Bitcoin H4 | Potential pullback before bouncing higher?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 88,033.50 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 85,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 92,708.20 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Crypto
FINAL LEG OF THE ZIGZAG CORRECTION ?Yello, Paradisers! Are we about to see the end of this correction, or is there still one more shakeout coming? Let’s break it down.
💎The market is currently unfolding within a Zigzag Correction (A-B-C) pattern, and we appear to be in Wave C the final leg of this structure. Wave A has already played out with a sharp downward move, followed by Wave B, which acted as a countertrend rally. Now, Wave C is in progress, forming the last phase of this corrective cycle.
💎Since this is a 5-3-5 Zigzag Correction, the third wave of Wave C has already developed, meaning the market is nearing a critical Demand Zone at 4.0283. This level is a strong support zone where a potential reversal could occur. If the price reacts positively from this area, it could mark the end of the correction and signal the beginning of a new bullish phase, starting Wave 1 of the next uptrend.
💎However, if the price remains trapped between the Moderate Support and Moderate Resistance zones, we may see an extended period of sideways consolidation before any decisive move. A key confirmation to watch is the RSI approaching oversold conditions, which would indicate that downward pressure is weakening and the probability of a bullish reversal is increasing.
As always, Paradisers, the key to profiting in this market is waiting for high-probability setups. If this correction is indeed ending, the next move could be explosive. Stay sharp, stay disciplined, and trade smart!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Is #XLM Setting Up for a Bull Trap Before a Major Drop?Yello, Paradisers! Is XLMUSD gearing up for a breakout, or is this just a classic liquidity grab before the next major dump? Let’s break it down.
💎Right now, #XLMUSDT is testing a minor resistance at $0.28464, a level where price has repeatedly struggled to push higher. While there is a possibility of a breakout, the presence of strong liquidity around the unmitigated supply zone at $0.31917 suggests that any move higher could be a trap before a significant drop. If price does manage to break above this resistance, traders should be cautious it’s likely just a liquidity grab before a larger move to the downside.
💎Once the price reaches the unmitigated supply zone, a rejection is expected, leading to a downward move toward the key support zone at $0.22699. This level has historically been a strong demand area where buyers could step in, potentially causing a temporary bounce or consolidation before any further downside.
💎As CRYPTOCAP:XLM moves lower, it’s crucial to watch volume activity. If the decline happens with high volume, it will confirm strong selling pressure and increase the likelihood of a deeper drop. However, if the price approaches $0.22699 with low volume, it could indicate a lack of seller conviction, leading to a short-term bounce before resuming the downtrend.
💎The EMA 200 continues to act as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook. As long as price fails to hold above $0.28464 or gets rejected from the supply zone, the bearish setup remains intact. In that case, a move toward $0.22699 and potentially even $0.19151 becomes highly probable. Watching volume reactions at these key levels will be essential to confirm the next move.
💎The only scenario that could invalidate this bearish setup is a strong close above $0.36172 with high volume. That would signal a potential shift in market structure and could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
Paradisers, patience and precision are key in this market. Let the levels guide you, trade strategically, and stay disciplined. Avoid emotional decisions this market punishes the impatient and rewards those who stay focused.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
AUDIO Breakout Alert: Parabolic Move Loading?SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:AUDIO has successfully broken above the long-term descending resistance line, signaling a strong shift in momentum. However, the price is currently facing rejection from the upper marked resistance zone.
If AUDIO manages to close decisively above this zone, it could trigger a parabolic upmove, opening the path for a significant rally. Watch closely for confirmation — this breakout could be the beginning of something big.
DYOR, NFA
OIL – Bearish Setup at FVG + Golden Pocket ConfluenceThis 4H chart of Crude Oil Futures highlights a clean bearish setup forming as price approaches a confluence zone of imbalance and premium pricing. After a sharp downward move, the current rally appears to be a retracement into areas of interest for potential distribution.
---
1. Context & Market Structure:
- The market experienced a significant bearish move, breaking multiple support levels with conviction.
- Price is currently retracing upward, creating the possibility of a lower high in line with bearish market structure.
- The ongoing move looks corrective, setting up a potential return to the dominant trend.
---
2. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) & Key Supply Zones:
- Two FVGs are identified on the chart — both marked as areas where price moved too quickly, leaving inefficiencies behind.
