The battle has begun for VZ glory.Just taking a look at the hourly chart and it looks like the bulls broke through resistance, but the bears were able to push them back, for now at least. Every time the bears push the price down, the bulls push it right back up to the edge.
This is bullish IMO. It gives bears less liquidity to slow down the move upwards when the range is so tight. It will be interesting to see how things unfold.
Watch for high volume at the end of the session.
"The clock is ticking bears. Join us! JOIN THE LIGHT! DO IT FOR GLORY!" 🤣
Consolidation-breakout
HAL: fake breakdown and a possible bullish move.Stock: Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd NSE:HAL
• Timeframe: 1-day candles (each candle represents one day of trading)
1. Consolidation Zone: A grey rectangular box highlights an area of "consolidation" starting from around May 14th. This means the stock price has been trading sideways within a relatively narrow range, not showing a clear uptrend or downtrend.
2. Fake Breakdown: An arrow points to a price dip below the lower boundary of the consolidation zone. The annotation calls this a "fake breakdown." This implies that the price temporarily moved below the support level, but then quickly bounced back up.
3. Potential Trade Setup: The chart suggests a potential long (buy) trade based on the fake breakdown and the subsequent recovery.
• Entry Point: Around 4,897.55 (labeled "ENTRY" on the chart) which is the price at which the stock could be bought.
• Stop Loss: Around 4,733.75 (likely intended to be the "4733.60")
This is the level below which the trader would exit the position to limit potential losses if the price moves against them.
• Targets: The chart identifies three potential profit targets:
* Target 1: 5,087.85
* Target 2: 5,305.15
* Target 3: 5,497.80
EUR/JPY Analysis – Flag Breakout Signals Further UpsideHello Traders,
It's been a while. I trust you are good.
Kindly find below my analysis of EURJPY currency pair.
Overview:
EUR/JPY has been consolidating within a bullish flag pattern, characterized by lower highs and lower lows over the past few trading sessions. Price action has now broken above the flag’s resistance, indicating a possible continuation of the broader bullish trend.
Idea:
The breakout above the bullish flag suggests that bulls are regaining control. Price is currently hovering around 169.370, having just cleared the wedge’s resistance line.
Key levels to monitor:
1. Support Zone: Around 169.200–169.300
2. Resistance Level: 169.699
Trade setup:
Entry: On a successful breakout or break and retest of 169.200–169.300.
Stop Loss: Below 168.816 (beneath the flag's support and recent swing low).
Targets: TP1: 169.699, TP2: 170.000–170.200
Conclusion:
EUR/JPY has broken out of a bullish flag pattern, signaling momentum shift in favor of buyers. If price sustains above the breakout zone or clears 169.699 resistance, we may see an extended rally toward the 170.000 mark. Trade with caution.
Cheers and happy trading.
NEAR’s Pullback Zone Found — Is $4 Next?NEAR just pulled off a +50% rally from the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2.224 — a strong show of force from the bulls. After that explosive move, price is now cooling off in a consolidation phase, preparing for the next leg higher.
🟢 Long Setup — Dip Before Lift?
The next high-probability long zone lies between:
$3.026 – $2.94
Possible but less likely of a deeper dip to $2.78 (0.5 Fib of the recent move)
Long entries can be laddered between $3.00 and $2.90 (even $2.80 if volatility kicks in).
Stop-Loss: Below the daily 21 EMA ($2.7344) and 21 SMA ($2.6739)
Target: $4.00
R:R: ~4:1 — clean and structured
This setup aligns with standard continuation behaviour after strong impulses — consolidation, retrace, and resume.
🔴 Short Setup (on Rejection at $4.00)
Entry: ~$4.00
Stop-Loss: Above $4.25
Target: Yearly open (~$3.65)
R:R: ~1.5:1 — not ideal, but valid on confirmation
🎯 Summary
NEAR is consolidating after a strong move — either ready to continue higher or retest deeper into Fib support
Long zone: $3.00–$2.90 (poss. $2.80)
Short zone: $4.00 (on rejection only)
Simple structure, clean risk, and nothing forced — exactly how it should be.
