How to layout gold before non-agricultural data🗞News side:
1. Progress in Sino-US tariff negotiations: The United States has recently contacted China through multiple channels, releasing signals that a trade agreement may be reached. Market concerns about trade friction have significantly cooled down, weakening the safe-haven appeal of gold.
2. The U.S. non-farm payrolls report for April will be released today (expected to add 130,000 new jobs). If the data is weak, it may strengthen expectations for an interest rate cut. On the contrary, if it is stronger than expected, the interest rate cut schedule may be further delayed.
📈Technical aspects:
Gold bottomed out yesterday and has now rebounded to around 3250. For the current market situation, the previous low of 3260-3270 has become an important resistance level above the gold price after the top-to-bottom conversion. In addition, non-agricultural data will be released in the U.S. market today. Therefore, if gold wants to reverse upward, the first resistance will be in the 3260-3270 range. If the counter pull from the bottom fails to stabilize at 3270, then there will be a downward trend. If it breaks through this resistance range, it may test the 3286 line. Before the release of non-agricultural data, the European market can be shorted when encountering resistance at 3260-3270. Everyone is waiting patiently for the opportunity to enter. The following focuses on the important support of 3200.
If you agree with this point of view, or you have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
Candlestick Analysis
WTI: Break It or Bounce ItIf other cyclical asset classes are rallying like a global recession can be avoided, then why shouldn’t crude oil? Yes, there are reports OPEC+ may increase output again, and we know Donald Trump wants lower prices, but those factors should already be priced in. The true swing factor is demand—and if it’s not about to fall in a heap, why should crude?
We’ve now seen three violent rallies from beneath $57.30, including when the level was established in early 2021. If price were to return to those levels in the near-term, it could offer a decent swing trade. Longs could be established above with a stop beneath for protection, targeting a run back to $60.45, a minor level that acted as both support and resistance in April. If that were to give way, a move towards key resistance at $65.27 could follow.
Another option would be to wait for a sustained push above $60.45, allowing longs to be established on the break with a stop beneath, targeting $65.27. Of the two setups, this one screens as higher risk given how lightly $60.45 has been tested.
Momentum remains with the bears, which normally favours selling rips over buying dips. But in these headline-driven markets, that signal may not carry its usual weight. For what it’s worth, downside momentum is easing for now.
A close beneath $57.30 would invalidate the countertrend bullish setup.
Good luck!
DS
Looking to short CL to continue lowerCL is making a corrective move higher before moving down to the ultimate target of last Daily structure leg down. It retraced to Daily bearish Fair Value Gaps (internal range liquidity zones) which should act as resistance. 15M bearish structure is in Extreme premium.
I'm looking for CL to break down bullish corrective structure on 5M chart and start a final move down.
El Sewedy Electric Stock Trend AnalysisEl Sewedy Electric stock trend rose last period from the support line 78.287 to the resistance line 88.149, then rebounded to reach the support line 78.65, so the general trend was down by 0.24%. The stock rose, and broke the first support line 78.65 to reach the second support line 78.7574, then the third support line 78.858. On the other hand, when the stock rebounded, it broke the first resistance line 88.045 to reach the second resistance line 86.073, then the third resistance line 85.554
GRTUSDT Triangle Coil Tension Builds Bullish Breakout in FocusGRTUSDT is forming a clean symmetrical triangle with price rebounding from the lower trendline which brings an encouraging signal for potential continuation to the upside.
As long as the structure holds, we anticipate a breakout above the triangle, which could ignite strong bullish momentum. The external demand zone remains ideal for strategic accumulation, while the internal supply area should be monitored for signs of short-term rejection.
If buyers absorb pressure at that level, GRT could rally toward the crucial upper supply zone, which marks the next major area for distribution. Let’s see how this unfolds, feel free to share your perspective.
With Dow at Resistance, it Could be Make or Break for ASX 200The Dow Jones tends to share the strongest correlation with the ASX 200, out of the three Wall Street indices. It is therefore worth noting that Dow futures formed a bearish pinbar at trend resistance on Thursday, following an intraday false break of the March low. The daily RSI (2) was also overbought by the day’s close. The March 31 low also hovers nearby for additional resistance.
Given futures volumes were declining while Dow futures rose, I suspect a pullback is due.
ASX 200 futures formed a hanging man candle beneath the January high, near a weekly VPOC (volume point of control). The 200-day SMA also hovers nearby. A bearish divergence has also formed on the daily RSI (2). And like the Dow, volumes were declining while ASX prices rose.
Bears could fade into moves around the Jan low or 2000-day SMA with an initial target at the March high, a break beneath which assumes aa deeper pullback towards the 7939 VPOC and 7900 handle.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Litecoin Apocalypse, $20 forecast threatens investor extinctionIt is no secret.... Without Worries maintains a negative outlook on underdeveloped legacy crypto projects. Legacy refers to projects that have been around since 2017 with little to no development since that time. And yet they all continue to attract a significant number of long ideas.
