Gold's safe-haven stimulus led to a strong rise!In terms of short-term gold operation ideas, it is recommended to short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3328-3330 resistance line, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3260-3252 support line.
Chart Patterns
AUDUSD: Short Signal with Entry/SL/TP
AUDUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short AUDUSD
Entry - 0.6477
Sl - 0.6503
Tp - 0.6429
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
GOLD: Short Signal Explained
GOLD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell GOLD
Entry - 3311.9
Stop - 3324.4
Take - 3287.1
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bitcoin (BTC): Looking For Re-Test of $92,000Weekends were pretty bloody, where we had a strong sell-off on the markets, but yet we did not see the proper re-test of the local resistance zone (which is still the resistance and now proper support zone).
We are looking for the price to decline back towards the GETTEX:92K , where we will be looking either for further downward movement or upward movement.
We set both sell and buy entry zones for us so let's wait now
Swallow Academy
Notcoin—New Entry —Buy Now! Stop-Loss Trading ExplainedThe market always offers a second chance... Always.
Here Notcoin (NOTUSDT) encountered a rejection at "final resistance" and is now trading above support with a very nice higher low. This is a perfect place, a perfect zone to go LONG, accumulate buy and hold.
When the market is red or trading near support, or both, that's the time to buy.
Notice the retrace, after the steps pattern, the nice rise and then Notcoin found resistance. Five days challenging resistance and then a drop. This drop has been going for four days today. Total 9 days of not growing action which will lead to the resumption of the initial bullish wave.
In short, Notcoin will continue growing and is set to grow. The small drop is what we technical market analyst call short-term noise. Another thing we love to say is to ignore noise at all cost, and to never use a stop-loss because this can weaken your long-term earnings potential as well as result in selling when it is not right to do so. The strategy is to buy and hold because prices will climb so high so fast so soon, that you don't want to be caught selling lower than what you bought.
A stop-loss is simply a sell order but you place the order below your entry point. This makes no sense. When you buy, you can set up a sell order right away but it must be above your entry price. If you buy at 100, set a sell order at 200 or 300, for example. If you buy at 100 and set a sell order at 80 what do you think will happen? The bots will see this order and sell just because you are committed to sell something you bought at 100 for 80, a 20% loss. Instead, when you buy, always make sure to place your sell orders very high up... Very high. In this way, the bots will have to also buy in order to meet your sell requirement... And that's how your money grows.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Gas vs. OPEC+🔥 #GasHasNoMercy
📉 Gas is again following the main scenario closely. We stayed out of the market most of the time, as the movement was a correction within the primary downtrend, which remains intact.
The wave is nearing completion. Historically, gas rarely reverses after weekends—it typically continues the previous week’s trend until Tuesday-Wednesday. However, we now expect oil to gap down at the open due to OPEC+’s decision to accelerate production increases. This creates uncertainty in gas’s reaction:
▪️ Logically, gas should rise (lower oil prices → reduced U.S. production → less associated gas → higher gas prices).
▪️ But the market might temporarily ignore this correlation and follow oil’s lead.
Current tactic: Trade with the trend (downward). Not advice or recommendation.
💬 Your thoughts?
🔄 Agree with the plan? Comment below ➡️
⚠️ Disclaimer:
My analysis is for discussion purposes, not trading advice. Trading gas with leverage and no stop-losses is like playing with fire—high risk to capital and mental health.
Bearish reversal?US Dollar Index (DXY) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 100.51
1st Support: 97.85
1st Resistance: 101.83
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
MICROSTRATEGY: Big 1W MA50 rebound targeting $845 at worst.MicroStrategy is on excellent bullish technicals on its 1D outlook (RSI = 67.412, MACD = 25.350, ADX = 58.097), capitalizing on the double bottom rebound on the 1W MA50 four weeks ago. Technically that was also a HL bottom on the 2 year Channel Up. The minimum rise it delivered on a bullish wave was +263.38%. Based on that, the trade is long, TP = $845.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
$SPY Short Swing, vwap+supply+resistanceBackground. Easy confluence trade. We had the largest and fastest rally in stock history from 2022 to now. Everyone who loaded up at $380-430 is ready to take some profits. After the tariff announcements, we sold off hard through a bunch of levels and trendlines down to the bottom of the longer term uptrend.
Current situation. We have retraced back up to the first major supply area, where everyone who bought the dip back in march went long. They've been underwater and are ready to sell for scratch. This will drive the price back down. Maybe the end of a long term uptrend. Maybe just leg 2 of the tariff drop, back down to the trendline. I can't know that.
