PENDLE Breakout Watch – Red Resistance Being Tested! 🚨 CRYPTOCAP:PENDLE Breakout Watch – Red Resistance Being Tested! 🔴⏳
CRYPTOCAP:PENDLE is testing the red resistance zone.
📊 If breakout confirms, next move could target:
🎯 First Target → Green line levels
A breakout here could trigger buyer momentum and push price toward the next key resistance.
Chartpattren
Technical Analysis of US100 on TradingView A trader is analyzing the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) using a 4-hour chart on TradingView. The chart displays a clear upward channel, with price action bouncing off the lower boundary and heading toward the upper trendline. A blue arrow indicates a bullish prediction, anticipating further upward movement. Support and resistance zones are highlighted, and the setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend.
📊 Chart Overview:
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Instrument: US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index)
Platform: TradingView via Capital.com
Date/Time in Chart: 25th August, 10:00 (likely UTC)
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📈 Trend Analysis:
The price is moving within an upward parallel channel, indicating a strong bullish trend.
The chart shows multiple touches of both the upper and lower bounds of the channel, confirming its validity.
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🟩 Support and Resistance:
Support Zone: Around 22,850–23,050 (highlighted by the green rectangular box).
Price bounced sharply from this area, showing buyers are defending it.
Resistance Area (Projected): Upper bound of the channel, which aligns with the 24,000 level.
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🕊️ Current Market Behavior:
The price recently bounced off the lower channel boundary and the key support zone.
A strong bullish candle broke through a mini pullback area, suggesting momentum is favoring buyers.
The blue arrow indicates an expected continuation upward toward the upper resistance line.
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📌 Technical Implications:
Bullish Bias: As long as price remains inside the channel and above the support zone, the bullish trend is intact.
A retest of the upper channel line (~24,000) is a realistic target if momentum continues.
Invalidation Level: A clean break below the support zone (~22,850) and out of the channel could shift sentiment to bearish.
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✅ Possible Trade Idea (for Educational Purposes):
Entry: Around 23,400–23,500 (already in motion)
Target: 23,900–24,000 (upper channel line)
Stop-loss: Below 22,850 (beneath the support zone)
"Gold Rejected at Resistance – Eyes Set on $3,350 Support"This 45-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) highlights a possible bearish reversal pattern. After testing and rejecting resistance around the $3,400 level twice, price action shows signs of weakening bullish momentum. The chart suggests a corrective move is likely, targeting the support zone around $3,350, which aligns with the previous breakout level and horizontal support. Traders should watch for confirmation signals near the resistance before entering short positions. Keep an eye on volume and candlestick patterns to validate the move.🔍 Overview
Current Price: $3,380.32
Timeframe: 45-minute chart
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Trend: Sideways to bearish bias near resistance
Key Zones:
Resistance: ~$3,400
Support (Target): ~$3,350
Major Support: ~$3,295–$3,300 (prior consolidation low)
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🧱 Chart Structure & Key Observations
1. Double Top Formation
Price has tested the $3,400 zone twice and failed to break higher.
This creates a potential double top – a bearish reversal pattern.
2. Price Rejection
Long upper wicks near the top suggest strong selling pressure.
The recent move downward signals a shift in sentiment.
3. Bearish Impulse & Projection
The forecasted arrow shows a corrective move toward $3,350.
This level coincides with previous breakout structure and acts as a logical support retest.
MAGIC / USDT – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout | Pullback OpportunMAGIC has recently broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern that had been forming for several months. The breakout occurred with strong bullish volume and was accompanied by an RSI breakout above its MA, suggesting solid momentum behind the move.
📏 Technical Notes:
A descending dynamic resistance has been finally broken.
The price has clearly exited the symmetrical triangle, which often leads to explosive moves.
According to the height of the triangle’s base (~0.22), a technical target of around 0.45–0.47 can be projected.
📉 Possible Pullback:
A retest of the breakout zone around 0.20–0.21 is likely before continuation. This area also aligns with the upper triangle boundary, now turned into support.
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🎯 Bullish Targets (Based on Triangle Breakout):
TP1: 0.30
TP2: 0.42
TP3: 0.47 (Full triangle target)
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🛑 Stop Loss Suggestion:
Below 0.19, if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the triangle.
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📊 Indicators:
RSI above 70 with bullish crossover.
Volume spike during breakout confirms institutional or whale interest.
