Cryptocurrency
KASUSD Channel Down bottom rebound. When to sell again?Kaspa (KASUSD) is trading within a (blue) Channel Down pattern since the July 31 2024 High. The formation only broke for 4 days last December. Last Monday, the price touched the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down and today we see the technical rebound reaction in full effect.
The 1D RSI turning oversold (<30.00) is a major part of this. The current Bullish Leg should target at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.12500, as all 3 previous rebounds within the long-term Channel Down did.
It is very likely to see a rejection there, as it is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the diverging (dotted) Channel Down, which was initiated on the December 08 2024 High. We expect the bearish reversal to hit at least 0.07500, potentially at the same time the 1D RSI turns oversold again.
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Cow/UsdtBINANCE:COWUSDT
The cow price is currently at **0.4222** 🐄, approaching its resistance levels. Resistance is sitting at **0.5000** ⬆️ and **0.5555** 📈. If it breaks through these levels, it could indicate further upward movement 🚀, but keep in mind, this is just some analysis, not financial advice!
Bitcoin Trading Thesis – February 11, 2025🔹 Current Price: $98,402
🔹 Action: OPEN LONG (Buy BTC)
🔹 Target: $100,500 📈 | Stop-loss: $96,500
🔹 Confidence Level: 85% ✅
Why is BTC Looking Bullish?
✅ Market Sentiment: Strong financial & order book indicators suggest bullish momentum.
✅ Technical Signals: RSI & MACD show upward momentum, signaling a potential breakout.
✅ Derivatives Data:
Funding Rate: Positive ➝ Traders paying a premium to long BTC.
Open Interest: 76,854 BTC ➝ High participation in futures, supporting bullish activity.
✅ Order Book Imbalance: Increased buy pressure from large market orders.
Key Scenarios
📊 Bullish Case (Higher Probability)
If BTC holds above GETTEX:98K , strong momentum could push it to $100,500 🚀.
Breaking $100K could trigger FOMO buying and push prices even higher.
📉 Bearish Case (Lower Probability)
If BTC fails to hold GETTEX:97K , it could retest $96,500 support before another move up.
A break below $96,500 would invalidate the bullish thesis.
Trading Strategy
🔹 Entry: Look for pullbacks near GETTEX:98K for better positioning.
🔹 Stop-loss: Tight risk management at $96,500.
🔹 Target: First take profit at $100,500, reassess for further upside.
💭 Will BTC finally break $100K, or will it pull back first? Drop your thoughts! 👇
MBTC1!/BTC1! Day Trade Plan for 02/10/25MBTC1!/BTC1! Day Trade Plan for 02/10/25
📈 99590
📉 93365
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
TradeCityPro | TOTAL2 BullRun Trigger Identified!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to examine and analyze the Total 2 chart in the Dominance section, which includes all cryptocurrency coins except Bitcoin in its chart.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, as usual, we wanted to take a look at Bitcoin in the one-hour time frame, but we made an interesting decision with the team guys and decided to analyze Bitcoin for you every day with a poll that we posted in Telegram. Today's analysis was also uploaded before the start of the New York session and you can see it from the link below.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, we were rejected from our ceiling, which is an important point of $1.62 trillion, and this makes the ceiling more and more important for us than ever.
Let me also tell you a teaching point that I just pointed out to you on a candle on the chart, and these candles are mostly made at the market ceiling or a place where At least we are going to get rejected from it and it is an important resistance for us and they are usually red and have a longer shadow than the body from below. I suggest you watch them for a while so I can teach you.
Also, if you are looking for an entry trigger for bull runs and spot purchases and anything else, your best trigger will be on the weekly time frame at 1.62 and after the break, good money will enter the market and our new primary trend will be formed and I will definitely enter myself.
We also had another entry with the resistance level of 662 billion and it was mostly Ethereum, Solana and Link that we tried very hard to break 662 and be with it and I will try just as hard to break 1.62 and enter it. We are currently at the support of 1.13 and in case of a deeper market correction, we will move to the levels of 974 and 817.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily time frame, the total two is very good and this shows that Alt Coins above rank 30 did not make a very deep correction, and if you look at the charts that you see had a deep decline, they are still correcting, and the main reason for the chart being this way is Solana, XRP, BNB, and SUI.