Delta. If you look at the volume footprint chart, there has been a huge negative delta this whole rally. Prices are going up but the larger players are selling into it. Essentially, the last 2 weeks have been driven up by main street, while wall street unloads. Once there are enough bagholders, the floor can fall out. Here's the weekly delta.
Trading Approach. This is a good point to initiate the start of a long term short position. Like, buying puts 1-2 years out with a $450 target, a gap that's never been filled. I think it's also a good swing entry but with closer targets. On the more pessimistic attitude, after the tariffs, the world started the process of dethroning America as leader of the free world. There's a lot of gravity pulling down to $250 and if the world fully turns on the US, that's where we're heading.
ETH/USD: Struggling at $1,850 – What Traders Should Watch NextQuick Overview:
Ethereum has repeatedly tested the $1,850 zone over the past week but has failed to gain traction. Key technical levels are stacking up to form a robust resistance barrier, and without fresh volume, any breakout attempt will likely fizzle.
Key Highlights:
Confluent Resistance at $1,850: VWAP-based resistance, the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the recent swing, a daily supply zone, and the Point of Control all converge here.
Volume Drying Up: Each rally attempt has suffered from below-average volume, indicating a lack of buyer conviction.
Channel Context: ETH remains capped by the upper boundary of its multi-month rising channel, reinforcing the bearish case until broken.
Full Analysis:
Ethereum’s recent price action shows a classic “climbing a wall” pattern: each push toward $1,850 stalls and retreats. This level is not arbitrary—it sits at the intersection of several major technical indicators. The VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) has flipped to resistance after acting as support earlier in the rally, signaling that the average trader is now underwater at these prices. The 0.618 Fib retracement from the last major low to high adds a psychological layer, as many algorithmic strategies key off this golden ratio. Finally, the Point of Control from the current volume profile highlights $1,850 as the price where most trading volume occurred, making it a natural supply zone.
Rallies into this region have been met with tepid volume, suggesting that bulls are unwilling to commit at higher prices without a clear catalyst. On lower timeframes, candlesticks near $1,850 display long upper wicks and declining body sizes—classic signs of exhaustion. Meanwhile, the broader up-channel that’s governed ETH since late 2024 remains intact, capping upside and defining the trading range.
Bias & Trade Considerations:
Bearish Lean: Until ETH can close and hold above $1,850 on strong volume, the path of least resistance remains down.
Short Entry Zone: Consider entering short positions into $1,850–$1,860, with a stop overhead of the channel line. Initial targets near the range mid ($1,700) and the 200-day MA around $1,650.
Invalidation Criteria: A decisive daily close above $1,850 with above-average volume would invalidate the bearish thesis and open targets toward $1,950–$2,000.
What to Watch Next:
Volume Spikes: A volume surge above the 20-day average during an upside move would signal renewed buying power.
Channel Break: A clear break of the channel’s upper trendline on the daily chart is required to shift the bias bullish.
Support Levels: If $1,850 holds as resistance, monitor $1,800 and $1,750 for potential bounce areas.
BITCOIN Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend but is making a
Local bearish correction
However, a horizontal
Support level is ahead
Around 92,191$ so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
WTIThis is WTI, and if we look at previous analyses, I predicted that when the price reached the first zone, it would rise to the major upper zone. The price then dropped and broke through Zone 1.
This time, although the price has breached the first zone, it doesn’t mean it won’t reach the upper zone. So, I now predict the price will make a very strong upward move and break through the first zone again and hit the take profit (TP).
USOIL Is Going Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 57.535.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 61.620 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPAUD possible bearish for 2.0360#GBPAUD made a new high, then moved in a range 2.0685-2.1010 for a whole month. now support level 2.0685 broken. better to wait for correction/pullback to test the imbalance area between buyers and sellers. ideal level for short is 2.0960-65. stop loss: 2.1050, target: 2.0450 & 2.0360.
WTI Oil H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 59.71 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.30 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 55.10 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounceBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 91,933.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 87,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 99,342.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(05/05/2025)Today will be gap up opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 55050 level then upside movement upto 55450+ level expected and this can be extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading above 55550 level. Any major downside only expected below 54950 level.
The possible uprising of USDCAD, 4hr1. Technical Analysis
• Trendline + Horizontal Support
A clearly defined uptrend line, drawn from the March ’24 low through the August and April pullbacks, intersects the 1.3810–1.3850 area. That same zone has flipped from support to resistance and back again over the past year, marking it as a high‑probability reversal point.