- The lower FVG overlaps with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci golden pocket zone, providing a strong confluence for potential rejection.
- The upper FVG aligns with the 0.786 level, representing deeper premium pricing and added confluence for distribution.
---
3. Fibonacci Confluence Zones:
- 0.618–0.65 zone: Coincides with the lower FVG — this is the first area to watch for rejection.
- 0.786 level: Aligns with the upper FVG, making it an extended zone for bearish entries if price pushes higher.
- These Fibonacci levels serve as key retracement zones within the context of bearish continuation.
---
4. Anticipated Move:
- The red arrow illustrates the projected path: price reaching into the FVG and golden pocket confluence, then rejecting to the downside.
- The inefficiencies above act as supply zones where institutional selling may occur.
- The lower purple level (0.28) is a potential magnet for price if the retracement completes and bearish momentum resumes.
---
5. Trade Idea Narrative:
- This is a classic bearish setup where price retraces into premium and inefficiency zones during a downtrend.
- The ideal reaction would involve a shift in lower timeframe structure once the price hits the golden pocket + FVG zone.
- Patience and confirmation are key — watching for rejection patterns or breakdowns within the FVG before commitment.
---
Summary:
Crude Oil is retracing after a sharp drop and is approaching a high-probability reversal zone, where a Fair Value Gap overlaps with the golden pocket. This setup provides a strong narrative for potential bearish continuation, supported by structure, imbalance, and Fibonacci confluence.
WHY EURUSD IS STILL BULLISH DETAILED ANALYSIS We closely monitoring EUR/USD, which is currently trading around 1.0430. The pair has shown resilience after rebounding from the 1.0220 support level, forming a bullish engulfing pattern on the 3-day chart. This pattern suggests potential for a bullish reversal, especially as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) recovers from oversold conditions. The price action aligns with the lower boundary of a long-term descending channel, indicating a possible shift in trend.
Fundamentally, the euro is under pressure due to the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent rate cut to 2.25%, marking the seventh reduction since mid-2024. This move aims to counteract the economic slowdown exacerbated by U.S. tariffs on EU imports. In contrast, the U.S. dollar faces its challenges, with political tensions arising from President Trump's criticism of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting rates swiftly. These dynamics have led to increased volatility and a weakened dollar, influencing EUR/USD movements.
Technically, the ascending triangle pattern observed on the 4-hour chart supports a bullish outlook. A decisive break above the 1.0625 resistance could pave the way for targets at 1.0760 and subsequently 1.0850. However, traders should remain cautious, as a drop below the 1.0220 support might signal a continuation of the bearish trend, potentially testing parity levels.
In the current market environment, it's crucial to stay updated with economic indicators and geopolitical developments. Key events, such as U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls and Eurozone inflation data, will provide further insights into the pair's direction. Employing sound risk management strategies and staying informed will be essential for navigating the EUR/USD landscape effectively.
Reserve Rights Token Ascending Triangle —Advanced Spot TradingHere we have a classic ascending triangle. Notice how the low for this pair happened 11-March. It has been rising for a while. Slowly but surely.
Rising from the base because the triangles upper boundary was working as resistance. It rejected RSRUSDT in late March and also 12-April. Now, this resistance has been broken and this can be great timing to catch a wave in the making.
Looking at other charts, I would show you a bottom without the breakout and tell you to buy and hold. The advantage in this case is having a stop-loss with very low risk and maximum potential for growth. The disadvantage of course is having to wait a long time for the bullish wave to develop. Everything has its pros and cons.
When we consider the current chart, the low was hit more than a month ago. Bottom prices are not available anymore but the resistance of the triangle pattern has already been broken, which means that we can experience sudden growth.
The advantage here is a smaller waiting time, faster profits; the disadvantage is the fact that we have a limited space for profits and if prices drop there is also plenty of space open before prices reach support. So the stop-loss has higher risk and the profits potential can be lower but the waiting time can be shorter. See how that works?
In some instances we can go for the bottom catch with long-term hold. In some other instances, we can wait for breakout confirmation for fast profits. Fast would still require weeks or days.
In the first scenario, the waiting can take months. In the second, RSRUSDT can start growing within days.
