Get started

Crypto

Dogecoin Still Trading At Bottom Prices (5X Lev. —1665% PP)After the late 2024 bullish cycle, Dogecoin entered a classic correction. This correction started on the 08-Dec. '24 session and ended 07-Apr. '25, support was found in the mid- to late 2024 consolidation range and resistance zone. A classic resistance turned support dynamic, it is not too late. When looking at this chart, it is easy to see that Dogecoin is still trading at bottom prices compared to the next immediate target and also the last high. The correction has a perfect 3-3-5 pattern based on a complex ABC, and marketwide action as well as Fibonacci levels predicts its end. Once a correction is over, an impulse always follows, in this case a bullish impulse with 5-up waves, this is perfect. We are on the verge of maximum bullish momentum and growth. A simple yet strong target, really high probability sits at $0.70 with a target of 333%. When we consider a low risk leverage of 5X, this would give us a total of 1,665%. If you look at the volume on this chart, notice that there isn't much action lately, not bearish nor bullish, simply no increase in trading volume. This means that it is early for this pair. We know it will move and will definitely do so and bullish, why? Because Bitcoin is going up and many Altcoins are doing the same. What one does, the rest follow. » Dogecoin is still trading at bottom prices, go for it, it is not too late. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
EURJPY --- bullish or bearish detailed analysis EURJPY is currently offering a high-conviction long opportunity as the pair completes a classic falling wedge breakout pattern on the daily timeframe. Price is now trading around 162.45 and has just broken out of a well-defined descending trendline, validating the bullish momentum shift. With the recent higher low formation and the wedge breakout confirming bullish market structure, the next leg toward the 167.36 zone is on the table, aligning with a clean resistance level and historical price reaction zone. Fundamentally, the Euro is underpinned by the ECB’s cautious stance on rate cuts, as inflation in the Eurozone remains above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid growing divergence between the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy and other global central banks maintaining relatively tight conditions. BoJ’s reluctance to tighten, combined with consistent intervention threats, hasn’t been enough to halt the Yen’s decline, making EURJPY an attractive long in the current macro backdrop. Technicals align perfectly here—after a solid rally from the wedge bottom, EURJPY consolidated in a descending channel and has now broken out for a second time, repeating a bullish continuation pattern. The structure remains clean with clear invalidation below 161.26, offering a strong reward-to-risk ratio on continuation toward 167+. The multiple confluences of trendline breakouts, bullish market structure, and macro divergence make this a premium swing setup. Highly searched keywords like “EURJPY breakout,” “falling wedge pattern,” and “JPY weakness” will drive additional traffic to this idea. With both price action and fundamentals in sync, this trade idea is structured to maximize upside potential while keeping risk controlled. A clean, strategic long setup that reflects disciplined execution and market awareness.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer. --- 1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) . - A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level. - Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders. - This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence. This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern. --- 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill. - These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance. - The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier. - FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value. This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab. --- 3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries. - The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear. - This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups. This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal. --- 4. Market Structure Context From a structural point of view: - Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep. - The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow. Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside. --- 5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative: - Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing. - The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery. - Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic. The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below. --- Conclusion: This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery: - Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions. This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.
