Btcusd:Huge trading opportunities and ideasBTCUSD's rebound after touching the position near 116180 this time is fast. From the trend observation. BTCUSD is still in a high consolidation stage. It has not broken the oscillation range for the time being. It can maintain selling near 120k. Buying near 11600 for range trading. It is expected that there will not be many trading opportunities in the London market. It will take until the New York market opens to see better trading opportunities.
BTCUSDT
BTCUSD Analysis – Supply Pressure vs Demand Rejection 📊 Overview:
This BTCUSD 2-hour chart is giving us a clear structure of how price is currently reacting between a strong demand base and a descending trendline supply. We're at a critical decision point, where both buyers and sellers are gearing up for a potential breakout or breakdown. Let’s break it down level by level.
🟢 Demand Zone – Major Support Holding Firm
The Major Support Zone marked at the bottom of the chart is not just any random area—it has been tested multiple times and acted as a launchpad for bullish moves previously. This is also aligned with the Previous Reversal Zone, which adds confluence to this demand base.
Price dipped into this zone and immediately rejected with strong bullish candles, showing aggressive buyer interest.
This is a high-probability area for long setups as long as price stays above it.
You’ve noted on the chart: “If market closes this supply, we will double it” – that makes sense because a confirmed hold above this base increases the probability of upside continuation.
🔻 Trendline & Supply Zone – The Wall Ahead
Moving up the chart, price is being pressured by a descending trendline, acting as dynamic resistance. This trendline is not just drawn for decoration—it has rejected price at least twice already, and is also intersecting with a minor horizontal resistance zone.
This creates a confluence of resistance, making it a tough wall for buyers to break through without strong volume.
You’ve labeled it as “Evidence 1”, meaning the first confirmation of supply reacting here.
If BTC fails here again, we could easily see another pullback to the 116,800 – 116,400 range.
⚖️ QFL Pattern in Play
The QFL (Quick Flip Logic) is in action, where price aggressively dropped and formed a base, followed by a sharp move up. Price is now attempting to return to that base (demand zone) for a potential flip back upward.
If QFL holds and price breaks above the trendline, this will be a strong reversal confirmation.
This aligns with many institutional trading strategies which look for such formations near support zones.
📈 Potential Bullish Scenario:
Break above the descending trendline resistance
Price sustains above Minor Resistance Zone (around 118,800 – 119,600)
Next target: Major Resistance Zone between 120,800 – 121,200
This could create a higher-high structure and resume overall bullish trend
📉 Potential Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break the trendline
Rejection leads to price retesting the Major Support
If that zone breaks cleanly (especially below 116,400), price may drop toward 115,600 or lower
This opens up a possible short opportunity depending on price action and momentum
🎯 Conclusion:
This chart is a textbook example of consolidation between major zones. Bulls are defending hard at the bottom while bears are pushing down from the top. The direction of the breakout will dictate the next major move. Until then, wait for confirmation, avoid early entries, and let the market show its hand.
🧠 Patience = Profits.
🕒 Chart Timeframe: 2H
📌 Strategy in Focus: Supply & Demand Zones, Trendline Breakout, QFL Base Pattern
📍 Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish (Watching Trendline Reaction)
#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025
As previously noted, Bitcoin is currently trading within both a horizontal range (box) and a tightening triangle formation. Although there was a drop last night, price didn’t pierce the lower boundary of the box and is now showing an upward reaction.
As long as BTC holds above this box, there’s no major risk. Bitcoin has already completed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement from its previous impulsive move. If that correction is sufficient, the next upside target is $127,900.
However, one key point to watch: Bitcoin failed to break its previous high in its last three attempts — a clear sign of price compression and market indecision.
📌 No need to rush into Long or Short positions. It’s best to wait for a confirmed breakout before acting, as premature entries could carry elevated risk.