Market conditions can always change. A short wait can turn into a reversal and instead of profits we get a losing trade. That's ok. We are not meant to win them all. The goal is profit big on the winners and the cut the losers short. When a trade goes bad, just let it go. When a trade is doing good, hold strong.
Namaste.
BTCUSD: Heavily supported, targeting $160k.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.863, MACD = 1668.900, ADX = 41.878), running a bullish steak of 3 green 1W candles in a row. Supported heavily by the 1W MA50, this looks like all previous HL bottoms since late 2022. Those kickstated bullish waves that have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The medium term trade here is long, TP = 160,000.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
SOLUSDT Breakdown WarningYello Paradisers! Have you spotted what’s happening with SOLUSDT right now? A major breakdown just played out, and this could be the beginning of a much deeper bearish move that many are underestimating.
💎SOLUSDT has broken down from a rising wedge pattern—an important bearish structure that often signals upcoming downside pressure. Before the drop, it swept liquidity, a typical smart money move, and has now confirmed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH). This combination significantly increases the probability of further decline.
💎If we see a pullback into the resistance zone—it could offer a strong short opportunity with good risk-to-reward ratio. That’s where professional traders start looking to position themselves carefully.
💎However, this bearish idea has a clear invalidation point. If price breaks out and closes a candle above that invalidation level, then the bearish outlook becomes void. In such a case, it’s wiser to stay patient and wait for more precise, high-probability setups to develop.
🎖Strive for consistency, not quick profits. Treat the market as a businessman, not as a gambler. Stay disciplined, Paradisers, and wait only for the cleanest, most reliable trading opportunities. That’s how you make it in this game.
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Acala Hits Bottom —Pre 2025 Bull Market Buy OpportunityLet's start with the long-term linear chart for perspective.
In this chart, we can see that the major decline ended in late 2022. All the action afterward is sideways.
Then we can notice the candles becoming ultra-small. This is the confirmation that the market is in a period of consolidation. At some point, the consolidation period ends and a new market cycle starts, the bull market.
Now, notice the far right, present day. Acala is trading at bottom prices and what happens? The highest volume ever, clearly visible; whales are buying.
So after years of sideways and strong new lows, buy activity goes off the chart. Those in the know are loading up and getting ready because Crypto is about to grow. The biggest growth cycle since 2021.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
This is a friendly reminder. The best time to buy is now, when prices are low trading near support.
Namaste.
BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈
However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉
For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵
Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AI Sector Watch – TAO Pullback OpportunityAI-related tokens are showing real strength lately, and TAO has led the charge with a series of green candles. However, the most recent candle suggests potential for a cool-off into support—which could form a higher low and provide a great entry opportunity.
📍 Entry Zone:
$279 (potential higher low formation)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
🥇 $292
🥈 $317
🛑 Stop Loss:
Below $260 (look for daily close confirmation)
📊 Notes:
If price consolidates above $279 and bounces, it confirms strength.
Watch for volume drop during the pullback—bulls want a light retrace before resuming higher.
If TAO breaks and holds above $292 quickly, you may want to trail your stop.
Tensor Short-Term Full Trade-Numbers (PP: 186%)I saw this chart and it immediately caught my attention, the signals are strong. Here we have a break of a downtrend, a very steep fall and also the completion of a bottom formation. A small adam and eve.
The strength of the signal comes from the fact that the drop is very steep. Such a drop tends to produce one low and that's it, the next move is a change of trend.
I am sharing here short-term numbers but there can be much more growth long-term. These targets can hit within days.
_____
TNSRUSDT (PP: 186%)
ENTRY: $0.1260 - $0.1510
TP1: $0.1657
TP2: $0.1790
TP3: $0.1984
TP4: $0.2230
TP5: $0.2620
TP6: $0.2941
TP7: $0.4104
STOP: Close daily below $0.1160
_____
Thanks a lot for your continued support, it is truly appreciated.
I am wishing you great profits and success...
Now and always, you deserve the best!
Namaste.
NEAR/USDT is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NEAR/USDT for a selling opportunity around 2.55 zone, NEAR/USDT is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.55 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BTC - 4H Bearish Bias Remains Active📉 BINANCE:BTCUSDT – Bearish Bias Remains Active 📉
COINBASE:BTCUSD continues to show strong bearish momentum, and the current structure suggests a likely drop from the $85K– GETTEX:87K zone.
