DOW JONES: This is why it targets 70,000Dow Jones is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.838, MACD = 20.320, ADX = 34.615) as the recovery since last month's low is taking a pause ahead of the Fed on Wednesday. Last month's candle closed with an incredible reversal and all this is just noise for long term investors who look at this very chart you have in front of you. The index is basically on the usual -20% correction it undergoes when it is in the middle of a multidecade Bull Cycle. If this is indeed what many call the A.I. Cycle, Dow has a minimum target of 70,000 expected somewhere in 2032.
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Chart Patterns
Silver Analysis: Bearish Continuation Toward $31 Support ?🧠 Chart Context & Setup
Chart Type: Candlestick
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) — 32.814
EMA 200 (Blue) — 32.559
🔍 Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 33.600 – 33.950
Price faced repeated rejection in this zone, confirming it as a valid supply/resistance area.
Support Zone: 30.600 – 31.100
Marked as the next potential demand zone, aligning with previous accumulation and reaction levels.
Current Price: ~32.618
Just below the 50 EMA and slightly above the 200 EMA.
🔄 Market Structure
The market experienced a strong bearish impulse in early April, followed by a bullish correction that reclaimed the 200 EMA.
Multiple internal liquidity (INT.LQ) sweeps were taken before forming a potential lower high (LH) at the resistance zone.
The recent bearish move broke below the EMAs and previous structure, indicating a possible shift back to bearish momentum.
📉 Bearish Scenario Outlook (Most Probable as of Now)
The chart shows a projected lower high formation, likely leading into a continuation of the bearish move.
If price fails to break back above 32.800–32.900, we could expect a sell-off toward the support zone (30.600–31.100).
This move aligns with:
Breakdown below EMAs
Failed bullish continuation
Rejection from a strong resistance zone
🧭 EMA Analysis
EMA 50 > EMA 200, but the price is now sandwiched and showing signs of weakness.
If price sustains below both EMAs, momentum is likely to favor bears in the short to medium term.
⚠️ Risk Factors to Watch
Any strong bullish engulfing candle reclaiming the 33.000 zone could invalidate the bearish thesis.
Fundamentals like USD volatility, inflation data, or geopolitical tension could impact Silver drastically.
✅ Conclusion
The chart currently suggests a bearish continuation setup, with the potential for price to revisit the $31.00–$30.60 support zone after rejecting resistance. A retest of broken structure around 32.700–32.800 might provide an ideal entry for sellers.
$SPY Short Swing, vwap+supply+resistanceBackground. Easy confluence trade. We had the largest and fastest rally in stock history from 2022 to now. Everyone who loaded up at $380-430 is ready to take some profits. After the tariff announcements, we sold off hard through a bunch of levels and trendlines down to the bottom of the longer term uptrend.
Current situation. We have retraced back up to the first major supply area, where everyone who bought the dip back in march went long. They've been underwater and are ready to sell for scratch. This will drive the price back down. Maybe the end of a long term uptrend. Maybe just leg 2 of the tariff drop, back down to the trendline. I can't know that.
Delta. If you look at the volume footprint chart, there has been a huge negative delta this whole rally. Prices are going up but the larger players are selling into it. Essentially, the last 2 weeks have been driven up by main street, while wall street unloads. Once there are enough bagholders, the floor can fall out. Here's the weekly delta.
Trading Approach. This is a good point to initiate the start of a long term short position. Like, buying puts 1-2 years out with a $450 target, a gap that's never been filled. I think it's also a good swing entry but with closer targets. On the more pessimistic attitude, after the tariffs, the world started the process of dethroning America as leader of the free world. There's a lot of gravity pulling down to $250 and if the world fully turns on the US, that's where we're heading.
HBL PROBABLY IN WAVE '' C '' OR " X " - SHORTThis is in continuation of our HBL wave count/idea shared earlier.
HBL is most probably in wave C or X which will take price down towards 127-122 range area,
prices are currently at a resistance level which has acted as a strong support previously therefore we are confident that it should hold and keep prices from climbing up.