Short
by Louigi_24
31
OIL – Bearish Setup at FVG + Golden Pocket ConfluenceThis 4H chart of Crude Oil Futures highlights a clean bearish setup forming as price approaches a confluence zone of imbalance and premium pricing. After a sharp downward move, the current rally appears to be a retracement into areas of interest for potential distribution. --- 1. Context & Market Structure: - The market experienced a significant bearish move, breaking multiple support levels with conviction. - Price is currently retracing upward, creating the possibility of a lower high in line with bearish market structure. - The ongoing move looks corrective, setting up a potential return to the dominant trend. --- 2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) & Key Supply Zones: - Two FVGs are identified on the chart — both marked as areas where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficiencies behind. - The lower FVG overlaps with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci golden pocket zone, providing a strong confluence for potential rejection. - The upper FVG aligns with the 0.786 level, representing deeper premium pricing and added confluence for distribution. --- 3. Fibonacci Confluence Zones: - 0.618–0.65 zone: Coincides with the lower FVG — this is the first area to watch for rejection. - 0.786 level: Aligns with the upper FVG, making it an extended zone for bearish entries if price pushes higher. - These Fibonacci levels serve as key retracement zones within the context of bearish continuation. --- 4. Anticipated Move: - The red arrow illustrates the projected path: price reaching into the FVG and golden pocket confluence, then rejecting to the downside. - The inefficiencies above act as supply zones where institutional selling may occur. - The lower purple level (0.28) is a potential magnet for price if the retracement completes and bearish momentum resumes. --- 5. Trade Idea Narrative: - This is a classic bearish setup where price retraces into premium and inefficiency zones during a downtrend. - The ideal reaction would involve a shift in lower timeframe structure once the price hits the golden pocket + FVG zone. - Patience and confirmation are key — watching for rejection patterns or breakdowns within the FVG before commitment. --- Summary: Crude Oil is retracing after a sharp drop and is approaching a high-probability reversal zone, where a Fair Value Gap overlaps with the golden pocket. This setup provides a strong narrative for potential bearish continuation, supported by structure, imbalance, and Fibonacci confluence.
MARKETSCOM:OILShort
by Louigi_24
35
Market Structure Shift (MSS) & Break of Structure (BOS) - GuideIntroduction Understanding market structure is fundamental to becoming a consistently profitable trader. Two key concepts that Smart Money traders rely on are the Break of Structure (BOS) and the Market Structure Shift (MSS) . While they may seem similar at first glance, they serve different purposes and signal different market intentions. In this guide, we will break down: - The difference between BOS and MSS - When and why they occur - How to identify them on your charts - How to trade based on these structures - Real chart examples for visual clarity --- Break of Structure (BOS) A Break of Structure is a continuation signal. It confirms that the current trend remains intact. BOS typically occurs when price breaks a recent swing high or low in the direction of the existing trend . Key Characteristics: - Happens with the trend - Confirms continuation - Can be used to trail stops or add to positions Example: In an uptrend: - Higher High (HH) and Higher Low (HL) form - Price breaks above the last HH → BOS to the upside --- Market Structure Shift (MSS) Market Structure Shift signals a potential reversal . It occurs when price breaks a significant swing level against the prevailing trend and is often followed by a shift in the internal structure (e.g., lower highs after higher highs). Key Characteristics: - Happens against the trend] - Signals possible trend reversal - Often occurs after a liquidity grab or stop hunt - Optional: is created by a displacement candle Example: In an uptrend: - Price takes out a significant high (liquidity grab) - Then aggressively breaks the most recent HL → MSS to the downside --- How to Identify BOS and MSS For BOS: 1. Determine the current trend. 2. Identify swing highs/lows. 3. Look for price breaking past these levels in the same direction as the trend . For MSS: 1. Look for signs of exhaustion or liquidity grabs near swing highs/lows. 2. Watch for price to break against the trend structure . 3. Confirm with a shift in internal structure (e.g., lower highs start forming in an uptrend). --- Using BOS and MSS in Your Trading Strategy With BOS: - Use it to confirm trend continuation - Add to your position after a retracement into an OB or FVG - Trail your stop-loss below the most recent HL or above LH With MSS: - Look for confluence (liquidity sweep + MSS = strong signal) - Use it to spot early reversal entries - Wait for a confirmation candle or structure shift on LTF (1m, 5m, 15m) - If the displacement candle is too big you can wait for the retest --- Common Mistakes to Avoid - Confusing BOS with MSS - Ignoring higher timeframe context - Trading MSS too early without confirmation - Chasing BOS without waiting for a proper retracement Pro Tip: Use BOS/MSS with confluences like SMT Divergence, IFVGs, or key session times for higher probability setups. --- Final Thoughts Mastering BOS and MSS will give you an edge in understanding price delivery and anticipating market moves. BOS confirms strength in the current trend, while MSS warns of a possible reversal and new trend forming. Combine these with smart money tools, and you’ll be equipped to enter the market like a pro. Happy Trading!