Also, after breaking our good daily trend line and breaking the 974 billion box ceiling, we experienced a very good upward movement and moved to the 1.55 level and the important ceiling, and we actually suffered a heavy rejection, but because it was because of FOMO, we could not count on its resistance, but the pullback and future rejection formed the important resistance price of 1.55.
After forming a daily range box of 1.32 to 1.55, which we had been suffering for a while, and the recent series was very weak, and it caused us to suffer a rejection halfway through and break the 1.32 support in a sharp manner and come to the 0.5 Fibonacci support, which is very important both in terms of Fibo and also in terms of Dow. 50% correction is very important and this could be the place where the price rises
We will probably stay on this support for a while and suffer and then move up and if we lose 1.17 we will go for lower levels like 1.09 and 974 billion but the most important support that should not be lost is 797 billion but there is a long way to go
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge close to breaking to $105.5kBitcoin is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.917, MACD = -782.200, ADX = 41.331) but neutral on both 1H and 4H, as it is close to conclude a Falling Wedge. Today the price held the 1H MA50 for the first time after a test of the pattern's top, which increases the chances of a bullish break out. Buy only if the break out happens and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 105,500), which happens to be just under the R1 level.
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BITCOIN This is what happened on the last 1D MA100 double test.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit yesterday its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the second time in 6 days and is reacting on a bullish note early today following basically 4 straight flat 1D candles.
We mentioned the importance of the 1D MA100 as a Bull Cycle demand level on previous analyses. What we didn't discuss though is how BTC behaved the last time we had a 1D MA100 double test on such short time-frame.
As you can see, the last time Bitcoin had a 1D MA100 Double Test within a 1-week time-frame was on October 10 2024 and the one before that on May 08 2024. The common characteristics of both those fractals was that the 1D RSI held the 43.00 level (just like it's doing today) and the price rebounded to hit the respective Resistance Zone from the previous High. Channel Up patterns emerged on both occasions, the difference is that in May 2024 BTC got rejected on the Resistance Zone, while on October 2024 it broke to the upside aggressively following the U.S. elections.
As a result, we can target at least $108k on the short-term. Since long-term Accumulation Phases like March - October 2024 only take place two times at most during each Cycle (and we've already had this twice already), we give more probabilities to an extended rally like November - December to a new All Time High. Long-term traders may seek to sell these positions when the 1D RSI approaches the 85.00 profit taking level (overbought).
But what do you think? Is BTC starting a rally to at least $108000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Tricks around 102.4K targetMorning folks,
So, our weekly bearish DRPO "Sell" pattern has been confirmed. It means that until market either complete its 81K target or remains under 102.5K its invalidation point - this pattern presents the risk for the bulls.
With all this stuff on the table we make two decisions. First is - we cut potential upside target down to 102.4K area by two reasons. First - this is 0.618 expansion and it agrees with major 5/8 resistance level. Second - this is invalidation point of weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern.
So, conclusion is follows. For long-term traders we suggest to not consider any new long positions until DRPO is valid. For short entry with DRPO - keep an eye on 102.5K area.
For intraday traders we suggest that long position is still acceptable but with the new 102.4K target and very tight stop - just under 94K lows. Market has to start upside action now. If it will not happen, then it will not happen at all and weekly DRPO will start working.
I mark this setup as "Bullish" because of 102.4 target. But, in general we have bearish view until DRPO stands in place.
VINE/USDT IS THIS THE LONG WAITING BREAK TO $0,50 Whales enterPreviously, we tracked Vine's journey from a lower price point to its peak target of over $0.30. Now, Vine is presenting a new opportunity, with a strong potential to aim for $0.50 in the near future.
If this is the bottom as it looks, then there is a high chance this coin could explode to $0,50 in the coming time. The increased volume will go faster after $0,15
We will closely monitor Vine's progress step by step as it continues its upward trajectory.
If there is a launch coming at X, this could be 1 volume shot target. (Elon should know more than we know.
As always, remember to manage your risk effectively, as this update is for informational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice.
ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD About time to downThe recent price action stalled flattish with 4 days of doji... but overall, these doji have long upper tails. This means that with every attempt intraday to rise, eventually it is smacked down. Hence, selling pressure not tremendous, but enough to keep it in place.
MACD though a slightly lagging indicator, has already heads up that the daily chart of BTCUSD is in bear territory. Just need price to follow and complete the picture.
The window is opened for the revised target of mid-Feb 2025 accumulation at about 88,000.
