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Wait for a pullback and then test the previous high#XAUUSD The gold market closed positively on the daily chart, with strong support near 3345-3340 below. The market trend is still dominated by bulls,🐂 but the daily moving average support is too far from the high point. It is not ruled out that it may retreat to the moving average support near 3345-3340,📊 and then rise again.🚀 From the monthly chart, 🌙although the monthly chart closed positive, the market is generally converging at a high level. Upper resistance remains, and a breakout is unlikely without breaking through this resistance level (no further discussion will be given).📉 Judging from the weekly chart, the Bollinger Bands have shrunk, and the MACD indicator has formed a death cross with large volume, indicating weak fluctuations at the weekly level.😩 Judging from the daily chart, 📊the current technical indicators are tending to the zero axis, and the rapid upward correction of the smart indicator indicates that the price fluctuation tends to rebound. The current focus is on yesterday's high around 3385. It is expected to break through 3430. The lower support Bollinger band middle track and moving average tend to stick together around 3346-3340.🌈 Judging from the hourly chart and 4H chart, 📊the overall rhythm tends to fluctuate and fall. The short-term pressure from above is around 3375-3385, and a break above will definitely lead to an increase.📈 On the whole, pay attention to yesterday's NY starting point near 3365-3360, and the strong support below is 3346-3340. The hourly and 4H charts tend to fluctuate and fall, so for short-term trading we need to short on rallies. 📉 Intraday trading suggestions are as follows: 1. Consider going long currently around 3365-3360📈, targeting 3374-3380🎯. If it breaks through, look for 3400. 2. Go long if it retraces below 3355-3340, targeting 3375-3385. Wait for further adjustments.🐂 3. If the price first reaches the resistance level of 3375-3385 and holds, consider going short with a small position and anticipate a pullback towards 3365-3355.🐻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
3
How to navigate the Amazonian Squeeze. AMZNHello I am the Cafe Trader. This week has been a deep dive on the MAG 7 and today AMZN is up next. We are going to look at long term and short term opportunities. We are near the All Time Highs, with one final Seller to get through before making the break. Today we tested to see if those sellers are there still (and indeed they are). Today was a key reaction, I'm going to give you the keys to profit. Long Term It's important to consider how aggressive you would like to be with pricing. This list of prices should align with your conviction with Amazon. Aggressive: $226 is where the current aggressive players are sitting. They are going to look to buy again at this level, although they should be the weakest of the buyers. Fair sentiment: 203-210 is where stronger buyers are sitting. I think this price is still realistic to get to. Conservative: 161 - 171 Is a great price, buyers have shown to buy this with extreme demand. Amazon at this price is a fantastic purchase, if you are holding from here or lower, congradulations. Short term Testing the supply and rejecting tells us that sellers are still really active in this zone. We will see how tomorrow closes, if we do not close in the supply zone, there is a good chance that net week will have some bearish winds and a great chance of testing the light demand at 226. this brings us to the two trading ideas. 1 Green line I think we will test those sellers by next week. and i think its very possible that we break trend and touch the light demand line. If its a slow drag down to the light demand, Shorts will have to cover as soon as any real demand shows up (Light Demand Line). Entry 226.50 Stop 221.50 Partial TP 233, or you can hold for a test of the highs (242 would suffice) 2 Red Line If we get a Hot reaction from the supply zone, or if we close below 233.50 tomorrow, Look for a retest and short entry off the supply zone. If the reaction starts to be slow (more than 5 days of red bars) it's likely this will turn into the green scenario. Entry 233.5 Stop 237 Partial TP 226.5 Full TP 218 That's all for AMZN Follow for more! Also comment if you would like me to chart a stock you are considering. @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by thecafetrader
28
