Bitcoin can bounce from support line of channel to 98500 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at this chart, we can observe how the price of Bitcoin has been in recent price action. The asset had been confidently moving inside an upward channel, building structure through higher highs and higher lows. Each upward impulse was supported by pullbacks to the support line, showing continued buyer pressure. The latest breakout above the support area confirmed a bullish continuation, and the price entered the seller zone, where it faced resistance. Despite multiple attempts to break through, the price repeatedly turned around, forming a tight triangle pattern within the upper boundary of the channel. Currently, the price has broken down from the triangle, but it still holds above the channel's lower line. Given that the channel remains intact and there's no strong breakdown of the structure, I expect the price to rebound from the lower boundary and continue climbing toward my TP 1 at 98500, which aligns with the resistance line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Correction
GOLD - Price can make correction movement to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago, the price traded inside a little flat, where it declined to the bottom part and then started to grow.
In a short time, it reached the $2955 level, broke it and started to trades inside a big flat, exiting from a small range.
After this movement, the price reached the top part of the flat and then corrected, after which it entered to pennant.
In the pennant pattern, Gold exited from a flat and rose to the resistance line from the support line, breaking the $3205 level.
Also recently, price made a correction, but then it turned around and bounced up, thereby exiting from pennant.
Now, I think that Gold can rise a little and then start to decline to $3205 support level.
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One Last Drop Before Take Off?Price is still in a pullback phase, and the next potential target zone is around 0.07488 – 0.07334.
We might see one last dip before BINANCE:STPTUSDT resumes its uptrend.
If the price reaches this pullback zone with a bullish divergence, that would be a strong confirmation for a possible reversal.
But even without divergence, we can still rely on candlestick patterns to signal a potential reversal at that level.
What do you think — will BINANCE:STPTUSDT bounce from this zone or break lower?
BTC - The Perfect Retest!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
The picture says it all!
🔄Is history about to repeat itself?
If so, we are currently in Phase 2. 📈
What’s next? A dip toward the $87,000 - $88,000 zone would be the perfect retest to look for trend-following longs and expect the start of Phase 3.
📚 Reminder:
Always stick to your trading plan — entry, risk management, and trade management are key.
Good luck, and happy trading!
All Strategies Are Good, If Managed Properly!
~Rich
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make movement up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Price continues to move inside a rising wedge, gradually climbing higher while respecting the boundaries of the formation. After a strong impulsive breakout above the 93000 level, the market has entered a phase of sideways consolidation just below the upper boundary of the pattern. This area acts as a pressure zone, where bullish attempts are becoming weaker, and the price starts to lose momentum. What's important is how clearly the trend line has been respected, with multiple touchpoints confirming its significance. Recently, BTC tested the lower boundary of the wedge near 93000, rebounded, and made another push upward. However, despite this growth, the price is nearing the resistance formed by the wedge's upper boundary, and this structure often implies a potential reversal once the market loses steam. Given this setup, I expect BTCUSDT to reject the upper edge and correct toward 95000, my short-term goal. This level aligns with the trend line, making it a logical area for the price to seek equilibrium again. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
HelenP. I Bitcoin can make correction to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The market behavior of price has been quite telling recently. After a significant rally from the lower support area around 81200 points, the price gradually established an ascending trend line, forming a steady bullish structure. The rise was confirmed multiple times by the trend line acting as dynamic support, allowing buyers to push the price toward the higher zones. However, after reaching the local peak close to 95300, the bullish momentum slowed down. Price formed a range and began showing early signs of weakness. Despite attempts to move higher, each push was met with resistance, causing smaller impulses than earlier moves. Currently, Bitcoin is trading just under the 95300 - 95500 zone, near the upper boundary of the recent range. I expect BTCUSDT can face further rejection here and initiate a correction. The nearest key target is the 92000 points, located close to the ascending trend line and matching the support structure below. Given the fading momentum, recent price action, and important technical levels nearby, I anticipate a downward move toward 92000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
NVDIA Death Cross Quant Perspectives (Light Case Study)NASDAQ: Nvidia (NVDA ) has recently experienced an uptrend after a death cross formed consisting of the 65 and 200 EMAs on the 1 Day chart.
If we analyze back on Nvidia starting in 1999 , we can count a total of 10 death crosses that have occurred, and 9 have been immediately followed by downtrends. Although a single death cross did not have an immediate downtrend, shortly after this event (approx. 282 days) another death cross formed and price then fell roughly twice as it historically has , almost appearing to make up for the missed signal.
From a quantitative perspective:
If we calculate the raw historical success rate using:
Raw Success Rate = 9/10 = 90
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 90%
In order to avoid overconfidence we can apply Laplace smoothing using:
Smoothed Probability = 9+1/10+2 = 10/12 or 0.8333
With this calculation the observed success of 65/200 EMA death crosses correlating to an immediate downtrend is 83%
Given the results of the data I personally feel that there is a Very High (83%) chance this death cross that recently formed on the 1 Day chart (around 04/16/2025) will immediately lead to a downtrend. And a Low (17%) chance it does not. Furthermore these results support a technical analysis hypothesis that I formed prior.
