BTCUSD: Can this M2 supply signal trigger a massive rally?Bitcoin has neutralized the previously oversold levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.383, MACD = -1887.100, ADX = 31.814) as it is making a strong technical rebound on the 1W MA50. Today's analysis features the Global M2 supply, which is a leading indicator for Bitcoin. Both in July 2024 and November 2022 (the last two major bottoms for the market) when the M2 started to rise aggressively, Bitcoin declined and consolidated. It followed the bullish trend of the M2 with a rise of its own much later. This is similar to what the market has been experiencing since January 2025, when the M2 started rising but Bitcoin peaked on its ATH and started a decline that continues to this very date. If the pattern gets repeated then by end of April - start of May we are in for a strong Bitcoin recovery (if not earlier).
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Bitcoin will grow inside upward channel to resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Previously, the price moved inside a triangle pattern, where it faced pressure from the resistance line while holding above the lower boundary. After the breakout from this formation, BTC began forming an upward channel, signaling a shift toward a bullish structure. Inside the channel, the price reacted multiple times to the support line, especially within the buyer zone between 79600–81000 points. Every touch of this zone triggered a rebound, indicating that buyers consistently protect it. Most recently, BTC bounced again from the 81000 support level, which aligns with the lower channel boundary. This rebound shows that bullish momentum is still present, and the structure remains intact. Now, the price is stabilizing and preparing for another upward move. I expect BTC to continue rising toward the 88500 resistance level, which is both the TP1 and the upper boundary of the current channel. This level also aligns with the lower edge of the seller zone, making it a natural target for the next wave. With the price holding above key support, the confirmed channel structure, and repeated bullish reactions from the lower zone, I remain bullish and anticipate a continued move upward toward 88500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin Retests 77k Neckline Support! This is huge!Traders,
As we watch the tariff FUD destroy traders everywhere, I want you to be aware that we have just landed on something extremely critical for support, the neckline of our long-standing CUP and HANDLE that began forming at the end of 2021. The neckline currently stands at an approximate price of 76-77k. If you'll remember in my last post a couple of days ago regarding the SPY, I suggested that SPY could drop as low as 467 and Bitcoin could hit 76k. Bitcoin has arrived at it's 76k support and if this doesn't hold, crypto is in serious trouble. I am not trying to be an alarmist here. You all know that I am an eternal optimist when it comes to crypto, but in this case we have to prepare our trades accordingly. The break of 76k support could send Bitcoin and crypto down as far at 50k. I know this is hard to believe. Even as I am typing this I am having a hard time grasping that we'd get there, but this is what I am seeing and I have to inform you all accordingly. If we're lucky, that neckline holds. But plan accordingly.
✌️Stew
Bitcoin Attempts to Bounce from Key Support ZoneIn our last BTC post, we mentioned that decision time had arrived—and the market has made its move. The downtrend is resuming with max-pain.
Today, Bitcoin tested a major support zone at 72,000–74,000. This area, once a key resistance, now serves as critical support.
Now, another decision point is approaching. Will the market recover and Bitcoin follow, pushing toward the upper boundary of the trend channel? Or will a break below this support send BTC toward the lower edge of the channel, triggering a strong move that shakes out the bulls before a potential recovery?
Bitcoin’s Make-or-Break Moment: Eyes on $70KBitcoin price almost reached the $74k support area, which is critical for the bull run continuation.
This zone has acted as a strong resistance in the past, and a clean bounce from here could signal renewed strength and confidence in the market.
However, if this support fails to hold and BTC closes the weekly candle below the $70k level, it would likely mark the end of the current bull phase and signal the beginning of a distribution phase or even the early stages of a new bear market.
That doesn’t necessarily mean Bitcoin will crash straight to $50k — corrections are rarely that linear. But it would drastically reduce the chances of seeing new all-time highs in this cycle.
The next rally, if it happens, would probably be more muted and shorter-lived.
Hopefully BTC will manage to avoid this scenario and hold above the support area.
On the positive side, if BTC holds above $70k and we see strong demand stepping in, it could set the stage for a healthy bounce and continuation of the uptrend.
Still I expect that BTC will test 70k level and if we see strong buying pressure on that level we can expect some recovery.
Ethereum 20% Crash: Temporary Setback or a Buy Opportunity?Hello, Traders!
Ethereum experienced a significant drop, plunging over 20% in just one day and hitting its lowest point since last August.
ETH price found strong support at $2130 and I don’t expect further downfall beyond this level unless broader market conditions deteriorate.
One of the key technical developments was Ethereum breaking the crucial $2800 support zone, which is a bearish signal for the continuation of the uptrend.