Watch the weeks to come...
TradeCityPro | VETUSDT Volatile Week Begins👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
As the global market opens, let's analyze VETUSDT and prepare for the upcoming trading week.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before diving into VET, let's check Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe. The market was expectedly quiet on Saturday, given the lack of trading activity.
My plan remains the same: If $95,747 breaks, I will open a short position. If Bitcoin dominance is rising at the time of the breakdown, I will short both BTC and an altcoin that is weak against Bitcoin since it has a higher chance of dropping.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
VET is one of the older altcoins in the market, and its current situation is relatively better than many others.
After breaking $0.03147, it had a sharp bullish move up to $0.06672, but it's now in a correction phase and has settled back on the $0.03147 support.
A positive sign is that VET has formed a higher low in 2024 compared to 2023, which suggests potential strength.
For a spot entry, we need to see a new structure forming, and my current buy trigger is a break above $0.06622. Until then, I see no buying opportunity. For selling, if we drop below $0.01470, it's best to exit and go to cash.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, VET initially broke above the $0.02679 range high and rallied sharply to $0.06828. However, we saw a fake breakout, leading to a heavy rejection and correction.
During this drop, a midway range (box) between $0.04214 - $0.05288 formed. Buyers tried but failed to break above the box, resulting in another fake breakout, increasing the likelihood of breaking the range low.
After another rejection from the mid-range, $0.04214 (our spot exit trigger) was broken, leading to a sharp decline. The RSI is now oversold, indicating a potential slowdown before further downside into the previous daily range.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the 4-hour chart, we have formed a key level that is currently breaking down, creating a short opportunity.
📈 Short Position Trigger
we can place a stop-sell order with the current 4-hour candle as confirmation. I have already entered a short trade on the previous level breakdown and will re-enter with lower risk on this one.
📉 Long Position Trigger
there is no buy trigger yet. Even if VET pumps 20% suddenly, I won’t regret missing it because momentum will bring better opportunities for long entries later.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
RARE ANALYSIS📊 #RARE Analysis : Update
✅As we said earlier, #RARE performed same. Around 300+% move done in #RARE. Same technical analysis here.🧐
Here we can see the price is around its major support zone. 2 times bullish move from the same support point.
👀Current Price: $0.0690
🚀 Target Price: $0.01390
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #RARE price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#RARE #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
TradeCityPro | Deep Search: In-Depth Of AAVE👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this analysis, I will thoroughly examine the AAVE coin. The project information is provided in full, followed by a technical analysis at the end.
What is Aave❓
▪️Aave is a decentralized lending protocol that allows users to deposit crypto assets to earn interest and borrow against their crypto collateral. It operates on lending pools, providing instant access to liquidity. Aave is known for stable interest rates, flash loans (collateral-free loans for a single transaction), and being one of DeFi’s largest lending protocols, with over $5 billion locked in total value.
🗾 Protocol Architecture:
▪️Aave's ecosystem is built on smart contracts that manage deposits, loans, and interest rates. The key components include:
1) Lending Pool Core: Manages asset storage and reserve states.
2) Lending Pool Data Provider: Calculates user balances and lending metrics.
3) Lending Pool: Enables deposit, redemption, borrowing, repayment, and liquidation.
4) Lending Pool Configurator: Allows governance to modify protocol parameters.
5) Interest Rate Strategy: Adjusts interest rates dynamically based on pool utilization.
6) Governance: Users can vote on protocol updates using the AAVE token.
🔑 Key Features and Functionality:
▪️Lending Pools: Users deposit assets into pools and receive aTokens, which accrue interest over time.
▪️Borrowing: Users must provide collateral exceeding the borrowed amount, ensuring protocol security.
▪️Interest Rates: Variable rates fluctuate based on market liquidity. stable rates provide consistency but can be adjusted under extreme conditions.
▪️Health Factor & Liquidation: A health factor below 1 triggers liquidation, ensuring the system's stability.
▪️Flash Loans: Uncollateralized loans that must be repaid within a single transaction, offering arbitrage and refinancing opportunities.
🪙 Tokenization & Revenue Model:
▪️aTokens: Earn interest automatically, reflecting deposits.
▪️AAVE Token:
◽️Governance participation and voting rights.
◽️Fee discounts for users using AAVE.
◽️Staking in the Safety Module for additional rewards.