Altcoins Recovering: TOTAL3 Bounces from Key Support ZoneIn my previous analysis on TOTAL3, I mentioned that I'm working with two possible bullish scenarios for altcoins. It now seems we're firmly in Scenario #2. 📉 The price dropped exactly into the highlighted support zone, then yesterday we saw a clean recovery and reversal starting right from that area — a textbook technical reaction. 📈 At the time of writing, TOTAL3 sits at $986B, and a break above the $995B–$1T resistance could trigger a new leg up for altcoins. 🎯 Short- and mid-term targets remain: • $1.08T (recent top) • $1.15T • Potential for new all-time highs if momentum builds ✅ As long as price holds above the $920–$930B support zone, bulls remain in control. This keeps the door open for selective altcoin entries — ideally, projects with real structure, strong tokenomics, and clear momentum.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by Mihai_Iacob
Gold Poised for a Surge: 3400 in Sight, 3430 Within ReachToday, gold retreated to a low of around 3350 before rebounding again, reaching a high of around 3390. During this process, we seized the opportunity to go long on gold near 3356 and closed the trade by successfully hitting TP: 3380, making a profit of 240 pips! Although gold retreated after reaching 3390, I had originally planned to short gold near 3395, but gold didn't reach that level during the rally, so our shorting plan had to be shelved. Currently, it's trading in a narrow range around 3380. Clearly, I'm not considering shorting gold after a pullback. Although gold retreated to around 3350 during the day, it did not destroy the current bullish structure of gold. In addition, gold regained the 3370-3375 area again during the rebound, and the gold bulls became even stronger. Therefore, I have now lost the desire and interest to short gold. Gold has currently reached a high near 3390. Given its current structure and strength, I don't believe 3390 is the current high. Gold is likely to attempt to break through 3400, and even has the potential to continue its rise to the 3420-3430 range. As the center of gravity of gold shifts upward, the current short-term support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area; and the relatively strong support is located in the 3360-3350 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, I prefer to start trying to go long on gold after it retreats to the 3375-3365 area, and expect gold to hit 3400 as expected, or even continue to the 3420-3430 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading-Diary_Steffen
NZDCHF: Bearish Continuation from Re-Delivered Re-Balanced ArrayGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of NZDCHF, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations on H4: Bearish Market Structure Shift: The H4 timeframe has recently confirmed a bearish shift in market structure, providing us with a clear framework to seek short setups in line with institutional momentum. RDRB Resistance Zone: Price has retraced into a Re-Delivered Re-Balanced (RDRB) array—an area where prior institutional selling took place and has now been re-engaged. This region is expected to serve as resistance, offering a high-probability zone for confirmation entries to the downside. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for bearish confirmation setups within the RDRB array. Target Objective: The current draw on liquidity remains the liquidity pool residing at deeper discount levels, which aligns with our short bias. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, stay disciplined, wait for clear confirmations, and manage your risk responsibly. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
COIN: Retesting Broken Resistance - Decision Point IncomingCOIN (Coinbase) has pulled back sharply after its breakout run to ~420 and is now retesting the prior resistance zone near 310–315, which previously acted as a lid during Q1. This area now becomes a classic support-turned-resistance flip and serves as a major decision point for price: Technical Levels & Setup: 310 horizontal zone = former resistance from February/March → now being retested Buyers stepping in here would confirm a bullish retest, keeping the breakout structure intact Failure to hold opens the door for a deeper flush toward 220-250 Price currently sitting on the zone with indecision - watch for confirmation candle (hammer / bullish engulfing) Measured breakout continuation still targets 450+ if support holds Is COIN simply back-testing the breakout before another leg higher - or is this the start of a larger reversal?