However, a quick recovery above this level could reignite bullish momentum and bring buyers back into the market. W
atching how ETH reacts to this resistance will be crucial in the coming days.
The main catalyst for this sell-off was Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which triggered a broader risk-off sentiment in global markets.
The crypto space, being highly sensitive to macroeconomic events, saw a sharp reaction, with Ethereum and other major altcoins suffering deep corrections.
Despite the current bearish outlook, there is one major reason why Ethereum is likely to recover quickly — the upcoming Pectra upgrade, set to take place next month.
Historically, ETH has seen strong rallies leading up to major network upgrades, and I expect a similar pattern to unfold this time.
If the market stabilizes and sentiment shifts, Ethereum could reclaim lost ground and resume its long-term bullish trajectory.
For now, the key levels to watch are $2130 as support and $2800 as resistance.
A break above $2800 could signal a strong reversal, while failure to hold $2130 might open the door for deeper corrections
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Bitcoin drops. What's next?Hello, Traders!
Bitcoin price continues to fall towards the next big support area at 74k-70k.
Currently, there is no sign of BTC reversal, and it seems that this correction phase will last long.
Ideally, the faster BTC finds its local bottom, the faster it starts to rise again.
However, the current market conditions suggest that a period of consolidation might be necessary before a meaningful recovery.
I doubt that the BTC price will fall below 70k despite all the negative sentiment surrounding it at the moment.
More likely, we will see strong buying pressure at those levels, as institutional investors and long-term holders step in to accumulate at what they perceive as a discount.
Also, the stochastic RSI on a weekly scale has dropped to 0, which historically indicates that momentum is oversold and a potential reversal could be near.
If we see a bullish cross on the SRSI on a weekly timeframe, this might act as a catalyst for a price rebound, possibly pushing BTC toward new highs.
Another indication of a possible bottom is the Fear & Greed Index, which currently sits at around 20.
This level reflects extreme fear in the market, a condition that has often preceded local bottoms in previous cycles.
Historically, such extreme fear tends to trigger a shift in sentiment, leading to increased demand and a subsequent price recovery.
Furthermore, on-chain metrics suggest that long-term holders remain unfazed by the recent downturn, with exchange reserves continuing to decline. This indicates that a significant portion of BTC supply is being moved to cold storage, reducing selling pressure.
Additionally, open interest in the futures market has seen a decline, which could mean that excessive leverage is being flushed out—a necessary step for a healthier market structure.
If BTC manages to hold the 70k support level and confirms a reversal with increasing volume, we could see a strong recovery phase unfold.
However, if the price breaks below this key support, the next significant area to watch would be around 65k, where additional buying interest might emerge.
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Will #SHIB Continue Pumping or a Bull Trap is Waiting for Bulls?Yello, Paradisers! Will #SHIBUSDT continue flying, or are we about to witness a brutal rejection straight into the demand abyss? Let’s break it down.
💎#SHIB has recently broken out of a Descending Broadening Wedge Formation on the 4H chart, a pattern that historically signals potential bullish reversals. This breakout was strong, but the price has now hit a critical Supply Zone between 0.00001530 – 0.00001650, and has already shown signs of rejection from this area.
💎The structure shows #SHIBUSD facing Strong Resistance just below 0.00001711—a level that acts as Bearish Setup Invalidation. If the price closes decisively above this zone, bears will lose control, and we could see a sharp squeeze up toward 0.00001900.
💎However, the more probable scenario for now is a retest and rejection from the supply zone, followed by a deeper pullback. Based on volume profile and historical price behavior, the Support Zone around 0.00001181 is a key level to watch for a possible bounce. If this level is lost, SHIB could fall to sweep the swing low (SH) at 0.00001081 to complete a liquidity grab before resuming any bullish trend.
💎RSI is currently near overbought territory, suggesting SHIB may be due for a short-term correction or consolidation. This lines up with the visual expectation of a potential ABC correction back into support, where Wave A has started and Wave B might complete soon.
Patience and precision are key in these conditions wait for strong confirmation before making your moves.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Solana’s Critical Support at $120 - Will It Hold or Break?Solana has been respecting its $120 support level for over a year, consistently bouncing back every time it tested this zone. However, the price is now once again hovering around this crucial level after a small bounce a couple of weeks ago. The key question remains: will Solana hold this support and rally again, or is a major breakdown coming?
Weakening Support: A Bearish Signal?
When a price level is tested repeatedly, it often weakens as buyers at that level get exhausted. The most recent bounce from $120 was notably weak, indicating that buying pressure might be fading. This could be an early warning sign that sellers are gaining control, increasing the probability of a breakdown.
