Candlestick Analysis
EURUSD: Pullback From Resistance 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD strongly reacted to the underlined intraday
resistance area after the market opening.
I see a tine double top pattern on that and a formation
of a bearish engulfing candle.
I expect a retracement to 1.154 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Dollar Index ProjectionWhere We Were – Market Structure Recap,
The Dollar Index completed a six-month range (110.176 to 96.768) with a bearish engulfing pattern, signaling long-term weakness. From March to June, DXY printed consistent lower lows and closes. July marked a shift with a higher high and close, indicating a possible retracement toward premium levels within the broader downtrend.
Where We Are Now – Current Market Conditions,
DXY is trading near the bottom of its range, interacting with a monthly price imbalance. Last week’s candle closed higher (higher high, higher close), suggesting short-term bullish control.
On the daily timeframe, structure has shifted into a potential sell-to-buy scenario. A new range is defined, and the 62% Fibonacci retracement overlaps with a bearish order block — a likely accumulation zone. The recent daily low is now critical support for this short-term bullish case.
Where We’re Going – Weekly Outlook,
The immediate outlook favors a bullish retracement targeting liquidity above last week’s high and into the monthly imbalance. If support holds, continuation toward premium levels is likely. A break below support invalidates the bullish scenario and shifts the structure bearish.
A false break and rejection (turtle soup) could still keep the bullish case intact if followed by strong buy pressure.
Video Link: www.youtube.com
USD/JPY(20250804)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
① The US non-farm payrolls rose by 73,000 jobs in July, far below the expected 110,000; the previous two months saw a significant downward revision of 258,000 jobs, prompting traders to fully price in two Fed rate cuts before the end of the year.
② The US ISM Manufacturing PMI for July unexpectedly fell to 48, below the expected 49.5 and the lowest level since October 2024.
③ The University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for July reached a five-month high.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Levels:
148.53
Support and Resistance Levels:
152.12
150.78
149.91
147.15
146.28
144.94
Trading Strategy:
If it breaks above 148.53, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 149.91. If it breaks below 147.15, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 146.28.
Doge is a LaggerHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are looking at DOGE.
Normally I refuse to look at "Meme Coins" but with a 33 Billion Dollar Market cap, I don't think it falls into it's own category.
Doge, like many Crypto, have come alive. If this is one you are looking at, here are the Keys:
Short Term
A new seller did prevail as of July 23rd. It's important to note that they are still not in control of this rally. We need to see a key buyer get taken out first. This leads us to the scenario I have drawn.
Green Machine
Big buyers move markets... A lot. They can't buy what they want to buy on the open market without a reaction, so what do they do? Simple
Buy... then wait... then buy again near where they bought before.
So your "Strong buyer" is that area.
You have passive buyers looking to get a good price at 19.223 This would offer the greatest position for a reversal and a continuation.
Long
Entry - .19.250
Stop - .17.050
1st TP .24.050
2nd TP .28.600
Final TP .38.250
This should take at least a month. Be prepared to not look at it everyday.
Long Term
These prices should reflect your sentiment on DOGE.
Aggressive = .20.650
Good Price = .18.900 - 19.250
STEAL = 13.950 - 14.550
Thanks for reading, Don't forget to Boost and Follow !
Happy Trading
@thecafetrader
Long trade www.tradingview.com
🟢 Buyside Trade
Pair: LINKUSD
Date: Saturday, 5th July 2025
Time: 8:00 PM
Session: Tokyo Session PM
Time Frame: 4Hr TF Entry
🔢 Trade Metrics
Entry Price: 13.161
Take Profit (TP): 25.814 (+96.14%)
Stop Loss (SL): 12.984 (−1.34%)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 70.32: 1
📈 Chart Analysis
Structure: Price broke the previous consolidation zone and retested key support levels near the 13.16 area before launching upward.
Indicators:
200 WMA (Yellow) & 50 EMA (Blue) both support continuation.
Break of market structure confirmed prior resistance as new support.
Bitcoin Outlook – Early August🟩 1M Timeframe (Monthly Overview)
The August monthly candle has just begun forming, so it’s too early to draw solid conclusions. While there’s selling pressure visible, it’s not yet a confirmed reversal on the higher timeframe.
🟨 1W Timeframe (Weekly View)
On the weekly chart, structure leans bearish. If momentum continues, a mid-term downside target of $105,000 remains in play.
🟧 1D Timeframe (Daily Perspective)
The daily chart shows some buying interest around $108,500, suggesting a possible short-term rebound.
However, if price fails to hold above this level, it may drop to retest the $105,000 zone.
A break below that would open the door for a move toward $102,000.
⸻
🧭 Key Notes:
1. If the bearish view is to remain valid, price must not break above $120,000.
A higher high would indicate potential trend continuation on the bullish side.
2. Rebounds are possible along the way.
Opening a short position in the current zone is viable, but a tight stop-loss around $114,500 ± $500 is advised.
