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BTC – 15min Reversal Structure & Fibonacci ReclaimWe’re currently witnessing a potential short-term reversal on BTC’s lower timeframe after a volume-supported breakdown and sweep of local lows. 🔍 Key Observations: Price swept liquidity at local lows (~103,929.27) Entered into a clear reaccumulation box with responsive buyers Volume profile shows prior POC just above – room for fill Fibonacci retracement aligns with key structure: 0.5 = 104,372.94 0.618 = 104,268.23 1.0 = 104,816.60 (final high target for this impulse) 📈 Potential Play: Entry Zone: Just above the sweep candle (104,100–104,200) Target 1: 0.382 at 104,477 Target 2: 104,816.60 Invalidation: Close below 103,926 🧠 Mindset: This is a classic liquidity sweep → reaction → reclaim pattern. If BTC flips the 0.5 level with strong momentum, a short squeeze toward the 104.8K area becomes likely. Great opportunity for scalpers or day traders. Let me know if you want this turned into a long-form breakdown or sent in another format.
by SmartFlowsI
XLK ETF. TO WAR, OR NOT TO WAR — THAT IS THE QUESTION..US stock futures edged lower Wednesday evening ahead of Thursday’s market closure for Juneteenth. The moves came after the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady, with Chair Jerome Powell striking a cautious tone amid rising geopolitical and economic uncertainty. Powell reaffirmed a data-dependent approach, pointing to unclear inflation impacts from President Trump’s tariffs and the risk of stagflation. Fed projections now include two rate cuts in 2025, alongside downgraded growth expectations and higher inflation forecasts. Investor sentiment was further dampened by escalating tensions in the Middle East, as the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict stoked fears of deeper US involvement, while North Korea has recently launched 10 rockets from near capital Pyongyang. Futures for 7 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors ended the Prime Day holiday in the red, led by declines in energy, while technology outperformed. What is more important Technology sector is the one and only over 11 S&P 500 sectors that has printed recently new all the history high, just one - two days before Prime Day. What is XLK The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF AMEX:XLK ETF is respectively The Technology Select Sector ETF, that seeks to provide investment results correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500 Technology Sector Index. The largest 5 holdings of this ETF are Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Broadcom NASDAQ:AVGO and Oracle NYSE:ORCL , while all together they weight nearly 50 percent of the fund by market cap. Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT shares have experienced a significant upward trend in 2025, reaching new all-time highs and reflecting the company’s robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the technology sector. Record Highs and Price Momentum As of June 18, 2025, Microsoft’s stock closed at $480.24, marking its highest closing price ever. This price is just below its 52-week high of $481.00 and represents a 14% gain year-to-date, making Microsoft one of the best-performing stocks among the so-called “Magnificent Seven” tech giants in 2025. The stock’s average price over the past 52 weeks was $422.77, and its 52-week low was $344.79, which is 28.2% below the current level, highlighting the impressive rally over the past year. Short-Term and Long-Term Performance In the immediate term, Microsoft’s stock has shown steady gains. Over the past week, the share price rose by 2.03%, and over the past month, it increased by 6.36%. Looking at a broader horizon, the stock is up 6.79% over the last year, underscoring consistent investor confidence and the company’s ability to capitalize on growth opportunities. Drivers Behind the Rally Several factors have contributed to Microsoft’s recent share price surge: Artificial Intelligence Investment. Microsoft continues to invest heavily in AI infrastructure, with plans to spend $80 billion in fiscal 2025. This aggressive investment is seen as crucial to maintaining a competitive edge in cloud computing and AI services, areas that are driving much of the company’s growth. Cost Management. Despite the heavy spending on AI, Microsoft is also focused on controlling costs. The company is reportedly planning to trim thousands of jobs, particularly in sales, to offset rising expenses and protect profit margins. This follows earlier workforce reductions and reflects a broader trend among major tech