• Bullish Divergence
On the 4‑hour RSI, the most recent price low dipped slightly below March’s low while RSI held higher. This divergence at a key support zone suggests selling momentum is exhausted and buyers may be stepping in.
• Entry, Stops & Targets
• Entry: Look for a clean bullish 4H candle (pin bar, engulfing bar, etc.) around 1.3820–1.3850, where trendline and horizontal support converge.
• Stop: Place below 1.3680, under the April swing low and next structural demand area.
• Target 1: 1.4168 (recent mid‑range swing high)
• Target 2: 1.4467–1.4542 (major supply zone from late 2024)
This setup offers roughly a 1:4 risk‑to‑reward ratio if both targets are reached.
• Higher‑Timeframe Confirmation
A daily close back above 1.3850 would reinforce this zone’s support role. Wait for that or a clear 4‑hour bullish pattern before committing.
2. Fundamental Analysis
• Oil Price Pressure
WTI has slid toward the low‑$60s on OPEC+ supply increases and softer Chinese demand. With Canada heavily reliant on oil revenues, lower crude prices tend to weaken CAD against USD.
• Policy Divergence
The Bank of Canada remains on hold at 2.75% and markets anticipate cuts later in 2025, while the Federal Reserve holds funds rates at 5.25–5.50%. That yield gap supports USD strength.
• Growth Differential
Canada’s Q1 GDP underperformed expectations—soft energy and mining output—whereas U.S. growth is still running near 2–3%. The disparity favors USD.
• Risk Sentiment
Elevated U.S.–China trade tensions and global growth concerns have nudged markets into risk‑off mode, a backdrop in which USD typically outperforms commodity‑linked currencies like CAD.
Bottom Line
With a multi‑touch trendline and horizontal flip level converging around 1.3820–1.3850, coupled with RSI divergence and dovish CAD fundamentals versus a still‑hawkish Fed, this is a textbook long setup. Wait for a convincing 4‑hour bullish signal in the zone, use a stop under 1.3680, and target 1.4168 first, then 1.4467–1.4542.
DOW JONES: This is why it targets 70,000Dow Jones is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.838, MACD = 20.320, ADX = 34.615) as the recovery since last month's low is taking a pause ahead of the Fed on Wednesday. Last month's candle closed with an incredible reversal and all this is just noise for long term investors who look at this very chart you have in front of you. The index is basically on the usual -20% correction it undergoes when it is in the middle of a multidecade Bull Cycle. If this is indeed what many call the A.I. Cycle, Dow has a minimum target of 70,000 expected somewhere in 2032.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Euro edges higher near 1.5600 as longer-The EUR/CAD pair ticked higher on Monday, trading around the 1.5600 area after the European session. While price action remained within the middle of the daily range, the pair showed signs of underlying strength, aligning with a broader bullish structure. Momentum signals remain mixed for now, though the longer-term trend bias continues to favor the euro over the loonie.
Technically, the EUR/CAD setup holds a bullish tone despite some neutral momentum signals. The Relative Strength Index sits near 49, showing a balanced market, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence leans bearish with a soft sell signal. The Awesome Oscillator is neutral, and the Bull Bear Power indicator suggests a slight bias toward buying pressure, offering mild confirmation of demand.
$MSFT AI & CLOUD COMPUTING GROWTHAs of March 12, 2025, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is trading at $383.08, reflecting a modest increase of 0.69% from the previous close.
Despite recent market volatility affecting major technology stocks, several factors underscore a bullish outlook for Microsoft's stock:
Microsoft continues to demonstrate strong financial health, maintaining robust cash flows and a solid balance sheet. This financial stability enables ongoing investments in research, development, and strategic acquisitions, positioning the company for sustained growth.
Microsoft's significant investments in artificial intelligence, including its partnership with OpenAI, position it to capitalize on the growing enterprise demand for AI services. Analysts believe that the current stock price may undervalue Microsoft's strong fundamentals and potential in the AI market.
Microsoft's extensive range of products and services, from its dominant position in desktop operating systems and productivity software to its growing cloud computing platform, provides multiple revenue streams. This diversification enhances the company's resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Microsoft's position as a leader in the technology sector, coupled with its strong brand recognition, offers a competitive advantage. The company's ability to set industry trends and command premium pricing supports robust profit margins and market share.
Microsoft's solid financial foundation, strategic investments in AI, diversified product portfolio, and strong brand equity contribute to a positive long-term outlook for MSFT stock.