Many different systemic factors can contribute to the market movement, but mathematics sometimes leave subtle clues. Will the market become bearish? Or will Nvidia gain renewed bullish interest?
Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice.
GOLD - Price can make correction and then continue to growHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Price broke out from the lower wedge line and started climbing with confidence, building momentum step by step.
After bouncing off the $3215 zone, it pushed higher and touched the wedge resistance without major rejection.
The current candle formation shows signs of slowing down, hinting at a possible short-term pullback ahead.
Despite that, the structure remains bullish, and buyers are likely to defend local support if the price dips slightly.
With the breakout zones holding firm, I expect Gold to make a correction and then resume the upward path.
My target is set at $3500, where the upper wedge boundary might once again act as key resistance.
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HelenP. I Euro can make correction movement to $1.1150 pointsHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After testing the upper boundary of the ascending channel, the price showed signs of slowing momentum. Earlier, the price steadily climbed within the upward channel, forming consistently higher lows while bouncing from the lower trend line and support zones. During its rally, the price also reclaimed the 1.0950 level, turning it into a solid support zone, and continued higher with minor consolidations along the way. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance trend line at the top of the channel, where sellers began to show activity. This zone aligned with previous local highs and acted as a point of reversal. Following the rejection from the top boundary, the Euro formed a local high and started to flatten, indicating reduced bullish pressure. Now the price is trading slightly below the resistance trend line and remains inside the upward channel. Given the current structure and the latest price action near the upper edge, I expect a downward movement from this zone. My current goal is the 1.1150 points, which aligns with the midline of the channel and a key technical level from recent consolidation. This bearish scenario is supported by the reaction from the upper boundary and the potential for correction within the channel range. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Nasdaq - This Is Still Not The End Yet!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) cannot resist bearish pressure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past three months, we saw such a harsh correction on the Nasdaq that a lot of people are freaking out entirely. However technicals already told us that something feels wrong and this is the result. If we see another -10% from here, buying the dip will most likely pay off.
Levels to watch: $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold can exit from wedge and drop to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Price action on Gold has shown strong bullish momentum earlier, as it broke out of the previous upward channel and started forming an upward wedge. The rally gained traction once the price left the buyer zone between 3006 - 3025 points, pushing through multiple resistance levels and creating a new structure of higher highs. After the breakout from the wedge’s support line, the price continued to grow and eventually reached the upper boundary of the wedge pattern. Here, we saw a clear reaction and reversal, signaling potential exhaustion among buyers. Currently, the price is trading just below the upper wedge resistance and has already made a pullback after the latest local high. Given this structure and the fact that the wedge pattern is tightening, I expect gold to reverse again and decline toward 3270, which is my first TP. If pressure continues, the price may drop to the 3210 current support level as TP2. The reaction from the upper wedge boundary, combined with weakening momentum and a strong support area below, supports my bearish outlook for now. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - After upward movement, price can correct to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
After a long, steady climb inside a rising channel, Gold pushed through local resistance and gained momentum.
The move extended beyond the channel's top, marking a fresh high near $3240 points, attracting strong attention.
But after this sharp push, the price began losing steam and rolled into a soft pullback phase.
Now, Gold is holding just above the $3160 area, retesting the zone that was previously broken upward.
Volume is slowing down, and the price action shows hesitation without follow-through on the upside.
I believe Gold could roll over from here and revisit the $3130 support area in the coming sessions.
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HelenP. I Gold will make correction movement to support zoneHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. After a strong breakout from the ascending structure, price continued its bullish momentum and reached a fresh local high near 3340 points. This impulsive rally was preceded by a steady upward trend inside a rising channel, where the price showed multiple rejections from the lower boundary and the trend line, particularly near the 2970 level, which also matched with the key support zone at 2950 - 2970 points. The upward movement accelerated once Gold broke through the previous resistance zone around 3160 points, which is now acting as support. That level also coincides with the upper edge of the earlier consolidation area, making it a key zone for potential future reactions. At the moment, the Gold is trading far above the trend line and is extended from its last confirmed support structure. Given the sharp vertical impulse and the lack of significant pullbacks, I expect a downward correction toward the 3175 - 3160 support zone, which is my current goal. This area remains critical for evaluating the next buyer reaction and further trend continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
GOLD - Price can rise a little and then correct to support areaHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded inside a rising channel, showing steady growth and holding above support levels.
Later, Gold made several breakouts from local resistances and continued to rise within the channel borders.
Eventually price reached the upper edge of the channel and formed a local top around the $3238 level.
Recently, it made a short-term pullback and now trades just above $3165 support zone without momentum.
Currently, Gold stays in the upper part of the range but shows early weakness after a strong bullish rally.
In my opinion, Gold can decline and reach the $3140 support level during the next corrective wave down.
