Bitcoin Holds Strong as Market Consolidates — No Bearish DivergeUpon analyzing CRYPTOCAP:BTC price structure across multiple timeframes, I don't see any bearish divergence at the moment. Instead, the chart continues to print a series of bullish formations, including inverse head and shoulders patterns, signaling continuation of the macro uptrend.
The current movement between $100,000 and $109,000 appears to be a classic case of a choppy or ranging market — in simpler terms, a bullish consolidation phase just below resistance. This kind of sideways price action, especially after a significant rally, often serves as a base for the next breakout leg.
Despite geopolitical tensions like the Iran-Israel conflict, Bitcoin remains remarkably resilient. If such macro-level risk had any real impact, BTC would likely have already broken below the $100K mark. Instead, the price is holding firm, which is another sign of strong bullish sentiment in the market.
The chart structure remains highly constructive — multiple bullish reversal and continuation patterns are playing out, and as long as BTC holds above the $98K–$100K support zone, the broader trend remains intact. This ongoing consolidation below all-time highs is a healthy sign of strength —
Chart Patterns
DOGE: Not looking good.Hello Traders,
Today, let’s analyze DOGE on the weekly timeframe.
DOGE isn’t looking very strong at the moment. The price has once again dropped back to the same level from which it rebounded a couple of weeks ago. It’s uncertain whether we’ll see another rebound from this point — but if it does, then great!
However, if market sentiment turns bearish, DOGE could potentially drop to around $0.06. So, stay cautious and trade safely.
Not financial advice.
bitcoin bullish and bearish BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
bullish
🔹 Technical analysis according to Elliott waves (time: 1 hour)
📌 The pattern shown on the chart shows a complex structure that includes a complex correction within the larger wave (B), and the following is clear:
🔸 Main waves:
Wave (1) up from the bottom has been confirmed.
It was followed by a corrective wave (2) that ended near the 0.786 Fibonacci level = 102,575.
Then the upward wave (3) started, and it seems that it has been completed or is about to be completed.
🔸 Current status:
The price is currently moving within a small corrective wave, likely wave (4).
Current major support is located at: 🔸 102,275.7 (very important level) 🔸 100,317.6 (in case the correction extends)
🔸 Critical resistance areas:
For the bullish scenario to be valid, the resistance must be broken:
106,759 (0.618 Fibonacci ratio)
108,948 (0.786 – peak of wave C)
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🔹 Important technical points:
🔸 The last correction (A)-(B)-(C) shows a clear triple structure, indicating that wave (2) has been completed.
🔸 The price is currently bouncing off the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (104,402 - 104,923), which reinforces the possibility that wave (2) has actually ended, and that we are currently starting an upward wave (3).
---
✅ Conclusion:
✅ As long as the price is above 102,275, the upward scenario through wave (3) remains valid.
⚠️ Breaking 100,317 indicates the failure of the bullish scenario and a structural shift in the waves.
🔻 Alternative (Bearish) Scenario – Short-Term:
If the price fails to maintain the current support at 102,275, we may not be in wave (4) but rather at the beginning of a new downward wave within a broader corrective scenario, as follows:
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🔸 Wave Interpretation:
🔹 Wave (B), which completed at the peak near 108,948, likely marked the end of an upward correction.
🔹 The current downward wave from that peak could be:
Either wave 1 of C within a larger correction,
or the beginning of wave (C) within a bearish (A)-(B)-(C) pattern.
---
🔻 Potential Downside Targets in This Scenario:
1. Breaking 102,275 = Confirmation of the beginning of a new downward wave.
2. First Target:
🔸 101,484 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension – Wave 1 Expected)
3. Second and Stronger Target:
🔸 100,317 = Previous Major Support, Representing an Important Structural Test Area.
4. Third and Most Extreme Target in This Scenario:
🔸 98,800 – 99,260 = Possible Wave C Extension (Corresponds to a Larger Downside Scenario).
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⚠️ Failure Signal:
Remaining below 105,926 (Previous Sub-Wave Resistance) maintains selling pressure.
Any weak bounce and lack of a clear wave 5 upwards = an additional sign of bearish dominance.
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🔻 Conclusion:
✳️ The bearish scenario assumes that the peak at 108,948 was the end of corrective wave (B), and that we are now in a downward wave C targeting areas between 101,400 and 99,200, and possibly lower.
✳️ A break of 102,275 would be key to activating this scenario.
Us500:What is going to happen?hello friends👋
This time we are here with the analysis of us500, an important and vital index in the market that is being talked about a lot these days.
Well, let's go to the analysis, you will see that with the drop we had, a lower floor was made and the price was quickly supported and pumped by buyers.
Now it is clear that an ascending pattern has been formed, which is a very strong support in the specified area and a good buying point that you can enter into a transaction with capital and risk management.