USD/JPY) support boost Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, based on a rejection from a key support zone and signs of trend continuation toward a higher target.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Support Level:
Price has bounced from a clearly defined support zone around 146.00 – 146.50, which has held multiple times in the past.
This zone is acting as a strong demand area where buyers are stepping in.
2. Bullish Rejection + Structure:
A bullish candle has formed from the support area, signaling potential reversal.
The drawn projection suggests higher highs and higher lows forming — indicating bullish continuation.
3. EMA (200):
Price has respected the 200 EMA (blue line), bouncing off it — a strong confluence for bullish trend continuation.
EMA is slightly upward sloping, indicating a longer-term bullish bias remains intact.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is rising from oversold territory (42.09), indicating a bullish momentum shift.
A potential bullish divergence might be forming (price made lower low, RSI made higher low).
5. Target Point:
Price is projected to reach 150.904, giving a potential move of ~2.91% (426 pips) from current levels.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 146.90 – 147.30 (current levels or slight pullback)
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~145.90)
Take Profit (TP): 150.900 (key resistance / previous high)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Attractive, based on the size of the support zone vs. projected move
Mr SMC Trading point
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Key Insights:
Strong confluence between price structure, support zone, and 200 EMA bounce.
Favorable risk-reward ratio for swing or intraday traders.
Best confirmation would come from a bullish engulfing candle or break above minor resistance near 147.80.
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XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, suggesting a potential short-term sell setup targeting a key support zone.
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Analysis Summary
Asset: XAU/USD (Gold Spot)
Timeframe: 1H
Current Price: 3,371.56
Bias: Bearish pullback toward lower support
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Key Technical Insights
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Price tapped into a premium supply zone / FVG (highlighted in yellow at the top), showing rejection.
This zone likely acted as a liquidity grab, triggering potential reversal.
2. Structure Shift (SS):
Minor bullish market structure appears to be breaking down, signaling a shift in momentum.
3. Target Point:
Price is expected to revisit the support zone at 3,330.77, where prior accumulation and a bullish order block exist.
This also aligns with the 200 EMA around 3,340.48, adding confluence.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is currently at 54.86, indicating neutral momentum with room for downside.
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Target Point
Target Zone: 3,330.77 (Key support and potential long re-entry area)
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Trade Idea
Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target
Sell 3,370–3,375 Above 3,390 3,330
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Gold is showing signs of short-term exhaustion after filling the FVG zone and is likely to pull back toward the 3,330 support area, making it a potential intraday short opportunity. The structure break, EMA, and RSI support this retracement.
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USD/JPY 4H –analysis Buy setupUSD/JPY (U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen)
Timeframe: 4-Hour (4H)
Trend: Bullish Trendline Support – Price is respecting a strong ascending trendline.
Indicators: Ichimoku Cloud is visible; current price is above the cloud = bullish bias.
Current Price: Around 147.95.
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✅ Buy Entry:
Entry Zone: Between 147.90 – 148.10
(As price is bouncing from the trendline support and Ichimoku cloud.)
🎯 Buy Targets:
1. Target 1: 148.99 (Previous structure resistance)
2. Target 2: 150.50 (Next resistance level)
3. Target 3 (Swing): 152.00+ (If momentum continues)
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below trendline + Ichimoku support = 146.80 (safe zone)
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🔖 Chart Title Suggestion:
"USD/JPY 4H – Trendline Rebound with Bullish Momentum Targeting 150+"
USD/JPY) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, using a combination of trendline support, key horizontal levels, and EMA 200 confluence to identify a potential bounce.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Market Structure:
USD/JPY experienced a sharp decline from the resistance zone near 150.445, but price is now testing a strong confluence support area:
Horizontal support zone
Rising trendline
200 EMA (146.907)
2. Support Confluence Zone:
Marked as "trend support level", this zone has historically acted as a springboard for bullish moves.
Recent price action shows a wick rejection at this zone, indicating buying pressure.
3. Resistance/Target Zones:
Target 1: 149.190 – 149.208
Target 2: 150.445 (major resistance zone)
4. EMA 200:
Price is reacting just above the 200 EMA, strengthening the bullish case for a bounce.
5. RSI (14):
RSI has dipped to 35.92, near oversold territory, suggesting the downside may be exhausted.
Prior bounce from similar RSI levels led to strong upward moves.
