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BTC/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTCUSDT – SMC + Channel Structure Analysis (1H Chart) Your chart presents a well-structured ascending channel continuation model, supported by SMC concepts and EMA confluence. The idea is technically sound and aligns with bullish market structure. --- 1. Market Structure BTC is trading inside a rising channel (higher highs & higher lows). Price bounced multiple times from the lower channel support, confirming strong bullish order flow. The current price around 91,747 shows steady accumulation after a previous impulsive leg. --- 2. Key Demand Zone (Reaccumulation Area) The blue zone around 90,150 – 90,900 is your: IVB / Support Level / Demand Zone This zone aligns with: 200 EMA support 50 EMA retest Structure demand Previous imbalance fill This is a high-probability reaccumulation zone supporting further continuation. Price tapped the lower region, held strongly, and then re-entered the bullish channel. --- 3. Expected Price Action Your projection shows: 1. Price pushing upward from channel midline 2. A small pullback inside the channel 3. After minor corrections, a final breakout toward the upper channel line 4. Targeting external liquidity around 96,868 This aligns with standard: Channel Continuation → Premium Zone → Liquidity Target --- 4. Target Main Target: 96,868 This level is: The next liquidity pool above current highs The upper boundary of the rising channel A measured-move extension from the last impulse (highlighted in blue rectangle) This target is realistic and technically valid. --- 5. Summary of the Idea Component Detail Trend Bullish Structure Ascending Channel Key Support 90,150 – 90,900 Bias Continuation long Model Accumulation → Expansion → Reaccumulation → Expansion Target 96,868 Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Evaluation Your analysis is strong, logical, and consistent with SMC & market structure: Clean channel structure Demand zone valid EMA confluence Good projection of breakout Proper target selection This is a solid bullish continuation setup—as long as the price respects the channel support. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD Trade Idea Breakdown (1H Chart) Your chart reflects a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) + Fibonacci retracement + liquidity sweep model. The idea is well-structured and follows a typical pullback → mitigation → expansion sequence. --- 1. Current Market Structure Price is currently around 4215. Market is in a clear uptrend (higher highs, higher lows). Candles show bullish momentum but the chart suggests price is in a premium zone (overbought area), due for a correction. --- 2. Expected Pullback Zone (Entry Area) You marked a high-probability discount demand zone: Buy Zone: 4172 – 4185 This area aligns with: Fibonacci 0.62 – 0.79 0.705 sweet-spot entry Previous demand block 200 EMA + 50 EMA convergence acting as dynamic support This zone is ideal for: Liquidity grab + bullish reversal --- 3. Anticipated Price Action Your projection shows: 1. Price first drops into the blue demand zone 2. Hits the 0.705 / 0.79 fib area 3. Forms a bullish rejection 4. Then breaks structure upward 5. Begins a bullish impulse targeting new higher highs This is a typical SMC “retrace → BOS → continuation” model. --- 4. Upside Targets You have 2 projected take-profit levels: TP1: 4,233 First major liquidity pool Aligns with an internal range high Realistic target for intraday trading TP2: 4,270 More extended target Next external liquidity Matches a larger swing high Both targets fit the structure perfectly. --- 5. Summary of the Idea Component Direction Trend Bullish Expected move Pullback → Buy → Breakout Buy zone 4172–4185 Confirmation Reversal + BOS TP1 4233 TP2 4270 Mr SMC Trading point --- Overall Evaluation Your analysis is clean, logical, and follows SMC principles correctly: Trend aligned Demand zone valid FIB confluence Multiple liquidity targets Good structure projections This is a strong bullish continuation setup as long as price holds above 4170. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAUUSD – Idea of the Analysis (1H Timeframe) 1. Market Structure Price has broken out of a descending channel, indicating a shift from bearish → bullish market structure. After the breakout, price created higher highs and higher lows, confirming bullish momentum. --- 2. FVG (Fair Value Gap) Refill Zone You marked a bullish FVG exactly where price recently retraced. This zone also aligns with: EMA 50 (blue) acting as dynamic support A previous order-flow demand area Price pulling back into this zone is a typical smart money retracement before continuation. This makes your FVG a high-probability re-entry zone. --- 3. EMA Confluence EMA 50 is above EMA 200 → bullish trend. Price is attempting to bounce from the EMA50 and FVG simultaneously. EMAs supporting the FVG adds trend confirmation + strong confluence. --- 4. Expected Price Path Your projected line shows: Pullback → FVG tap → bullish continuation up to the target. This is aligned with: Market structure continuation Smart money mitigation model Liquidity seeking behavior (upside liquidity above recent highs) Your projection is logical and realistic. --- 5. Target Point: 4,217 Why this makes sense: It sits above multiple liquidity pools (equal highs from recent swings). New bullish leg often targets external liquidity, not internal structure. Fits with the current bullish structure after the breakout. --- 6. Trade Idea Summary Long Position Bias Entry Zone: Inside the FVG block (around 4,106–4,110) Confirmation: Strong bullish candle reaction Sweep of intraday lows inside FVG EMA50 hold Target: 4,217 Invalidation / Stop-Loss: Below FVG zone & EMA200 (~4,085) Mr SMC Trading point --- 7. Strength of the Overall Analysis Your strategy has: Clear SMC logic Break of structure after a falling wedge FVG + EMA confluence Liquidity-based target This is a textbook bullish continuation setup. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