We will short sell HBL once price break below 146.80 level and will target 133-130 range and further down 124-122 range, however prices might reach 160 before starting its decline. Alternately if prices break above 163 then this trade setup will get invalidated.
Although the risk/reward ratio is not that impressive but looking at the overall stock market momentum and geopolitical unrest, we have a little more confidence in this trade.
Trade setup:
Entry price: 146.80
Stop loss: 163
Targets:
T1: 133-130
T2: 124-122
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
API3: The Perfect Short-Term Trade Setup (174% & 289% Profits)Let me explain why this is the "perfect short-term trade setup."
You know all these Altcoins we've been tracking together they hit bottom last month, 7-April. Here API3USDT hit bottom 11-March 2025 and produced a very strong reaction. It is as if buyers were really ready to rock this one-up.
The initial bullish breakout went into retrace which is normal and this retrace ended in a higher low. So 9-April we have a higher low rather than a lower low and this support zone was found above the 3-Feb. low. Which is the session with the long lower shadow on the left.
So API3USDT went sideways after the April low—consolidation—and is now turning green. Any bullish action can result in a strong bullish jump. This is why this is the perfect chart setup. The strong reaction in March shows that interest is big for this pair. The higher low in April shows that support has been established and confirmed. Current price action opens the door for an advance any day.
The trick is to be patient. Even though it is a perfect chart setup for the short-term it can always take time before the market decides to move. Sometimes, people find a chart like this one and buy up. Prices start to grow naturally but the bots suppress the growth. Excitement dies down and people sell at a loss, but, suppression doesn't mean the end. If you wait patiently after the rush and buy FOMO crow gets out, the pair will still grow anyway. So we buy and hold and let the market take care of the rest. If you are ready to wait 1 week, prepare to wait for 1-2 months. It might sound like a lot but it is good money when you sell high after buying low. The alternative is pocketing a loss and that's a big no-no! It is better to wait and let it ride because the easiest way to win with Crypto is by knowing that the market is wild.
It can produce strong swings, it is volatile, it can shake, but, if you hold while you wait strong, profits can be great. No other market pays as much as the Cryptocurrency market, but you have to be able to detach and ignore the inevitable drops that happen. Yes prices drop, but they recover and then the recovery translates into growth. We are now facing the strongest growth phase in many years.
Thanks a lot for your support.
Namaste.
XAU/USD Market Outlook – Key Levels & Scenarios (May 2025)📊 Market Overview
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – likely
Timeframe: 🕒 4H or Daily
EMAs:
🔴 50 EMA = 3,281 (short-term trend)
🔵 200 EMA = 3,179 (long-term trend)
🧱 Key Zones
🔺 Main Resistance Zone (🚫 Supply Area)
📍 ~3,320–3,400
🔍 Observation: Strong rejection zone with multiple failed attempts. 🚧 Price struggles to break and hold above here.
⚖️ Mid Support & Resistance Zone
📍 ~3,200–3,250
🧭 Current Action: Price is consolidating here. This is a key decision zone. A bounce or breakdown will likely decide the next big move. 🤔
🟦 Main Support Zone
📍 ~2,980–3,030
🛑 Observation: Major demand zone. If price falls here, it might attract buyers 👥 for a potential rebound.
📉 EMA Analysis
🔴 50 EMA is above 🔵 200 EMA → Trend still technically bullish ✅
🟡 BUT: Price is currently below 50 EMA, showing short-term weakness ⚠️
⚡️ 200 EMA is nearby (~3,179): Acting as dynamic support — a critical bounce zone! 🛡️
🔮 Scenarios
🐂 Bullish Path
✅ If price bounces from 3,200 support zone and reclaims 🔴 50 EMA:
🎯 Target: Retest of 3,320–3,400 🔺 zone
📈 Confirmation: Strong candle closing above 3,281 🔴 EMA
🐻 Bearish Path
🚨 If price breaks below 3,200 & 200 EMA:
🕳️ Expect drop towards 2,980–3,030 🟦 zone
📉 Confirmation: Candle closes below 3,179 with weak retest
✅ Conclusion
📍 Key Level to Watch: 3,200
⚖️ Market Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish bias unless price reclaims 50 EMA
🔒 Risk Tip: Avoid longs until price confirms bullish structure again 🔐
There's still a little more left to sip from gold’s cup
Weekly Outlook on Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold has formed a classic cup pattern on the weekly timeframe, indicating a strong bullish continuation setup. If the pattern completes successfully, we could see a move toward the top of the channel, targeting the 4039 – 4100 zone.