Bitcoin Breakout Bonanza - Ride the Wave, BroYo, check this Bitcoin chart, fam! We’re sittin’ at 107,725, and it’s lookin’ like a wild ride. That break above 127,725 is screamin’ bullish—time to ride the blue arrow up! But watch out, a drop below could send us crashin’ to 107,475 with that red arrow vibe. Stay sharp, dude!
**BTC/USDT Monthly Analysis: Navigating Key Resistance****Overview:**
On the monthly timeframe, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting significant strength as it approaches a pivotal historical resistance zone. This multi-year resistance, ranging approximately from **$115,000 to $120,000**, represents a critical inflection point for the asset.
**Key Observations:**
1. **Historical Resistance Test:** The current price action sees BTC challenging a formidable resistance level that has previously acted as a major ceiling. A decisive breakout above this zone, supported by strong volume, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend towards new all-time highs.
2. **RSI Bearish Divergence:** A notable observation on the Monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is the presence of **bearish divergence**. While price has made higher highs, the RSI has printed lower highs, indicating a potential weakening in bullish momentum. This divergence suggests that the current upward move might be losing steam and could precede a healthy price correction or consolidation phase. This is a crucial cautionary signal for long-term holders and potential new entrants.
**Outlook:**
The bullish macro trend for Bitcoin remains intact, yet the confluence of strong historical resistance and a developing bearish divergence on the monthly RSI warrants caution. Traders should closely monitor for a clear break and sustained close above the $120,000 level to confirm further upside. Conversely, a rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a significant retracement to key support levels.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
**M. Kiani**
```ش
Bitcoin Technical Setup: Support Holds, Wave 5 in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) filled the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675) and started to rise, as I expected in my previous idea .
Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) . In the last week's movement, the price of $118,000 can be considered as one of the most important numbers for Bitcoin , with a lot of trading volume around this price.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 4 near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and Support lines . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) (so far). There is a possibility that the 5th wave will be a truncated wave because the momentum of the main wave 3 is high and Bitcoin may NOT create a new ATH and the main wave 5 will complete below the main wave 3.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($118,277-$118,033) , break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and reach the targets I have marked on the chart.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $116,960
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,502-$121,134
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,612-$119,783
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,810-$115,522
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BTCUSDBTCUSD also fell from a high level, reaching a high of around 119700, only 300 points away from the target of 120k. The price after the decline is now around 118600. Buying at a low level is the main focus. The reference buying point is 118500-118000. The target is above 120k. Stop loss 117300
Bitcoin Eyes $145K, $195K, $255K in 2–6 YearsHello✌
Let’s analyze Bitcoin’s upcoming price potential 📈.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT , I expect a long-term upward bullish trend.
This analysis includes three main targets: $145,000, $195,000, and a final target of $255,000, which could potentially be reached within 2 to 6 years.
The price may form parallel channels at different stages, which are shown on the chart. I also expect the current upward bullish channel to remain valid and continue moving higher.
✨We put love into every post!
Your support inspires us 💛 Drop a comment we’d love to hear from you! Thanks , Mad Whale🐋
🐋Many of the points and levels shown on the chart are based on personal experience, feeling, and over 7 years of research and daily study of crypto charts.
Some of the lines, channels, and price zones are drawn to make the chart easier to understand and to help imagine possible future price movements.
I’ve also included one very big drop in price even bigger than the others because in the crypto market, it’s common for prices to suddenly fall hard and push out small investors and traders with positions.
The targets on the chart are not guaranteed; they might be reached, or they might not.📚
📜Please make sure to do your own research before investing, and review the disclaimer provided at the end of each post.
BTCUSD CONSOLIDATES BEFORE NEXT HIKE
BTCUSD CONSOLIDATES BEFORE NEXT HIKE📈
Bitcoin has been under buying pressure since the beginning of July 9. Since July 14 the price has been consolidating. Now the graph represents the bullish pennant.
I expect the price to continue trading sideways for some time, then rebound from the trendline and move towards first major liquidation level at 127,400.00.