🔍 Key Setup:
There's a resistance zone around $86,000, backed by favorable liquidity just above it.
This setup increases the probability of a liquidity grab and sharp rejection, which aligns with our bearish scenario.
Target zones are mapped near $79K and $76K, depending on how price reacts to the first support.
✅ We’re watching closely for price action confirmation before entering a short.
Also, check our previous Bitcoin idea, where we predicted the fall from FWB:83K to below $77K—it played out perfectly!
💡 Follow for real-time updates and don’t miss the next precision trade! 🚀
Chainlink Next Target $43, A 222% Profits Potential RiseChainlink is starting to recover. After producing a long-term higher low, it is now trading at the highest price on a rise since November 2024.
The entire consolidation range of late 2024 has been left behind. LINKUSDT remained within these levels for two weeks and is now finally trading above it. Bullish territory for sure.
Now, Chainlink has been producing higher highs and higher lows both based on candle wick and candle close, this leaves room for no doubt as to where prices are going next.
When looking at some of the other pairs, with lower highs and lower lows, we have to find supporting signals that predict additional growth. Like high trading volume being a good example.
Here we do not need to look for these signals as the trend is clearly identifiable. It means that Chainlink is strong in relation to many other pairs.
A strong chart, a strong pair can produce a strong All-Time High when the time comes.
Say the $43 target is only a mid-term one, within the next 1-3 months, but there will be more.
The 2025 bull market is likely to go until late 2025 or even beyond, early 2026. With this in mind, the target shown on the chart can be considered easy, this is only the first step.
After this target is reached, we are likely to see a correction, a mild one, followed by additional growth. We will adapt to the market if conditions change.
The most important part is to buy when prices are low, in this way, we can hold easily when strong shakeouts and retraces develop out of nowhere. We are going up.
This is a good pair, a good project, a great chart. Buy and hold.
Namaste.
Aptos Preparing For A New All-Time High —$22.22, $33.33 & $44.44Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Here we have a pretty nice dynamic on the Aptos (APTUSDT) chart. There is a sequence of long-term lower highs and lower lows, yet the chart looks solid and strong.
These lower lows and lower highs are not a bearish trend but rather a long-term, wide consolidation channel. April 2025 produced the lowest prices since Aptos initial low in December 2022.
From a TA perspective, seeing a reversal happening after this event is good news. The August 2024 stop-loss orders placed below this low have been activated, the same for October 2023. This means that liquidity is no longer on the downside. Once support has been challenged, the action moves toward resistance.
While these major support levels were pierced, this only happened for a few days. Now, APTUSDT is trading back above both those low points and this makes the market extremely bullish.
The Altcoins are growing but Bitcoin is not yet trading above 100K. The Altcoins tend to follow Bitcoin, if Bitcoin grows, the entire Cryptocurrency market grows.
The fact that many Altcoins are moving ahead and producing 2-3 digits green means that this is the real deal, we are ready for the 2025 bull market. This is to say, that the next rise for Aptos will not end in another long-term lower high, we are set to experience a new All-Time High. This is seen on the chart as $22.222, $33.333 and $.44.444. These are the levels for this bull market cycle.
When Bitcoin moves above 100K, expect the Altcoins market to explode!
Thank you for reading and for your continued support.
Namaste.
Toncoin Buy-Zone, 466% Rise Starts Now (2330% With 5X Lev.)Truly, opportunities like this do not present themselves very often. Toncoin is now trading within a long-term buy-zone with a higher low bullish signal confirmed.
This signal is confirmed based on multiple TA factors, want to look at those?
— There is a perfect ABC correction pattern.
— There is strong buying at the correction C wave low.
— The same level were support was found was also resistance back in December 2022, Jan., Feb., & March 2023, as well as October and November 2023. A classic strong, long-term resistance level turned support.
— Marketwide action is pointing up.
— The fact that Notcoin is bullish and rising, a related Cryptocurrency, lends additional support to the bullish bias on this pair.
This is not all, a new bullish impulse is also predicted based on the very advanced system of Elliott Wave Theory, the Wave Principle.
» Toncoin (TONUSDT) Trading Strategy
Easy yet strong and high potential for profits target can be seen on the chart for your convenience, the strategy is very simple; leverage or spot, you simply buy and hold, the market will take care of the rest. Once the action goes green and resistance is met, that's the time to take profits and move on to the next trade. You can always comeback when there is a retrace. The market moves in waves.