The recent pullback to 3208 was a retest of the previously broken daily structure, acting as a healthy correction before the next potential leg up.
For those looking to enter this move, an ideal strategy would be to place a buy stop order above the last high, as a breakout confirmation.
⚠️ Important note: If the black trendline on the daily chart (which represents the current bullish structure) gets broken to the downside, the trade setup would become invalid and a reassessment would be required.
✅ The best approach is to wait for a clean breakout above the 3495 resistance, then look for a pullback entry on lower timeframes with proper risk management.
📉 In the longer term, we still expect a potential retracement all the way back to the 2199.661 level — so be aware of the bigger picture and adapt as the structure evolves.
XRPPrice has swept the Weekly Lows of last week. Now, we should begin our climb towards $2.36, which was previous weeks high.
We may see a impulse move towards $2.26 mid week, followed by more buying heading into the weekend.
If we fail to break above $2.26 we may see more drawdown towards $2.08 support.
There are plenty of catalyst to propel us towards $2.50+, we should still be accumulating if possible.
Stay diligent, our time is coming!
Gold still has the potential to extend to 3420-3430.Fundamentals:
Focus on the Fed's interest rate decision;
Technical aspects:
Gold rose to 3397 and encountered resistance and fell back, and the bulls' momentum was insufficient. But I think the gold bulls are far more than that. Gold is bound to hit 3400, and even continue to the 3420-3430 area; since gold rebounded after hitting 3200, it has repeatedly built a solid bottom structure support below, and the oscillating rise has effectively supported the continued rebound of gold. As the center of gravity of gold moves up, the support structure also gradually moves up. The current short-term support is in the area around 3380-3370, and the second is in the area of 3365-3355.
Trading situation:
According to today's trading strategy: Go long on gold at 3350 in the morning and around 3375 in the afternoon. In order to lock in profits in time, manually close orders at 3366 and 3394 respectively. Today, the total profit in gold long transactions exceeded 360pips.
Trading strategy:
During the rising shock, there are profit opportunities for both long and short parties in some areas, but currently, overall, bulls have the advantage and are mainly long gold. Consider the opportunity to go long when gold falls back to the area around 3380-3370, TP: 3400.
NZDCHF: Short-Term Bullish OutlookNZDCHF: Short-Term Bullish Outlook
NZDCHF has formed a bullish Megaphone pattern, which signals a continuation of the existing uptrend when it aligns with the market’s direction.
After a minor pullback, the pair is expected to resume its short-term bullish movement. A breakout above 0.4925 could strengthen buying momentum, potentially pushing NZDCHF toward 0.4952 and 0.4980 in the near term.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Prediction Hits 600+ Points – Spot On!Spot-on analysis! Yesterday’s gold setup played out perfectly, delivering over 600 points. Demand zone held strong, and bulls took full control. Precision pays off – follow for more high-probability setups!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #TradingView #PriceAction #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBulls #MarketPrediction #600Points #SmartTrading
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in May, and there is uncertainty about the future path of rate cuts. In contrast, the European Central Bank's monetary policy is gradually tightening, leading the market to expect that the euro has room for appreciation in the future. This difference in monetary policy expectations has driven the rise in the euro - dollar exchange rate. Technically, it is necessary to pay attention to the resistance level of the euro - dollar exchange rate near 1.16 and the support level near 1.12. If the 1.16 resistance level can be broken through, the euro - dollar exchange rate is likely to continue to rise. Conversely, if it falls back due to resistance, the effectiveness of the 1.12 support level needs to be observed.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the NEUTRAL LEVEL breakout (3400) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (3200) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 3680 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💴💸XAU/USD "The Gold" Metals Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (there is a chance to move bullishness🐂).., driven by several key factors.👆👆👆
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⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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EUR/CAD Price Analysis: Euro edges higher near 1.5600 as longer-The EUR/CAD pair ticked higher on Monday, trading around the 1.5600 area after the European session. While price action remained within the middle of the daily range, the pair showed signs of underlying strength, aligning with a broader bullish structure. Momentum signals remain mixed for now, though the longer-term trend bias continues to favor the euro over the loonie.