What is a liquidation Level?
The price at which a crypto exchange forcibly closes a leveraged position when margin falls below the required level, recovering borrowed funds.
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, after updating the historical maximum, bitcoin went into correction for the first time, after which it went sideways.
At the moment, the $117,300 – $116,300 zone has been retested (strong absorption of sales) and an active reaction from buyers has been received.
Within the current flat, the cumulative delta supports buyers, indicating the absorption of market sales. At the same time, the global wave structure on the 4H chart casts doubt on the last wave of buys, as we’ve rapidly adjusted back to its beginning.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We expect to exit the sideways at $116,000 – $121,000 in an upward direction from the current levels, either through capturing liquidity and testing the pushing volume zone at $115,000.
The target is the last ATH, which is $123,200. A re-correction is possible near $123,200, resulting in a wider flat range of $123,200 to $115,000. If there is a true breakout, we can expect the continuation of the global long trend.
Buy Zones:
~$115,000 (zone of initiating/pushing volumes)
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events this week:
• Tuesday, July 22, 12:30 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Wednesday, July 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on US second-hand housing sales for June;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate for July and the interest rate decision in the Eurozone;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank;
• Thursday, July 24, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices (PMI) in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for July;
• Thursday, July 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for June.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin: Genius is on the scene The U.S. House passed the Genius Act on July 17, following Senate approval in June. The bill sets comprehensive federal standards for stablecoins, clearing the way for banks and fintechs to issue them under clear reserve and audit rules. This represents a new milestone for the crypto market, and its leading coin - BTC. During the week, BTC managed to hold steady above the $118K. On Tuesday, there has been one attempt to push the price toward the $116, however, the price swiftly returned to the previous grounds. The highest weekly level reached was at $122,8K, reached on Monday, however, this level was also unsustainable. The majority of trades during the week were around $118,5K.
The RSI modestly moved from the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 65. This could be an indication of a forthcoming price reversal, however, considering strong demand for BTC, such a move could be easily postponed. The MA50 started again to diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross of two lines in the coming period.
BTC managed to hold levels above the $118K, which is an indication that investors are still not ready to sell in higher volumes, in order to take profits. The RSI is indicating potential for a short reversal, however, in the current circumstances, it might be postponed. A move toward the higher grounds is also quite possible, especially taking into account BTCs recent push toward the $122K. At this moment charts are pointing to equal probabilities for a move toward both sides. On one hand, the $116K support was indicated through price during the previous week, as well as the $122K. The start of the week ahead will determine which side will prevail in the week ahead.
Altseason Loading?BTC Dominance chart has once again respected the long-term descending trendline resistance, showing a sharp monthly rejection. Historically, similar rejections have marked the beginning of ALT seasons, where capital flows out of Bitcoin into altcoins, boosting their performance significantly.
Chart Highlights:
-Major triangle pattern since 2017
-Clear rejections from the upper trendline coincide with previous ALT seasons (2018, 2021)
-Current rejection resembles those past cycles
-A move down in dominance could fuel strong altcoin rallies
If BTC dominance continues to decline, we could be entering another powerful altcoin season in the coming months.
Cheers
Hexa🧘♀️
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Chart Analysis: BTCUSD Consolidating at Key Support LevelIn this 1-hour BTCUSD chart, we observe that price is currently respecting a key support zone between $117,500 and $118,000, which has held strongly over the past few sessions. This region has acted as a strong demand zone, with visible buying pressure every time the price dips into it. The chart clearly shows multiple rejections from this zone, indicating that smart money participants are accumulating here.
We also see the Bollinger Bands (20 SMA) tightening around the price. This narrowing of the bands signifies low volatility and a potential expansion move. Such squeezes are often followed by impulsive breakouts or breakdowns, and traders should be alert for a decisive candle close above or below the range to confirm direction.