Gold Analysis (XAU/USD): End-of-November Technical Signals1. Market Overview Gold opened today’s session in a tight consolidation range while still maintaining its short-term bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. Buying pressure remains stable, but demand is not yet strong enough to break through the 4150 resistance zone, which is the confluence of the higher-timeframe descending trendline and the H1 supply area. 2. Current Technical Data The H1 structure remains in a short-term uptrend, with a clear Higher Low formed. Key Buy Zone (H1): 4110 continues to play the role of a major demand zone. Strong resistance sits around 415x, aligned with the descending trendline from the higher timeframe. Bullish momentum is still present, but each retest of the trendline shows strong reaction → indicating sellers have not fully stepped aside. Bollinger Bands and EMAs are tightening, signaling an incoming volatility breakout. Overall, the market appears to be building energy for a significant move, with clear positioning between buyers and sellers. 3. Price Action Scenarios • Breakout Scenario above 4160 If price breaks above 4160 with a clean H1 candle close, it would confirm buyer dominance. This type of breakout would be considered genuine and may validate a continuation toward the 4180 region. • Pullback Scenario toward Key Buy 4110 If gold rejects the 4160 zone and retraces, price may draw liquidity downward toward 4110–4120 before accumulating for another push upward. This area aligns well with SMC principles, as it previously produced a strong bullish footprint. 4. Trading Strategy (Educational technical outlook only — not financial advice) ✔ BUY-STOP 4160 Break and H1 candle close above 4160 → confirms active bullish order flow. Trigger: 4160 Invalidation: 4150 Target: 4180 ✔ BUY at Key Demand Zone 4110 A liquidity-driven pullback into 4110–4120 offers a clean accumulation area. Entry: 4110 Invalidation: 4098–4102 Targets: 4140 → 4160 ✔ BUY from 4088–4090 (if deeper sweep occurs) Final defensive demand zone where buyers may step back in. Invalidation: 4078 Targets: 4120 → 4140 5. Conclusion Gold is preparing for a potential breakout after an extended accumulation phase. The 4160 level acts as the “gateway” that may determine the direction of the entire session. - Today’s scenarios can be summarized as: Break above 4160 → potential move toward 4180 Liquidity sweep toward 4110 → potential rebound toward 4150 Rejection at 4160 → possible drop toward 4135 and 4110 Among these, the 4160 breakout confirmation remains the clearest and most structured option from a technical perspective. A confirmed break above 4160 could propel price quickly toward the 4180 region. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
PYTH:XAUUSD
by RexTraderSignal
GOLD ANALYSIS (Nov 25, 2025) | XAUUSD Next MoveOANDA:XAUUSD GOLD ANALYSIS What’s Moving the Market Today? (November 25, 2025) Welcome back to Trade with DECRYPTERS, where we turn complex smart-money charts into clean buy & sell zones. Keep it simple let the levels guide your decisions. *📰 Market Overview* Gold is stabilizing after a sharp impulsive rally toward the Smart Money Sell Area (4165–4148) and is currently hovering around $4,140–4,150. The Dollar Index stays firm near 100.20, keeping upside capped while buyers continue defending deeper discounts. Volatility remains moderate as the market awaits high-impact macro data and clarity from the Fed. *Key Fundamentals Driving Today’s Move* 📈 DXY steady near 100.20 → limits bullish continuation 🏦 Fed divisions on December cuts → rate-cut expectations drop 🌍 Geopolitical risks (US–China tariffs, Middle East tensions) keep safe-haven demand alive 🏛 Central bank buying strong — Poland, Azerbaijan & Kazakhstan continue accumulation 📊 ETF flows slow in late November as investors partially book profits The tug-of-war between hawkish Fed tone and global risk premium keeps gold trading inside a tight structure. *📆 What’s Ahead Key Events to Watch* 🔸 Flash PMIs — This Week Manufacturing expected ~49 Services expected ~51 Weak PMI → boosts rate-cut probability → gold bullish Strong PMI → DXY bounce → gold dips toward demand zones 🔸 US Q3 GDP & Jobless Claims First major data release after the recent government shutdown. A strong GDP print could delay rate-cut bets → gold bearish short-term. 🔸 FOMC Meeting — December 16 Markets lean toward a pause, but a dovish shift could push gold toward 4180 → 4220+. Hawkish tone risks flushing price into 4085–4095 or deeper smart-money zones. 