NASDAQ:COIN
by The_Earnings_Correspondent
Warren Buffet and UPSHello I am the Cafe Trader. There have been some wild days, and it's not over. Amidst all the stormy seas, and the major successes, I wanted to bring to your attention a stock that I think is becoming of great value. UPS has been getting beat down for over three years, why? Beatdown - Trump Tariffs contributing to China slowdown. (35% of deliveries comes from China). - Guidance downgraded due to uncertainties with the macroglobal scale, "spooking investors". - UPS cutback dealings with amazon to increase profitablity (but also reducing volume and revenue.) Just to name a few... If such bad news, why buy? Fundamentally their business model is strong, and the dividend is PAYING. Dividends and Warren Buffett. Buffett is still known to use a model by his mentor, Benjamin Graham. (if you don't know, take a little youtube shallow dive). This has been used to build a large portion of how buffet evaluates a stock. Using his formula, the Maximum intrinsic value of UPS is $69.87 As of writing this article, UPS sits roughly 21% higher than that number. If we get close, even the fundamentalists may have a hard time passing this up. Dividends At 1.68 Dividend a quarter, that put's UPS at almost 7.91% yield! So my thought process is; even if you lose 8% from Graham's buy price, you make up on the dividend in a year. (although I would be surprised if it touched that golden zone). TLDR LONG TERM Aggressive buy: $88 (we are below that right now) Great Price: $75.50 - 80.50 Graham's STEAL: $71 or Below. NOTE: Graham took other things about a stock into consideration as we, as you should as an investor. This article is meant to assist your own DD. -Since this is charted on a weekly chart I have charted a probable 4-6 month swing. (almost 50% gain). -It really does depend on where this bounces, we have already broke through some major levels. -I have a feeling UPS drivers might be cashing out their 401k and panic selling. That's all for UPS! I hope you enjoyed the article, thank you for your time. If you enjoyed please consider a follow and a boost! @thecafetrader
NYSE:UPSLong
by thecafetrader
EURJPY: Rejection Block Support Fuels Bullish momentum!Greetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURJPY, recent price action confirms the presence of bullish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by seeking high-probability buying opportunities that target the long-term highs, where a significant liquidity pool resides. Key Observations: Weekly Timeframe Insight: Last week, price retraced into a weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This reaction has initiated a bullish response across lower timeframes, validating the weekly FVG as a meaningful area of institutional demand. H4 Bullish Market Structure Shift: Following the weekly bounce, the H4 chart presented a clear bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS), signaling the onset of upward momentum. Price then retraced into an extreme discount, where it found support at a well-defined Rejection Block—an institutional array we expect to hold as a launchpad for further bullish continuation. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor the Rejection Block zone for bullish confirmation setups on lower timeframes (M15 and below) to validate potential long entries. Target Objective: The draw on liquidity remains at higher premium levels, with the liquidity pool above the long-term highs serving as our primary objective. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: As always, exercise patience, wait for confirmation, and maintain strict risk management. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
Long trade 15min TF overview 🟩 Trade Type: Buyside Trade Pair: ETHUSDT Date: Sunday, 3rd August 2025 Time: 5:15 PM Session: London–New York Overlap (LND Session PM) Timeframe: 15 minutes 🔽 Entry Parameters Entry Level: 3,455.23 Stop Loss: 3,436.73 (-0.54%) Take Profit: 3,877.00 (+12.21%) Risk-to-Reward (RR): 22:8 📉 Market Structure & Technicals Trend Context: Price reversed from a steep bearish trend and showed signs of a bullish momentum shift. EMA/WMA Levels: EMA (blue) and WMA (yellow) show a bullish crossover at the point of entry Both MAs began to slope upward, confirming the trend shift. Liquidity Observations: Clean sweep of prior lows below 3,500 preceding entry. Price traded back into a premium zone after reacting from a deep discount. 🧠 Narrative / Rationale Set up Narrative: ETH completed a strong downtrend and printed a bullish market structure shift (MSS) on the 15-minute TF. Entry was taken after price reclaimed the (POI) and confirmed a higher low. Current Status: Trade in progress, profit levels partially hit. TP aligns with the previous supply zone or relatively equal highs around 3,784. Additional liquidity above 3,877–3,915 for extended targets if trade continues.