Technically, the EUR/CAD setup holds a bullish tone despite some neutral momentum signals. The Relative Strength Index sits near 49, showing a balanced market, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence leans bearish with a soft sell signal. The Awesome Oscillator is neutral, and the Bull Bear Power indicator suggests a slight bias toward buying pressure, offering mild confirmation of demand.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?GBP/CHF is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0897
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0786
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1038
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?AUD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 93.33
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 94.40
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 92.12
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
BITCOIN CHARTBTC weekly chart exposed the demand and supply phase of the price movement and we quickly aligned with price movement until genuine buy confirmation is complete. The crypto tax gains is coming and regulatory inspection certain, as strict compliance from all brokers will be unavoidable.
4hrs makes it easy as one more break of demand floor will be a sell confirmation, don't rush yet.
GOLD Gold buying is exceptionally high in 2025, and this surge is directly linked to geopolitical tensions-especially between China, Taiwan, and the United States-as well as broader trade and economic uncertainty.
Key Reasons for High Gold Buying
1. Geopolitical Risk: China–Taiwan–US Tensions
Investors are flocking to gold as a safe haven due to escalating tensions in the Taiwan Strait and the broader US-China relationship. Even without open conflict, the risk of confrontation or trade war is enough to drive up demand for gold.
The mere threat of a China-Taiwan conflict is seen as a potential trigger for global financial shocks, prompting investors to hedge against instability by accumulating gold.
2. Central Bank and Institutional Buying (Led by China)
Central banks, especially China’s, are buying gold at record levels. In Q1 2025, China’s central bank added 95 tonnes of gold to its reserves, part of a broader move to diversify away from US dollar assets.
This central bank accumulation is a major structural driver of gold’s price surge, providing persistent upward pressure even as other asset classes remain volatile.
3. Trade War and Tariff Uncertainty
The US has announced aggressive new tariffs on Chinese goods, and China is expected to retaliate. This has reignited fears of a global trade war, further fueling safe-haven demand for gold.
Gold is less affected by tariffs than other assets, making it particularly attractive during periods of trade friction.
4. Dollar Weakness and Portfolio Diversification
A sharp decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY) has also contributed to gold’s rise, as investors seek assets that are less exposed to dollar depreciation.
Regulatory changes in China have allowed more institutional and insurance fund investment in gold, further boosting demand.
Summary Table
Driver Gold Buying Impact
China–Taiwan–US Geopolitical Risk Strongly increases demand
Chinese Central Bank Accumulation Structural, sustained boost
Trade War/Tariff Uncertainty Safe-haven flows surge
Dollar Weakness Makes gold more attractive
In summary:
Gold buying is at record highs due to a combination of China–Taiwan–US geopolitical risk, aggressive central bank purchases (especially by China), trade war fears, and a weaker dollar. The situation in Taiwan is a major catalyst, as any escalation would have global economic consequences, making gold the preferred hedge for both institutions and individual investors.
Fartcoin: Is the Smell of a Downtrend in the Air? 📉 Fartcoin: Is the Smell of a Downtrend in the Air? 💨
🚨 Alert: The RSI is holding its nose... and so should we.
After a suspiciously bubbly rally, $FARTCOIN is now showing bearish RSI divergence on the 4H chart — and let’s be honest, it’s starting to stink. 🦨
The recent price action looks like someone tried to pump it... but forgot to ventilate. 💣💨
🧻 Support is about to get wiped.
💩 MACD says momentum is going down the drain.
🚽 Volume drying up like gas after Taco Tuesday.
TA Summary:
RSI Divergence ✅
Rising wedge (aka clogged pipes) ✅
Community still in denial? ✅