🔸 Geopolitical Premium Any escalation = instant gold spike Calm environment + strong USD = controlled pullbacks *🟩 GOLD TECHNICAL LEVELS* Gold continues to respect the mid-range structure, rejecting premium levels and seeking discounts for re-accumulation. After a strong impulse from 4085–4095, price surged into 4148–4165, where sellers remain active. *🎯 EQUILIBRIUM (EQ): 4122 – 4125* This is the true intraday pivot. Hold Above EQ Bullish momentum continues toward: ➡️ 4148 → 4165 → 4180 Stay Below EQ Price weakens toward: ➡️ 4095 → 4085 Possible deeper sweep if macro data disappoints. *🟩 📌 SCALP BUY AREA: 4085 – 4095* Strong demand zone where smart money previously accumulated. Ideal for: ✔️ Intraday dip buys ✔️ First reaction entries ✔️ Counter-trend bounces inside discount areas Break below this = fast drop toward deeper liquidity zones. *🟥 📌 SMART MONEY SELL AREA: 4165 – 4148* Chart’s primary reaction zone. ✔️ Sellers consistently defend this ✔️ Perfect area for scalping shorts ✔️ High probability liquidity-grab zone A clean break above 4165 shifts momentum toward Extreme POIs. *🔺 📌 EXTREME POI (Institutional Orders Zone): 4180 – 4200* High-volume liquidity pocket. If price taps this: Expect manipulation wicks → sharp reversals unless backed by strong news. *🚨 📌 ULTRA EXTREME POI (Smart Money $32M Block): 4220 – 4240* This is the zone highlighted in your chart as “32 Million $$ of Smart Money Orders.” Only activated during: ✔️ Major volatility ✔️ Data spikes ✔️ Geo-political shocks A premium zone ideal for swing-level reversal trades. *🔻 📌 DEEP SMART MONEY BUY ORDERS (If Market Flushes): 3962 – 3978* Only triggered on a larger macro-driven correction. Institutions are heavily positioned here. Expect: ✔️ Violent V-shaped recoveries ✔️ Long-wick reversals ✔️ High-reward long setups Reclaiming above 4,000 from this zone confirms strong bullish intent. *📌 Conclusion* Gold remains firmly range-bound, with the 4122–4125 equilibrium acting as the true intraday pivot for direction. Holding above this zone keeps momentum tilted toward 4148–4165 and possibly 4180, while slipping below it exposes the market to dips into 4095–4085 where buyers have consistently defended. With the Fed’s uncertain tone and ongoing geopolitical risks shaping sentiment, gold continues to behave as a strict level-to-level market. Stay patient, let price return to your zones, and execute only where smart money is active. Stay disciplined. Let the levels do the work. *🙌 Support the Analysis* Please support this work with your likes & comments it motivates deeper daily analysis! Share your charts & thoughts Let’s grow together. Best Regards, *M. MOIZ KHATTAK | Founder — TRADE WITH DECRYPTERS*
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DECRYPTERS
1
USD/JPY) berash trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY H1 chart: --- Overall Bias: Bearish The chart shows a continuation bearish setup after a corrective structure inside supply, followed by a trendline break and rejection from FVG + supply zone. --- Key Technical Points Price tapped into the FVG / Supply zone (157.00–157.25) and rejected strongly → Sellers confirmed Rising corrective channel (bearish correction pattern) → Breakout already visible (trendline break noted on chart) Price below EMA 50 and approaching EMA 200 → Momentum shifting bearish Market structure Lower highs forming Strong rejection wick confirming distribution Bearish BOS expected after correction completes --- Target Zone 155.90 – 156.00 Key demand zone & imbalance fill area (Aligned near EMA 200 providing confluence) --- Trade Idea Approach Entry idea: Look for retest of broken trendline or lower timeframe supply inside current zone Target: 155.90 – 156.00 Invalidation / SL: Break & close above 157.25 --- Smart Money Concept Perspective Institutional distribution in premium pricing FVG mitigation completed Liquidity sweep at highs Expecting displacement to downside Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary The structure favors selling continuation as long as price stays below the supply & FVG rejection zone. The target of 155.90 is reasonable for the next move. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of breakdown of your analysis idea based on the chart you provided (XAUUSD – 4H): --- Chart Overview Symbol: Gold Spot (XAUUSD) Timeframe: 4H Indicators used: EMA 50 (blue), EMA 200 (black) Current price: ~4095.58 Key support zone: 4060 – 4075 region Target: 4125 – 4130 --- Idea Explanation 1. Market Structure Price has recently broken upward strongly from the EMA50 zone. Expectation: A retracement back into the Demand Zone (blue region). Fibonacci levels shown: 0.5 / 0.618 / 0.705 / 0.786 Expected retracement point appears around 4070–4065. 2. Trade Plan Bullish Scenario Wait for price to retrace into the Demand Zone Look for confirmations (rejection candle, BOS, liquidity sweep) Enter long position between 4075 – 4065 SL likely beneath 4050–4045 TP area 4125 – 4130 3. Liquidity Concept Chart shows a liquidity grab (sweep) below previous lows inside the demand zone After sweep → expectation of impulsive move upward --- Target & Risk Management Entry Stop Loss Take Profit R:R 4075–4065 4045 4125–4130 approx 1:3 – 1:4 --- Summary Bias: Bullish continuation Strategy: Retracement to demand + Fibonacci confluence + EMA support Target aligned with next significant high & liquidity area Mr SMC Trading point --- My Personal Insight This setup is clean and valid. The key will be waiting for price to confirm rejection in the zone. If news volatility pushes price deeper, 4060–4050 is strong institutional level. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
