$BTC Daily OutlookBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Weekly Chart:
Bitcoin has now printed three consecutive weekly closes above the former higher-high threshold at $111 960. That series is enough to confirm a clean breakout of the prior HH-HL range and keeps the long-term bias pointed firmly higher.
That said, a near-term pullback is still on the table:
• First support — the breakout shelf at $111 960 (re-test of structure).
• Deeper support — the next V-level around $98 115.
Why the caution?
Last week’s candle left a small Failed Auction just above the new high, and Footprint data shows a cluster of aggressive buy-delta trapped in that wick. Those buyers may need to get washed out before the trend resumes.
Big picture: weekly structure is bullish; any dip into the levels above is a potential reload zone while the breakout holds.
Daily Chart:
Price action remains firmly bullish: multiple Failed-Auction rejections at the $116 860 higher-low vLevel keeps supply thin and reinforce the up-trend toward the prior ATH.
That said, remember Auction Market Theory rule #5: “When time or volume builds at the edge of balance, price often pushes through.”
• Each failed auction is absorbing resting bids.
• If sellers lean in again with size, the level can flip from support to resistance very quickly.
In practice that means:
•Base case – continuation to the highs while the Daily structure holds.
•Risk scenario – a clean break of $116 860 would open room for a deeper weekly pullback toward $107456.0
For now we treat the current weekly pullback as a fresh opportunity: scouting intraday longs as price reacts to the 1-Hourly zone.
From the footprint read-out, today’s bar finished with a neutral delta, but note where the profile is stacked: both the Value Area Low and the POC sit right at the bottom of the candle. That tells us the bulk of volume printed down at the session lows and it skewed negative, sellers were leaning hard, trying to extend the move lower.
Candlestick Analysis
Nifty Analysis EOD – July 28, 2025 – Monday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – July 28, 2025 – Monday 🔴
⚡️ Bears Bite Back After a Hopeful Morning Surge
📊 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a minor gap-down of 32 points and slipped an additional 67 points in the first 3 minutes, testing the critical support zone of 24,755 ~ 24,729. After marking a day low at 24,732.70, it witnessed a sharp recovery breaching key levels — CDO, Gap, PDC — and touched the CPR BC level. Rejection from there caused a retracement to the mean, followed by another successful attempt breaching CPR BC and IB High. However, it couldn’t sustain above, as profit booking and pressure from a higher time frame bearish trendline dragged the index below the CPR zone and even past the PDL.
Support at 24,780 offered brief relief, but a bearish triangle formed between the HTF trendline and that support and The breakdown at 12:40 led to a clean move, with the pattern target achieved.
🕯 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🔁 Trend & Zone Update
📍 Resistance Zone Shifted To: 25,100 ~ 25,120
📍 Support Zone Shifted To: 24,520 ~ 24,480
🧭 What If Plans – 29th July Outlook
🅰️ Plan A (Contra Long Setup)
If market opens inside the previous day range and finds support at 24,700 ~ 24,729,
→ Potential targets: 24,780, 24,815, 24,840
🅱️ Plan B (Trend is Friend – Short Continuation)
If market opens inside range and faces resistance around 24,830 ~ 24,815,
→ Aim for: 24,780, 24,720, 24,640, 24,580
🔄 On-the-Go Plan
If market Gaps Up/Down outside previous day’s range,
→ Wait for IB formation and act based on structure & S/R levels.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,782.45
High: 24,889.20
Low: 24,646.60
Close: 24,680.90
Change: −156.10 (−0.63%)
🕯 Candle Structure Breakdown:
Real Body: 101.55 pts (Red candle, bearish)
Upper Wick: 106.75 pts (Long — rejection from highs)
Lower Wick: 34.30 pts (Defended slightly)
🕯 Interpretation:
Tried to rally above 24,880 but faced aggressive selling. Closed well below open, forming a bearish rejection candle resembling a shooting star. Bears clearly took control after the intraday bounce attempt.
🕯 Key Insight:
Selling pressure visible from 24,880–24,900 zone.
Close below 24,700 keeps bearish tone intact.
Next Support: 24,650–24,620.
Bulls' challenge: Reclaim and close above 24,850.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 197.91
IB Range: 122 → Medium
Market Structure: Imbalanced
Trades Triggered:
09:27 – Long Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:1.5 R:R)
12:40 – Short Entry → 🎯 Target Hit (1:2.5 R:R)
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
📍 24,729
📍 24,780
📍 24,815 ~ 24,830
📍 24,850
📍 24,920
Support Zones:
📍 24,640
📍 24,580
📍 24,520 ~ 24,480
💭 Final Thoughts
🧠 “Every breakout starts with hesitation — but not every hesitation leads to a breakout.”