6. Projected Path:
The chart outlines a potential bullish recovery, targeting a climb back into the upper channel and retesting previous highs.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish (Reversal from trendline + support zone)
Entry Zone: Current level near 147.40–146.90 (support confluence)
Targets:
TP1: 149.190
TP2: 150.445
Invalidation: Daily close below trendline and 200 EMA (~146.70 or lower)
Indicators: RSI supports a bounce; EMA and trendline confirm structure
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XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, showing both a potential retracement and a bullish continuation.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Current Market Structure:
Price recently made a strong bullish push from the key support level (~3,329–3,335), breaking structure to the upside.
It is now approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) and resistance zone between 3,380.47 and 3,396.19.
2. Key Zones Identified:
FVG / Resistance Zone: 3,380.47–3,396.19 — where price might initially reject (red arrow) due to unfilled imbalance and previous supply.
Key Support Zone: 3,329.27–3,335.31 — potential area of re-entry or demand if price pulls back.
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at 3,335.58, aligning with key support.
3. Price Path Scenarios:
Primary Expectation: Price may tap into the FVG, face rejection, then pull back into the key support level for a higher low.
From there, it is projected to bounce back strongly toward the ultimate target at 3,438.73, marking a 3.19% upside move.
4. RSI (14):
RSI at 64.77, indicating strong bullish momentum but not yet in overbought territory. Favorable for continuation, but a short-term correction is possible.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish (after a short-term rejection)
Entry Zones:
Watch for rejection at 3,380–3,396
Look to enter on a retest of 3,335–3,329 support
Target Zone: 3,438.73
Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below 3,329 or bearish engulfing with high volume
EMA & RSI Support: EMA 200 backs bullish bias; RSI confirms momentum
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AUD/USD Bearish Breakout – Retest & Sell Continuation SetupAUD/USD (Australian Dollar vs. US Dollar)
Likely a 4H (4-hour) timeframe based on candlestick density and scale.
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2. Structure & Patterns:
Rising wedge/ascending channel: Already broken to the downside.
Breakout zone: Around 0.6480–0.6500, clearly marked and now acting as resistance.
Retest confirmed: Price returned to the broken zone, touched resistance, and dropped.
Ichimoku Cloud: Price is below the cloud → strong bearish signal.
Downward projection: You’ve drawn a possible bearish path with lower highs and lower lows.
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3. Key Support & Target Levels:
✅ Current Price (as per chart):
Around 0.6468
🎯 Target Points (as per your drawing):
1. First Target Point → 0.6400
This aligns with previous minor support.
2. Second Target Point → 0.6370
Likely based on a Fibonacci or historical support level.
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✅ Clear Trade Setup Summary:
Component Value
Direction Sell (Short)
Entry 0.6475–0.6485
Stop-Loss 0.6520
TP1 0.6400
TP2 0.6370
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📌 Conclusion:
You are currently in a bearish setup after a breakdown from a rising structure. The market structure favors lower prices with clearly marked TP1 at 0.6400 and TP2 at 0.6370. Your entry zone (0.6475–0.6485) is technically sound, especially if there's a minor retracement.
Let me know if you want:
A Fibonacci analysis
RSI/MACD confirmation
USD/JPY) Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, with a focus on a support-resistance structure and trend
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Market Structure:
Price is moving in a clear uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows.
A recent pullback into a support zone suggests potential for a bullish continuation.
2. Key Zones:
Support Zone: Around 147.00–147.50, highlighted in yellow — the area where price recently bounced.
Resistance Zone: Around 148.800–149.300, which price is expected to break through.
Target Point: Clearly marked at 150.519, aligning with the prior high and a projected bullish extension.
3. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA (blue) is at 146.489, far below current price — signaling strong bullish momentum.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is at 61.14, showing bullish momentum without being overbought — supportive of further upside.
No divergence is noted, which supports trend continuation.
5. Projection (Drawn Path):
The chart suggests price may bounce from support, break through resistance, and rally toward 150.519, possibly after a retest of the resistance-turned-support.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Near 147.00–147.50 (support)
Confirmation: Bullish candlestick pattern or strong bounce
Target: 150.519
Invalidation: Break and close below 146.489 (200 EMA) or sustained move below support zone
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XAU/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, using a combination of trend lines, EMA, RSI, and price structure.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Price Structure:
Gold is forming a rising channel (black trend lines) within a short-term uptrend, but this is happening below the 200 EMA, which generally indicates bearish momentum.
A resistance zone is highlighted near the top of the channel, suggesting sellers might defend this level.
2. Key Level:
Resistance Level: Around 3,330–3,335 zone.