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HelenP. I Gold may make correction and then continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. Following a deep correction that pushed the price down to the support zone between 2975 and 2950 points, Gold made a strong bullish reversal. This zone had already acted as a key accumulation area in the past, and once again, buyers stepped in aggressively. The reaction from support 2 at 2975 points was sharp, with the price bouncing and forming a clear impulse move. As XAU continued to rise, it broke back above the trend line and retested it, turning former resistance into support. Shortly after, the price pushed above the local support zone between 3165 and 3185 points, confirming the strength of the bullish trend. This zone is now acting as a base for further growth. Currently, Gold is trading above the trend line and support zone, holding near the 3230 area. The recent bullish momentum, strong impulse structure, and consistent reaction to technical levels indicate that buyers remain in control. Given the breakout, successful retest, and strength from key support zones, I expect XAUUSD to continue rising toward my goal at 3300 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Gold can make correction to mirorr line, after upward movementHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. After a strong breakout from the support area between 2975 - 3000 points, the price continued moving upward, forming an impulsive rally. This movement brought the asset directly into the upper support area, now acting as resistance, between 3195 - 3170 points. Once inside this zone, the bullish momentum began to slow down. This area also aligns with previous local highs and is showing clear signs of selling pressure. The recent reaction from the top of the zone suggests that the market could be preparing for a pullback. If this reaction develops further, I expect the price to head toward the mirror line, which currently acts as a dynamic support level, located around TP1 - 3120 points. This line has historically served as a key structure level - first as resistance, then flipped into support - and now may once again act as a magnet for price. A retest of this level would not break the overall bullish structure but could provide a healthy correction before the next leg. Considering the sharp push into resistance, the potential loss of bullish momentum, and the nearby structural support at 3120 points, I remain bearish in the short term, expecting a local decline. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
USDCAD - Long-Term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈USDCAD has been overall bullish from a macro perspective trading within the rising blue channel.
This week, USDCAD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong resistance turned support.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red/blue trendlines acting non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #USDCAD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bond Futures Back At SupportTrade is fairly simple here. Go long treasuries and if it breaks down cut.
- A bounce and push back up could be another ugly catalyst for the US stock market.
- A breakdown however would push yields up (and economic growth forecasts) which would be quite bullish for stocks especially down at these levels
Ripple May Face Another Rally This YearRipple with ticker XRPUSD hit all-time highs for the final blue wave V as expected, so we should be aware of limited upside this year. However, despite recent slowdown, which we see it as an ABC correction within red subwave (IV), there can still be room for another rally this year, at least up to 4-5 area to complete final subwave (V) of V of an impulse on a daily chart.
SP500: Is This the 2025 Correction? Or Just Another Bounce?Looking at the weekly chart of the S&P 500 with RSI and key support trendlines, it’s clear we’ve entered a historically important level.
🔍 Context:
2020 → COVID Crash, RSI bottomed 💥
2022 → Bear Market, RSI again flagged a major drop 📉
2023 → Healthy correction, price respected trendline support
2025? → RSI flashing oversold, price testing the long-term trendline again.
📊 RSI is approaching the same low levels as the previous two macro shocks — is this a signal of another reversal opportunity? Or could this time be different?
🚨 If we break below this trendline convincingly, it could open the door for a deeper bear leg. But if we hold, we might just see another bounce-back rally like in 2020 and 2022.
📈 Watch for confirmation:
A strong bounce with bullish RSI divergence = potential long
Breakdown + volume spike = more downside ahead
Let’s see if the trendline holds up — it has for 5 years… 👀
#SP500 #Correction #BearMarket #RSI #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketUpdate #2025Outlook #StockMarketIdeas
Party's OverDow Futures daily forming a downwards channel with price targets potentially down to 34k and 31k. These drops would be about 20-40% which is considered a true market crash. The falling wedge pattern plays out until potentially June of 2027, but wedges from the top of the range are dangerous as they can turn into bull traps.
- Economic fundamentals have been disconnected from the financial system for some time but as the underlying economy begins to falter (ex. unemployment wave) markets begin to price in data such as falling retail sales.
- President Trump is going through with mass layoffs in the Federal Government which creates unemployment as the private sector has been going through layoffs and has halted actual new hiring since 2023.
- As more traders have become accustomed to "bad news is good news," they will most likely be wiped out trying to buy dips or chase false breakouts doing what they have always done.
- Tariffs regionalize trade which make global economies and supply chains less interconnected. A global economy that is also very levered up on USD denominated debt needs dollar liquidity to continue to function. By regionalizing trade that liquidity is starved which can lead to financial problems on a global scale if not handled carefully.
- Markets are likely to price in these risks over the next 2-3 months leading asset prices and interest rates lower. Expect individual companies to do well at times but then rotate to others while the Dow index itself falls.
- Even if the Dow were to play out the wedge during 2026, without significant improvements to the global financial system expect that move to be a bull trap or a best lead to minimal gains without a new wave of monetary inflation.