Note that if the floor is broken and the stop loss is placed, our bullish pattern becomes invalid and we have to wait for lower floors.
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EURUSD M15 Forecast - Check related IdeaAs explained in previous post we are expecting a pull back down to our order block (H4) then a bullish reversal to retest last weeks highs (1.16) region. If price breaks and closes above the M15 supply zone will have to re-evaluate and potentially take a long position from a retest into a FVG.
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AUDNZD BULLISH SETUPThe 4-hour chart of AUD/NZD shows a strong bullish breakout from a prolonged consolidation phase, followed by a healthy retest of the breakout level, suggesting the pair is gearing up for further upside.
Key Observations:
Consolidation Breakout: After spending several weeks in a tight consolidation range between 1.0760–1.0800, the price has convincingly broken above the range resistance near 1.0810.
Key Level Retest: The breakout zone (previous resistance) is now acting as new support, confirmed by multiple rejections (highlighted area).
Bullish Momentum: Structure is forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating continuation of upward trend.
Upside Target: With the breakout holding, the next logical target lies near the resistance zone around 1.0910, which served as a previous swing high.
Conclusion:
AUD/NZD is showing bullish strength after breaking out of consolidation and holding above the retested key level. As long as 1.0800–1.0810 support holds, the pair remains poised for a bullish continuation toward the 1.0900–1.0920 resistance zone. A break below this level would invalidate the setup and bring price back into the previous range.
AUDCHF BEARISH SETUPThe AUD/CHF 4-hour chart is presenting a classic Head & Shoulders pattern within a well-defined bearish descending channel, signaling a likely continuation to the downside if neckline support fails.
Key Observations:
Bearish Channel in Play: The broader trend remains bearish, with price action respecting both channel boundaries.
Head & Shoulders Formation: A visible Head & Shoulders pattern has formed near the top of the channel, with the neckline around 0.5275.
Neckline Break Risk: Price is currently testing the neckline area (highlighted in red). A confirmed break below would likely trigger bearish momentum.
Downside Target: A break below the neckline could push AUD/CHF toward the support zone near 0.5220, in line with the lower boundary of the channel.
Trend Structure: Lower highs and lower lows continue to dominate, reinforcing the bearish bias.
Conclusion:
AUD/CHF remains technically weak, and the emerging Head & Shoulders breakdown may act as a strong continuation signal within the existing downtrend channel. A clear close below 0.5270 could open the door for a further drop toward 0.5220. Caution is warranted for bulls unless a significant reversal signal emerges.
Evening BTC Market Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday, U.S. markets are closed, leading to light trading activity and relatively limited overall market volatility. From a technical analysis perspective, the 4-hour K-line chart currently shows prices trading below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, exhibiting a classic range-bound consolidation pattern. Bulls and bears are locked in a tug-of-war between key support and resistance levels, with K-line formations alternating between bullish and bearish patterns.
In terms of chart structure, the lower support zone has demonstrated strong buying conviction, while the upper resistance level has exerted clear restrictive force. Multiple failed upward breakouts have formed a short-term top. This box consolidation—characterized by resistance above and support below—is expected to sustain sideways trading through Friday.
Against the backdrop of no major positive catalysts, bearish momentum may gradually dominate if no substantial bullish triggers emerge. Maintain a trading strategy of selling into strength.
BTCUSDT
105000-105500
tp:104000-103000
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NATGAS Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a great
Bearish correction and
And then retested a
Horizontal support
Around 3.800$ from where
We are already seeing a
Bullish rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
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GBP-JPY Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Tra ders!
GBP-JPY is retesting a
Horizontal resistance
Around 196.700 and
We will be expecting a
Bearish pullback so we
Can enter a short trade
With the Take Profit
Of 195.865 and the
Stop Loss of 196.887
Sell!
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 6-20 : Pause Bar PatternToday's Pause Bar pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will slide into a sideways type of PAUSE in price action today. I'm not expecting much to happen and if we do see any breakaway or breakdown trending it will likely be related to news.
While we have options expiration today and a host of other things that could drive the markets, I believe the markets are struggling to find direction right now. Thus, a pause in trading would be somewhat normal after a holiday-shortened trading week.
Gold and Silver are struggling after a brief rally last week. I believe this is fear related to the Israel/Iran conflict. Metals should continue to move higher.
BTCUSD is slightly higher (forgot to cover BTCUSD in the video), but not moving into a breakaway phase.
Overall, everything is very flat in early trading today. It may stay that way with my PAUSE BAR pattern.
Get some.