To name a few from 2017 price action to present day:
Dash $108 versus $23
EOS. $2.40 versus 70 cents
Ethereum Classic $22 vs $17
Arguably Ethereum $471 versus $1800
Litecoin. $86 versus $86
Monero. $163 versus $255
Litecoin is amongst those without development to speak of. Despite the historical significance as one of the original Bitcoin alternatives, the monthly chart reveals a troubling pattern.
The false breakout of 2025
=====================
The pink boxes highlight the consolidation periods prior to each bull market cycle. Points 1 and 2 identify the resistance tests. The 3rd test, as is often the case in Technical Analysis, prints the breakout as indicated by the red boxes. However in 2025 after the breakout price action was returned to the consolidation area. This is a strong bearish signal. An indication buyers had no strength for momentum, which was evident from the February monthly hanging man candle print.
Monthly bearish engulfing candles
==========================
The red arrows mark each bearish engulfing candle print that followed a rally in price action. A significant correction in price action, 80% corrections, in each insistence followed the print. Is this time different? I’m sure the bulls will say so.
Going forward
===========
The bullish outlook:
Price action must recover from the fake-out with a volume sized move above $160 to undo the bearish signal. This would void the idea of a strong correction.
The bearish outlook:
Price action returning to the consolidation area is incredibly weak.
A collapse in price action would begin with a monthly candle print under $60, the consolidation area. Trade is active on this condition.
The condition would develop the $20 forecast, however the bear flag forecasts a correction of 87% to the $10 area.
Ww
Try going long gold in small batchesFundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
Gold continues to fall and is currently testing the 3200 mark. It is undeniable that gold is currently in a clear bearish trend, and the foreseeable area below is the 3185-3175 area, which is a strong support in the short term. However, the long and short sides are currently wrestling at the 3200 mark, and I think there will still be repetitions in the short term. So gold should rebound before falling to the 3185-3175 area.
Trading strategy:
Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 3210-3200 area, TP: 3220-3230.
Please note: In order to protect the security of the account, as gold rebounds, you can consider gradually moving up the SL to ensure profits.
CAD/JPY: Price at Decision Point – Key Support in PlayWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** CADJPY Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Inverted head and shoulders pattern! Yet to be broken! As we can see despite the gap it failed to break and sustain above the structure hence made it void but looking at NIFTY we can see the structure is still there which is yet to broken hence we can wait for candle to close above the given structure for a unidirectional rally so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Gold's evening rebound continues to be bearishAffected by the initial jobless claims data, gold has rebounded and risen again to around 3220 after touching around 3203. As we mentioned in the previous trading idea, short selling is still our main trading method before there is a big data impact. For the time being, we will first look at the first-line resistance of 3240-3250. If it breaks through this resistance range, we will further look at the key resistance of 3260-3270. If it does not break, we will go short.
There is an obvious downhill trend in the weekly line, which is expected to form a continuous negative trend. Then we look to the 3210-3200 support level to remain unchanged, and may even continue to look to the early low support line of 3193.
SELL 3240-3250
TP 3210-3200
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OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold continues to fall, is it expected to reach 3210-3200?Yesterday we mentioned that the market may present a convergent triangle pattern. Today, the gold price has indeed ushered in a wave of sharp declines at the opening of the Asian session, and has fallen below the key support of 3260, and the lowest level has reached 3221. At present, the 1H moving average is spreading downward. In the short term, gold is still in a downward trend and is in a correction to overbought. The gold price is expected to reach 3210-3200. If it falls below this support range, it may even test the previous low of 3193. But at the same time, the 1H RSI indicator has fallen into the oversold area. Therefore, in terms of news, we need to pay attention to the initial jobless claims and PMI data during the US trading session today, and beware of the rebound after the correction.
Many friends who have read my posts have reported that my trading ideas and strategies are very helpful to them. I always firmly believe that profitability is the criterion for measuring strength, and seizing the opportunity is the key to victory. I will post every day to share my trading strategies and ideas for free. If you have just entered the market and don’t know how to make more profits, if you are already in it but the harvest is not ideal, then you might consider taking a look at my profile.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The bearish trend is obvious, 3180 is foreseeable!Fundamentals:
Focus on US economic data and Fed dynamics;
Technical aspects:
After gold fell below the recent low support area of 3260, the bearish trend became more obvious. Although gold has stopped falling near 3220, there is no obvious sign of bottoming out. From the current structure, gold still has room to fall, and the area near 3180 can be foreseen in the short term. However, after a sharp drop in gold, there may still be repetitions in the short term, so it is not advisable to over-short gold for the time being. Gold still has the possibility of a short-term rebound to the 3245-3255 area.