Prices will grow, yes, but then they will move lower in search for support. Once this drop happens, that's the time to enter again for another LONG. Just as it is now, there was bullish growth followed by a correction, when the correction hits bottom, we go LONG. When the market peaks, we go SHORT (sell—take profits).
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
The correction is over, it is the best time possible to buy and hold.
Focus on the long-term. The market offers endless opportunities. The only way to lose is if you give up. If you made a mistake, just try again. Cryptocurrency is here to stay.
Namaste.
Avalanche Bullish Confirmed (1,425% Easy Profits With 5X Lev.)Some trade setups are hard, risky, while others are very easy. This one is really easy with relatively low risk.
How are you doing in this wonderful day my fellow Cryptocurrency trader?
» Avalanche is now confirmed green.
While we looked at a pair recently, DOGEUSDT, where trading volume isn't present but the chart signals are still pointing up, here we have a pair that has very strong volume to mark the most recent correction bottom low.
Also, while DOGEUSDT produced a higher low in April 2025 vs August 2024, here Avalanche (AVAXUSDT) produced a lower low. This lower low is good for buyers, it means the bears went beyond 100% and when this happens, there is nothing more to sell, this increases the chances of the next move being strong when it develops. The high buy volume on the drop confirms this statement. This will be a strong bullish wave.
Avalanche is set to grow very strong in the coming months, what I am showing you here is an easy target, very strong potential, mid- to short-term. This can all develop within 1-3 months. So this is perfect. A great opportunity to grow your bank and go beyond any losses the correction produced.
Such strong high volume at "critical level" support indicates that buyers were waiting, ready and present. Now that the low is in, the market reverses from red to green.
» The first target is an easy 90% for spot traders, but leverage traders can extract as much as 450% with just 5X.
» The second and main target, which is also easy because total growth for this newly development bullish cycle will be much higher than what is shown on the chart, goes to $81 for 285%. When we add the reasonable 5X, that's a nice 1,425%. That's it. Timing is of the essence.
The market is good now. The chart looks good now. Once the next bullish wave starts, there is no going back, low prices will be gone forever and the market will be rising until the end of 2025.
Thanks a lot for your continued support, I hope you enjoyed the chart.
Namaste.
Dogecoin Still Trading At Bottom Prices (5X Lev. —1665% PP)After the late 2024 bullish cycle, Dogecoin entered a classic correction. This correction started on the 08-Dec. '24 session and ended 07-Apr. '25, support was found in the mid- to late 2024 consolidation range and resistance zone. A classic resistance turned support dynamic, it is not too late.
When looking at this chart, it is easy to see that Dogecoin is still trading at bottom prices compared to the next immediate target and also the last high.
The correction has a perfect 3-3-5 pattern based on a complex ABC, and marketwide action as well as Fibonacci levels predicts its end. Once a correction is over, an impulse always follows, in this case a bullish impulse with 5-up waves, this is perfect.
We are on the verge of maximum bullish momentum and growth. A simple yet strong target, really high probability sits at $0.70 with a target of 333%. When we consider a low risk leverage of 5X, this would give us a total of 1,665%.
If you look at the volume on this chart, notice that there isn't much action lately, not bearish nor bullish, simply no increase in trading volume. This means that it is early for this pair. We know it will move and will definitely do so and bullish, why? Because Bitcoin is going up and many Altcoins are doing the same. What one does, the rest follow.
» Dogecoin is still trading at bottom prices, go for it, it is not too late.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
EURJPY --- bullish or bearish detailed analysis EURJPY is currently offering a high-conviction long opportunity as the pair completes a classic falling wedge breakout pattern on the daily timeframe. Price is now trading around 162.45 and has just broken out of a well-defined descending trendline, validating the bullish momentum shift. With the recent higher low formation and the wedge breakout confirming bullish market structure, the next leg toward the 167.36 zone is on the table, aligning with a clean resistance level and historical price reaction zone.
Fundamentally, the Euro is underpinned by the ECB’s cautious stance on rate cuts, as inflation in the Eurozone remains above the 2% target. Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen continues to weaken amid growing divergence between the Bank of Japan’s ultra-loose monetary policy and other global central banks maintaining relatively tight conditions. BoJ’s reluctance to tighten, combined with consistent intervention threats, hasn’t been enough to halt the Yen’s decline, making EURJPY an attractive long in the current macro backdrop.