🧠 Market Structure & Technical Insights:
Support Holding: Price is consolidating above a major support level at $117,500–$118,000, which has been tested multiple times but not broken.
Accumulation Phase: The sideways structure after a previous impulsive move suggests that price is possibly in a re-accumulation phase before another leg up.
Liquidity Above Range: There's a visible liquidity pool above recent highs (~$118,600–$119,000), which could be targeted if bulls take control.
Volatility Squeeze: Bollinger Bands are compressing, showing signs of accumulation. Such patterns typically lead to a breakout move, especially if paired with volume.
Candle Behavior: Long wicks from below the support show aggressive buying interest, rejecting lower prices. This is a bullish signal.
🎯 Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
If BTCUSD breaks and closes above the mini resistance near $118,600–$119,000, we may see a quick move toward $120,500 and $122,000.
A breakout backed by volume and momentum would confirm strength and trend continuation.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below $117,500 with a strong bearish candle and increased volume would invalidate the bullish bias and may open the downside toward $116,000 and possibly $114,500.
This would indicate failure to hold support, transitioning into a distribution phase.
3. Range-Bound:
Until we get a clear break in either direction, price may continue to range between $117,500 and $118,600. Best approach is to remain patient and wait for breakout confirmation.
📚 Educational Note:
This is a textbook setup for many smart money traders—a compression near a strong support level with low volatility. Such patterns reflect market indecision, but also the potential energy build-up for a significant move. Traders should focus on risk management and confirmation instead of predicting direction blindly.
✅ Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $117,500
Resistance: $118,600 – $119,000
Breakout Target: $120,500 – $122,000
Breakdown Target: $116,000 – $114,500
BTCUSD MMC Analysis - Breakout Confirmation + Reversal + TargetWelcome back to another deep-dive analysis powered by MMC (Mirror Market Concepts), where precision meets market psychology. In today’s BTCUSD setup, we’re observing a textbook confluence of structural breakouts, demand rejections, and liquidity zone engagements. Let’s break it down step by step.
📊 1. Market Context & Background
The market recently showed a prolonged bearish trendline structure, with lower highs compressing price into a wedge. The prior days have been consolidative, hinting at an accumulation phase. This forms the foundation for reversal setups we often identify in MMC-style analysis — where liquidity, not just structure, determines the next move.
🔍 2. Demand Zone Dominance – 2x Tap Confirmation
At the bottom of the chart, BTC created a strong 2x Demand Zone (117,250–118,000 area), a region where buyers aggressively stepped in. This zone had already been tested once, and the second tap confirmed demand strength — a key MMC signal.
This dual-tap created a spring effect, launching price upward and rejecting all downside liquidity grabs. It also showed clear absorption of sell-side volume.
📈 3. QFL Behavior + Break of Structure
We see a QFL (Quick Flip Liquidity) reaction just after price bounced from demand — this is a behavior unique to MMC models. Here, price flipped structure rapidly after breaking a local high near 118,500, suggesting aggressive buyer entry.
This QFL event served as the first warning for a major trend shift.
Right after that, we got a major BOS (Break of Structure) above 119,250, further confirming the bullish transition.
🪜 4. Trendline Breakout – Second Confirmation
The descending trendline — connecting several swing highs — was breached with strong bullish momentum. Importantly, this was the second confirmation breakout, not just a fakeout spike.
The breakout candle closed strongly above the trendline and above the SR channel zone (gray area), confirming trend reversal intent.
This aligns with MMC's multi-stage breakout logic, where price gives one trap, pulls back, and then breaks cleanly with intent.
🛡 5. Channel SR Interchange Zone (Support-Resistance Flip)
The gray horizontal SR Channel played a crucial role. Initially acting as resistance, it became support once the breakout was confirmed.
This interchange behavior — a principle where support turns into resistance or vice versa — is critical in MMC. Price flipping this zone and holding above is a strong continuation signal.