Long
by davidjulien369
NovoNordisk, LT dirt cheap | GLP-1 a misunderstood growth marketNovo Nordisk stock has lost quite some weight since the release of Eli lilly's drug Zepbound and Mounjaro and since the rise of compounded, or generic copycat GLP-1 alternatives. The growth of the company has slown down a bit, but the overall GLP-1 market growth is still impressive and misunderstood. Both Lilly and NVO have become some of the cheapest PEG stocks in the markets and compettitors, of which most known, Hims en hers health also took a slice of growth of this market by telehealth GLP-1 descriptions. The copycat descriptions could be dangerous due to unvalidated low quality GLP-1 or agonist GLP-1 substances. Therefore a lot of law suits have been initiated by NVO. Where Oral Wegovy still has to be FDA approved withinin ~4, 7 months in USA, the company also has new medication approvals awaiting in the pipeline, medications like Cagrisema. (Phase 3 clinical trials, approval in late 2025 or early 2026) Amycretin - a unimolecular long-acting GLP-1 and amylin receptor agonist. Where investors have already praised Lilly for the better drug, GLP-1 demand is surging harder than production for both companies. Where Wegovy and Ozempic are approved by The FDA to sell, many costs for the patients themselfs aren't covered by the health insurance yet. Wegovy or Zepbound isn't covered for mainstream when prescribed by your physician yet. it's only covered for severe obisty for example. Therefore penetration rates of the drug aren't very high yet and will get higher where it will be coverd for more people. Also due to the high cost many copycat GLP-1 agonist market have arisen. There is some improvement in cost coverage for these types of medicine Which will boost the revenue due to prescribtion sales. Next these facts, there are still new markets for GLP-1 to be approved like in india and Japan where worldwide demand is much greather than production capacity. Both Lilly and NVO are expanding fast. Many new production volume is created and Needed!, NVO is expanding production sites in brazil and china. I'm exited for the earnings today. NVO has had many dumps before but has proven to be a up only company. The profits of the company have doubled from $7B to >$14B since Wegovy FDA approval. from the top shares have dumped 70% where there is still >10% growth. Since the FDA approval (june 2021), other markets excluded the share is just +40% up. The stock is much cheaper now with double the profits and revenue, and still >10% growth. Let's see what happens with earnings. Good luck.
OMXCOP:NOVO_B
by jornwaterlander
BTC intraday strategy analysis and operation layout#BTCUSD Currently, BTC rebounded again to test the upper resistance area of 115000-116000, indicating that buyers are still defending this structure, but it is still suppressed by the upper resistance. From a derivatives perspective, open interest has fallen by 0.91% over the past 24 hours, while options trading volume has also fallen by over 13%, indicating a decrease in speculative activity. Despite a 34.28% increase in 24-hour trading volume to $61.71 billion, the long-short ratio has fallen below 1.0, reflecting cautious market sentiment. As long as BTC maintains above 114,000-113,000, the short-term structure remains neutral. If it fails to break through the overhead resistance and stabilize above 116,500, bulls may lose control of the lower trendline of the channel, triggering a renewed bearish push. If BTC can successfully hold above 116,500, it could potentially return to 118,000 or even challenge the macro resistance level of 120,000. On the contrary, if BTC finds it difficult to break through the short-term resistance level, it will still return to the 114,000-113,000 area. 🚀 BUY 116,500-117,000 🚀 TP 118,000-119,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
EURCAD SWING: SHORT-TERM SHORT OPPORTUNITYHi there, Been a while... I was motivated resume sharing my trade ideas by a follower turned Pal (Shloydo). I say this to say - I'd be sharing my thoughts on price more often. After running equal highs on the monthly chart, price created a MSS and I'd like to see a short-term bearish movement in price. Once price trades into the highlighted key level (which aligns with the quarterly open price), I'd be looking for a setup to go short. You could add this to the pairs on your radar. Cheers, Jabari
Short
by jabariofafrica
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 4, 2025 – Monday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 4, 2025 – Monday 🔴 A Monday full of mind games. Nifty opened with a slight positive gap and immediately tested the TC of CPR, but that optimism didn’t last long — sharp rejection took it to day’s low (24,554). What followed was a rollercoaster: a 100-point recovery, a 50-point pullback — all within 10 minutes. This wild price action defined the rest of the day. Throughout the session, Nifty remained trapped within the CPR zone. Both sides experienced multiple fakeouts, especially around initial balance (IB) zones. Even when prices nudged toward R1, repeated failed attempts to break above reflected the market’s indecisiveness. The day finally closed near the high, but conviction was still lacking. Many option buyers likely struggled due to deceptive shadows and unexpected fractal breakouts. The entire price action stayed within Friday’s range — forming an Inside Bar structure on the daily chart. This suggests a potential range breakout trade tomorrow. The market faced resistance near the Fibonacci 0.618–0.786 retracement of the prior fall — aligning with 24,740–24,780 zones. A close above 24,780 tomorrow could shift momentum back in the bulls’ favour. If not, bears still hold the upper ground. 