Commodity
GOLD (XAU/USD): detailed breakdown. What is the next step?As it can be clearly observed from the 3H timeframe graph, after breaking out of the ascending channel illustrated on the chart, the price has managed to re-test the area of the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and complete the break+retest pattern.
At the moment, the price is trading within the borders of the rectangular range portrayed on the graph. Considering the strength of the USD and the recent price development of GOLD, we are pretty positive that bearish impulses will continue from here on.
With the Stop Loss above the upper barrier of the consolidation box, we are entering short positions and aiming for the bottom of the ocean.
GOLD Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022GOLD Volatility Forecast 19-24 Sep 2022
The current implied volatility is +-36.6$ from the current opening of the weekly candle, 1674$
With this in mind, we have a 80% chance that the market is going to stay within the range:
TOP: 1711
BOT: 1637
At the same time, we can see that the average weekly candle, is around 1.5 - 1.75%
From the technical analysis POV, we can see that our asset is above EMA 50/100/200.
From the volume POV, we can see that currently CMF level is on the negative side, indicading a stronger seller positions.
I believe we are to go towards 1650 initially, where probably we are going to meet some resistence, but if we manage to break this part, probably we can go twaords 1640 - 1630.
GOLD - Video Top-Down Analysis!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for GOLD.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Lumber Prices May Run Higher if Bulls Defend the 2021 Low Lumber prices are trading near their 2021 low as prices extend a multi-week losing streak. A break below 452.2 would likely induce further weakness, and the chart setup appears biased for more pain. However, if bulls defend that level, a Falling Wedge offers a potential breakout chance, but it would first require prices to rise to and break wedge resistance.
XAUUSD Outlook (7 September 2022)Gold finds the downside again.
Following the brief climb to the 1720 price area, Gold has reversed strongly back towards the 1700 level.
With the current and anticipated strength of the DXY, Gold could continue trading lower beyond the 1700 level towards the 1680 key support level.
But as per the DXY analysis, a deep retrace could be expected, which could also lead to the price of Gold bouncing strongly from the 1680 support level back towards the 1720 and 1730 resistance area.