This level is a lower high on the 4H timeframe — a critical pivot that, if held, confirms bearish continuation.
But if price breaks above it, the downtrend scenario weakens, and traders may wait for a re-entry closer to the $120,000 resistance zone.
⸻
🧠 Summary & Strategy:
• Monthly: too early to call
• Weekly: bearish bias, targeting $105,000
• Daily: watch $108,500 for short-term support
• Downside levels: $105,000 → $102,000
• No new high above $120,000 if bears are to stay in control
• Short entries okay here; SL ~ $114,500 ± $500
• Wait to re-short at $120,000 if invalidated
Gold Outlook for August🔎 Gold Market Outlook — Early August Update
🟩 1M Timeframe (Monthly Overview)
Gold just closed its 1M candle a few days ago, forming a red doji, which is the 4th candle since the All Time High around $3,500/oz.
Although the monthly candle closed red, it’s not yet a confirmed signal that sellers have taken control.
The new candle that opened on August 1st did not make a new low, but strong buying pressure pushed the price up about $60 from the open.
This behavior indicates accumulation from the Buy side in lower timeframes like 1W and 1D.
Because of this, it’s too early to conclude that gold has reversed into a bearish trend. We need to wait for a clear red close on the 1M timeframe — which still has 28 days left to develop.
⸻
🟨 1W / 1D Timeframe (Weekly & Daily Perspective)
Selling pressure was light last week with no follow-through from bears. This suggests the market is more likely to chase buys rather than dump in the coming week.
However, entering orders blindly is risky — we must wait for confirmation signals from the price action on the 1D timeframe to see if price can truly hold support.
⸻
🧭 Key Level to Watch: $3,290
I’m watching the $3,290 area closely.
If price can hold above this support with clear reversal signals from candles or price action, I’ll look to enter Long positions.
⸻
🧠 Summary: Basic Strategy
• Focus on the Long side
• Wait for price to hold above $3,290
• Confirm with candles on 1D before entry
• Be patient — the 1M candle still has time to play out
“In trading, don’t let emotions override your plan, and don’t let the chart fool you into ignoring the bigger picture.”
⸻
❗️Note:
Candles only confirm their signal after closing.
If you want earlier entries, consider drilling down to smaller timeframes like 4H or 1H, but manage your risk carefully.
EURJPY about to enter into a DowntrendRecently EURJPY reached high points in the chart at 173.016
From there it fell and continued downwards.
I took a quick demo trade with an inverse risk to reward. Not the ideal thing to do, but I didn't want to keep my TP higher than 173.016 since we know it's a strong resistance level.
Got a quick win there.
Now, on the 4H, we can see that one huge red candle look out the previous five green candles.
It indicates that selling pressure is incoming.
This would be a good time to sell now. But I do want to see price go below 171.540 just to get that extra confirmation. Just in case, price decides to consolidate or go high for a while.
Have to stay vigilant with this market now.
TP1 will be 171.100.
TP2 will be 170.000
TP3 will be 168.800
Lets see how this trade plays out.
NZDUSD SHORTsMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry on Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.59500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 3.67
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly Previous Structure point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.34000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.8
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
AUDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psych Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.18
Entry 120%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Monday's market forecast and related layout#XAUUSD
Judging from the monthly chart, although July closed with a large positive line, there is still great resistance above 3439-3501. Possible gold price trends for next week are as follows:
1. If gold prices open higher, focus on the previous highs of 3375-3385. If resistance and pressure are encountered, consider shorting, aiming for a volatile decline, retracing Friday's gains.
2. The market is volatile and sideways, so wait and see.
3. Gold fell back. Referring to Friday’s trading strategy, you can consider going long around 3335 to bet on a short-term rebound. Leave yourself some room for participation (the possibility of touching 3338 again and rebounding is not ruled out)
GOLD (XAUUSD): Move Up Ahead?!
Friday's fundamentals made Gold very bullish during the New York session.
The price formed a high momentum bullish candle on a daily,
breaking a minor daily resistance area.
It gives us a confirmed Change of Character CHoCH and indicates
a highly probable bullish continuation next week.
I think that the price will reach 3400 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Narayana Hrudayalaya can turnaround from trendline. Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd. engages in the provision of medical and health care services. It also provides services in the areas of cardiac surgery, cardiology, diabetes and endocrinology, gastroenterology, general surgery, neurosciences, facial surgery, nephrology, obstetrics and gynecology, orthopedics, oncology, pediatrics, transplant, urology, and vascular surgery; and other specialty services, such as dental, dermatology, emergency medicine, ears, nose, and throat, family medicine, general medicine, and genetic.
NH Closing price is 1945.50. The positive aspects of the company are Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 50.6), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, PEG greater than Industry PEG and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Entry can be taken after closing above 1950 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 2015, 2063 and 2098. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 2148, 2195 and 2269. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1863 or 1648 depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.