Target Point: Price is expected to break down from the channel and reach support levels near 3,284.35 and 3,282.51.
3. Moving Average (EMA 200):
Current price is below the 200 EMA (3,348.42), reinforcing a bearish bias.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is near 52.58, indicating neutral-to-slightly-overbought territory. No strong divergence is visible, but RSI is not confirming a bullish trend either.
5. Projection (Hand-drawn Path):
The drawn path shows a potential breakdown from the channel with a bearish impulse targeting lower support zones.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Confirmation Needed: Break below channel support
Entry Zone: Near the resistance of the rising channel (~3,330–3,335)
Target Zone: 3,284.35 – 3,282.51
Invalidation: Sustained break above 3,348 (above EMA 200)
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XUA/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, targeting a move toward the $3,310–$3,315 support zone. Here's the full breakdown:
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Technical Analysis – Gold (1H)
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Supply Zones
Two FVG supply zones are marked where price previously dropped sharply:
Upper FVG zone near $3,385.49 (with red arrow: expected rejection point)
Lower FVG zone near $3,352.47
Price is expected to reject from either zone, resuming the bearish move.
2. Market Structure: Lower Highs, Lower Lows
The chart shows a clear bearish structure, with consistent lower highs and lower lows.
The current price action suggests a potential pullback into FVG, followed by another leg down.
3. Key Support Zone (Target Area)
The yellow box between $3,315.22–$3,310.99 represents a strong demand/support zone and is marked as the target point.
This level has acted as a prior accumulation zone and is likely to attract buying interest again.
4. EMA 200 Resistance
Price is trading below the 200 EMA (currently at $3,365.87) — indicating a bearish bias.
EMA also aligns near the lower FVG zone, reinforcing the area as a potential reversal point.
5. RSI Indicator
RSI at 35.38 is nearing oversold territory but still shows downward pressure.
No divergence or reversal signal yet — supports the continuation view.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bearish
Current Price: $3,337.02
Supply Zones (FVG):
$3,385.49 (stronger supply)
$3,352.47 (minor supply)
Support Target: $3,315.22–$3,310.99
Structure: Bearish (LL-LH formation)
EMA: 200 EMA acting as dynamic resistance
RSI: 35.38 – still bearish momentum
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USD/JPY) Bullish Analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, signaling a potential rally toward the 149.191–149.202 resistance zone. Here's the full breakdown
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Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (4H)
1. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Support
Price recently filled a Fair Value Gap (FVG) level (yellow box) and is now pulling back toward it.
The FVG zone is expected to act as a support and potential entry point for buyers (marked by the green upward arrow).
2. Uptrend Structure
Price is moving within an ascending trendline, suggesting bullish market structure.
The current retracement is seen as a higher low setup, aligning with bullish continuation logic.
3. 200 EMA as Support
The 200 EMA at 146.198 is providing dynamic support.
Confluence between the EMA, FVG, and ascending trendline strengthens the bullish bias.
4. Resistance Target Zone
The projected target zone is between 149.191–149.202, which aligns with a previous high and key resistance level.
This zone is highlighted as the final take-profit area.
5. RSI Momentum
RSI is at 57.11, showing positive momentum but not yet overbought — which supports further upside.
RSI remains above 50, maintaining bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: 147.653
Support Zone (FVG): 146.20–146.92 (approx)
Trendline Support: Uptrend line intact
200 EMA: Acting as dynamic support (146.198)
Resistance Target: 149.191–149.202
RSI: 57.11 – healthy bullish momentum
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XAU/USD) bullish the support Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential bounce from a key trendline support within a rising channel.
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Analysis Summary
Pair: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD)
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: 3,338.715
Bias: Bullish rebound within ascending channel
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Key Technical Elements
1. Ascending Channel:
Price has been respecting a well-defined rising channel, bouncing between support and resistance levels.
2. Key Support Zone:
The yellow highlighted area marks a critical support level and lower boundary of the channel.
Also intersects with the trendline, strengthening the potential for a bounce.
3. 200 EMA (Dynamic Support):
The 200 EMA at 3,343.616 lies just below current price, acting as a dynamic support level.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is around 34.93, nearing the oversold zone, suggesting a buying opportunity may be near.
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Target Points
First Target: 3,402.099
Second Target: 3,446.661
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Trade Idea
Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Zones
Buy 3,330–3,345 Below 3,320 3,402 / 3,446
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Gold is currently testing a key support level and ascending trendline. If price holds above this area, we can expect a bullish rebound toward 3,400–3,446 levels, aligning with the upper channel resistance.