Trading strategy:
1. Consider waiting for gold to rebound to the 3245-3255 area before shorting gold; TP: 3235-3225;
2. Consider trying to go long on gold in small batches in the 2330-2320 area, TP: 3245-3255, and then short gold after reaching the target area.
Why Is Baby Doge Cryptocurrency Making This Massive Move?Baby Doge Coin ( CRYPTOCAP:BABYDOGE ) has been on a strong upward trajectory, catching the attention of traders and investors alike. But what’s driving this rally? Let’s break it down.
Strong Monthly Demand Imbalance Fuels the Rally
One of the key factors behind Baby Doge’s surge is a significant demand imbalance on the monthly chart. This means buyers are aggressively stepping in, absorbing available supply and pushing prices higher. When demand consistently outweighs supply, it creates a bullish environment—and that’s exactly what we’re seeing with Baby Doge.
EURCAD: Strong Bearish Pattern Spotted 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD formed a huge head and shoulders pattern on a daily time frame.
Its neckline was broken yesterday with a high momentum bearish candle.
I guess that the pair may drop much lower now.
Next support - 1.55
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Nifty Analysis EOD - April 30, 2025 - Wednesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD - April 30, 2025 - Wednesday 🔴
🗓️ One more expiry day ended in suspense, surprise and a last-minute spike!
📊 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened slightly green at 24,342, just 6 points above the previous close. A quick dip below the previous day’s low was swiftly recovered, triggering a rally towards 24,400. However, most of the session turned into a slow grind between a narrow 40-point range as both bulls and bears hesitated.
As is typical on expiry days, a sudden burst in the last 5 minutes added 198 points to the move — a nightmare for option sellers but a jackpot for Hero-Zero traders. The day’s true intraday close stood at 24,243, while settlement was at 24,334, reflecting a wide 90-point gap traders must factor in.
🕔 Intraday 5 Min Time Frame Chart
🔁 Intraday Walk
🔹 Opened at 24,342 with a quick drop below PDL, then rebounded.
🔹 Rallied to 24,400 within the first 30 minutes.
🔹 Ranged for hours between 24,330–24,370 with no clear breakout.
🔹 A 198-point spike in the final 30 minutes caught most off-guard.
🔹 True intraday close = 24,243 vs. settlement = 24,334 → Huge difference!
⏱ Intraday 75 Min Time Frame Chart
📐 75-Min Chart Analysis / Zone Commentary
The last 3 sessions showed repeated failed attempts to close above 24,365 (the previous week's high). A symmetrical triangle was clearly visible and delivered a classic trap: a false breakout, a liquidity grab, and an immediate pullback to meet the pattern’s target. Unfortunately, the real breakout happened around 2:35 PM — just after most had packed up for expiry!
📅 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯️ Daily Candle Breakdown
Today’s Candle Type: Spinning Top (Bearish Tilt)
Today’s OHLC:
Open: 24,342.05
High: 24,396.15
Low: 24,198.75
Close: 24,334.20
Change: –1.75 (–0.01%)
Know How of Candle Type:A Spinning Top reflects indecision — a small body with long shadows shows a battle between buyers and sellers with no clear winner.
Key Observation:
Real Body = 7.85 points → Minimal net movement
Upper Wick = 54.10 pts
Lower Wick = 143.30 pts → Stronger buyer defense but weak follow-through
What It Implies:Buyers showed strength at lower levels but couldn't close strong. Despite the strong lower wick, the red close tilts sentiment mildly bearish. The breach of previous day’s low confirms weakness unless reversed tomorrow.
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
Strategy Parameters:
ATR: 313.49
IB Range: 126.40
IB Category: Medium IB
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights:
📉 No Trade Triggered
Gladiator system remained silent today amidst the choppy expiry behavior.
🔮 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Although the larger bias had been mildly bullish, the breach of the 24,290 low shifts the short-term view to slightly bearish. However, one more session confirmation is needed before taking any aggressive stance.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Zones:
24,290 (PDL)
24,330 ~ 24,360 (Immediate hurdle)
24,396 (CDH)
24,457 (PDH)
24,480 ~ 24,540 (Incl. 24,500 psych level)
24,800
🔻 Support Zones:
24,190 ~ 24,225
24,120
24,050
24,000 ~ 23,950
23,820
23,710 ~ 23,660
23,500
23,410 ~ 23,370
23,215
💬 Final Thoughts
“Expiry days are for the patient and the prepared. Today was a perfect example of how calm waters can suddenly become tidal waves.”The pattern, structure, and volatility continue to show that structure is key — respect it when it holds, and adapt when it breaks.
✏️ Disclaimer ✏️
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bearish SignalThe price of 📉GOLD is likely to keep falling, following a significant downward trend.
After consolidating within a horizontal range on a 4-hour time frame, the support of the range was recently broken, signaling strong selling pressure and a probable continuation of the bearish trend.
It is possible that the pair will soon reach the 3200 support level.