BTC/USD/ Bullish. Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of summary of this BTC/USDT H1 chart: --- Overall Bias: Bullish Short-Term The chart shows a bullish continuation structure after mitigation of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and support from EMAs. --- Key Technical Points Price retested and respected the FVG zone Located around 85,300 – 86,000 area, acting as demand. Price above EMA 50 (blue) and approaching EMA 200 (black) → Indicates building bullish momentum and potential trend reversal if EMA 200 breaks. Structure Higher lows forming Price breaking minor structure highs Strong bullish impulse candles Target Zone Target highlighted near 90,000 – 90,100 --- Trade Idea Concept Entry Idea: Look for retracement back into the FVG/EMA zone for continuation long (mitigation + breakout strategy). TP Target: 90,000 – 90,100 resistance and liquidity level Invalidation / Stop: Clean break below 85,300 demand zone would negate the bullish setup. --- Smart Money Concept Perspective FVG used as institutional demand Liquidity grab below previous lows during correction phase Targeting premium pricing near EMA 200 and liquidity pool Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary BTC is showing strength and continuation potential. As long as price stays above 85,300–86,000 zone, the path of least resistance is upward toward 90,000. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of summary of the chart you shared (USD/JPY H1): --- Overall Bias: Bearish The chart suggests a bearish continuation setup after a sharp impulsive drop and current corrective structure. --- Key Points in the Chart Price currently trading below EMA 50 (blue) and EMA 200 (black) → Indicates shifting momentum to the downside. Two Supply Zones / FVG Areas Highlighted First zone around 156.80–157.00 Second zone around 156.40–156.60 Price recently mitigated the lower supply zone and rejected again, showing sellers active. Market Structure Lower highs & lower lows forming. Bearish correction structure drawn (zigzag) pointing continuation lower. Target Zone The bearish target is marked around 154.900–155.000, a strong demand zone and liquidity pool. Likely liquidity sweep below previous lows. --- Trade Idea Concept Possible Entry: Look for short entries after bearish confirmation inside one of the supply zones if price retraces. TP Target: 154.90 – 155.00 demand zone (major target) Invalidation: Break & close above 157.00 invalidates bearish bias. Mr SMC Trading point --- Smart Money Concept View Trend transitioned after BOS Fair Value Gap + Supply + EMAs as confluence Targeting imbalance fill & liquidity --- Summary The chart shows a strong probability for continued downside, aiming to fill imbalance down to 155.00 region after a corrective pullback. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAUUSD) – Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone 1. Key Zone: Strong Demand / Rejection Area Price has reacted multiple times inside the blue demand zone (around 4040–4035). This zone aligns with Fibonacci levels (0.705–0.79), strengthening the bullish probability. Each touch shows buyers stepping in (long wicks + strong rejections). 2. Falling Wedge Breakout A falling wedge pattern has been broken to the upside. Price retested the wedge but dropped again to retest deeper inside the demand zone. A bullish continuation is expected after one more dip into the zone (green arrow). 3. EMAs: Bullish Confluence EMA 50 and EMA 200 are close, tightening and suggesting a potential trend shift. Price is expected to bounce off the demand zone and climb above EMAs. 4. Projected Move After tapping the demand zone, price is expected to: Break above recent structure highs Build bullish momentum toward the target point: 4,143.06 SMC Trading point 5. Overall Idea This setup indicates a bullish continuation forming after a correction. The blue zone is the high-probability buy zone, and the projected path suggests a move toward 4143 after confirmation. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
14
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the idea: --- Context & Structure The market has been in an uptrend, confirmed by a strong impulsive leg upward. The current pullback retraced into a key demand zone (highlighted blue box), aligning with: The 0.705 – 0.79 Fibonacci retracement zone, often a high-probability reversal area. The EMA(50) at 4,092, which provides dynamic support. --- Key Technical Elements 1. Demand Zone (Blue Box): Price has tapped into the discount area of the previous bullish move. This area is expected to attract buyers. 2. Fibonacci Confluence: The retracement aligns with the 70.5–79% zone, suggesting potential exhaustion of the pullback. 3. EMA Support: EMA(50) and EMA(200) are both trending upward, reinforcing bullish structure continuation. 4. Liquidity Sweep: The lower wick into the demand zone may represent a liquidity grab before the next bullish leg. --- Projected Scenario Expected reaction: bullish rejection from the 0.705–0.79 zone. Price is anticipated to form a short-term higher low and then continue upward. Target Point: 4,161.261 — aligns with the prior swing high / equal highs liquidity area. --- Trade Idea Summary Bias: Bullish continuation Entry Zone: 4,100–4,090 area (within blue zone) Confirmation: Bullish reversal candle or break of minor internal structure upward Target: 4,161 Invalidation: Clean break below 4,085 (below demand zone and EMAs) --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