Technicals align perfectly here—after a solid rally from the wedge bottom, EURJPY consolidated in a descending channel and has now broken out for a second time, repeating a bullish continuation pattern. The structure remains clean with clear invalidation below 161.26, offering a strong reward-to-risk ratio on continuation toward 167+. The multiple confluences of trendline breakouts, bullish market structure, and macro divergence make this a premium swing setup.
Highly searched keywords like “EURJPY breakout,” “falling wedge pattern,” and “JPY weakness” will drive additional traffic to this idea. With both price action and fundamentals in sync, this trade idea is structured to maximize upside potential while keeping risk controlled. A clean, strategic long setup that reflects disciplined execution and market awareness.
BTC - The power of fibonacci This is a textbook example of how institutional price delivery often unfolds when targeting liquidity and rebalancing inefficiencies. The current BTC 1H chart displays a high-probability short scenario developing after a liquidity sweep, combined with entry into a fair value gap (FVG) chain and Fibonacci-based premium pricing. Let’s break down the mechanics of this setup layer by layer.
---
1. Liquidity Grab Above Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL)
The first major clue that institutional activity is at play is the clean sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) .
- A previous swing high acted as a magnet for liquidity, with stop-loss orders from short sellers and breakout entries from late longs accumulating above this level.
- Price pierced above it, only to immediately reverse—this is what we refer to as a liquidity grab , signaling engineered movement designed to fuel larger orders.
- This behavior often represents the conclusion of a bullish leg and the transition into a distribution phase or a bearish delivery sequence.
This sweep is not random; it's a deliberate market manipulation mechanism—classic of a “trap and reverse” pattern.
---
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Chain: Imbalance as a Magnet
After rejecting above the BSL, price began retracing downward, but left behind multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) . These are inefficiencies between price candles where institutional orders did not fully fill.
- These FVGs now form what we call a “chain” or cluster, providing a roadmap for price to return and rebalance.
- The current move upward is revisiting this chain of inefficiencies, offering a potential re-entry zone for institutions to offload positions accumulated earlier.
- FVGs in premium zones (above equilibrium) are particularly potent—they align with institutional interest to sell at value.
This aligns with the concept that price often returns to inefficiencies before continuing its true direction—especially when paired with a prior liquidity grab.
---
3. Golden Pocket and the Premium Zone Confluence
The retracement found a reaction at the Golden Pocket level (0.618–0.65 Fibonacci zone) , which is significant not just for its mathematical roots but for how frequently smart money uses it for mitigation and continuation entries.
- The zone lines up directly with the FVG chain, creating a powerful confluence zone where institutional footprints are likely to reappear.
- This area is within a clear premium pricing territory , above the 0.5 Fibonacci mark—ideal for distribution in bearish re-accumulation setups.
This convergence of technical signals bolsters the case that the current move upward is a mere retracement, not a genuine trend reversal.
---
4. Market Structure Context
From a structural point of view:
- Price has transitioned from a range into a lower high formation after the BSL sweep.
- The series of lower highs and lower lows began forming after the grab, which implies a potential shift in short-term order flow.
Combine this with the FVG chain and the premium pricing—it paints a narrative of bearish continuation rather than trend expansion to the upside.
---
5. Institutional Narrative: Engineering, Repricing, and Continuation
This setup is less about indicators and more about understanding narrative:
- Institutions engineered a liquidity sweep to fill large sell orders at premium pricing.
- The imbalance left behind (FVGs) serves as a “pullback magnet” before full bearish delivery.
- Price is currently delivering into that inefficiency, likely forming a redistribution schematic.
The most probable scenario, given this context, is a rejection within this zone and a continuation to the downside as price seeks to break internal structure and move toward sell-side liquidity (SSL) resting below.
---
Conclusion:
This chart captures the essence of smart money price delivery:
- Sweep → Retrace → Mitigation → Continuation
The rejection from the FVG chain and golden pocket zone will be key to confirming this scenario. If price respects this confluence, expect bearish order flow to dominate the next sessions.
This is a high-quality setup based on narrative, structure, and liquidity—not random confluence, but a storyline of engineered movement and institutional footprints.