BUY USDCAD for bearish false breakout STOP LOSS : STOP LOSS BUY USDCAD for bearish false breakout
STOP LOSS : STOP LOSS position is left opened ( am only closing this trade based on a candle stick pattern)
First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through....
Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence........
On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bullish Divergence,
Regular Bullish Divergence
In case of Regular Bullish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Higher Lows
* Actual Market Price shows Lower Lows
We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this strong level of Support so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with…….trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
Chart Patterns
GBPAUD SELL TRADE PLAN📅 Date: May 06, 2025
🆔 Trade Plan: GBPAUD
📈 Trade Type: Intra-Day / Short-Term Swing
🔒 Format: Institutional OB + EQH Trap + Liquidity Sweep
🎯 Direction: SELL
📊 Confidence Score: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (84%)
🧠 Bias Source: Structure + Liquidity + Order Flow
🧩 Market Context & Justification:
Daily (D1):
Maintains a bearish structure, LH/LL sequence
Current bullish pullback remains corrective, not a structural shift
H4:
Strong bearish OB just under 2.0730
Price is reacting off a prior liquidity sweep + EQH
Bearish BOS was formed earlier, confirming direction
H4 demand below remains untapped, allowing clean downside room
M30/M15:
Clean internal liquidity buildup below 2.0600
Favorable for execution confirmation via engulfing or divergence
🟥 ENTRY ZONE (Primary Sell Zone):
🔻 2.0700 – 2.0730
Refined 50% of OB = 2.0712
Aligned with EQH + imbalance fill
Expecting entry rejection within this band
❗ STOP LOSS:
🔺 2.0782
Above wick high + OB + 1.0x ATR buffer
Adds protection against engineered stop hunts
🎯 TAKE PROFIT LEVELS:
🥇 TP1: 2.0600 (imbalance close + RR 2.0:1)
🥈 TP2: 2.0520 (H4 swing low + RR 3.5:1)
🥉 TP3: 2.0450 (D1 demand zone + RR 4.8:1)
⚙️ Execution Rules:
✅ Limit entry at 2.0710 or wait for M15 bearish engulfing confirmation
✅ Risk: 0.50% of total portfolio
✅ SL to BE after TP1 hit
✅ TP1 = 50%, TP2 = 30%, TP3 = 20% (trail)
🚫 Invalidation Criteria:
H1 close above 2.0782
Break of structure to upside on M30
AUD macro or sentiment shifts (watch Iron Ore, risk flows)
📌 Plan Summary:
Elite-level short setup into 2.0700–2.0730 with institutional OB + EQH inducement trap. Downside liquidity target aligned with structure and imbalance. High precision, not to be forced — confirmation or clean entry only. Risk remains capped.
SCRT Showing Strength – Continuation or Reversal Ahead?🚀 SCRT Daily Timeframe Insight!
📊 After breaking out cleanly from a falling wedge, price is now climbing within an ascending parallel channel—a structure that often supports bullish continuation.
📈 If this channel holds, momentum could build further, setting up a strong reversal play.
🧐 Watch this trend closely—will bulls maintain control, or is a breakdown on the horizon?
BITCOIN Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
BITCOIN is trading in an
Uptrend but is making a
Local bearish correction
However, a horizontal
Support level is ahead
Around 92,191$ so after
The retest we will be expecting
A local bullish rebound
And a move up
Buy!
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USDJPY D1 | Bullish Bounce Off 61.8%Based on the D1 chart analysis, the price is falling toward our buy entry level at 143.53, a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit is set at 145.49, an overlap resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 141.61,a pullback support.
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Gold on expected upswingTechnical analysis: Nothing irregular at the moment on the Short-term as Gold (Xau-Usd Spot) continues to Trade on Buying extension taken from local Low's Bullish accumulation within #3,370’s zone with clear Resistance point, and Support levels / ready to deliver the breakout I was after. I highlighted many times recently that every / more serious decline may represent Buying accumulation towards new ATH's. The underlying Medium-term trend is still Bullish, so if the Intra-day Low breaks throughout today’s session, then I expect another run towards the #3,400.80 benchmark / Higher High's Upper zone and possible benchmark extension. One important difference though: the Hourly Moving Average broke and for the first time in #3 sessions Gold was testing it from below as a Resistance (this was needed to break again to comfort Buyers). However, if (November #4 - #9) / (January #1 - #6) (January #20 - #25) variance is yet to be repeated, Gold finished the same pattern (Trading on such configuration) and now should engage the aggressive decline once local High's are met.
My position: My practical suggestion is to Buy every dip on Gold.
EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Euro edges higher near 1.5600 as longer-The EUR/CAD pair ticked higher on Monday, trading around the 1.5600 area after the European session. While price action remained within the middle of the daily range, the pair showed signs of underlying strength, aligning with a broader bullish structure. Momentum signals remain mixed for now, though the longer-term trend bias continues to favor the euro over the loonie.
Technically, the EUR/CAD setup holds a bullish tone despite some neutral momentum signals. The Relative Strength Index sits near 49, showing a balanced market, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence leans bearish with a soft sell signal. The Awesome Oscillator is neutral, and the Bull Bear Power indicator suggests a slight bias toward buying pressure, offering mild confirmation of demand.
$MSFT AI & CLOUD COMPUTING GROWTHAs of March 12, 2025, Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is trading at $383.08, reflecting a modest increase of 0.69% from the previous close.
Despite recent market volatility affecting major technology stocks, several factors underscore a bullish outlook for Microsoft's stock:
Microsoft continues to demonstrate strong financial health, maintaining robust cash flows and a solid balance sheet. This financial stability enables ongoing investments in research, development, and strategic acquisitions, positioning the company for sustained growth.
Microsoft's significant investments in artificial intelligence, including its partnership with OpenAI, position it to capitalize on the growing enterprise demand for AI services. Analysts believe that the current stock price may undervalue Microsoft's strong fundamentals and potential in the AI market.
Microsoft's extensive range of products and services, from its dominant position in desktop operating systems and productivity software to its growing cloud computing platform, provides multiple revenue streams. This diversification enhances the company's resilience against sector-specific downturns.
Microsoft's position as a leader in the technology sector, coupled with its strong brand recognition, offers a competitive advantage. The company's ability to set industry trends and command premium pricing supports robust profit margins and market share.
Microsoft's solid financial foundation, strategic investments in AI, diversified product portfolio, and strong brand equity contribute to a positive long-term outlook for MSFT stock.
$AVAX/USDT Trade Setup - Daily TF$AVAX/USDT Trade Setup – Daily TF
#AVAXUSDT has broken a multi-month downtrend and is retesting a key demand zone, offering a clean long opportunity.
Entry: $19.70–$20.00
Stop Loss: $15.00
Targets: $27 / $35 / $55
Invalidation: Close below $15... DYRO, NFA
Watch for a bullish confirmation before entry.
Swing setup with strong potential if the demand holds.
Crude Oil 4h time frame , potential double bottom🛢️ WTI Crude Oil (WTI3!) 4H Chart Analysis – May 5, 2025
🧠 Technical Snapshot:
Market Structure:
Clear downtrend from late April into early May.
Price recently found support at $54.38, a level that previously held as demand in early April.
Current Price Action:
Strong bullish reaction from the $54.38–54.16 zone.
Breakout attempt forming a higher low after retesting the lows, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or range play.
Trade Setup Observed:
Entry: ~$56.08
Stop-Loss: ~$54.17
Take-Profit: ~$63.50
Risk-to-Reward: ≈ 1:3.5 — excellent setup from a reward perspective.
🔍 Bias: Bullish (Short-term to Mid-term Reversal)
Why?
Price bounced from key support zone where price also previously reversed in early April.
Bullish engulfing candle suggests buyer interest.
Entry aligned with a potential double-bottom formation.
📍 Key Technical Levels:
Support:
$54.38 (Major swing low support)
$54.16 (Stop zone)
Resistance:
$63.50 (Major horizontal resistance zone)
Above $63.50 = Potential trend reversal confirmation
🔔 Strategy Suggestion:
A pullback entry toward $55.50–$56.00 may offer a better risk-adjusted entry.
Close partial profits near $60.00 if momentum slows before final TP.
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): LONG to the resistance area 1.15878.Colleagues, I believe .that the five-wave movement is not over yet and another wave of upward movement is waiting for us.
I believe that wave “4” has almost completed the correction or has already completed it. In any case, I consider the main target to be the resistance area at 1.15878, which is the minimum target and the top of wave “3”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
$CHILLGUY/USDT ready for a massive pump to $0.15BYBIT:CHILLGUYUSDT has been showing bullish signs, and is earing up for a big bullish push. Having broken and retested the $0.045 resistance zone, and also a break out rom the bullish flag formed. I believe we are about to see a huge rally up to $0.15 region, but then some resistance zones should not be overlooked as price usual bounce off from such support & resistance zones.
So prices is expected to push to;
TP1: $0.063
TP2: $0.09
TP3: $0.15
Expect minor retracements along the way.
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?USTEC is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 20,418.65
1st Support: 19,265.30
1st Resistance: 21,137.24
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Cardano: Buy Opportunity In The Making (Buy When Red)Retraces, even if these are very small, can be used as an opportunity to buy. Whenever the market turns red that is an opportunity in the making, because we are set to experience growth long-term.