Sometimes, less is more. Let price show the next move. Stay ready. 📈
___________________________________
If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Nvidia Stock 5-Day Consolidation Breakout - Uptrend or Pullback?Trade Duration: Intraday
Trade Type: Breakout
- Nvidia is currently consolidating tightly between $132 and $136, forming a narrow range that reflects a balance between buyers and sellers unwilling to relinquish control. This range-bound action signals indecision, but it won’t last indefinitely.
- Typically, the longer the consolidation, the more significant the subsequent move. As new participants enter the market, a breakout—whether upward or downward—can trigger a powerful surge.
- This move is often amplified by breakout buyers joining in and stop-loss orders of trapped traders being triggered, creating an ideal setup for an intraday breakout trade.
- I plan to initiate either a buy or sell position depending on the breakout direction, capitalizing on the momentum generated by this tight consolidation phase.
Upside Targets : 138$ and 141$
Downside Targets : 128$ and 126$
EURUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 22.04.25)Overall Trend & Context:
This pair is in an overall uptrend and has broken above last weeks highs.
Technical Findings:
Price is trading above 25, 50,100 and 200 EMA's on the daily and 4H charts.
Overall Bullish price action is evident.
Price has been consolidating through London session thus far, we can expect a tap into the demand below the liquidity (relative equal lows) before continuation of bullish cycles.
Notes:
Price is currently at a weekly supply level, we may bounce in and out of it a few times, so manage your risk and take this setup based on your own analysis as well.
GBPNZD - TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS📊 Technical Analysis – GBPNZD
🔻 Market Context:
Current Price: ~2.2838
The pair has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows.
Price recently revisited a previous support zone, indicated by the horizontal line and purple box, showing potential for either a reversal or a continuation.
🔍 Key Zones:
Support Zone: Around 2.2830 – 2.2800
Price is testing this area and has shown a few wicks indicating buyers are present.
Demand Reaction Needed: A bullish candle formation is crucial at this level to signal potential upside.
🔼 Bullish Scenario (Reversal Play):
If a strong bullish candle forms around current levels, it could lead to a push higher toward 2.3000 and potentially 2.3100.
Watch for a break of short-term lower highs with volume confirmation.
🔽 Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Play):
Failure to hold above the current support level (2.2830–2.2800) may result in a deeper drop, targeting the 2.2700–2.2650 area.
The Bear Bias zone (marked on the chart) suggests sellers are active and may continue to push lower if structure breaks.
🧠 Fundamental Probabilities – April 8, 2025
🇬🇧 UK Outlook (GBP):
No major economic data is scheduled today for the UK, but markets remain cautious due to:
Ongoing uncertainty around the BoE’s interest rate stance.
Sticky inflation and mixed signals from recent PMI data.
Pound strength has been mostly reactive to broader risk sentiment and interest rate expectations.
🇳🇿 NZ Outlook (NZD):
Key driver today: NZ Business Confidence & Dairy Auction
If business sentiment remains weak and dairy prices disappoint, NZD could come under pressure.
RBNZ's dovish bias is also lingering in the background; the central bank is expected to maintain or potentially cut rates if economic softness continues.
✅ Summary:
Bias Condition Target
🔼 Bullish Bullish candle at support 2.3000 / 2.3100
🔽 Bearish Break below 2.2800 2.2700 / 2.2650
XAUUSD Head And Shoulder pattern breakdownGold update 15m head and shoulder breakdown
Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
3,040.000 (Immediate Resistance)
3,050.000
3,060.000
3,070.000 (Major Resistance)
Support Levels:
3,022.000 (Immediate Support)
3,014.000
3,006.500
2,999.000
2,991.000 (Major Support)
Price Action Overview:
Gold is currently trading at 3,033.785, showing a slight upward movement of +1.685 (+0.096%).