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XAU/USD Bearish Retest in Motion – Watch 3340 for Breakout 🔍 XAU/USD (Gold) – Bearish Reversal Outlook
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Date: July 25, 2025
Indicators Used: Ichimoku Cloud, BOS (Break of Structure), Trendlines, Support & Resistance Zones
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⚙ Technical Breakdown:
1. Previous Market Structure – Accumulation to Expansion:
Descending Channel (Red Box): Market moved within a bearish channel until the breakout occurred.
Key Break of Structure (BOS) around 3365 level signaled the beginning of bullish momentum — a textbook shift from accumulation to expansion phase.
Rally towards 3445 zone: Strong impulsive wave followed by higher highs and higher lows within a green rising channel.
2. Bull Trap and Structural Breakdown:
At the 3445-3460 resistance zone, price failed to maintain momentum and formed a double top / distribution setup.
The second BOS near 3385 confirmed a shift from bullish to bearish market structure.
Ichimoku Cloud also flipped bearish — price is now trading below the cloud, signaling potential continued downside.
3. Current Consolidation and Bearish Retest:
Price is now trapped in a bearish flag / rectangle pattern between 3360 – 3380.
Recent rejections from the descending trendline and overhead supply zone indicate weak bullish attempts and presence of strong selling pressure.
4. Anticipated Move – Bearish Continuation:
The projected red path suggests a retest of the diagonal resistance, followed by a breakdown toward key demand zone at 3340 – 3320.
If that zone fails, we may see a deeper move toward 3280.
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📌 Key Technical Zones:
Zone Type Price Level (Approx.) Description
Resistance 3445 – 3460 Double Top / Strong Supply
Support 3340 – 3320 Historical Demand Zone
Short-term Resistance 3375 – 3385 BOS Retest + Trendline
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🎯 Trading Insight:
📉 Bias: Bearish
⚠ Invalidation Level: Break above 3385 with volume
📊 Potential Target: 3340 → 3320
🧠 Trade Idea: Look for short entries on weak retests near descending trendline or cloud rejection.
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🏆 What Makes This Chart Unique for Editors’ Picks:
✅ Multiple Confluences: Structural shifts (BOS), trendlines, Ichimoku, and classic patterns (channels, flags).
✅ Clear Visual Storytelling: Logical flow from bearish to bullish and back to bearish structure.
✅ Forward Projection: Predictive outlook based on strong technical context — not just reactive analysis.
✅ Educational Value: Useful for beginners and intermediate traders alike to understand structure transitions and key levels.
AUDJPY: Waiting to BUYIn this video I walk through my full thought process on how I plan to approach this setup. I’m not rushing in or trying to predict what price will do. Instead, I’m staying reactive. I’ve identified a clean FVG that price is currently approaching, and my plan is to wait patiently for price to tap into that zone.
But tapping the FVG alone is not enough for me to jump in. What I really want to see is a clear bullish reaction, something like a strong bullish engulfing candle or a shift in structure that confirms the buyers are stepping in. If that happens, then I’ll look to take a long position targeting another liquidy zone.
This isn’t about guessing the bottom. It’s about letting price tell the story and only acting when there’s a clear signal. That’s the discipline behind this trade.
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key trading
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Technical Overview
Price: $3,428.71 (currently near the upper consolidation)
EMA 200: Around $3,367.38 (well below price, indicating strong uptrend)
Target Point: $3,468.52
Indicators:
RSI (14): 60.19–62.55 → shows moderate bullish momentum, not yet overbought.
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Key Technical Elements
1. Bullish Breakout Structure:
Price has broken out of a previous range, and is forming a bullish flag or rectangle, which typically leads to continuation higher.
Measured move projection from previous leg (approx. $51.57 gain) targets the $3,468.52 level.
2. Strong Support Zones:
Two yellow zones highlighted:
Upper support level (around $3,415): acting as immediate structure support.
Lower key support (around $3,380): crucial structure level from where the trend initiated.
3. Trend Line Support:
A clearly marked ascending trend line supporting higher lows—indicating bulls are in control.
Expect price to stay above this trend line to maintain bullish bias.
4. Volume & RSI Confirmation:
RSI remains in a bullish zone but isn’t overbought → leaves room for upside.