📈 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 📊 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 24,596.05 High: 24,736.25 Low: 24,554.00 Close: 24,722.75 Change: +157.40 (+0.64%) Candle Type: 🟢 Bullish Marubozu-like — reflects a strong control by buyers after early weakness. Structure Breakdown: Real Body: 126.70 pts (Bullish) Upper Wick: 13.50 pts (Minor resistance near close) Lower Wick: 42.05 pts (Early dip got bought aggressively) Key Insight: Closed near the high of the day — positive bias for tomorrow Inside Bar formed – Expect a breakout trade 24,780+ closing will turn sentiment bullish 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 209.36 IB Range: 115.95 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trade Summary: 🕚 11:30 AM – Long Entry → SL Hit 🕛 12:30 PM – Long Entry → SL Hit 🕐 13:10 PM – Short Entry → SL Hit Tough day — strategy got chopped in noise-heavy moves. 🔍 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 24,725 ~ 24,735 24,780 ~ 24,795 24,860 ~ 24,880 Support Zones: 24,675 ~ 24,660 24,620 24,542 ~ 24,535 24,500 24,470 ~ 24,460 💭 Final Thoughts "Markets love to test your patience before they reward your conviction." Today was a lesson in restraint — avoid overtrading when structure lacks clarity. Inside bar gives us a clean slate for tomorrow. Let price lead. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
Transports: Non-Confirmation for Stocks?The S&P 500 SP:SPX hit new all-time highs last week. But one noteworthy part of the market didn’t participate: transportation stocks. Today’s weekly chart of the Dow Jones Transportation Average shows how prices inched to a new high but failed to hold. They instead reversed and closed at the lowest level in over a month. The resulting bearish outside candle is a potential reversal pattern. Second, DJT peaked last November below its previous all-time high from 2021. That’s a potential sign of poor relative strength. Third is the series of lower weekly highs since late 2024. Why aren’t buyers driving the group to new records? Fourth, rate of change in the lower study reveals the Transports lost 7.7 percent of their value last week. Aside from the extreme volatility around “Liberation Day,” it was the biggest weekly drop since September 2022. Finally, there could be implications for the broader market because DJT is often seen as a bellwether for business and the economy in general. (This is often known as “Dow Theory.”) Given apparent weakening of the labor market last week, some investors may see a warning sign in DJT’s price action. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
DJ:DJT
by TradeStation
GBPCHF Wave Analysis – 4 August 2025 - GBPCHF reversed from key support level 1.0665 - Likely to rise to the resistance level 1.0800 GBPCHF currency pair recently reversed from the support zone between the pivotal support level 1.0665 (former strong support from April) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The upward reversal from this support zone will likely form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Bullish Engulfing, if the pair closes today near the current levels. Given the strength of the support level 1.0665 and the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, GBPCHF can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 1.0800 (which stopped earlier corrections (ii) and ii).
Long
by FxProGlobal
Next Stop 3420? Gold Bulls Push the LimitBecause the U.S. non-farm payroll report performed worse than expected, gold rebounded strongly last Friday and recovered half of its losses in one fell swoop. The bulls returned strongly. Today, after consolidating at a high level, gold continued to choose to break upward, reaching a high of around 3385. There is no doubt that bullish forces still hold the upper hand. From a fundamental perspective, the Federal Reserve is currently facing greater pressure to cut interest rates; and it can also be clearly seen from the candlestick chart that a significant "W"-shaped double bottom structure has been constructed near 3268 and 3280, which has limited the gold's retracement space while also playing a key structural support role in the rise of gold. With the combined effects of news and technical factors, gold still has the potential to continue its upward trend. And I think there is still a great possibility that gold will test the 3400 mark again. Once gold stabilizes at 3400, it will definitely hit the 3420-3430 area. As the center of gravity of gold gradually shifts upward, the lower support area also moves up. The current short-term support is obviously in the 3365-3355 area, while the relatively strong support is in the 3345-3335 area. According to the current pattern structure, the bulls may not allow gold to retreat to the 3345-3335 area. So in terms of short-term trading, we first consider the opportunity to enter long positions in the 3365-3355 area!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading-Diary_Steffen
2