The price has been consolidating between 3,031.425 (Low) and 3,034.430 (High) in the last 15-minute candle. The market is testing the 3,035.410 level, which could act as a minor resistance.
Technical Indicators:
USB (Ultimate Support/Resistance Band):
Current Value: 38.301 (-1.279)
Indicates potential support/resistance zones around 3,830.4.
TAT & Skullers Indicator:
Current Value: -38.306 (-1.269)
Suggests a potential retest or breakdown level around 3,830.6.
Market Sentiment:
The market is showing slight bullish momentum, but the price remains within a tight range.
A breakout above 3,040.000 could signal a stronger bullish trend, while a breakdown below 3,022.000 may indicate bearish pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Consider a long position if the price breaks and sustains above 3,040.000.
Targets:
3,050.000 (First Target)
3,060.000 (Second Target)
3,070.000 (Major Resistance)
Stop Loss: Place below 3,022.000 to manage risk.
Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Consider a short position if the price breaks and sustains below 3,022.000.
Targets:
3,014.000 (First Target)
3,006.500 (Second Target)
2,999.000 (Major Support)
Stop Loss: Place above 3,035.410 to manage risk.
Risk Management:
Always use proper risk management techniques.
Risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital per trade.
Adjust position sizes according to your risk tolerance and account size.
GBPUSD - LONGStrong cumulative flat. Buying opportunity after the formation of the Cypher pattern.
GBPUSD - LONG
ENTRY PRICE - 1.2912
SL - 1.28500
TP - 1.30780
Always follow the 6 Golden Rules of Money Management:
1. Protect your gains and never enter into a position without setting a stop loss.
2. Always trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1 to 1.5 or better.
3. Never over-leverage your account.
4. Accept your losses, move on to the next trade and trust the software.
5. Make realistic goals that can be achieved within reason.
6. Always trade with money you can afford to lose.
Please leave your comment and support me with like if you agree with my idea. If you have a different view, please also share with me your idea in the comments.
Have a nice day!
DOTUSDTRange Breakout: The pair has been trading within a range, and the breakout from this range signals potential bullish momentum. A breakout indicates that the price is ready to move out of its consolidation phase, with buyers now in control.
Trendline Breakout: The price breaking above a key trendline further confirms a shift from a bearish or neutral market sentiment to a more bullish one. This is a strong signal that upward momentum is building.
$PWR : Loss of energy in the AI energy and power stock Since 2022 when Open AI released its GPT 3.o model AI stocks like NASDAQ:NVDA and the data center solutions providers within the power and electricity space like NYSE:PWR and NYSE:ETN had a great run.
But recent events related to Deepseek have exposed weakness in the AI trade. When the market is fixated on NASDAQ:NVDA and NASDAQ:AVGO as the generational AI trade, the power and industrial names have been consolidating at their 200 Day SMA. These power stocks within the industrial sector are looking for catalysts to break out of the consolidating pattern. Let’s watch out for NASDAQ:NVDA earnings on Feb 26. And the SPDR Sub Sector Industrial ETF AMEX:XLI has also stalled. But we should always remember for this bull market to playout in full swing we need industrials need to outperform the index.
For now NYSE:PWR is in accumulation pattern.
SBUX | What's Next?SBUX has been on a tear lately. The screenshot I am including explains all of this as well; however, SBUX has seen a decline in value since being bouncing between the tight Support and Resistance levels. With all confluences taking into consideration - news, patterns, price action, and whatever else you can think of to make a case for a breakout beyond resistance or a reversal would be great towards helping me learn more!
Appreciate your time!
NASDAQ:SBUX
GU Ascends From Triangle - Breakout & Retest Set-UpFX:GBPUSD ended last week with a Bullish Price Breakout of the Ascending Triangle that it fell into after breaking down below Support-Turned-Resistance and finding Support at the October 2023 Lows last month.
