BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Cryptocurrencies
Ethereum is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring ETH/USDT for a selling opportunity around 2,000 zone, Ethereum is trading a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
POLUSDT Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring POLUSDT for a buying opportunity around 0.2220 zone, POLUSDT is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.2220 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
SUIUSDT Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring SUI/USDT for a selling opportunity around 3.40 zone, SUI/USDT is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 3.40 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 2, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin prices have significantly exceeded our previously completed Interim Rally 95000, thereby positioning the cryptocurrency to aim for the forthcoming Interim Coin Rally marked at 100000. Nevertheless, current price movements indicate a potential retracement toward the Mean Support level at 94000, with a further possible decline likely toward an additional Mean Support target at 91800. It is imperative to recognize the potential for upward momentum to develop from a retest of either support level, as this could facilitate a trajectory toward the next Interim Coin Rally at $100,000 and beyond.
SUIUSD is consolidating ahead of massive Leg. Can it hit $9.500?Sui (SUIUSD) has completed Stage 1 of its recovery process following the April 07 bottom. That was a Higher Low on the 2-year Fibonacci Channel Up and having already broken above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the price is now consolidating.
This is fairly similar to what it did on September 20 2024, which was followed by a strong rise to the 1.0 Fib (previous High) where the price pulled-back to the 1D MA50. That was its final test before the peak forming rally just above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we expect SUI to hit at least $9.500 on the long-term.
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BITCOIN is filling all gaps as it should.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having its strongest 1D green candle since April 22 (for now) and basically today's analysis is a continuation/ modification of our April 14 buy call (see chart below):
Our Target was $99500 but we now update it to $106000 as we see a different pattern through filling the Lower Highs gaps. As you can see, since BTC's April 07 bottom, the rebound has filled one Lower High of the downtrend after the other.
At the same time, it has posted identical rallies before consolidating, the 1st one +15.37% and the 2nd +15.11%. We are currently on the 3d and if it makes again +15.11%, then it gets us to $106.9k. That is marginally above the Lower High of January 30, practically the first Lower High after the January 20 All Time High (ATH).
Moreover, the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level is at $106k and this is why we've moved our short-term Target there. This fills all dynamic conditions of this uptrend.
Do you think that's a fair estimate? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHEREUM vs BITCOIN fractals you'd never thought to look at!Odd comparison but you'd be lying if you say those fractals between Ethereum (ETHUSD) 2024 - 2025 and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) 2021 - 2022 don't look similar. But if you do believe it, can this mean ETH is about to see a rally to a new All Time High?
Anyway as the title says, this is fun fractal for comparison purposes only. The conclusion is yours!
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SOLANA's massive 1W MA200 rebound hints to enormous rally ahead.Solana (SOLUSD) made a very strong rebound on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) on the very first week of April. Now that the month is about to close, it has already completed three straight green 1W candles and is aiming for the critical 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) test.
If broken, we expect it to turn into a long-term Support again and target the Higher Highs of the Wedge at $350. After all, the 1W MA200 rebound also made contact on the 2-year Higher Lows trend-line of the Bull Cycle, so technically it is a massive Bottom cluster. The 1W RSI also broke above its MA last week, confirmed the buying pressure.
Given that the recent 3-month correction was -67.23%, identical to the last correction (May 2021) of the previous Cycle, we expect one final rally to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $900, if the Higher Highs trend-line breaks.
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BITCOIN This is where the real BULL started in 2017.We've mentioned on numerous occasions how Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) current Cycle resembles that of 2014 - 2017 and this evidence is self-explanatory on the chart. What we want to bring forward today, and the timing couldn't be better, is that symmetrically speaking, it was the exact same time of the year (April 2017) when the past Cycle started printing predominantly green candles that lasted until the very end of 2017 (December) and the Cycle Top.
The 3W RSI sequences are identical among the two fractals with a Pivot trend-line dominating both Cycles, first as a Resistance (red arrows) and then turned into Support (green arrows). Before the end-of-year Parabolic Rally, the Bull Cycle was classified into 3 pull-back/ consolidation Phases (blue Rectangles) and, no surprise, the mini rallies started around the same times.
Can this indicate that we are about to see a strong rally of predominantly green candles towards the end of the year to form the new Cycle High? What do you think?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Why is this rally surprising you?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green weeks, with an impressive last 1W candle closing and started the new one right where it left. This rise shouldn't be surprising to most as it has fulfilled all the conditions that initiated all major rallies since the November 2022 Bear market bottom.
The first week of April rebounded strongly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which as mentioned numerous times on our channel, has been this Bull Cycle's main Support and kickstarted the Q4 2023 and Q4 2024 rallies.
At the same time, the 1W RSI broke last week above its MA, which has been the final confirmation of those Bullish Legs. With the 1W Bollinger Bands (BB) still ranged, the top trend-line is expected to rise aggressively as BTC's uptrend accelerates, something that resembles October 2023 and October 2024.
Throughout this Bull Cycle, those rallies have lasted around the same time, the longest being 14 weeks. As a result, the latest the current Bullish Leg tops should be on the week of July 14 2025 and a +92% rise as February - March 2024 should deliver a test of the Higher Highs trend-line around $140000.
Do you think that's the most probable scenario? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN's Trump effect: The 2025 PARABOLIC FINALE is coming!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green 1W candles, making an impressive start into Q2 2025. But is it a coincidence or systemic behavior of technical trends?
It certainly is no coincidence the structure that the market has with Trump under President. Q1 has been undoubtedly disastrous due to the Trade War fueled by back and forth tariffs. But this is a pattern we've seen before and more specifically in Trump's 1st Term during Q1 2017.