When the market is green, we either wait patiently or secure portions of profits. When the market turns red, that's the time to buy because as soon as the low is in (higher low always) what happens is the continuation of the initial and main move, the bullish wave.
Cardano is red today but it was also red on the 30th of April, the 29 and so on. If you consider the chart closely, the action always fluctuates between green and red. Now, this red action won't last long so the opportunity within hours or days can be gone.
» Any drops, corrections and retraces are an opportunity to buy-in, rebuy and reload. This is true for Cardano as it is true for Bitcoin and the rest of the Altcoins.
Namaste.
EURUSD Channel Up favors buying but keep an eye on this.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the February 28 Low and its current Bearish Leg almost reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. That is where the previous Bearish Leg made a Higher Low (March 27) and rebounded.
This keeps for now the bullish trend intact and it will remain so for as long as the price remains within the Channel Up. The short-term Target is the -0.236 Fib extension at 1.17500. If on the other hand it breaks below the Channel Up, be ready to take the small loss and sell towards the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.08500, which is the level that supported the market on that previous March 27 Low.
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#EURAUD: Two Major Buying Zones|, Which One Are You In? Hey Everyone
Following a substantial bullish candle, the price failed to maintain the bullish momentum and swiftly transitioned into a bearish position, effectively eradicating the bullish gain. Nevertheless, we remain optimistic that the price will retain its bullish trend in the upcoming weeks. We have identified two potential areas where price may reverse from either of the two zones. You are welcome to set take profit and stop loss orders based on your own investment strategy. It is advisable to closely monitor the prices before making any trading decisions.
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Brent Crude Opens with a Bearish GapBrent Crude Opens with a Bearish Gap
As shown on the XBR/USD chart, Brent crude oil opened this Monday morning around $59.00, forming a bearish gap relative to Friday’s closing price of approximately $61.40.
The current Brent crude oil price is near the yearly low reached about a month ago, following the announcement of Trump’s tariffs, which turned out to be significantly higher than expected.
Why Is Oil Falling?
As we noted on 30 April, market participants are closely watching news related to OPEC+. Over the weekend, during an online meeting (according to media reports), the following developments occurred:
→ It was stated that the current oil market is fundamentally healthy;
→ A decision was made to accelerate the pace of oil production increases.
According to the plan, output will rise by 411,000 barrels per day — with some believing this move is partly due to certain OPEC+ countries previously failing to adhere to production quotas.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
Oil price movements in 2025 form a descending channel (shown in red), with progressively lower highs and lows indicating bearish sentiment.
Although bulls may hope that the lower boundary of the channel could act as support, bears are showing signs of dominance (as indicated by arrows):
→ the median line of the channel previously acted as resistance;
→ now, similar behaviour is seen at line Q, which divides the lower half of the channel into two quarters;
→ the Rounding Top pattern also signals strong selling pressure.
Fundamentally, oil prices are supported by China’s willingness to negotiate tariffs with the US. However, considering the OPEC+ decision and ongoing fears of a global recession, the current downward channel on the Brent crude oil price chart is unlikely to lose relevance any time soon.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Fed interest rate suspense and tariff shockGiven the current heightened uncertainty, the implementation of tariff policies, rising inflation expectations, and declining household and business confidence, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep its policy interest rate unchanged this week. Fed Chairman Powell may hint that he is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, and mentioned that tariffs will push up inflation and drag down economic growth. With the implementation of tariffs, inflation will rise significantly in the coming months, and the US economy may fall into a mild recession in the second half of the year, with economic activity and employment likely to shrink in the third and fourth quarters.
In terms of gold, yesterday the lowest fell to 3305 and began to stabilize and rise. It closed at 3334. The daily line closed with a big positive column. Gold opened slightly with a slight correction of 3323 and began to stabilize and rise. Asian gold once again made a strong effort to rise to the highest position of 3386. The current lowest is 3353. It is currently at noon. It is hovering at 3365, and the overall trend is strong, but the excessive rise seems to reserve rhythm space for the next European and American trading. Be careful with short covering. The current upper resistance is at 3372-3377, and the lower support is at 3324-3317. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound and short.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short on the rebound at 3372-3377, stop loss at 3382, and the target is 3350-3325.
The same repeat as 4 April 2022The market seems to be recovering and more and more positive ideas are emerging. However, on a weekly timeframe, the NDX appears to be forming a pattern very similar to what we saw at the end of 2021. Even the RSI shows remarkably similar levels.
Personally, I’m staying cautious. I haven’t taken a position yet, but I’m ready to buy in on the next significant dip. I’ve set my alert around 14,500 – let’s hope we reach that level again. 😉
What are your thoughts on this? Feel free to share your opinion!