📊Revenue Sources:
◽️Flash loan fees.
◽️Borrowing interest payments.
◽️Protocol fees used for reserves and development.
🔧 Security and Stability Mechanisms:
▪️Loan-to-Value (LTV): Determines borrowing capacity based on collateral.
▪️Liquidation Thresholds: Prevents undercollateralized loans from destabilizing the system.
▪️Rebalancing Mechanism: Adjusts stable interest rates to maintain equilibrium.
🎯 Roadmap and Future Developments:
▪️Governance Evolution: Further decentralization through Aave Improvement Proposals (AIPs).
▪️Aave V3: Enhancing risk management and capital efficiency.
▪️Multi-Chain Expansion: Reducing transaction costs and increasing accessibility.
▪️Institutional Adoption: Aave Arc for regulated entities.
▪️New Lending Markets: Expanding supported assets and features.
What is GHO❓
▪️GHO is a decentralised, overcollateralised stablecoin that is fully backed, transparent, and native to the Aave Protocol.
▪️Unlike many stablecoins, the oracle price for GHO is fixed. Decentralised stablecoins such as GHO are transparent and cannot be changed. Interest rates are defined by Aave DAO and repaid interest is redirected to the DAO instead of the asset suppliers. Discounts are available to borrowers staking AAVE in the Safety Module.
💰Fundrasing: $49.30 M
💵 Some of its major investors:
▪️Standard Crypto
▪️Blockchain.com Ventures
▪️Framework Ventures
▪️Blockchain Capital
▪️DTC Capital
▪️Defiance Capital
▪️ParaFi Capital
◽️The staking platforms of AAVE:
▪️aave.com
▪️Defiserver
▪️Stakingcrypto.io
◽️The Lp platforms of AAVE:
▪️Balancer
▪️Pancakeswap
▪️Uniswap
▪️Defiserver
▪️KyberSwap
▪️HoneySwap
▪️SquadSwap
👥The Team:
▪️Aave was created by the team behind ETHLend, led by CEO Stani Kulechov. The team transitioned from peer-to-peer lending to the pool-based system, which has contributed to Aave's success. It has a strong commitment to decentralization, having moved to community governance.
📈 TVL and Staking:
▪️Aave Protocol's TVL Sees Significant Growth Since Late February 2024
The Total Value Locked (TVL) in the Aave protocol has experienced a sharp upward trend since late February 2024, reaching 7.65 million Ethereum. Additionally, the amount staked in 2024 has tripled, which could reduce the currency's inflation within the network and potentially lead to a long-term price increase
🔗 On-Chain Data Analysis of AAVE:
▪️From the perspective of the volume of coins in profit and loss, the $228 zone with 1.67 million AAVE coins in profit can be considered a support level. Additionally, the $257 zone with approximately 700,000 AAVE acts as a resistance level. However, the number of coins in profit remains higher.
▪️The size of large transactions increased as the price reached resistance zones, reflecting selling pressure from this group. However, at present, no significant changes in large transactions are observed. Moreover, active addresses remain neutral.
▪️On the other hand, we find that whales hold about 55.3% of AAVE tokens, which indicates that whale movements are of great importance. In this regard, examining the inflow of AAVE into large holders' wallets, we observe that they have been accumulating as the price declined.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, not much has changed compared to the previous analysis. After the price reached the $371.48 support and was rejected from this area, the corrective phase continued until the Minor Support zone at $202.63. However, the bullish momentum in this coin was strong enough that the price only wicked down to this support and has now returned above this area.
🔍 The parabolic trendline still exists and could act as an important level in case of further corrections. Breaking this trendline would weaken bullish momentum, making the uptrend slower.
✔️ If the $371.48 resistance breaks, we can expect the price to move towards the ATH at $532.60. If the $543.60 resistance is also broken, I will update the analysis to determine potential new targets for AAVE.
🔽 On the bearish side, if the trendline breaks and a candle closes below $202.63, the market's bullish momentum will weaken, and the price could experience deeper corrections, potentially reaching $130.24 and $77.45. The primary support level is at $51.76, but for now, reaching this area seems unlikely.
📊 The candle volume has been increasing since the price started its bullish trend from $51.76, aligning with the uptrend. The RSI is also in a good position for an uptrend, with no visible divergence. As long as this oscillator stays above 50, the bullish momentum will remain intact.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, we can observe price movements in more detail over the past few weeks. As you can see, after breaking below the $282.15 low, the price has corrected to the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibonacci retracement zone.
