear rejection. ⬛️ 2. Preferred Setups by Horizon 🔳 2.1 Swing Setup (D1/H4) Counter-trend long the channel low / whale accumulation zone. Time horizon: multi-day to weeks. 🔲 2.2 Intraday Setup (H1 focus) Buy dips to 89.5-90k or breakout above 92k. Time horizon: intraday to overnight. ▫️ 2.3 Scalp Setup (M15 focus) Scalp range 90-92k or absorption plays — higher risk in chop. ▪️ 2.4 Arbitrage/Pairs: BTC dominance rising → BTC outperforming alts short-term. 🟩 3.1 Long Setup (Trend-Aligned with On-Chain / Swing-Intraday) • Execution timeframe: H4/H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Successful defense 88-90k zone + CVD higher low • H1/H4 BOS up on volume • Whale accumulation continuation 🟥 3.2 Short Setup (Counter-Trend / Scalp Only) • Execution timeframe: H1 • Trigger timeframe: M15 • Entry zone: • Pattern tags: Trigger conditions: • Clear rejection with delta divergence high • Failure to break 94k pre-FOMC 🔴 4. Stops (Invalidation Levels) Long setups: 87,500 (channel break = bear confirmation) Short setups: 94,500 (breakout = squeeze) 🟢 5. Targets Long (swing/intraday): • TP1: 92,000 (VWAP/H1) • TP2: 94,000-95,000 (supply test/H4) • TP3: 100,000+ (HVN/D1 optional) Short (scalp): • TP1: 90,000 • TP2: 88,500 ⬛️ 6. Position Sizing • Baseline trend-aligned long (on-chain supported): 1.0% • Counter-trend short: 0.4% • Adjustments: +20% (whale buying + clean lev + Fed tailwind) → Effective: longs 1.2% risk, shorts 0.3% max ⬛️ 7. Risk Flags • FOMC Wednesday → vol expansion risk • Thin liquidity mid-week • Residual weekend trauma → fake moves possible • Macro correlation re-assertion if equities dump ⬛️ 8. Flip Conditions Bull → bear flip: clean close below 88k with volume + funding negative Bear → bull flip: H4 close >94.5k + CVD reset + whale continuation ⬛️ 9. Alternative Scenario Reject hard at 92-94k → descending triangle breakdown → fast move to 84-87k LVN void (bear trap completion, high risk short only with tight stop). ⬛️ 10. Model Self-Critique • Assumptions: whale accumulation continues, Fed delivers dovish cut, no macro shock • Vulnerabilities: sudden risk-off equities dump, whale distribution resumption, FOMC hawkish surprise • Behavioural: do not chase breakouts pre-FOMC, do not average into losing shorts against whales ⬛️ 11. Uncertainty and Constraints Uncertainty: medium → require flow + pattern confirmation, no high lev, prefer size on confirmed absorption only.
by BTC_ETH_Intra_Day_Analysis
“BTCUSD 1H — Range Support Buy Targeting Range High Liquidity1. Market Structure (1H BTCUSD) Overall structure: Still range-bound / corrective, not a clean trend. Price is trading inside a rising channel but momentum has weakened. We recently rejected from the upper mid-range, not from the absolute highs — that matters. Interpretation: This is consolidation after a strong move, not distribution yet — but buyers are no longer aggressive. --- 2. Key Zones (Very Important) 🔴 Demand / Support Zone (Red Box) Roughly 85,000 – 86,800 Multiple reactions here → high-quality demand Liquidity + prior structure low + channel support If price enters this zone and holds: → High-probability bounce / long setup If this zone breaks cleanly (1H close below): → Structure fails → expect accelerated sell-off --- ⚫ Resistanc… “BTCUSD 1H — Range Support Buy Targeting Range High Liquidity”
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Moriss365
#BTC/USDT is currently strongly bullish#BTC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards a breakout, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We are seeing a bearish trend in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward bounce is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 88200, and the price has bounced from this level several times. Another bounce is expected. We are seeing a trend towards stabilizing above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching, supporting the upward trend. Entry Price: 88900 First Target: 90000 Second Target: 91123 Third Target: 92300 Remember a simple principle: Money Management. Place your stop-loss order below the green support zone. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
#BTC 4HOUR CHART UOPDATE !!BTCUSDT is still trading within an ascending channel, now pulling back towards the mid-lower portion of the structure after failing to sustain above 90k on the latest push. The price has rolled over from the upper half of the channel and is heading towards the main confluence zone around 87,000–88,000, where the lower channel line, previous horizontal support, and your marked circle align. 84,584 and 80,550 remain the next downside reference supports; holding above 87k maintains the short-term bullish channel, while a break below 84,584 would increase the risk of a deeper correction towards 80k. A decline into the 87k area, followed by basing and a continuation back towards 92k–94k, and if buyers defend the channel as drawn, possibly to the 96k–98k channel top. The RSI is mid-range rather than overbought, so there is room for another leg down or a sharp bounce to test support; using 87k–84.5k as the main invalidation band for aggressive longs fits within the current 4H structure. DYOR | NFA,
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
1
#BTC/USDT is currently strongly bullish#BTC The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. It has reached the lower boundary and is heading towards breaking above it, with a retest of the upper boundary expected. We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which has reached near the lower boundary, and an upward rebound is expected. There is a key support zone in green at 92500. The price has bounced from this level multiple times and is expected to bounce again. We have a trend towards consolidation above the 100-period moving average, as we are moving close to it, which supports the upward movement. Entry price: 92990 First target: 93204 Second target: 93750 Third target: 94406 Don't forget a simple principle: money management. Place your stop-loss below the support zone in green. For any questions, please leave a comment. Thank you.
Long
by CryptoAnalystSignal
BTC Follow-Up: Bullish Structure Playing Out Exactly as ExpectedThe reaction we highlighted earlier has now followed through beautifully. BTC held the higher low, respected the demand zone, and has pushed upward with clear momentum. This is exactly the kind of constructive price action that confirms the initial bullish read. Sellers attempted continuation, but the market absorbed the pressure and reversed decisively. That higher low was the structural shift we needed to see, and BTC is now building out a cleaner series of rising lows and controlled retracements. This is how early trend reversals form: not with one explosive candle, but with consistent defense of higher levels and steady reclaiming of lost ground. Price is now trading back above short term resistance and showing signs of strength on each dip. As long as BTC continues to print higher lows, this developing structure leans bullish and supports the idea that the market has transitioned from liquidation-driven selling into accumulation. Overall, this is a constructive follow through and reinforces the idea that the recent dump was a reset rather than a breakdown. The chart is behaving well. Bulls have momentum building.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by OnchainNewsBlog