S&P 500 - April ReviewI see more potential in S&P 500 than Nasdaq for the mere fact that the premium array at $5,773.25 - $5,902.50 has not been met yet but Nasdaq has already made it's way inside of the same SIBI imbalance. (refer to my most recent S&P500 analysis)
Aiming for low hanging fruits for now.
Candlestick Analysis
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry — BTCUSD (Buy Side)
🗓 Date: Sunday, 4th May 2025
⏰ Time: 9:45 AM
📍 Session: London to New York Overlap (AM)
🪙 Pair: BTC/USD
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 95,393.59
Take Profit: 95,745.20 (+0.37%)
Stop Loss: 95,316.08 (−0.08%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 4.54
🔹 Trade Context:
Entered during the high-volume overlap between London and New York sessions — a prime window for large institutional moves.
?BTC Intraday LongsTechnical analysis using ICT concepts.
A rally below the 12 am NY opening price to raid sell stops below previous day's Asian & London session.
CISD from a Bullish orderblock formed on Thursday NY am session.
Looking for Buy stops resting above Friday's highs.
* Note A 4hour BISI is below the reference range that could still be revisited.
May 6, 2025 GBPUSD Sell📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% | 🎯 Targets: 1:3 (take 75%), final target ~1:7
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from a Daily / Weekly Orderblock with confluence from a 15m OB
Asia Low as target provides clean downside structure
Morning Star formed inside the OB → entry taken at the imbalance left behind
10 pip SL covers highs efficiently ✅
DXY Bullish scenario (Daily)Dxy is still respecting the market maker buy model idea.
Monday traded inside friday range.
Today (Tuesday) price already traded above monday previous high signaling bullish momentum and a higher probability to trade also above friday high.
Right now price is consolidating between a daily bullish fair value gap and a bearish daily volume imbalance.
With the information we have, price is likelly to shop arround with no clear direction before FOMC.
For the current week price is still in the manipulation phase.
Traders will find higher probability trades after FOMC.
Buy gold, it may continue to rise to 3400-3420!Fundamentals:
Focus on Trump and the Fed’s dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold rose to the 3380 area as expected, and even exceeded expectations to 3387. Since gold rebounded near 3222, the willingness to retreat during the rebound was not strong. The lows were constantly raised, and the highs gradually broke upward, which was a very typical shock rise pattern. As the center of gravity of gold shifted upward, the short-term resistance moved up to the 3350-3340 area. Once gold hits this position and rebounds, it may continue to rise to the 3400-3420 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider the opportunity to go long on gold after gold retreats to the 3350-3340 area, TP: 3380
May 6, 2025 - EURUSD Sell📉 Bias: Bearish | Risk: 0.5% (+0.5% potential add-on) | 🎯 Targets: 1:3 (75% off), final TP > 1:8
🧠 Reasoning:
Price reacted from Daily Orderblock, broke structure on 15m ⛓️.
Refined entry from 15m OB → 5m OB for more precision on the tap entry🎯.
2x Asia lows below = high-probability targets 🔻.
Looking to add 0.5% if 1m BOS + retracement OB confirm.
⚠️ Note:
There’s unmitigated Asia High & 15m OB above, but too far to affect today’s bearish idea.
GOLD - April ReviewGold has been on an absolute tear this year, with gains of up to 30%!
I hate to say but the more turmoil that the world economy faces, the higher Gold prices will rise as this market is predominantly a event driven market meaning it takes fundamental news for the market to move like crazy, just like what we have been seeing recently
Nifty EOD Analysis – May 3, 2025 Monday🟢 Nifty EOD Analysis – May 3, 2025 Monday🔴
A positive open... but no follow-through. Still stuck in consolidation.
📊 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a gap up of 72 points at 24,420, marking the first open above 24,365 in the last 7 sessions — a positive sign. However, the enthusiasm lacked momentum. Price struggled to cross the resistance at 24,526, and the index drifted back toward the mean, trading the entire day between the initial balance (IB) range and hovering around VWAP.
🔹 Intraday Movement: Just 125 points, the smallest in the last 12 sessions — a clear sign of contraction.
🔹 Closing: 24461 closing is the first closing above 24365 in the last 7 sessions.
🔹 Structure: Daily candle formed an Inside Bar, signaling potential energy buildup.
📌 Strategy Forward: Stay alert for an expansion move from this coil — contraction often precedes sharp action.
📌 5 Min Time FrameChart
📌 Daily Time FrameChart
🕯️ Daily Time Frame Chart & Candle Breakdown
🔍 Today’s Candle Type: Spinning Top with a long upper wick
Candle Definition:
A Spinning Top reflects market indecision — both bulls and bears attempted moves, but neither gained dominance. A long upper wick with a narrow body often signals failed bullish momentum or fading enthusiasm.