The $75 Scenario: What If Support Fails?
If Solana fails to hold $120, the next major support level sits around $75—a price zone where significant demand previously emerged. A breakdown could trigger a sharp move lower as stop-losses get triggered and bearish momentum accelerates.
Key Factors to Watch:
• Volume & Strength of the Current Test – Is buying volume picking up, or are sellers in control?
• Market Sentiment & Macro Trends – Broader crypto market trends, Bitcoin’s movement, and macroeconomic factors could influence Solana’s direction.
• False Breakouts & Traps – Sometimes, a brief break below support is a shakeout before a strong reversal. A reclaim of $120 after a breakdown could signal a bullish trap for shorts.
Final Thoughts
While $120 has been a strong floor for Solana, repeated tests make it more fragile. If buyers fail to step in with conviction, a drop toward $75 becomes a real possibility. However, if bulls defend this level strongly, we could see another bounce, potentially setting up a reversal.
Thanks for your support.
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Is This the Final Drop Before a Major Reversal? Read This NOW! Yello, Paradisers! Are we about to witness the final leg of this move, or is one last shakeout coming before a massive reversal? Let’s break it all down using Elliott Wave principles.
💎Wave 1 initiated the downtrend, marking a strong sell-off from higher price levels. Volume surged during this phase, signaling institutional selling and overall market panic. This aggressive downward move set the foundation for the corrective Wave 2.
💎Wave 2 began as the price rebounded after hitting the local low at $1.406. This move aligns with a typical Elliott Wave correction, often retracing 50%–61.8% of Wave 1. The recovery phase pushed the price back up, potentially reaching as high as $1.964 before the next major move.
💎Wave 3, the strongest and longest in the sequence, started once the price failed to sustain above $1.964. This move could extend all the way down to $0.809, a critical level where selling pressure is expected to peak. Historically, volume is highest during Wave 3, indicating aggressive selling and potential accumulation zones forming.
💎Wave 4 might be unfolding right now, forming a short-term recovery. If the price retraces toward $1.392 but fails to break above it, the bearish wave count remains intact. It’s crucial to note that Wave 4 must NOT enter the price range of Wave 2—if it does, the entire Elliott Wave structure is invalidated, suggesting an alternative pattern like an ending diagonal or a larger correction.
💎Wave 5 is the final impulse wave. If Wave 4 faces rejection below $1.392 and consolidates, the market could see the beginning of Wave 5, pushing price toward the $0.746 support zone. This phase typically marks the last exhaustion move before a potential market reversal or a shift in structure.
Patience and strategy win the game, Paradisers! The market is designed to shake out weak hands before the real move happens.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ARBUSDT: What Happens Next Could Shock ManyYello, Paradisers! Are you watching this key level hold by a thread? The market is giving us signals, but most traders are too distracted to see them. If you're not careful here, you’ll be on the wrong side of the next big move.
💎ARBUSDT is currently trading below both the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, confirming a strong bearish bias in the market. The trend remains in a clear markdown phase, with price action continuing to respect the descending channel, and no clear signs of bullish reversal just yet.
💎We’re approaching a moderate resistance level around $0.32 has already shown signs of weakness if price fails again at this area, it will likely confirm that sellers are still dominating, increasing the probability of a renewed leg down.
💎If the market rejects at current levels, the first key support to watch is around $0.2847, which could be hit quickly. However, the real danger lies below. A breakdown beneath the $0.2847 zone would expose the market to significant downside pressure, opening the path for a much deeper correction.
💎With ARB trading below the 200 EMA, we must remain cautious. The trend remains bearish, and any short term rally into resistance is more likely to present a shorting opportunity than a bullish breakout.
💎Still, if the market manages to close decisively above the $0.35 mark, it could shift the structure and momentum, targeting $0.37 and higher in the short term. Until then, the bias remains with the bears.
Stay focused, Paradisers. Be the hunter, not the hunted.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
SUSHI is Bleeding Out — Is This the Calm Before the Final Dump? Yello, Paradisers! Have you been ignoring SUSHI lately? That might be a mistake — because the price action is showing signs that a deeper drop could be just around the corner, and those not paying attention could get caught off guard. Let’s break it down.
💎#SUSHIUSDT is still trading below both the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, a clear confirmation that the broader market structure remains decisively bearish. The 50 EMA continues to act as dynamic resistance, repeatedly rejecting price during short-lived pullbacks, while the 200 EMA sits significantly higher, further emphasizing the strength of the existing downtrend.