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OIL 2 Best Places For Buy Very Clear , Don`t Miss This 1000 PipsHere is my opinion on oil , we have a very aggressive movement to upside and this is normal right now , i`m looking to buy this Pair if the price go back to retest my support and this will be the best place to buy it for me , and if the price moved directly without retest it i will wait the price to break the other res and then i can enter a buy trade and targeting the highest level the price touch it , also if the price go back to retest my support and go up and closed above the other res i will add one more entry with the same target.
Bitcoin hits new uptime milestone!
Bitcoin has traded above $100,000 for more than 40 consecutive days since May 7, a major milestone for the top cryptocurrency, which has also surpassed 6,000 consecutive days of uptime this month.
BTC unaffected by global events
On June 19, Bitcoin recorded more than 40 consecutive days of trading above $100,000, despite uncertainty and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. According to Coingecko data, May 8 was the last trading day for BTC below $100,000, meaning that as of June 19, it had been above this level for 42 days.
Meanwhile, Blockchair data shows that BTC has been above $100,000 for 43 days, forming a new resistance level, which some technical analysts believe. During this period, BTC hit a new all-time high on May 23, surpassing the milestone previously reached on January 20. As of this writing, the top cryptocurrency is trading just above $104,000, which is familiar territory for BTC in June.
Prior to BTC’s return to six figures in U.S. dollar terms in early May, BTC spent more than 60 days trading below $100,000 amid global market turmoil caused by the trade war sparked by U.S. President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal tariffs.” At the time, BTC’s significant correlation with traditional assets and markets seemed to weaken its claim as a safe haven asset.
However, since dropping below $75,000 on April 7, BTC has trended upward, rising by about 50% to near $112,000 about 45 days later. Since then, BTC has fluctuated between $110,000 and $100,000, with major global events, including Israel’s launch of its attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, seemingly failing to push it below $100,000, according to Coingecko data.
Not only has the flagship cryptocurrency remained above $100,000 for more than 40 consecutive days, it also celebrated a significant operational achievement in June: more than 6,000 days of continuous uptime.
According to Bitbo, the Bitcoin network has been operating uninterruptedly since its inception at 02:54:25 GMT on January 3, 2009. Aside from two isolated incidents in its early history (one in 2010 and one in 2013), this uptime record has remained unimpaired, highlighting the network’s unparalleled resilience and robustness. These recent achievements further solidify BTC’s place as a stable and enduring digital asset and an increasingly established player in the global financial landscape.
Hedera (HBAR): Buyers Pushing For Breakout | Good Buy EntryHedera is loading up for a breakout here, which might give us a good R:R trade if executed properly.
What we are looking for is a proper breakout where buyers maintain the dominance in that region, after which our target is going to be the resistance zone and 200EMA line.
Swallow Academy
US10Y UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT 10 YEAR BOND YIELD.the US 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) stands at 4.39%-4.5%,The 10-year yield is a key benchmark for long-term interest rates in the United States and is closely watched by investors as an indicator of market sentiment regarding economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy.
The yield has been rising recently, reflecting investor concerns about US fiscal policy, inflation, and the outlook for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision (June 2025)
The Federal Reserve held its key interest rate steady at 4.25%–4.50% at its June 2025 meeting.
This marks the fourth consecutive meeting with no change in rates, as the Fed continues its cautious, data-dependent approach amid persistent inflation and moderate economic growth.
The Fed’s latest “dot plot” and projections indicate that two 25-basis-point rate cuts are still possible by the end of 2025, but expectations for cuts in 2026 and beyond have been reduced.
Key Drivers and Outlook
Yield Movements: The 10-year yield has climbed amid concerns about US fiscal deficits, credit rating downgrades, and the impact of tariffs and trade policy on inflation.
Fed’s Tone: The FOMC statement and projections reflect ongoing stagflationary pressures—slower growth, persistent inflation, and a slightly rising unemployment rate.
Market Expectations: Markets are pricing in two rate cuts by year-end, most likely in September and December, but nearly half of Fed officials see little or no room for cuts in 2025 if inflation remains sticky.
Conclusion
The US 10-year Treasury yield remains elevated as markets weigh fiscal risks, inflation, and the Fed’s cautious stance.
The Fed is holding rates steady but signaling that two rate cuts remain possible in 2025, with future moves highly dependent on incoming data, especially inflation and labor market trends.
Investors should expect continued yield volatility as economic and policy uncertainties persist.
BTCUSDT.DBTCUSDT.D
ALT SESON COMING SOON
This is my opinion: Bitcoin dominance has reached its top and might show a breakout to the upside, but it could turn out to be a fake breakout. Overall, we should expect a decline in BTC dominance and the beginning of capital inflow into altcoins. Perhaps if there hadn’t been negative news, this shift would have happened sooner. Altseason might be approaching.”
ETHUSD Will Go Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 2,415.11.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1,957.20 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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