Education
by Louigi_24
45
GBPCAD IS BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGBPCAD is currently presenting a high-probability bullish setup after a textbook inverse head and shoulders formation on the 12H chart. Price is now hovering around 1.8457 and has just broken out above the descending trendline acting as neckline resistance. This structural shift, combined with clean bullish price action, signals the potential beginning of a fresh upward leg toward the 1.8976 region, a prior key supply zone and the projected target based on the measured move technique from the pattern. From a fundamental standpoint, the British Pound is supported by hawkish BoE rhetoric and stronger-than-expected UK inflation data. Sticky core CPI and a robust labor market are keeping interest rate expectations elevated, which strengthens GBP across the board. In contrast, the Canadian Dollar remains under pressure due to softer oil prices and the Bank of Canada's dovish stance as it flirts with rate cuts in upcoming meetings. This macro divergence is fueling the momentum in GBPCAD’s favor, making it a favored pair for swing longs. Technically, the pair is forming higher lows with increasing volume, which adds confidence to the breakout. The risk is well defined below 1.8198, making this an attractive trade with a solid 1:2+ reward-to-risk profile. As price continues to respect bullish market structure, any pullback toward the neckline could offer a prime re-entry zone for continuation traders. This setup aligns with highly searched price action strategies such as “inverse head and shoulders breakout,” “neckline retest,” and “GBP strength vs CAD weakness.” With both technical and fundamental confluence pointing in the same direction, GBPCAD is set up for a potentially profitable swing opportunity heading into May.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
3
XAIUSDT — profit protection, risk management, area of interestXai (XAI) - is a cryptocurrency designed to revolutionize the gaming industry by enabling real economies and open trade within video games. Developed by Offchain Labs, Xai operates on the Arbitrum platform, a layer-2 scaling solution for Ethereum, which enhances its efficiency and scalability. One of the standout features of Xai is its integration of Explainable AI techniques. These techniques make automated trading bot systems more transparent and trustworthy, addressing a significant concern in the cryptocurrency space. This transparency is crucial for fostering trust among users, particularly in the context of in-game economies where players trade valuable items. 📍 CoinMarketCap: #373 📍 Twitter(X): 308.5K ___________________________________________ 🛡️ Risk Management and Approach: When trading low-liquidity coins , I allocate a specific portion of my portfolio in advance for such trades. These funds are split across different projects , which allows for diversification and helps mitigate potential scams . If one coin pair dies — it's not critical , as long as the portfolio is structured properly. 📉 Current Situation: On the broader view, the price is moving within a large descending channel . Right now, it's near the outer support of the inner channel. Since I’ve already allocated funds for this coin, I’ve taken a small entry near the support of the inner channel , and I plan to add more in the lower marked zone . There’s a high probability of price chop due to news (tariffs, rates, debt ceiling, refinancing), and I take that into account. 💭 General Thoughts: Diversification is key. You can never rule out the possibility that any project might end up as a scam. But with proper portfolio structure, that’s not a major issue . There’s nothing to fear if you have a clear plan and tactics for different scenarios. Like many other coins right now, I see the current accumulation zones as solid . 🔁 Additional Observation: The recent mass delistings on Binance mainly target projects listed during the 2021–2022 distribution phase. There’s a chance the exchange is cleaning up future risks , while “fresh” coins listed under the new conditions may stay longer. 📌 This post is not financial advice. It reflects my observations, actions, and logic in managing the position.