8
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Let’s break down the technical analysis presented: Overall Idea The analysis suggests that Gold is likely to continue its upward movement after a possible short-term retracement. The chart projects a move toward the target point at 4,160.549. --- Key Technical Elements 1. Break of Structure / Trendline Break A descending trendline (black) has been broken to the upside, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The breakout candle is strong and supported by volume, confirming bullish momentum. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone A Fair Value Gap (blue box) has been marked where price may retrace to fill imbalance before continuing higher. This FVG area also aligns with the previous resistance turned support, adding confluence for a bullish continuation. 3. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) EMA 50 (blue): 4,016.295 EMA 200 (black): 3,965.661 Price has crossed above both EMAs, indicating a strong bullish trend shift. A bullish EMA crossover may be forming, further confirming upward bias. 4. Projection Path After a short retracement into the FVG zone, the expected price structure shows: A bounce upward forming higher highs. The final target zone is projected at 4,160.549, where a potential take-profit level lies. --- Target and Confirmation Target Point: 4,160.549 Retracement Zone (Buy Area): Within the blue FVG zone (around 4,060–4,080 range). Confirmation: Watch for a bullish reaction (e.g., bullish engulfing or rejection wicks) within the FVG zone before entry. --- Risk Considerations If price closes below the FVG or drops back under 4,016 (50 EMA), it could invalidate the bullish continuation setup. Fundamental catalysts like U.S. Dollar strength or economic data releases could cause volatility and affect momentum. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: This analysis outlines a bullish continuation setup on Gold, expecting a pullback into the FVG for liquidity collection before resuming upward momentum toward 4,160.549. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
6
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4H timeframe, following Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and structural confluence trading. Let’s break down the full reasoning behind this setup --- Overall Concept The chart suggests that Gold is preparing for a bullish breakout after a successful retest of the trendline and demand zone, signaling potential institutional accumulation before a push toward the target level at 4,080.231. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Market Structure Price recently broke above a descending trendline, signaling a potential change of character (ChoCH) from bearish to bullish structure. The higher lows and multiple rejections from the blue demand zone confirm buyer interest. The small arrow and upward projection illustrate an expected retracement and continuation pattern (impulse → correction → new impulse). 2. Key Levels Current Price: 4,001.275 50 EMA: 4,003.110 → Price is now testing and starting to close above this level, showing renewed bullish strength. 200 EMA: 3,960.048 → Dynamic support confirming mid-term bullish bias. Demand Zone (blue area): Around 3,985–3,995 — key zone for re-entries and confirmation of buyer defense. Target Point: 4,080.231 (aligned with a liquidity zone or prior imbalance area). 3. Confluences EMA Cross: Price pushing above both 50 and 200 EMA — often a signal of trend reversal strength. Trendline Retest: The green arrow indicates a successful retest of broken resistance turned support. Bullish Structure: Higher highs and higher lows forming above the EMAs. Volume: 101K+ — healthy momentum supporting institutional buy continuation. 4. Expected Scenario 1. Short-term retracement into the blue demand zone or along the ascending trendline. 2. Bullish reaction (engulfing candle or rejection wick). 3. Continuation move toward the 4,080 target zone. --- Trade Idea Summary Aspect Detail Bias Bullish Entry Zone 3,985 – 3,995 (demand + trendline confluence) Stop Loss Below 3,960 (under EMA200 and previous swing low) Take Profit 4,080 Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better Mr SMC Trading point --- Confirmation to Watch Bullish candle close above 4,005 (EMA50) Rejection from the blue demand zone Break of short-term high around 4,015 confirming continuation --- Summary Gold appears ready for a trend continuation following accumulation above major EMAs and a clean retest of structure. The next impulsive move is projected toward 4,080, aligning with prior liquidity and smart money target areas. please support boost 🚀 this analysis
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
8
