Market Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles In RedMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Struggles In Red
WTI Crude oil is also down and remains at risk of more losses below $62.00.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude oil prices extended losses below the $65.00 support zone.
- A major bearish trend line is formed with resistance at $63.05 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil, the price struggled to continue higher above $66.00 against the US Dollar. The price formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline below $65.00.
There was a steady decline below the $64.50 pivot level. The bears even pushed the price below $63.50 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the price tested the $62.15 zone, and the price is now consolidating losses.
On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $65.98 swing high to the $62.15 low at $63.05. There is also a major bearish trend line at $63.05 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The main hurdle is $63.50. A clear move above the $63.50 zone could send the price toward the 61.8% Fib retracement level at $64.50.
The next key resistance is near $66.00. If the price climbs further higher, it could face sellers near $68.00. Any more gains might send the price toward the $70.00 level.
Immediate support is near the $62.15 level. The next major level on the WTI crude oil chart is near $61.20. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $60.00. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.00 zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Crude Oil
Oil at Key Support – Bounce or Breakdown?Crude oil is trading around $66.94, showing a bearish correction after failing to hold above $69.05. The chart shows price respecting an ascending channel but currently testing its lower boundary. The recent drop signals weakening bullish momentum, and a confirmed break below the channel could accelerate selling pressure toward lower levels.
📈 Potential Scenarios
- Bullish Rebound: If price holds above the channel support (~$66.00–$66.50) and breaks back above $69.05, it may target $71.03 and possibly $72.00.
- Bearish Breakdown: A confirmed close below $66.00 can accelerate the downside toward $65.00, with extended targets near $63.50–$62.00.
📊 Key Technical Highlights
- Price rejected from the channel top and is now testing lower support.
- Key resistance zones: $69.05 (immediate), $71.03 (major).
- Key support zones: $66.00 (channel), then $65.00–$63.50 (breakdown targets).
- Momentum indicators show weakening buying pressure, favoring cautious trading.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
- Resistance: $69.05 → $71.03 → $72.00
- Support: $66.00 → $65.00 → $63.50
🧭 Trend Outlook
- A short-term relief bounce is possible, but failure to reclaim $69.05 keeps sellers in control.
- Breaking below the channel would shift the overall outlook to bearish for August.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Oil | Bearish Bias Below 64.70as Markets Await U.S.–Russia TalksOil Little Changed, With Focus on U.S.–Russia Meeting
Oil prices were steady in afternoon trade as markets awaited Friday’s meeting between U.S. President Trump and Russian President Putin, which could potentially pave the way for a Ukraine peace deal.
Oil has fallen over 10% this year, pressured by OPEC+ restoring production faster than planned and by weakening global demand prospects.
Technical Outlook:
The price maintains a bearish bias while trading below 64.70, targeting 63.45 and 61.85, with further downside toward 60.20 if broken.
However, market direction could shift sharply depending on the outcome of Friday’s meeting.
A move above 64.75 would target 65.80, and a breakout beyond this could trigger bullish momentum toward 67.20 and 69.10.
Pivot: 64.70
Support: 63.45, 61.85, 60.20
Resistance: 65.80, 67.20, 69.10
CRUDE OIL Strong Downtrend! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Downtrend and the price
Made a bearish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 63.96$ and the breakout
Is confirmed so we will be
Expecting a further bearish
Move down on Monday!
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Oil Trap Activated – Limit Orders Set for the Big Score💥🛢️Crude Oil Vault Breach Plan – DCA Heist Begins!🧨💰
🚨Asset: CL1!
📈Bias: BULLISH RAID MODE ON
🎯Target: $74.50
🛡️Stop Loss: $67.50
🔑Entry: ANY LEVEL – Thief stacking limit orders like layers of gold bars 💼⚖️ (DCA Mode Activated)
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USOIL Robbery Alert! Smart Entry Plan Below Key MA Level🔐💥 “WTI Energy Heist: Thief Trader’s Bearish Master Plan” 💥🔐
The Official Robbery Blueprint for Smart Traders
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📉💣 THE HEIST IS ON: SHORT PLAN LOADED! 💣📉
We’ve analyzed the charts using Thief Technicals + Fundamental Lockpick Tools and spotted a high-risk GREEN zone – a consolidation trap where greedy bulls usually get caught. This is where we strike.
🔑 ENTRY:
"Wait for the Neutral Moving Average to Break — Then Make Your Move!"
🎯 Focus zone: 64.50
☠️ Wait for the breakout – do NOT enter before it happens.
✅ Use sell stop orders above the MA line or place sell limit orders on the pullback after the breakout (target within the 15–30 min candle near swing high/low).
🧠 Thief Tip: Layer in entries using the DCA (layered attack strategy) to catch price on its way down. Set a chart alert so you don’t miss the strike moment.
🛑 STOP LOSS:
"Set it smart or don’t set it at all — you choose the fire you want to play with!"
📍 SL only gets placed AFTER breakout.