Long
by KECapital
4
Behind the Curtain: Bitcoin’s Surprising Macro Triggers1. Introduction Bitcoin Futures (BTC), once viewed as a niche or speculative product, have now entered the macroeconomic spotlight. Traded on the CME and embraced by institutions through ETF exposure, BTC Futures reflect not only digital asset sentiment—but also evolving reactions to traditional economic forces. While many traders still associate Bitcoin with crypto-native catalysts, machine learning reveals a different story. Today, BTC responds dynamically to macro indicators like Treasury yields, labor data, and liquidity trends. In this article, we apply a Random Forest Regressor to historical data to uncover the top economic signals impacting Bitcoin Futures returns across daily, weekly, and monthly timeframes—some of which may surprise even seasoned macro traders. 2. Understanding Bitcoin Futures Contracts Bitcoin Futures provide institutional-grade access to BTC price movements—with efficient clearing and capital flexibility. o Standard BTC Futures (BTC): Tick Size: $5 per tick = $25 per tick per contract Initial Margin: ≈ $102,000 (subject to volatility) o Micro Bitcoin Futures (MBT): Contract Size: 1/50th the BTC size Tick Size: $5 = $0.50 per tick per contract Initial Margin: ≈ $2,000 BTC and MBT trade nearly 24 hours per day, five days a week, offering deep liquidity and expanding participation across hedge funds, asset managers, and active retail traders. 3. Daily Timeframe: Short-Term Macro Sensitivity Bitcoin’s volatility makes it highly reactive to daily data surprises, especially those affecting liquidity and rates. Velocity of Money (M2): This lesser-watched indicator captures how quickly money circulates. Rising velocity can signal renewed risk-taking, often leading to short-term BTC movements. A declining M2 velocity implies tightening conditions, potentially pressuring BTC as risk appetite contracts. 10-Year Treasury Yield: One of the most sensitive intraday indicators for BTC. Yield spikes make holding non-yielding assets like Bitcoin potentially less attractive. Declining yields could signal easing financial conditions, inviting capital back into crypto. Labor Force Participation Rate: While not a headline number, sudden shifts in labor force data can affect consumer confidence and policy tone—especially if they suggest a weakening economy. Bitcoin could react positively when data implies future easing. 4. Weekly Timeframe: Labor-Driven Market Reactions As BTC increasingly correlates with traditional markets, weekly economic data—especially related to labor—has become a mid-term directional driver. Initial Jobless Claims: Spikes in this metric can indicate rising economic stress. BTC could react defensively to rising claims, but may rally on drops, especially when seen as signs of stability returning. ISM Manufacturing Employment: This metric reflects hiring strength in the manufacturing sector. Slowing employment growth here could correlate with broader economic softening—something BTC traders can track as part of their risk sentiment gauge. Continuing Jobless Claims: Tracks the persistence of unemployment. Sustained increases can shake risk markets and pull BTC lower, while ongoing declines suggest an improving outlook, which could help BTC resume upward movement. 5. Monthly Timeframe: Macro Structural Themes Institutional positioning in Bitcoin increasingly aligns with high-impact monthly data. These indicators help shape longer-term views on liquidity, rate policy, and capital allocation: Unemployment Rate: A rising unemployment rate could shift market expectations toward a more accommodative monetary policy. Bitcoin, often viewed as a hedge against fiat debasement and monetary easing, can benefit from this shift. In contrast, a low and steady unemployment rate may pressure BTC as it reinforces the case for higher interest rates. 10-Year Treasury Yield (again): On a monthly basis, this repeats and become a cornerstone macro theme. Initial Jobless Claims (again): Rather than individual weekly prints, the broader trend reveals structural shifts in the labor market. 6. Style-Based Strategy Insights Bitcoin traders often span a wide range of styles—from short-term volatility hunters to long-duration macro allocators. Aligning indicator focus by style is essential: o Day Traders Zero in on M2 velocity and 10-Year Yield to time intraday reversals or continuation setups. Quick pivots in bond yields or liquidity metrics could coincide with BTC spikes. o Swing Traders Use Initial Jobless Claims and ISM Employment trends to track momentum for 3–10 day moves. Weekly data may help catch directional shifts before they appear in price charts. o Position Traders Monitor macro structure via Unemployment Rate, 10Y Yield, and Initial Claims. These traders align portfolios based on broader economic trends, often holding exposure through cycles. 