GBP/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of GBP/JPY (4H timeframe) based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci premium zone confluence. Let’s break down the full analysis and idea 👇 --- Overall Concept This setup illustrates a retracement sell idea, expecting GBP/JPY to reverse from a premium Fibonacci zone (0.62–0.79) after a corrective rally. The chart suggests price is likely to reject the supply zone and continue downward toward the 198.820 target point. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Market Structure The overall structure has shifted bearish — price broke a prior higher low, confirming a Change of Character (ChoCH). The move up is seen as a retracement to fill imbalance and mitigate a supply zone before continuation down. The chart shows a lower-high formation in progress, aligning with bearish momentum. 2. Key Levels Current Price: 201.899 50 EMA: 201.561 → currently acting as dynamic resistance. 200 EMA: 201.531 → additional confluence resistance level. Premium Fibonacci Zone (0.62–0.79): 201.80–202.40 (marked by the blue area). This is the ideal sell zone where liquidity above recent highs may be collected before the drop. Target Point: 198.820 — previous demand zone and potential liquidity area. 3. Fibonacci & Supply Confluence The retracement is drawn from the previous swing high to swing low. Price has tapped into the 0.705–0.79 zone, which overlaps with the EMA resistance cluster. Red arrow marks the potential entry trigger area where institutions may enter short. 4. Expected Price Action 1. Price rejects the blue premium zone (0.62–0.79). 2. A bearish rejection candle or engulfing pattern forms. 3. Market structure confirms with a lower low on smaller timeframes. 4. Price continues downward toward 198.820 — the target point and liquidity draw. 5. Volume & Confirmation Volume (37.2K) indicates market participation, aligning with a potential exhaustion of buyers near resistance. The clean liquidity sweep above EMAs supports the bearish mitigation scenario. --- Trade Idea Summary Aspect Detail Bias Bearish Entry Zone 201.80 – 202.40 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 + supply area) Stop Loss Above 202.60 (structure invalidation) Take Profit 198.82 (target liquidity zone) Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better --- Confirmation to Watch Bearish rejection candle or engulfing pattern within blue zone Price holding below EMA50/200 Break of internal support confirming bearish continuation Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary GBP/JPY is showing signs of distribution after a corrective pullback into a premium zone. The confluence of Fibonacci retracement, EMA resistance, and structure break supports a bearish continuation toward 198.820, making this a clean retracement sell setup aligned with SMC methodology. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
USD/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4H timeframe, built on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles, Fibonacci retracement, and liquidity structure. Let’s break down the full trading idea and logic 👇 --- Overall Concept The idea shows a retracement sell setup, where price is expected to pull back into a premium zone (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79) before resuming a bearish move toward the target zone near 150.928. This aligns with a potential distribution phase after a strong bullish rally. --- Technical Breakdown 1. Market Structure The market broke below the recent higher low → signaling a shift in structure from bullish to bearish. The move up into the blue zone is considered a pullback for liquidity grab or supply zone mitigation before continuation down. 2. Key Levels Current Price: 153.428 50 EMA: 153.346 → price is currently retesting around this dynamic resistance. 200 EMA: 151.572 → next potential support area and confluence with the target zone. Premium Zone (Fibonacci): 0.62–0.79 levels between 153.90–154.20 — expected sell area. Target Zone: 150.928 – key demand zone and previous liquidity area. 3. Fibonacci Confluence The retracement tool from swing high → swing low shows price is expected to retest the 0.62–0.79 levels, which is a smart money premium zone for short entries. 4. Expected Price Action 1. Short-term retracement up into the blue supply zone (0.62–0.79). 2. Bearish reaction and rejection candle formation (e.g., engulfing or long wick). 3. Continuation downward to take liquidity resting below 151.00 and fill imbalance into the 150.928 target area. 5. Volume & Confirmation Moderate volume (24.5K) aligns with a retracement phase before a possible impulsive drop. Watch for bearish divergence or rejection wicks in the premium zone for confirmation. --- Trade Idea Summary Aspect Detail Bias Bearish Entry Zone 153.90 – 154.20 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 / supply zone) Stop Loss Above 154.40 (above structure high) Take Profit 150.92 (demand zone target) Risk-to-Reward (RR) ≈ 1:3 or better Mr SMC Trading point --- Confirmation to Watch Rejection candles or bearish engulfing patterns near 154.00 Price failing to break above EMA50 or upper structure Momentum shift on lower timeframe (M15–H1) confirming entry trigger --- Summary USD/JPY shows signs of a bearish correction phase, with price expected to retest premium levels before dropping toward 150.92. The setup is supported by a structure break, Fibonacci confluence, and EMA alignment suggesting downside continuation. --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