📌 Today’s OHLC:
Open: 24,419.50
High: 24,526.40
Low: 24,400.65
Close: 24,461.15
Change: +114.45 (+0.47%)
🧱 Candle Structure:
🔹 Real Body:
🟢 Green candle with a modest body →
24,461.15 – 24,419.50 = 41.65 pts
🔹 Upper Wick:
24,526.40 – 24,461.15 = 65.25 pts
🔹 Lower Wick:
24,419.50 – 24,400.65 = 18.85 pts
📖 Candle’s Interpretation:
Despite a strong open and attempt to push higher, the resistance at 24,526 capped the move. The long upper wick shows that buyers lacked follow-through strength, and the close back near the middle of the range indicates a market still stuck in balance.
📉 The Inside Bar + Narrow Range combo is a potential signal for volatility ahead — traders should watch closely for a breakout from this range.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
📊 Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 303.46
IB Range: 110.65 pts
IB Category: Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
📌 Trade Highlights:
Trade Count: 0
❌ No Trigger generated by the system — a no-trade day.
🧠 Note: In contraction phases, it’s common to get fewer setups. Patience is key.
🔮 What’s Next?
Markets are coiling tightly, and an expansion move is likely around the corner. As long as price holds above the 24,330–24,360 band, bulls have hope — but conviction is needed above 24,540.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Zones:
24,480 ~ 24,540 (Includes psychological level: 24,500)
24,590 (PDH – Immediate hurdle)
24,800
🔻 Support Zones:
24,400 (CDL)
24,330 ~ 24,360
24,190 ~ 24,225 (Immediate Support)
24,120
24,050
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
#BTCUSDT. Is ready for a retest of 103.98 and higher.Structurally, over the next few days it looks like an attempt by the First Cryptocurrency to adjust its recent growth with a small correction into the zone of 92000-90200 - near these levels one can look for setups for buying.
Near these zones there may be an attempt to buy back at 103.98.
It looks promising, we are watching.
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal
Entry BTCUSD (Buy Side)
🗓 Date: Monday, 5th May 2025
⏰ Time: 12:00 PM
📍 Session: London to New York Overlap (AM)
Pair: BTC/USD
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 93,883.46
Take Profit: 94,533.51 (+0.69%)
Stop Loss: 93,858.02 (−0.03%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 25.55
🔹 Trade Context:
Entered during the London–New York overlap, a peak liquidity window where breakout and continuation setups often occur.
Israel-Houthi conflict could put gold back on the bull run🗞News side:
1. The Israeli president said that they are on the eve of a "large-scale attack on the Gaza Strip"
2. The Houthi armed forces stated that all Israeli airports are their targets
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
📈Technical aspects:
From a technical point of view, the current 1H moving average of gold is spreading upward, resulting in a small retracement. The short orders we hold are also closed in time at 3310 to lock in profits. After gold broke through the previous range, the upward channel opened. The 4H MACD diverged from the bottom, the golden cross and the green column enlarged, opening upward, and the overall 4H trend was bullish. Moreover, the support effect of the middle rail of the Bollinger Bands is obvious, and the gold price is accumulating strength below the upper rail of the Bollinger Bands, with strong upward momentum. Pay attention to 3310. After the support stabilizes, you can consider participating in long positions near 3310-3320, focusing on the 3290 line below; focus on 3375 above, and then consider participating in short sales near 3355-3365 after the pressure is under.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
AUDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Daily previous Structure point
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.41
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
How to arrange when gold fluctuates upward🗞News side:
1. Pay attention to the recent trade situation and news about the Fed's interest rate cuts
2. Be wary of DXY trends
3. The situation of the Russian-Ukrainian war and the follow-up events of the India-Pakistan conflict
4.Trump imposes 100% tariff on non-US films
📈Technical aspects:
In the morning, we seized the opportunity to short and earn a wave of profits. Then gold fell back to 3255 and rebounded again, moving upward in a fluctuating manner. From the hourly chart, Friday's low was around 3220 and today's high was around 3270. In this trend, 3255 may be the short-term low for short-term trading. From the daily chart, gold has closed the cross star. The current gold price is more critical. If it breaks through 3285, it may continue to rise to the 3295-3300 line. If the gold price fails to effectively break through 3285, it may usher in a wave of retracement. It will be a good time for us to go long.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50).
CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25).
Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50)
Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549).
Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
NZDCHF SHORtsEntry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.98
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Long trade
15 TF overview
📘 Trade Journal Entry — DOGEUSDT (Buy Side)
🗓 Date: Sunday, 4th May 2025
⏰ Time: 10:04 AM
📍 Session: New York AM
⏱ Timeframe: 30-second chart
🪙 Pair: DOGE/USDT
📈 Direction: Long (Buy Side)
🎯 Entry Model: 001
🔹 Entry Details:
Entry Price: 0.17320
Take Profit: 0.17465 (+0.84%)
Stop Loss: 0.17311 (−0.03%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 16.11
🔹 Trade Context:
Precision microstructure entry on the 30-second timeframe, aligned with entry model 001
Executed during the NY to LND transition when momentum builds and early positioning unfolds.
30sec TF observation