🎯 Recommended SL at 66.00 on the 4H swing level.
☠️ DO NOT place any orders or SL before confirmation breakout.
📊 Your SL depends on your risk %, lot size, and number of entries stacked.
🎯 TARGET ZONE: 62.50
💸 Lock profits before the bulls wake up. This level is based on market exhaustion zones and historical bounce areas.
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This isn’t just a chart move — it’s backed by full-scale robbery research:
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WTI Crude Oil Analysis – Is a Major Wave 3 About to Begin?🛢 WTI Crude Oil Analysis – Is a Major Wave 3 About to Begin? 🚀
According to Elliott Wave count, it appears that the corrective Wave 2 has either completed or is in its final stages. The (ABC) corrective structure, combined with reactions to key Fibonacci levels, suggests a potential end to the correction and the start of a powerful Wave 3.
Key Fibonacci Support Levels:
📍 $60.39 – 50% retracement
📍 $58.84 – 78.6% retracement
As long as price holds above these levels, the bullish structure remains intact, with the ultimate target for Wave 3 projected well above the previous all-time highs.
💬 What’s your view? Is crude oil ready for a historic move, or is there still room for more correction?
✅ Save this idea & follow for future updates.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
🚀 Who am I?
I'm Mahdi, a prop firm trader with 7+ years of experience in technical analysis, mainly focusing on Smart Money Concepts and Elliott Wave theory.
I specialize in delivering high-quality trading signals, market insights, and educational content tailored for serious traders and investors.
📊 My Tools: SMC, Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, Liquidity Grabs, Order Blocks
💼 Prop Challenge Passed: Yes | Funded Account: In Progress
🔗 Follow for consistent updates and trading insights.
Oil continues to decline due to geopolitics optimismOil continues to decline due to geopolitics optimism
A Kremlin official announced that Presidents Trump and Putin will hold a summit soon, their first since 2021, with a White House source suggesting it could occur as early as next week. Optimism surrounding potential U.S.-Russia discussions on the Ukraine conflict has alleviated concerns about oil supply disruptions, despite U.S. sanctions targeting India for its continued Russian crude imports. Trump introduced a 25% tariff on Indian goods and signaled possible additional tariffs on China. However, increased OPEC production and ongoing trade tensions remain key concerns, raising fears of slower economic growth and reduced demand.
Technically, USOIL trades just above the 6,300.00 support level. Insignificant rebound from this level is expected with possible decline towards crucial 6,000.00 support level.
UPDATE ON THIS MORNING'S TRADEEarly in the morning, I posted a trade (Sell USOIL) in which we trargeted the LQ level which the market came closer to and didn't touch, which isn't a big deal.
As you can see on the chart, as I told my students during the LIVE TRADING SESSION they assisted, it's all about trade management.
On the screenshot on the left, we added another order at 50% lvl of the FVG, xhich the market respected at that moment before giving us a double bottom which is a sign to the change of the movement of the market.
For a safe closure of the trade, as you can see in the picture on the left, we waited for the market to break through the 5min LQ we have to close, and that's what exactly happened.
We'll wait for another trade to take later in the US session.
Follow for more!
USOIL declines on possibility of geopolitical stabilityUSOIL declines on possibility of geopolitical stability
Crude oil and gasoline prices fell August 6 after an early rally, as Trump announced "great progress" in U.S.-Russia talks to end the Ukraine war, reducing fears of new sanctions on Russian energy exports. Additionally, OPEC+’s planned 547,000 bpd production increase for September further pressured prices amid concerns of a global oil supply glut.
Technically, USOIL broke crucial local support at 6,500.00. Currently, the price is retesting this level. The decline towards 6,300.00 is expected in short-term.
OUR TRADE FOR THE DAYEarly today, I posted that we'll be waiting for the market to give us an entry after grabbing the liquidity, we did have it and caught it.
I didn't share it since it was given to my students.
As you can see on the chart, the market gave us a FVG after that it did grab the liquidity which we entered based on to target again the LQ level to close with a good margin.
Follow for more!
Crude Oil: Equilibrium, Key Levels & Trade ScenariosNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1!
Market Recap
In our prior crude oil commentary, we identified a bullish flag formation with key support anchored at the Q3 micro composite Value Area Low. Following a measured pullback, prices decisively reclaimed the Q3 micro composite Value Area High, subsequently advancing toward the $70 level. However, this upward momentum proved unsustainable, with prices unable to maintain higher ground. We have since retraced to the yearly open, where the market is now consolidating.
Current Market Structure
Crude oil is presently exhibiting a balanced profile. Notably, the composite Volume Points of Control (VPOC) for both the yearly and quarterly profiles are overlapping — a technical signal indicative of equilibrium in positioning.