1
BTC/USD) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of BTC/USDT (4-hour timeframe). Here's the idea breakdown: --- 1. Overall Structure The price is moving within a descending channel, suggesting a broader downtrend. The two black trendlines show clear lower highs and lower lows forming. --- 2. Key Zones & Indicators Blue Zone (104,000–106,000 region): This is a major supply/resistance zone where price has repeatedly rejected. The two red arrows mark failed attempts to break above it — confirming strong bearish pressure. EMA 50 (blue line) and EMA 200 (black line): Price is trading below both EMAs, confirming bearish market structure. The 50 EMA is below the 200 EMA, indicating a bearish crossover (momentum continuation signal). --- 3. Expected Move After the recent rejection from the supply zone, the chart projects a bearish continuation: A possible small pullback or consolidation. Then a drop toward the target area near $90,099, which aligns with the lower boundary of the channel (major support). --- 4. Target Target Point: Around $90,100, which could be the next liquidity zone or potential demand area. --- 5. Summary Trend: Bearish Structure: Lower highs & lower lows (descending channel) Bias: Continuation to the downside Confirmation: Rejection from supply + EMA resistance alignment Target: $90,100 Mr SMC Trading point --- Trading Idea Summary: “BTC is maintaining a bearish structure under EMA resistance and rejecting the 104–106K supply zone. Unless price reclaims that level, continuation toward 90K support remains the high-probability scenario.” Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
USDJPY (4H) – Bearish Divergence & Rising Wedge Breakdown Ahead4-hour chart of ICMARKETS:USDJPY is showing a clear bearish divergence on RSI, signaling potential exhaustion in the recent bullish leg. Price has formed a rising wedge pattern, now testing the lower trendline support — a key inflection point for the pair. A confirmed breakdown below the recent Higher Low (HL) will invalidate the bullish structure and could trigger a shift in market sentiment, marking the beginning of a new bearish phase with price starting to print Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). 📉 Bearish Outlook: A decisive break close bewlow–152.750 could accelerate downside momentum. Next downside target sits near 151.550, aligning with the recent high low 0.5 FIB retracement. Further below, an unfilled price gap between 149.000–147.400 may attract price to fill before any meaningful reversal. 📈 Invalidation: If price breaks and closes above 154.500, the bearish scenario will be invalidated and momentum may resume new higher. BIAS support a bearish unless bulls reclaim control above key resistance.
Short
by awaisulabdeen
GBP/JPY) Bearish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of GBP/JPY, anticipating a retracement into a premium Fibonacci zone (0.62–0.79) before a continuation to the downside — targeting 198.79. Here’s the detailed breakdown --- Overall Idea The market is currently in a bearish structure, and this analysis expects a pullback toward resistance (Fibonacci + EMA confluence) before the next impulsive bearish leg. The plan is to sell from the premium zone with confirmation, aiming for 198.79 as the target point. --- Key Components 1. Market Structure GBP/JPY recently made a strong impulsive drop, confirming a bearish trend. The current upward movement is viewed as a corrective retracement, not a reversal. The analysis expects the pullback to form a lower high around the resistance zone before dropping again. 2. Fibonacci Retracement Zone The highlighted blue zone (0.62–0.79 Fibonacci levels) marks the premium sell area. The red arrow indicates the anticipated reaction point — likely near the 0.705 level. This zone coincides with previous support-turned-resistance, adding confluence. 3. EMA Confluence 50 EMA (200.905) and 200 EMA (201.665) are both above price, sloping downward — confirming bearish momentum. Price is projected to retest these EMAs, which will likely act as dynamic resistance before rejection. 4. Projected Path The drawn path shows price retracing upward, hitting the 0.705 Fibonacci level, then reversing strongly downward. The target zone at 198.79 aligns with a previous demand zone and measured move projection from the earlier impulse. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Market bias: Bearish Setup type: Retracement sell / Trend continuation Sell zone: 0.62–0.79 Fibonacci retracement (≈ 200.90–201.70 area) Target point: 198.79 Confirmation: Bearish rejection from the blue zone (candlestick pattern or structure break) Invalidation: Break and close above 201.80 --- please support boost 🚀 this analysis
by SMC-Trading-Point
3