Today’s structure showed strong indecision, but sellers used it to dominate.
Monday’s triangle breakdown proved that structure plus patience = power. Keep your bias flexible and trust your levels.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
3300 may fall below, possibly setting a new low#XAUUSD
From the daily chart perspective, gold has a tendency to form a converging triangle, and observing the technical indicators of the daily chart, the downward trend may have just begun📉.
So, how should we plan for the evening?📊 Now there are certainly many outside buyers who will continue to increase their positions and try to recover their losses💰. So, should we continue to be long?📈 My opinion is to wait and see.👀 If the daily chart does not fall below 3300 points, it will consolidate between 3300 and 3350 points in the future. If it falls below 3300 points, we will next focus on the support level of 3295-3285 points, and then consider whether to go long🤔.
If you are more aggressive, you can consider going long near 3305 points and exit after earning $10-20. All opinions have been informed and everyone can choose to adopt them according to their own circumstances.😄
GBPCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.07500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 2.98
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
How to plan for the evening, pay attention to the 3300 markAfter the shorts took profits, gold consolidated in the 3310-3300 area. Judging from the daily chart, the decline in gold seems to have just begun, with the middle track of the Bollinger Band at around 3345 and the lower track at 3285. The possibility of falling below the 3300 mark cannot be ruled out in the evening. If gold falls below the 3300 mark, it may first hit 3295. If the decline continues, it may even hit the low of 3285-3275 below. However, if the 3300 mark can be effectively defended, then the possibility of maintaining the consolidation of 3300-3345 in the evening may be maintained. Therefore, it is not recommended to easily participate in transactions at the current position in the evening. It is mainly advisable to wait and see and pay attention to the breakthrough of the 3300 mark.
My premium privileges are about to expire, and subsequent trading strategies and analysis will be published in the group.
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD
There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking.
The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday.
1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support.
2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high.
The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
Pay attention to 3350 gains and lossesGood morning, bros. This morning gold again tested last week's low near 3325. From the chart, gold may continue to rise this week, with tariffs approaching, the Fed's interest rate cut, and NFP data imminent. The current strength and weakness are at 3350-3355. If it can effectively break through and stand above, it is expected to continue to test the previous high point, which is also the long-short dividing point of 3370-3380.
From the daily chart, there is not much change in the operational range of gold in the short term, and the change in the 4H chart is more obvious. After the decline in the early trading, it is now rebounding. There is a possibility of closing positive at the low. If it is directly positive on Monday, then it will bottom out directly at the beginning of the week. If it refreshes the low on Monday, the low point of 3285 will be seen below. Therefore, today's market focuses on the continuity of long and short. Of course, according to the current changes, the biggest possibility is to continue to rebound at the low point, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and pay attention to the gains and losses of the high point of 3355 above.
Incoming 40% correction for FacebookOn the above 10 day chart price action has rallied 500% since October 2022. It is somewhat unfortunate to see so many long ideas at the moment.
Motley Fool August 8th:
“Here's how Meta could achieve a $2 trillion valuation within three years, and if it does, investors who buy the stock today could earn a 67% return.”
Very misleading.
Why bearish?
Failed support. It is very clear to see, price action has broken through support and confirmed it as resistance. You can see this more clearly on the Log chart below.
Regular bearish divergence. Multiple oscillators now print negative divergence with price action across a 50 day period.
On the monthly chart below a hanging man candle print can be seen. Although the candle does not confirm until the end of the month there is a clear indication of buyer exhaustion. This is an important trend reversal indication.
Is it possible price action continues to rise? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Log chart
Monthly hanging man candlestick
Market forecasts are completely accurate, trading signals#XAUUSD
After opening today, gold tested the lowest point near 3324 and then rebounded, which is in line with my prediction of gold trend last night. Next, we need to pay attention to whether the upper 3345-3350 constitutes a short-term pressure level. If you are aggressive, you can consider shorting at 3345-3350, with the target at 3330-3325. Continue to hold if it falls below 3325, and stop loss if it breaks above 3350. After it breaks above, you can consider following up with a long order to close the position at 3360-3370. Short once at 3370-3380 for the first time, and stop loss if it breaks above 3380.
🚀 SELL 3345-3350
🚀 TP 3330-3325
🚀 BUY 3352-3355
🚀 TP 3360-3370
🚀 SELL 3370-3380
🚀 TP 3345-3325-3310
Be sure to study my trading strategy carefully. If you only look at the price points, you will definitely suffer certain losses. Participate in the transaction at the right time based on your own account funds and set stop losses.