💎Adding to the bearish pressure, there’s a strong supply zone between $0.620 and $0.640. This zone has capped every bullish attempt, confirming heavy distribution at these levels. Until this zone is broken with volume and conviction, upside potential remains extremely limited.
💎One key level to watch in the short-term is the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $0.586, which has turned into a reliable interim rejection level. We expect the price to tap this level again before any meaningful downside continuation is likely to unfold.
💎As long as price fails to close above the $0.568 level, the structure will remain under pressure. A breakdown below the moderate support at $0.522 would likely trigger a move into the $0.485–$0.451 major support zone, where we could see more aggressive buyers or a potential reversal setup.
💎The only scenario that would invalidate this bearish outlook is a clean breakout and sustained close above $0.640, which would reclaim the supply zone and force shorts to cover. Until then, the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Stay focused, Paradisers. Be the hunter, not the hunted.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
ETHEREUM SHORT TO $786! (UPDATE)ETH dumping really hard! The Crypto market overall is very bearish right now, but ETH specifically I’ve been calling it since 2024.
$786 still remains our Wave C target of my ‘Elliott Wave Theory’ strategy. Let’s see if we still a straight dump towards $786, or do we see some sort of slow down in bearish momentum.
BTCUSDT – Short Setup Brewing at FVG with IFVG ConfirmationMarket Context:
Bitcoin (BTC) continues its retracement phase following a sharp decline, now approaching a high-probability reaction zone. Price is climbing back toward a previously identified Fair Value Gap (FVG), positioned within the premium Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a potential area for distribution and bearish continuation.
Technical Breakdown:
- Price bounced off a well-defined support zone, beginning a recovery toward the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone, where the FVG exists.
- An additional Inverse Fair Value Gap (IFVG) has now formed just beneath the FVG zone, creating a dual-layer of imbalance—offering even more potential confluence for a reversal.
- A short position idea is highlighted with a trigger condition: **“If the gap inverses, possible short entry”**—meaning traders are looking for the IFVG to act as resistance following the FVG reaction.
Price Behavior & Trade Setup:
The green path illustrates the anticipated move higher into the FVG zone, likely grabbing liquidity above recent highs. Should price tap this supply zone and then reject into the IFVG, it would present an ideal scenario for a short entry confirmation.
Key Considerations:
- The presence of both FVG and IFVG increases the likelihood of strong resistance forming in this region.
- Rejection at this level would imply smart money distribution, and a renewed bearish leg could develop.
- Patience is key here—entry should only be considered if the IFVG confirms its role as resistance following the sweep into FVG.
Conclusion:
BTC is in a critical retracement phase, and the overlapping FVG and IFVG zones mark a high-confluence area to watch. If price shows weakness after filling the gap, it sets up a clean short opportunity targeting a return to lower support levels. Until that bearish confirmation appears, bulls still have short-term control, but risk is growing as price approaches imbalance zones.
Elliott Wave Analysis on $SOLUSDT – ElliotWave count🟢 Current Wave Structure
The chart shows a complex corrective structure that fits well within the Elliott Wave principle:
We are currently in a larger ABC correction, with the green-labeled wave (C) likely approaching completion.
The most recent move down in green (C) may have marked the end of a broader corrective cycle.
The current movement looks like a short-term ABC correction in red – typical for a corrective bounce after a strong sell-off.
🟥 Short-Term Movement (Red Wave A-B-C)
Within the lower timeframe, we can see a corrective recovery forming a red A-B-C structure:
Wave A (red) has already completed,
Wave B (red) is currently forming (sideways or slightly lower),
Wave C (red) could result in a final push upwards towards the green descending trendline – targeting around 138–142 USDT – unfolding as an internal orange A-B-C.
🟩 Key Trendline (Green)
The green descending trendline has been respected multiple times and acts as strong technical resistance.
⚠️ Scenario: A rejection from this level is highly likely and would mark the end of the current relief rally – completing the larger green wave (B).
🟧 Short Entry Zone
The orange Fibonacci zone around 142 USDT marks an ideal short setup area.
This level is confluence of Fibonacci extensions and previous resistance.
⚪ What’s Next?
After the orange wave C finishes (completing green wave (B)), I expect an impulsive move to the downside – likely unfolding as a classic 1-2-3-4-5 wave within the green wave (C).
Target zones:
First zone: ~108 USDT (highlighted by green/yellow/red Fibonacci extension),
Final bear target: Possible deep wick below due to the high volatility and liquidity in that zone.
✅ Key Support Zone (Green / Yellow / Red)
Around 108 USDT, we find a strong confluence support – labeled as End of Bears.
This zone may act as a potential reversal point, possibly kicking off a new bullish cycle with long-term targets reaching 200+ USDT.