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) — expecting a retracement into a demand/Fibonacci zone before a continuation to the upside toward the target at 4,030.68. Here’s the detailed breakdown --- Overall Idea The analysis suggests a pullback-entry buy scenario, where Gold is expected to retrace to a key Fibonacci confluence + trendline support zone, then resume the uptrend toward 4,030. This setup fits the Smart Money Concept (SMC) and market structure shift logic — from bearish to bullish. --- Key Components 1. Market Structure Shift Price broke above the descending trendline, signaling a potential bullish reversal. The pullback is seen as a retest of the breakout zone, which often becomes a new support area. The overall expectation is for a higher-low formation, leading to continuation upward. 2. Fibonacci Retracement Zone The 0.5–0.79 retracement area (highlighted blue box) is the ideal buy zone. Price is expected to tap into this area before continuing higher. The 0.705 Fibonacci level aligns with the previous structure and EMAs, adding confluence. 3. EMA Confluence 50 EMA (3,986.37) and 200 EMA (4,007.71) are key dynamic levels. Price is retesting around the 50 EMA, which supports the idea of a bullish continuation if respected. Once price breaks above the 200 EMA, momentum confirmation strengthens. 4. Projected Path The expected pattern: ➤ Pullback into 0.62–0.79 zone → ➤ Formation of a higher low → ➤ Impulsive move toward 4,030.68 target point. The projected move aligns with structure and Fibonacci extension. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Market bias: Bullish Setup type: Retracement buy / Trend continuation Entry zone: 3,975–3,985 (Fibonacci 0.62–0.79 area) Target point: 4,030.68 Confirmation: Bullish rejection from zone or structure break above 4,000 Invalidation: Break below 3,960 (previous swing low) --- pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
4
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a clean structure suggesting continuation toward the 200 EMA. Here's the idea summary: --- Analysis Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup 1. Structure Overview: Price is currently trading above the ascending trendline, showing a short-term bullish bias. The 50 EMA (3,974.93) has recently been retested and held as support. The 200 EMA (4,011.37) acts as the next resistance / target point. 2. Setup Logic: After a breakout above the 50 EMA, price is forming a retest zone (highlighted box). A bullish reaction from this zone aligns with the trendline confluence and EMA support. This suggests buyers may step in again to push price higher. 3. Entry & Target: Entry Zone: Near 3,974–3,978 (trendline + EMA confluence area). Target: 4,011 (200 EMA / key resistance). Stop Loss: Below 3,965 (below the trendline and retest box). 4. Market Psychology: Recent candles show higher lows and strong bullish momentum after rejection from previous lows. Break and retest of dynamic resistance (50 EMA) supports bullish continuation. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias Entry Zone Stop Loss Target Confirmation Bullish 3,974–3,978 <3,965 4,011 Bounce from trendline or bullish candle pattern --- Pelas support boost 🚀 this analysis
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
USD/JPY Has a Bearish Trading BiasThe USD/JPY pair is currently stable, with the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthening slightly against the weaker US Dollar (USD). This JPY strengthening halted the previous day's sharp decline, but the overall movement of USD/JPY is limited by conflicting fundamental factors. 1. Market Fundamental Factors A. Support for the Japanese Yen (JPY) BoJ Hawkish: The minutes of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) September meeting released on Wednesday maintained market expectations for an imminent interest rate hike. Intervention: Speculation that Japanese authorities might intervene to prevent further JPY weakness also offered support. B. Limits to JPY Strength and Support for USD/JPY BoJ Uncertainty: Investors remain uncertain about the exact timing of the BoJ's next interest rate hike. This uncertainty is fueled by expectations that the new Prime Minister, Sanae Takaichi, will pursue an aggressive fiscal spending plan and resist policy tightening. Global Risk Sentiment: A moderate recovery in global risk sentiment tends to weaken the safe-haven JPY. Strong USD: The US dollar (USD) held steady near its highest level since late May on the back of the US Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, which helped limit USD/JPY's decline. 2. USD/JPY Technical Analysis USD/JPY has been struggling below the key resistance level of 154.40-154.45 for over a week. This zone serves as a pivot point that determines the direction of price movement. A. Bullish Scenario ⬆️ Trigger for a Rise: A sustained breakout and acceptance above 154.40-154.45 will be a signal for bulls. Next Target: Spot prices will aim to reclaim the psychological 155.00 level. Continued Target: Continued buying will open the way to the 155.60-155.65 resistance level, before rising further towards the 156.00 level. B. Bearish Scenario ⬇️ Initial Support: The 153.65 area is expected to offer support, followed by the overnight low around 153.00 - 152.95. Selling Trigger: Acceptance below 153.00 could trigger technical selling. Downside Target: The corrective decline will accelerate towards the intermediate support level of 152.55 - 152.50, and extend towards the 152.00 round number and last week's low at 151.55. USDJPY remains bearish below the pivot zone, with the next directional move to be confirmed by a breakout from the current consolidation range.
Short
by NouzTrader