🧠 6. Targeting & Forward Outlook
Price is now approaching the Mini Reversal Zone (119,750–120,250). This is a low-timeframe liquidity zone where short-term traders may take profits or where institutional orders may reverse temporarily.
Here are two potential scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: If price pulls back slightly and holds the channel SR as support, we may see a continued leg upward, breaking above 120,250.
Temporary Rejection: A sharp reaction from the Mini Reversal Zone could lead to a retracement into the Central Zone (~118,800), where buyers might reload.
📌 Key MMC Takeaways:
✅ 2x Demand Zone reaction confirmed bullish interest.
✅ QFL + BOS + Trendline Break = High-conviction reversal signal.
✅ SR Flip adds MMC-style structural layering.
✅ Price is now navigating final supply zones before expansion.
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📢 We don’t just trade levels — we trade behavior.
#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025
Bitcoin isn’t moving in a textbook symmetrical triangle, but it’s trading in a similar, tight range, mostly bouncing around the highlighted box area in the chart. It’s attempting a new impulsive leg, but $120,000 remains a key resistance level, having rejected price several times already.
As long as $116,500 holds, there's no major risk for Long bias. However, considering the triangle-like structure, the short-term upside is limited to about 2% for now.
A breakout above the upper edge of this structure, particularly if $123,200 is broken with strong volume — would justify a Long position. Until then, I don’t plan on entering any trades.
The last corrective move has completed, and my next major upside target is $127,900. If further correction occurs, watch for potential support around $115,000, $113,000, and the strong base at $112,000 — though I don’t expect price to fall that low.
#Bitcoin LTF update #Bitcoin LTF update
After making a high of $123,300, it dropped a bit and made short-term support at $117,000, and currently it is holding at this level.
But it is not strong enough to hold, we will retest the lower level.
IMO, we can see a retest up to $113,000 level approximately.
Where we have 0.382 golden fibre level, which is also aligning with some more important indicators, and most importantly, we have good numbers of liquidation at that level.
If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
DYOR, NFA
Support around 115854.56-116868.0 is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 119177.56 point, and the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is generated at the 119086.64 point, and then shows a downward trend.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 115854.56 point, it is difficult to say that it has yet turned into a downward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 25 (July 24-26).
However, the important volatility period is expected to be around August 2-5 (maximum August 1-6), so we need to look at what kind of movement it shows as it passes through the volatility period that will occur in the future.
-
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, there is a possibility that the decline will be restricted.
Therefore, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
This is because if it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Also, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising around 115854.56, it can be seen as an important zone.
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An indicator called Trend Check has been added to the OBV indicator.
This indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the StochRSI, PVT-MACD oscillator, and OBV indicators and expresses them in a column.
Accordingly, if the TC indicator rises from the 0 point, it can be interpreted that the buying force is dominant, and if it falls, the selling force is dominant.
Therefore, if it rises above 0, it is likely to show an upward trend, and if it falls below 0, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Also, if the TC indicator touches the highest point (6) or lowest point (-6), there is a high possibility that the trend will reverse, so you should think about a response plan for this.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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ETH Weekly Recap & Game Plan 20/07/2025📈 ETH Weekly Recap & Game Plan
🧠 Fundamentals & Sentiment
Market Context:
ETH continues its bullish momentum, driven by institutional demand and a supportive U.S. policy environment.
We captured strong profits by sticking to the plan (see chart below).
🔍 Technical Analysis
✅ Price has run into HTF liquidity at $3,750
📊 Daily RSI has entered the overbought zone, signaling potential short-term exhaustion.
We may see a brief retracement or LTF liquidity grabs, which could be enough to fuel a further push higher — potentially to $4,087.
🧭 Game Plan
I’m watching two key downside liquidity levels:
$3,534 (black line)
$3,464
A sweep of either could provide the liquidity needed for continuation toward $4,087.
⚠️ I’ll wait for LTF confirmation before entering a position.
📌 Follow for Weekly Recaps & Game Plans
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