As you can see, BTC was again under heavy volatility during Trump's 1st Term Q1, even though the correction wasn't as hard initially. What's more interesting however, is that in both Terms, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, blue trend-line) topped in Q1 and started collapsing. In 2017 that was the catalyst that fueled BTC's insane Parabolic Rally for the rest of the year.
Can the current Dollar collapse kick-start a rally for the rest of 2025? If the Trade War stabilizes, it certainly looks so. It is no coincidence that in 2017 Trump came out storming that the Dollar was too high just like he states now that the Interest Rates are too high, pressuring the Fed to cut.
So what do you think? Is the rest of 2025 destined to be as strong as 2017? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Ethereum Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring ETHUSDT for a buying opportunity around 1620 zone, Ethereum was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1620 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
BITCOIN $140k will come sooner than you think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) eventually made the strong rebound we've been talking about on the highly important Support cluster of: a) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), b) the former All Time High (ATH) trend-line and c) the Higher Lows Zone of the current Bull Cycle.
This Triple Hold Move is expected to produce the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. But even if it is similar to the 'weakest' rally of this Cycle, then we should be expecting at least a +92.94% rise from the bottom, which translates to a price marginally above $140000. And that could come as early as this August.
So do you think we'll be seeing a rally at least as strong as last year's? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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DOGE The 1D MA50 that starts historic rallies happened.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) broke and closed 2 days ago above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 3 months (since January 18 2025) and basically the start of the Trade War fueled correction. This was achieved after the price hit and rebounded on the 2-year Higher Lows Zone.
This is a major bullish development as every time DOGE closed above its 1D MA50 following a Higher Lows Zone test, it started a major Bullish Leg of the current Bull Cycle. At the same time, the 1D RSI signaled a huge Bullish Divergence on that bottom, consistent with all previous bottoms within that 2 year span.
As for how high this new expected rally can get, we expect at least a test of the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, which is still lower that all rallies before it. Conservative long-term Target at $0.9000.
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BITCOIN Well well well.. The break-out happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed a massive break-out yesterday as it convincingly left the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) behind on its strongest 1D green candle since . The foundation of this was a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on the April 08 2025 Low.
This is the same kind of Bullish Divergence that took place on the September 06 2024 Low and resulted in a similar Lower Highs bullish break-out. After an October 02 2024 re-test of the 1D MA50, the trend-line became the new Support all the way to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension (measured from the last Lower High).
As a result, we expect BTC's next medium-term Target to be $130000 (just below the new 3.382 Fibonacci extension).
So do you think the pattern will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Potential DownsidesBINANCE:BTCUSDT Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTCUSD for a selling opportunity around 89,500 zone, Bitcoin is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 89,500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023.
The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024.
As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up.
In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run.
But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Tron Potential DownsidesBINANCE:TRXUSDT
Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring Tron for a selling opportunity around 0.25 zone, Tron is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.25 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
The Black Swan Method- Making TA as a trader is like reading a magical ball but some major unpredictable events are out of control.
- i usually accurate most of the time but i should be a fool to think i am always right, it's impossible to make TA in that markets conditions.
- So this post is not to make some kind of predictions but to warn peoples on what's going on right now.
- i will try to explain very basically the situation (with my bad english skills, so forgive me if i make some mistakes) :
1/ the first attack was based on Luna and UST, some entities started to short UST/Luna with some billions $, FTX and SBF surely did it. Luna tried to save the situation with their BTC reserve but it was effortless. they lost all. (Luna have never been hacked, important to specify this )
2/ the fail of UST was the first step to create a snowball effect.
3/ 3AC, Celsius, Voyager, and much more were all involved in Luna/UST and Anchor Protocol witch was giving 18% returns on UST. They used customers funds in UST and staked, when the situation started to turn really bad for Luna, they tried to save the situation trading customers funds and they failed. (any of those companies have been hacked, important to specify this )
4/ FTX used customers funds and started to short their own products, FTT, SOL, SRM, etc , Binance saw the move and twitted that they will drop all their FTT.
FTX locked their customers wallets. FTX used 8B$ Customers funds to short markets. they are still right now trying to short USDT on Binance. (FTX have never been hacked, important to specify this).
5/ The snow ball started to be transformed in an avalanche. The damage here is huge. An exchange implosion of this magnitude is a gift to bitcoin haters all over the world.
6/ Sam bankman-fried was a Trojan horse in the crypto space, surely backed by banks and govs, a kind of worm witch have to be eradicated.
7/ Soon bankers will tell you, " u saw what happened with your exchanges ??!!, better use CDBC and stick with Banks!! ", this is their ultimate goal.
- i pray for everyone who got caught up in this mess and lost money with those bad actors.
- i hope you take care of yourself and continue to be a part of this journey.
- i hope it doesn't turn you off of crypto witch are here to stay in the future.
- BTC is resilient. No matter the magnitude of the earthquake.
- Buy BTC
- Store in Ledger, Trezor or Paper Wallet.
- Hodl and come back later.
Have faith in what you believe and fight. Thanks for reading!
PS : Not sure this post will get me banned or censored, but at this point the freedom of speech is an human right.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the price movements observed throughout the week, Bitcoin has remained close to the previous Mean Support level of 85200 and appears poised to initiate an upward breakout, targeting the newly developed Mean Resistance level of 86400. This breakout may facilitate a retest of the completed Interim Coin rally at 88400, with additional expansions of targets also being a possibility. It is critical to acknowledge that potential for downward momentum may arise from a rechallenge of either the Interim Coin Rally at 88400 or the Mean Resistance at 86400.