Market Performance Assessment
Price action in recent sessions has been heavily influenced by shifts in the global demand outlook, which in turn remain sensitive to macroeconomic expectations, geopolitical events, and OPEC+ V8 members’ gradual unwinding of voluntary production cuts. Despite the prevailing headwinds — including tariff disputes, Russian sanctions, and broader trade tensions — crude oil has demonstrated resilience, consistently trading above the $65 threshold.
Forward Outlook
Attention will turn to today’s EIA release at 9:30 a.m. CT, which may serve as the primary catalyst for near-term directional bias.
Key Technical Levels
• Q3 mCVAH: 67.28
• Neutral Zone: 66.45 – 66.30
• Yearly Open: 66.34
• Intermediate Support: 65.80
• CVPOC / mCVPOC: 65.54
• Q3 mCVAL: 64.95
• Support Zone: 65.00 – 64.80
Trading Scenarios
• Scenario 1 — Yearly Open Rejection
Monitor the Yearly Open (66.34) as an initial resistance level. A rejection here could prompt a tactical pullback toward the Line in the Sand (LIS), offering long entry opportunities with a target above the yearly open.
• Scenario 2 — DOE-Driven Flush & Recovery
Should the DOE data trigger a downside push, watch for a swing failure at recent lows. A close back above prior levels would present a potential long setup, with conviction increasing on sustained price action above 65.80.
BUY USOILI'm sharing with you our trade today on OIL.
The reason we're buying is because yesterday the market grabbed the LQ now it is reversing to climb higher to fill all of the FVG we got in the previous movement.
For a safe entry, wait for the price to come back to our entry poin at 65.800 since I myself am waiting for the price to come to our entry point.
Follow for more!
CRUDE OIL Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CRUDE OIL keeps falling down
And the price will soon hit
A horizontal support of 64.00$
From where we will be
Expecting a local bullish rebound
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Crude Oil Bouncing from Demand Zone – Eyes on UpsideThis is the daily chart of Crudeoil!
CRUDEOIL1! having a good law of polarity (support)near at 5550-5600 range.
CRUDEOIL1! is taking support on RSI and sustain above 45 level.
If this level is sustain then we may see higher prices in CRUDEOIL1!.
Thank You !!
Crude Oil Resumes Its WeaknessCrude oil rised and then fell sharply from above 78 dollars back in June, after tensions in the Middle East. The drop unfolded as an impulse into wave A, so even if this is just a counter-trend move down from 78, it still appears incomplete. After we recently spotted a corrective rally in wave B that nicely stopped at projected $70 resistance near 61,8% Fibo. retracement, we can now see it resuming lower within projected wave C towards 60-59 area at least, if not even lower.
USOIL drops on rising supply and demand concernsUSOIL drops on rising supply and demand concerns
Oil prices fell Tuesday as OPEC+ planned a 547,000 bpd output increase for September, overshadowing potential Russian oil supply constraints from U.S. policies. Brent and WTI crude dropped to their lowest in a week, marking a fourth consecutive decline. OPEC+’s reversal of 2.5 million bpd cuts, combined with weak demand outlooks due to U.S. recession risks and China’s lack of new stimulus, pressured prices. Trump’s threatened 100% tariffs on Russian crude buyers like India, which imports 1.75 million bpd, heightened trade tensions but failed to lift oil prices. Analysts warn U.S. tariffs could further weaken global growth and fuel demand.
USOIL shows some in-moment strength on RSI on 1-h chart, the price may rebound towards sma200 at 6,700.00. However, in long-term perspective, low oil price is expected. Eventually, the price may decline towards level of 6,000.00.
XBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Declines Towards Key SupportXBR/USD Chart Analysis: Oil Price Declines Towards Key Support
As the XBR/USD chart shows, Brent crude oil has made two significant moves recently:
Last week’s price increase (A) followed President Donald Trump’s intentions to impose tariffs on India due to its purchases of Russian oil. This could have disrupted established oil supply chains.
The price decline (B) may have been driven by both the decision of OPEC+ countries to increase production and reports of a weakening US labour market.
Thus, there is reason to believe that the more than 4.5% decline in Brent crude oil prices since the beginning of August reflects market participants’ scepticism about sustained high oil prices:
→ this has a negative impact on the US economy (JP Morgan analysts raised concerns about recession risks this week);
→ increased activity from oil producers may offset supply chain disruption risks.
Technical Analysis of the XBR/USD Chart
From a technical analysis perspective, Brent crude oil has dropped to a key support level (marked in blue), which was previously active in July. A rebound from this line could happen – in such a case, the price might face resistance at the Fair Value Gap area (marked in orange), formed between:
→ $70.81 – a support level active in late July, which was broken;
→ the psychological level of $70.00.
Attention should also be paid to price behaviour around the $69.00 level (indicated by arrows) – it quickly switched roles from support to resistance, indicating aggressive bearish sentiment. Given this observation, a potential bearish breakout attempt below the blue support line cannot be ruled out.
However, whether this scenario materialises will largely depend on developments in geopolitical risks and tariff agreements.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.






