firms to optimize operations amid escalating AI-related costs. Diversified Revenue Streams. Microsoft’s strong position in software, cloud computing, and AI, along with its subscription-based business model and consistent dividend growth, have bolstered investor sentiment. The company’s cloud platform Azure and productivity tools continue to show strong adoption across industries. Market and Analyst Sentiment Microsoft’s market capitalization recently reached $3.55 trillion, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.94, indicating high investor expectations for future growth. Analysts’ price targets for MSFT range from $432 to $700, suggesting a wide spectrum of views but generally positive long-term sentiment. Competitive and Operational Challenges Despite its strong performance, Microsoft faces competitive pressures, particularly from OpenAI, which has been offering discounted ChatGPT subscriptions, impacting Microsoft’s own AI products like Copilot. Additionally, negotiations with OpenAI over continued access to its technology have reportedly stalled, introducing some uncertainty into Microsoft’s AI strategy. Technical challenge and summary While Microsoft shares have recently hit record highs, driven by aggressive AI investment, disciplined cost management, and strong core business performance, it robustly helped to all the Technology sector came back to 6-month key resistance after nearly 40 percent recovery rally. While the market faces different challenges, we keep our strategic focus on next positions and further stock market development. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
AMEX:XLK
by PandorraResearch
SOL – Sweep & Spring Play at Local DemandWe’ve got a clean rounded top → breakdown → demand sweep setup. Current price action suggests a potential reversal is brewing. 🔍 What’s happening on this chart? Rounded top marks a local distribution — aggressive short entries Price broke lower, swept the demand zone (gray box), and now shows rejection wick + bullish reaction Fibonacci levels mapped out the structure 0.5 = 154.51 0.618 = 157.76 = key resistance liquidity zone 🎯 Trade idea: Entry: inside demand zone (OB marked on chart) Target 1: 151.25 Target 2: 157.76 (0.618) Full fill: 162.40 – 168.30 (complete inefficiency sweep) 🧠 Mindset: This setup is classic spring + reclaim. If price consolidates and flips 147.2, upside becomes favorable. If you like clean trade setups with logic and clear invalidation, check the account bio for more updates and live breakdowns.
by SmartFlowsI
Rectangle ChannelHey traders, here’s one to watch closely 👇 GBPCHF is consolidating in a rectangle channel structure, marked by clear highs and lows — a classic coiled spring waiting for resolution. 📌 Key Notes: Price has respected horizontal boundaries repeatedly We’ve now broken above the top of the range with a reaction off point D Both upside and downside breakouts remain valid — the key is confirmation 🔍 What to Watch: A surge in volume and close above 1.10142 or below 1.09510 will confirm breakout direction Fibs projected from XA and ABCD legs show both upside and downside targets Range extension levels already plotted for reference No prediction. Just structure and breakout readiness. — C. Dela | #TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros.
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
SELL-THE -RALLY :Swing trade limit Trend & Structure Broken The green up-trend line and the last swing low were breached (you saw a BOS and CHoCH). That’s your first clue that buyers have lost control. Failed Rally into Supply When price pulled back up, it stalled under the old swing high / “equilibrium” zone. It never made a fresh higher high—so there’s no reason to chase longs. Entry (Blue @ ~21,689) 🔵🚀 After price broke the rising trendline and the last swing low, it rolled back up into the equilibrium/supply area. That gives you a “sell-the-rally” entry at the blue level—where late buyers and remaining shorts congregate. Stop-Loss (Red @ ~22,071) 🔴❌ Placed just above the prior swing high and the upper edge of the supply zone. If price pops above this red line, it signals the short setup has failed and bulls are back in control. Take-Profits (Greens @ ~21,448 → 21,066 → 20,718 → 20,306) 🟢🎯 These green levels are the next pockets of demand/value below: 21,448 – the minor PDL/PWL area 📉 21,066 – first major demand zone 💰 20,718 – deeper value area 📦 20,306 – unfilled gap that often attracts fast buyers ⚡ Happy trading! 👍
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by artschweizch
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