✨ Currently, it seems that the price is forming a base. If it can establish a strong support in this area, the next bullish leg will begin with greater momentum and strength.
⚡️ The candle volume is decreasing during the correction phase, indicating seller weakness. Since selling volume has not significantly increased, if buyers re-enter the market, the price could move upward.
🔼 If the price returns above $282.15, the bullish scenario will become more likely, and breaking $382.61 will confirm the next bullish leg.
📉 On the bearish side, if the correction continues and the price reaches the $194.97 support, a break of this support would confirm a trend reversal and shift the market to a bearish outlook. A break of RSI 30 would strongly support this bearish scenario.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT Reaching the Bottom of the Range👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze APT, the so-called "Solana Killer", which was expected to replace Solana but is now hugging its support level.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before diving into APT, let's first check Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe. Currently, BTC is sitting on a strong support trigger, making it a good zone for potential positions. Setting alerts in this area is logical and necessary these days.
If $95,747 breaks, I will personally look for a short position, provided there is an increase in volume, as it could lead to a test of the $92,701 support. If, at the same time, Bitcoin dominance is rising, I would also short an altcoin like Ethereum, which is relatively weaker against BTC.
🕵️♂️ Previous Analysis
Earlier this year, we publicly shared a bearish scenario for APT. Once $7.51 broke, a sharp decline followed, and now there is a possibility of moving toward $4.89.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign.
Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend.
There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure.
For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, APT failed to break the $14.61 resistance. Even worse, it couldn't even reach the previous high before getting rejected earlier, signaling weakness.
After breaking below $8.46, the market entered an MWC (Market Weakness Confirmation) downtrend.
Following the breakdown, a pullback retest occurred, and the daily candle engulfed the previous two days' candles, leading to further decline. Currently, APT is at $5.70, with RSI in the oversold zone, suggesting a possible short-term slowdown in selling pressure.
I personally feel that APT’s drop is sufficient for now, and we might enter a range here before a final move toward the $4.95 support. However, this does not mean it’s a buy signal. We need to wait for a new market structure before considering spot entries.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Bitcoin Dominance and DXY pattern correlation!Is the bitcoin dominance correlated to the DXY?
So far... I think so. Chart pattern wise anyway.
So, according to the DXY, if the Dominance follows this pattern we should be in the biggest altseason to date. But it could be the last one for a while as there could be a 90% to 95% flush out of alts coming.
This would crush all altcoin belief and get rid of all the shit coins. Lets be honest at this point it's needed to flush out all this garbage, it's too much.
Then knew cycle would start over and follow with a massive altseason bigger than anything ever. Don't get excited just yet, it not happen until 2033 or later.
Also according to this chart, dominace can go a bit higher to 72% before it starts to fall. lets see
That's all I have here, I just wanted to put it out here. If you want more analysis on this I have put out a comprehensive video on my tictik and youtube page.
Remember, this is not financial advice.
Kind regards,
Demetrios
ETH: Sell the Pop, Buy the DipOverall Vibe: We're seeing a bit of a mixed bag here. ETH had a nice run-up, but it's starting to look like it might be running out of steam.
The Sell Zone: You've marked a key area around $3,053.38 as a "Sell Zone." This tells me you think there's a good chance we'll see some selling pressure kick in around that level. Smart move to call that out.
Potential Dip: If things play out like you expect, you're anticipating a dip down to around $2,622.10, maybe even lower. That's where your "Buy Zone" comes into play.
Why This Makes Sense: Looking at the chart, I see a few things that support your analysis:
Resistance: The $3,053 area lines up with some previous resistance levels. That's a classic spot for sellers to step in.
Heikin Ashi Candles: These candles smooth out the price action and can make it easier to spot trends. I see some red candles forming, which could signal a shift to the downside.
Keep in Mind:
Market's Gonna Do What It Wants: No chart is 100% accurate. Be ready to adapt if the market throws a curveball.
Risk Management is Key: Always have a plan for how you'll manage your risk if the trade goes against you.
Overall:
Not bad at all! Your analysis is clear and well-reasoned. I like how you've identified key zones and explained your thinking. Keep an eye on those levels and see how it plays out.
Disclaimer: I'm just an AI, so this isn't financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trades.