7. Risk Management Commentary Bitcoin Futures demand tactical risk management: Use Micro BTC Contracts (MBT) to scale in or out of trades precisely. Expect volatility around macro data releases—set wider stops with volatility-adjusted sizing. Avoid over-positioning near major Fed meetings, CPI prints, or labor reports. Unlike legacy markets, BTC can make multi-percent intraday moves. A robust risk plan isn’t optional—it’s survival. 8. Conclusion Bitcoin has matured into a macro-responsive asset. What once moved on hype now responds to the pulse of the global economy. From M2 liquidity flows and interest rate expectations, to labor market stability, BTC Futures reflect institutional sentiment shaped by data. BTC’s role in the modern portfolio is still evolving. But one thing is clear: macro matters. And those who understand which indicators truly move Bitcoin can trade with more confidence and precision. Stay tuned for the next edition of the "Behind the Curtain" series as we decode the economic machinery behind another CME futures product. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:BTC1!Education
by traddictiv
Cardano Prepares For A 300% Rise Mid-TermCardano is preparing to grow and I see a 300%+ potential profits rise within 3 months, which is our mid-term time horizon. This would put ADAUSDT at around $2.65 but this will not be the end of the bull market, this is only a portion of it because we are expecting more growth in this year 2025 or maybe even beyond. How are you feeling in this wonderful day? It is wonderful because the market is green. It is wonderful because we are alive, healthy and happy; are you with me? Look at the chart, what do you see? The low was in early February with a long lower wick. That's it, this signal gives it all away. The fact that there is a higher low just two weeks ago, 7-April, signals that the bottom of the correction is in, once the correction is over we get a new bullish impulse and that's the bullish wave that I am talking about. It is happening now but it will last a long time. Now, the action will not all happen in a single day but the first move tends to leave great entry prices behind. So after the start there can be some swings, some shaking, some down, some up, but always long-term growth based on a chart structure of higher highs and higher lows. As long as you can protect against the present low, any and all positions will hold because Cardano is set to grow. This is a friendly reminder, we are going up very strong. Get in now! The 2025 bull market is here. Thanks a lot for your continued support. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
3
XRP Friendly Reminder, Amazing Opportunity, Last ChanceThis is just a quick update for you but a very important one; this is the last chance. The vacations week is over and the market is in no situation to continue with boring sideways anymore. XRPUSDT is about to blow up and this is the last chance to enter before bullish momentum starts to grow. You can approach this chart and this pair in whatever way you like, just make sure to be in because once the first jump happens, there is no going back, it is gone forever; never to trade at this low prices ever again. A major low happened just weeks ago, we are seeing some consolidation now. As the consolidation ends, we will get the start of the next bullish jump. This next bullish jump is the 2025 bull market in full force. The strongest growth in many years. For most of the market, it will be the best since 2021, for XRP, it will be the best since 2017, so this will be big. It is better to be in and positioned than to miss. You cannot miss this. This is it! I hope this article finds you well. Timing is right. This is a successful trade. Thank you for reading. Buy and... Just buy! Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Ethereum 8X Leveraged Trade OpportunityIf you want to make it big really fast, there is still one last chance to get ETHUSDT with a great entry price and high lev. The chart setup is good. The market is good and everything is great. Market conditions are only improving and the Altcoins are starting to heat up. Right now, you see $1,600 but tomorrow the price can be $1,800 or more, that's how the Altcoins work. One day everything is quiet, the next day everything blows up. By the time the action is in, it is too late to buy, but not now, there is still one final chance to get bottom prices before the 2025 bull market shows up in full force. Here is Ethereum, ETHUSDT, a great chart setup. Once the breakout happens, it will never trade at this price ever again. This is the last chance. It is yours to take. Thanks a lot for your continued support. I am wishing you profits, health, wealth and success. You are appreciated, always, and you deserve the best. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