Overall indicators suggest we could be experiencing a Valid Breakout of this pattern due to:
1) Strong Breaker Bar with Close outside of Range
2) Based on the Range from High to Low of the Ascending Triangle, Price made a 26% move beyond the break
3) Bullish Volume following Break
4) RSI Above 50
The Confirmation of Valid Break will come if price is able to:
1) Close 3 - 5 Days outside of pattern
2) Price successfully is Supported by Previous Structure Broken
3) Bullish Volume Builds on Retest
When the Breakout is Validated, Buying opportunities could be delivered in the ( 1.2525 - 1.2485 ) Range on the retest with an immediate Target Profit at the December 2024 Resistance laying overhead at the ( 1.28 - 1.29 ) Range
Fundamentally, this month we saw BOE make a 25bps rate cut down to 4.50% with GBP having quite a positive increase in GDP (+.3%) which could be inflationary. USD showed a slight uptick in CPI (+.1% y/y) strengthening the stance on minimal Rate Cutes this year but a big miss in Retail Sales, Unemployment Claims and Non-Farm Employment!
GBP:
Tuesday - Claimont Count Change/ BOE Gov. Bailey Speaks
Wednesday - CPI
Thursday - Consumer Confidence
Friday - Retail Sales/ Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI
USD:
Monday - Presidents Day (Bank Holiday)
Tuesday - Empire State Manufacturing Index
Wednesday - FOMC Meeting Minutes
Thursday - Unemployment Claims/ Philly Fed Manufacturing Index/ Crude Oil Inventories
Friday - Flash Manufacturing PMI/ Flash Services PMI/ Existing Home Sales
#AIXBTUSDT: Get Ready for a Breakout! Short Still the Priority?BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P is showing significant weakness after a prolonged downtrend, and now the market is at a critical level. Buyers failed to initiate even a minor rebound, indicating strong selling pressure.
🔎 Key Factors Right Now:
✔ Current Price: $0.23480
✔ Daily Change: -10.76%
✔ Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: $0.38080, $0.31670
🔹 Support: $0.22063
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
💡 Main Signals Influencing the Market:
📌 No rebound after the drop – the lack of buying pressure increases the chances of further decline.
📌 Empty space ahead – below $0.2206, there are no strong support zones, meaning a sharp drop could follow.
📌 Closing near a critical level – price remains at risk, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.
📌 Breakout from consolidation – the asset has left its range, signaling the potential formation of a new trend.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
📉 Main Scenario: Continued Decline
🔻 If BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P breaks below $0.2206, the market may accelerate downward:
✅ Target 1: $0.2100 – the nearest technical support.
✅ Target 2: $0.1955 – a zone where a short-term bounce could occur.
✅ Target 3: $0.1780 – a major support level where stronger buyer resistance is expected.
📢 Short remains the priority as long as price stays below $0.2300.
A breakdown of $0.2206 could trigger liquidations and accelerate the drop.
Be cautious with long positions – there are no strong reversal signals yet.
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
🟢 Alternative Scenario: Bullish Reversal
If BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P holds above $0.2300 and starts to recover, potential targets include:
✅ Target 1: $0.2700 – a local resistance zone.
✅ Target 2: $0.3167 – a level where a pullback is likely.
✅ Target 3: $0.3800 – a key resistance, breaking which could change the overall trend.
📢 A long entry is only valid if price holds above $0.2400.
Reversal confirmation requires an increase in volume and stability above $0.2500.
📢 As long as the price is below $0.2300 – long positions remain risky.
Conclusion : Critical Moment! Be Ready for a Sharp Move!
📌 BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P is at a make-or-break level – any move could lead to an explosive price shift.
📌 Sellers remain in control, but if $0.2300 holds, an unexpected rebound could happen.
📌 Short remains the main scenario, unless price successfully stabilizes above $0.2400.
🚀 Get ready for a major move! Watch $0.2206 closely – this level will determine BYBIT:AIXBTUSDT.P is next direction! 🔥