Volume remains steady, confirming healthy consolidation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion & Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On breakout or retest of minor support ($3,415–$3,420)
Stop Loss: Below trendline or below $3,415
Target: $3,468.52
Confirmation: Hold above trendline + RSI staying above 50
This is a classic bullish continuation setup supported by structure, RSI, and trend momentum. Traders could look for buying opportunities on minor dips or trendline retests.
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XAU/USD) breakout analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a move toward the $3,450 target. Here's the full technical breakdown
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Technical Analysis – Gold (4H)
1. Breakout from Resistance Zone
Price has broken above a key horizontal resistance level (now turned support, marked in yellow).
The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle with momentum, suggesting buyers are in control.
2. Ascending Triangle Formation
Price formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern.
The breakout above the upper boundary confirms the pattern, projecting a potential measured move.
3. Trendline Support & Higher Lows
The structure shows a rising trendline (black), where price bounced multiple times — confirming a higher low sequence.
The confluence of trendline support + breakout level adds strength to the bullish case.
4. 200 EMA Confluence
The 200-period EMA (3,332.13) has been acting as a dynamic support throughout.
Price retested it earlier in the move, then surged upward — validating trend continuation.
5. RSI Indicator
RSI is at 71.13, entering overbought territory.
This implies strong bullish momentum, but a short-term pullback to retest the breakout level is possible.
6. Target Projection
Target Point: $3,450.90, calculated from the height of the triangle (~61 pts or 1.80%) added above the breakout zone.
A retest of the breakout area (yellow zone) around $3,370–$3,380 could offer a better entry before continuation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: $3,397.62
Support: $3,370–$3,380 zone (previous resistance turned support)
Trend: Higher lows + breakout above resistance
EMA Support: 200 EMA at $3,332.13
Target: $3,450.90
RSI: 71.13 – bullish but near overbought
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USD/JPY) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 1-hour timeframe, signaling a potential drop toward the 145.200 – 145.191 target zone. Here's the detailed breakdown:
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Technical Analysis – USD/JPY (1H)
1. Rising Channel Breakdown
Price has broken below an ascending channel, confirming a trend line breakout and signaling a trend shift from bullish to bearish.
The trend line cut and rejection from the upper resistance zone support the bearish reversal.
2. Key Support Breakout
A crucial horizontal support zone around 147.80–148.00 was broken.
The break-and-retest of this area (yellow box) acts as a confirmation of bearish momentum continuation.
3. Bearish Momentum Below EMA
Price is trading below the 200 EMA (147.659) — a strong signal of downward bias on this timeframe.
The EMA has flipped from dynamic support to resistance.
4. RSI Oversold but Bearish
RSI is at 29.41, in oversold territory, which may hint at a short-term bounce.
However, the broader structure suggests more downside potential before a deeper retracement.
5. Target Projection
Projected target zone is between 145.200–145.191, aligning with previous structure lows and likely liquidity zone.
Mr SMC Trading point
Summary
Bias: Bearish
Current Price: 147.307
Key Resistance: 147.80–148.60 zone
Structure: Rising channel break + key support breakout
200 EMA: Above price (bearish signal)
RSI: 29.41 – oversold but momentum remains bearish
Target: 145.200–145.191
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BTC/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential upward continuation after a period of consolidation above a key support level.
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Analysis Summary
Pair: BTC/USDT
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: 116,810.90
Bias: Bullish breakout continuation
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Key Technical Insights
1. Key Support Zone:
The yellow box marks a strong support level, where price has bounced multiple times.
Acts as a launchpad for the next move higher.
2. Descending Trendline:
A trend of lower highs suggests short-term selling pressure.
Break above this trendline would signal a bullish breakout.
3. Projected Move:
If the breakout occurs, the projected target is around 131,075.83, representing a ~12% gain.
Similar move structure as the previous breakout earlier this month.
4. EMA 200 (Supportive):
Price remains above the 200 EMA at 112,386.80, affirming bullish trend bias.
5. RSI (14):
RSI hovering around 42–49, slightly oversold area, suggesting upside potential remains.
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Target Point
Target: 131,075.83 USDT
Stop-Loss Suggestion: Below key support zone (~114,000)
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Trade Idea
Direction Entry Stop-Loss Target
Buy Break above 118,000 Below 114,000 131,000–132,000
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bitcoin is consolidating above a strong support zone and under a descending trendline. A confirmed breakout from this pattern could lead to a bullish rally toward 131,000+.
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