ZRO: Altcoin hero?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! ZRO is worth keeping on the radar. Out of most altcoins it arguably has the cleanest setup for a potential bullish reversal—at least structurally. While it could be done here, I’m leaning on the idea that the Y wave still needs one more leg down. That’s typically the behavior we see: Y waves tend to be slower and more drawn out compared to the W wave. If that holds true again, the ideal target zone falls between $2.12 and $1.88. That would allow for a proper test of structure while staying within the bounds of the larger corrective patterns most likely target. This is still a bullish interpretation—but only after one more low and a meaningful reaction from it. That said, both the bull and bear counts are pointing down in the near-term. My personal invalidation sits above the (c) wave high. If ZRO clears that, this setup likely needs to be re-evaluated. Until then, any move beyond the orthodox end of wave A of the Y leg should be considered “enough” from a pattern swing perspective. Patience here could pay off—especially if price enters the key zone and shows strength. Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
Long
by CryptoKnee
BTCUSD - Technical Structure Shows Bullish Continuation AheadBitcoin is currently showing signs of strength as it consolidates around the $85,000 level, with technical evidence suggesting a higher probability move to the upside. The chart depicts a recovery from the recent support zone (highlighted in blue) around $76,000-$77,000, with price action forming a series of higher lows since early April. While some short-term volatility may persist, the overall structure appears bullish as BTC continues to hold above the critical $85,000 horizontal level. Traders should watch for a potential pullback before the anticipated upward continuation, as suggested by the brief downward movement in the arrow pattern, which could offer an attractive entry opportunity before the next leg higher. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by financialflagship
BTC - Halving Cycle | Historical Patterns & 2025-2026 Projection In this chart, we dive deep into the cyclical nature of Bitcoin price action post-halving and draw parallels between past and current movements, with a specific focus on how the market has historically reacted at various intervals following each halving event. This analysis incorporates both structural and temporal elements, providing a potential roadmap based on previous behavior. --- Historical Context: Previous Cycles 3rd Halving – May 11, 2020 Following the 3rd Bitcoin halving, we observed a parabolic run-up over the next several months: - 11 months after halving (April 2021): BTC reached a major peak, hitting nearly $65,000. - This was followed by a significant correction. - 19 months after halving (December 2021): Bitcoin printed a second top close to the previous all-time high, forming a classic double top pattern. This structure often signals market exhaustion and precedes deeper corrections. Cycle Completion – Price Reversion By 30 months after the 3rd halving (around November 2022), BTC had retraced much of its gains and returned to prices nearly equivalent to the halving level (~$8,000–$10,000 zone in log-adjusted terms). This marked the end of the cycle, confirming a full reversion to the mean after the double-top distribution phase. --- Current Cycle: 4th Halving – April 19, 2024 We're now entering the 4th post-halving cycle , and so far, the structure appears to be rhyming closely with the previous cycle : - Pre-halving rally took BTC to ~ FWB:73K (March 2024), indicating strong bullish momentum leading into the event. - If this cycle follows a similar path, we may expect: - A first major top around 9 months after the halving , potentially at or above $100K. - A second top forming around 17 months after the halving (projected for September 2025), possibly signaling the beginning of a broader correction phase. --- Projection: October 2026 (30 Months After Halving) Using the same temporal framework: - By October 2026 (30 months post-halving), the chart suggests a return to a much lower level , possibly around $50K. - This projection mimics the post-double-top decline of the previous cycle, reinforcing the idea of cyclical mean reversion . - It’s important to note: this isn’t necessarily bearish, but it highlights the cyclical and psychological nature of markets —boom, euphoria, distribution, and reversion. --- The Macro View: Halving Cycles Are Rhythmic - Every halving has historically set off a new bull run, but the timing of tops and bottoms is shockingly consistent : - Peaks often occur 9–18 months post-halving . - Full cycle completion is around 30 months post-halving. - These cycles are heavily influenced by supply shocks , market psychology , and macro liquidity cycles . --- Final Thoughts This chart isn’t a guarantee—it’s a probability model based on cyclical symmetry. If history repeats or rhymes, we may be witnessing another textbook cycle play out, where a euphoric run in 2025 gives way to a deep correction by late 2026. Stay alert for the double top pattern and macro divergences. Just as in 2021, timing the exit after the first peak can be the difference between profit and pain . What do you think? Will Bitcoin follow the same 30-month post-halving trajectory?