Bollinger band indicates that we might see a recovery soon. Bollinger band in a beautiful tool of Technical analysis. There are three lines in it. The upper bandwidth line, the middle line and the lower band width line.
As you can see in the chart. Whenever the stock or an index price touches or crosses the upper line the indication it gives is that the market is overbought and there is an imminent selling pressure.
Middle line indicates either resistance or support depending on the position of the candle within the band. It further indicates that Middle line will be support when the price is above it. It also indicates that middle Bollinger band will be a resistnace when the candles are below it.
Lower bandwidth line indicates a support zone. When the candles touch or cross it the indication it gives is that the market is oversold and there can be an imminent up move once this phenomenon happens.
Bollinger band in like a channel or a parallel chanel but a more accurate one and a more asymmetric one.
Currently you can see in the chart that Bollinger band has not only touched but also crossed the bottom bandwidth. This is an indication of an over sold market. Thus the indications we get from this tool are that there are very high chances for a short covering recovery or relief rally.
The indication is in sync with Tariff deadline which is tomorrow. Thus any positive announcement on that front can also initiate a strong or mild recovery rally. Thus we might see a bottom formation and recovery rather sooner than later.
Current Nifty closing is at:24680.
Upper band width is at: 25683 (This zone will work as strong resistance zone).
Mid Bandwidth is at: 25217 (This zone will be a Strong resistance).
Mother Line: 24942 (Strong Resistance).
Lower band width is at: 24750 (Weak Resistance).
Nearby support: 24501 (Support).
Father Line: 24157 (Strong Support).
It is a good time to reshuffle your Portfolios and initiate fresh buying in the blue-chip stocks which might be available at a good valuation.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Another Gap For Today?I anticipate another gap up opening on the 📉US100 Index, which I believe will be filled today.
The formation of an intraday bearish change of character(CHOCH) on the hourly chart
This indicates a strong likelihood of continued bearish movement, with a target of 23319.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Important BreakoutsI've identified two significant breakouts on 📉GOLD.
The price violated a crucial intraday horizontal support and a major rising trend line.
These broken levels now form a contracting supply zone, suggesting that the price could continue to decline.
Target levels are 3314 and 3289.
GBPAUD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 2.05500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.78
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Another Gap For Today?
I see another gap up opening on US30 Index.
I think it will be filled today. A formation of an intraday
bearish CHoCH on an hourly time frame suggests
a highly probable bearish continuation.
Goal - 44943
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GBPNZD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD broke and closed below a significant support cluster on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a strong resistance.
I will expect a bearish move from that.
Next support - 2.2264
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EURCHF: Classic Gap Trade 🇪🇺🇨🇭
There is a huge gap up opening on EURCHF.
The price tested a key intraday resistance with that and formed
a strong bearish imbalance candle then.
Probabilities will be high that the market will fill the gap today.
Goal - 0.9338
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XAUUSD📈 XAUUSD (Gold) – Buy Setup | 4H Timeframe
Market Context:
After continuous selling, price is now testing a strong 4H and Daily support zone.
A clear bullish candle has formed, signaling potential reversal.
— proper SL is essential.
🔔 Trade Plan: Buy Gold
Entry: Stop Loss: TP mentioned in charts
Bears are still in controlHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are going to be taking a look at UNH. No doubt this has to have come across your feed or in the news recently. Why is every so Bullish? People are so bullish, that it spooks me... Everyone is pumping this emphatically, I feel like they are getting paid to pump it. This is a bold statement, but It's a gut feeling.
Tin Foil
If people get paid to pump, The huge seller isn't done selling, and needs you to keep buying to sell into you. Yes this should make you hesitant and weary. Does this mean you shouldn't buy? Not necessarily. Here are two scenarios to help you squeeze some juice out of this rock.
Bears are still in Control
A fresh new aggressive seller stepped in at $292.44. This is going to put some pressure on the high demand zone. May 25th, we sunk deep into the zone before recovering. This was an extremely hot reaction with passive buyers sitting at 271.30
11th of June aggressive buyers stepped in, but got crushed.
27th of June aggressive buyers stepped in, but as soon as they hit the real liquidity from the big seller (Tues jul 1st), you saw a huge follow through and more aggressive selling. This tells us that bears are still in control and I foresee two scenarios.
Green Scenario
Test off the liquidity at $271. Get a hot reaction from the buyers, putting tons of pressure on the new seller, ripping their faces and blasting off into never land.
Long
Entry 271
Stop 260
Partial TP 323
Final TP 425
Red Scenario
We test the New aggresor before the high demand Liquidity, get sold into heavily, and put so much pressure on buyers it blows pass the high demand and gets to the most probable bounce location at top of Extreme Demand $207.
Short
Entry 292
Stop 302.50
Partial TP 271
Final TP 207
Bonus Scenario
That 207 Area should attract massive buyers, even with the seller as heavy as he is. I think if there is going to be any big bounce strait off the cuff, this will be the spot.
Entry 207
Stop 185
TP 425 (play the long long game here)
Long Term
If you did your DD and you want a good price. The following will be measured by your personal sentiment.
Aggressive = 271
Fair price = 240
"Steal" = 191 - 207
That's all for UNH, Remember to follow/Boost.
Stay tuned for more market analysis. Happy Trading!
@thecafetrader
A Legends Continuation. BTCHello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we are going to look at a trade inspired by the Legendary Trader and Scalper Al Brooks.
If you are not familiar with him I recommend having a strong foundation with price action before giving him a look.
It's no secret that BTC is at levels many thought it would never reach, and yet many others are convinced of 5 - 10x more from this run alone. It can be crushing to feel like you missed out on the move, so instead of getting FOMO, I've detailed a guide to help you in the short or the long term.
Long Term
As of right now you are looking at 4 different levels of demand. It is up to you to measure your conviction, understanding why you want to invest, and how much you are willing to risk. Recognize that Many Big hedge funds have been hesitant with accumulating hoards of Crypto do to its volatile nature, considering it too risky.
So with this in mind, I have given you 4 levels to add BTC to your long term depending on your personal conviction.
Hyper Aggressive = Top of Demand $115,500 (willing to risk 50%)
Aggressive = Demand $99,500-101,250 (willing to risk 40%)
Fair Price = Strong Demand $74,000 - 78,000 (willing to risk 25%)
Steal = Extreme Demand $42,000 - 50,800 (willing to risk 10%)
Thinking about how much you are willing to risk will help you level out your Fear of missing this move, and get pricing that meets your personal demand.
Short Term
My fellow traders, this is a nugget (inspired) from Al Brooks. The "Two Bar Trend Break" .
In a strong trend (not in a range), When you get a trend break (I like to go top of wick to top of wick for this trade), if the second bar doesn't have a huge topping tail, but closes near the top, you can enter this trade.
Here is a trade that happened this month That hasn't filled yet (it got close).
Entry At the close of the second green candle $116,000.
Measure the bottom of the First candle that broke (called the Signal candle) to the top of the second bar that broke (called the Entery Candle). If you take that measurement, and add it to your take profit, you will have a 1R Scalp (1 measure of risk to 1 measure of reward).
This isn't a true scalp, typically they should be in the same bar or next bar, but this follows similar principles.
That's all for BTC, stay tuned for more analysis as we go over Ethereum, XRP, and one more of your choosing.
Happy Trading!
@thecafetrader
Google Buyers Entered Seller Territory.Hello, I am the Cafe Trader.
To finish off our series of the MAG 7 we have GOOGL up next.
If you have been keeping up, I will offer insight into Long term and short term interest. Google has taken out a key sellers on July 21st, and also closed inside the supply zone. This is very bullish, bulls have not got much pushback from the bears, suggesting this could test the highs again, and prime itself for a breakout.
Long term price guide helps you align a buy area with your conviction. I will update the price as of friday's close (today)
Long Term
Aggressive: $179 - If we close today above the bottom of supply line, then I would suggest this aggressive price adjust to 187.50
Fair Sentiment $166 - 173 - Between the big buyers and the strong demand. Also having the trend to support adds a 3rd strength.
Extreme Deal $140-148 - If you can catch a deal here, best to snatch it up. Alot of Big money wil be doing the same.
Short Term
weakness in the supply area is suggesting a run to the top. Trying ot get in here can be tricky. Since today is friday, the close is extremely important to see how our next week will be framed. So here I have 2 Bullish scenarios to help you find opportunity for GOOGL.
Green Scenario
Yes its possible it will run strait up into the top of supply, as a trader, you don't want to be that buyer just yet. I wouldn't personally feel great about trading the green line scenario without seeing a real buyer step into the market. So if we can Find a real buyer, we will play off of them and rirde to the top.
No entry or price targets on this one yet.
Red Scenario
This scenario has a real buyer, and personally I think is a safer trade to take (as of right now). With this squeeze that's happening, there is a good chance at some point there will be buyers getting exhausted and shorts getting a grip on this. This is why I would not buy "top of demand" but would look to get close as I could to the strong demand. and then a ride back to the "Top of Supply"
Entry: 175
Stop: 170
Partial Profit: (when the sellers step in, thats our first TP)
Target: 206
That's a wrap on our MAG 7 series, Happy Trading and we will see you next time.
Next week we are going to chart out Crypto, if you have any specific suggestions you want to see me chart, comment below.
@thecafetrader