by Louigi_24
68
XRP on the go!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 Medium-Term: XRP has been in a correction phase trading within the falling wedge marked in red. 📍 As it retests the lower bound of the channel — which perfectly intersects with the orange demand zone and the $1.5 round number — I’ll be looking for short-term longs. 🚀 For the bulls to take over in the long term and kick off the next bullish phase, a breakout above the red structure at $2.26 is needed. Which scenario do you think will happen first — and why? 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
TICKMILL:XRPUSDLong
by TheSignalyst
3
LTO Network: Your Altcoin ChoiceA bullish wave follows a correction. The end of a correction signals the start of a bullish wave. What we have here is the long-term LTO Network chart. The last part is clearly a strong correction. After this correction a bullish impulse will develop. 5-up waves. 1,2,3,4,5. Last week LTOUSDT produced an All-Time Low. This session also have some of the weakest volume ever for a major move. Lower low on low volume means that the bearish move reached its end. If the bearish move is over, what happens next? This is the stop-loss hunt event. All LONG positions liquidated. All spot stop-loss orders activated. Full market flush and reset complete. With this move, literally millions of participants left the market, they will trade Crypto no-more. They will have nightmares when you mention Cryptocurrencies for years to come. But not all is lost. At the same time that the bearish cycle ends, this heralds the start of a new cycle and bullish phase. It will be great. Just as the market can hit new All-Time Lows when the bears are in control, the market can hit new All-Time Highs when the bulls control the game. The time to buy is now. Once you hit bottom, there is no other place left to go but up. LTO Network already hit bottom, so we can be sure that soon enough we will experience a new phase of growth. The action won't go full green right away. The bull market will not happen as the C wave of the current corrective phase, no. It tends to build up slowly for months. Months sideways, growing, slowly; higher highs and higher lows. Some shakeouts happen but still the base, the ATL, stays the same. The shakeouts remove a big portion of the slow and steady growth, but just as fast as the market drops it starts to recover again. The recovery is always slow... It builds up for months and then bullish momentum shows up. Bullish momentum leads to the first strong bullish wave. After this wave a major correction, just one, strong higher low, strong recovery and then come the bull-run phase. This is the bull market dynamics in a glance. It will take time but it will be great. Many people will lose patience and fold. Some will become bored. Others will look at the screen, track the market but will never buy when prices are low. Then, suddenly, everything starts going up. Some of these people that are looking at the screens and the prices daily, they will be wondering, "Why didn't I buy when prices were low?" "What was holding me back?" "Why didn't I take action?" You don't have to be in that group. You can be in the group that will end up saying, "Wow, this time I managed to secure profits on most of my coins. 10-20X nice. Thank you Master, thanks a lot for your continued support!" But you have to start today. If not buying, start planning and then take action. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Bitcoin may exit from pennant and fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Over the past weeks, the price traded inside a broad horizontal range, repeatedly testing the boundaries of the seller zone and the buyer zone. After several failed breakouts, the price sharply dropped from the upper range and entered a phase of lower highs, forming a downward pennant structure. Inside this pennant, the market continued consolidating under pressure from the resistance area. Each attempt to break above the resistance line was met with rejection, confirming strong selling interest near the current resistance level at 88500. At the moment, BTC is testing the upper boundary of the pennant again. This area aligns closely with the resistance level and the long-term descending trendline. Given this confluence and historical rejection zones, I expect BTC to face resistance and reverse, initiating a decline back toward the 79000 support level, thereby exiting from the pennant, which is my current TP1. The compressed price structure, repeated rejections, and clean pattern formation support this bearish outlook in the short term. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
4
SEI breaks the downtrend targets 30cThe SEI network is currently displaying positive price movement after recently breaking out of a downward trend channel that had been in place since the peak on December 5th. On the daily chart, it has been trading sideways within the upper channel, indicating a potential retest of that breakout. However, the momentum isn't particularly strong, especially since Ethereum, the frontrunner in the altcoin resurgence, isn't exhibiting explosive upward movement either. Should the situation shift and Ethereum regain its leading position, I believe that many struggling smart contract platforms, which have seen their prices plummet by over 80%, could also experience a robust recovery. If Ethereum manages to climb back into the $2,000+ range, I anticipate that SEI will reach its target on the chart, which is approximately 30 cents.
CRYPTO:SEIUSDLong
by BallaJi
Optimism Back Above Long-Term Support: Easy 480% PPI will base this entire analysis on a single signal, a break and recovery of support. Optimism moved recently below its previous All-Time Low established October 2022. The break below this level only lasted a few days. A week closed below and immediately the next week a close happened above. This is a bullish signal. Support was tested and holds. It broke briefly but the fact that the action is back above it makes this situation a bullish one. » As long as OPUSDT trades above 0.636, market conditions are strongly bullish. This week we have a full green candle and the week closes today. This is a continuation of last week that closed at the top of the session, another bullish signal. Some Altcoins are now producing three digits green in a single day, real projects. This type of action is only present in a bullish cycle. At the beginning of a bullish wave, in-between or at the top, never within a bearish cycle or bearish wave. Bullish action is confirmed. Bullish reversal is confirmed. Higher prices will happen next. » I have an easy target for you mapped on the chart for OPUSDT, 480%. Thank you for reading. There will be more... This target on the chart is only the start, we are set to experience growth long-term. You have not seen how the Altcoins market looks and feels when it grows for six months straight, it will be awesome, and then the bull run. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda