ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone...
As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness.
On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline.
Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA
Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111
So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500.
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Regards R. Linda!
Descending Channel
TONUSDT → Bulls dressing up as bears... ↓BINANCE:TONUSDT can't get out of the downtrend, facing a rather strong seller (or lack of buyers, amid fundamental problems). The coin is setting itself up for a further decline....
The trend change started to show back in July, with strong momentum being generated amid strong outflows due to the market crash following bitcoin manipulation. In Agusta, the coin faced another problem - Pavel Durov's court case, which had an extremely negative impact on the system.
At the moment, buyers are turning around and have no fundamental and technical strength against the bear. The price is forming a pre-breakdown base relative to the key support at 5.16. A break of this area will open the way to 4.5.
Resistance levels: 5.38, 5.44
Support levels: 5.16, 4.7, 4.5
Buyers are trying to hold 5.16, but the pressure of bears, increasing on the background of bitcoin correction, is increasing, the sellers' strength is growing, which provokes the first to leave the game, close or turn around. In the short term, I expect a breakdown of support and decline
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WIFUSDT → A reversal set-up. Breakdown 2.100BINANCE:WIFUSDT changes the market structure to bearish. Traders are moving into the phase of profit-taking after the rally. The market is not ready to go up yet.
The rally stops at the strong resistance zone at 2.639. A local false breakdown is formed relative to the extreme upward movement, indicating that buyers are not ready yet and sellers have come to the market (profit-taking). At the moment the market is testing 2.100 and is ready to break this support. A pullback is possible before breaking down.
BUT, if the buyers now enter this zone and consolidate below 2.100, the prospect of further decline will come very quickly.
Resistance levels: 2.15, 2.2
Support levels: 2.100, 1.96. 1.95
A breakdown and consolidation below 2.100 will activate strong selling amid a general bear market. If the price further enters the flat channel, it may cause a decline to 1.45
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Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Potential Bull Flag w/ $35K (91%) Gain on Valid Break!Here I have BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the Daily Chart!
2024 has been an Exceptional Year for Bitcoin after its nearly 2 Year Monumental Recovery from the Nov. 2022 Low @ $15,512 to pushing price up past the 3 Year High of $69,000 on Nov. 10th 2021 to the now New 8 Month High @ $73,835 on Mar. 14th 2024!
Fall '21/Summer '22 - Bitcoin is in a Declining Stage
Fall '22/Summer '23 - Bitcoin is in an Accumulation Stage
Fall '23/Spring '24 - Bitcoin is in a Advancing Stage
Spring '24/Fall '24 - ( Distribution or Accumulation) ???
Fall '24/Summer '25 - ???
Currently, Bitcoin is exhibiting signs of a Potential Bull Flag with a Flagpole suggesting a potential 91.78% or $35,334.57 Gain with a Valid Bullish Break!!
We can see Bitcoin has been in a Descending Channel since the Spring of 2024 came but Price Action has made a few key movements that I'd like to point out:
- After traveling the Descending Channel from the Higher High @ $73,835.57, Price makes a False Break of the Channel that touches the Previous Level of Structures Higher High and makes a 38.2% Retracement of the Current Higher High and is immediately brought back up into the Channel.
- Price continues to stay magnetized to the 200 EMA since its entered the Channel but Price seems to be trading Above it with ease in this Consolidation Zone.
Now this current Channel or Consolidation Price has been in from this Summer '24 going into this Fall '24 can either be an Accumulation OR Distribution Stage, all based on if we get a Bullish or Bearish Break to this Channel and something tells me we are looking at a Potential Bull Flag in the Making with the potential to reach
-Bullish Bias on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Fundamentals:
- BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has been gaining not only Domestic but Global traction with stories like El Salvador this year making Bitcoin its Official Currency!
-Economics now accepting more transactions Crypto-wise showing honest Expansion and Integration into society
-A lot of statistics show that people believe the USD may be looking at a downfall in the coming years and Crypto, specially BITSTAMP:BTCUSD potentially being a savior! People are not only fleeing to Commodities and Bonds when devaluation peers its head, but Crypto seems to start being another sector to look towards!
BITCOIN → False breakout of $ 65,000. What's next ↓ ?BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (above 65K), but the bulls failed to realize the potential. The price returned in the channel boundaries, eliminating the positively-minded... A false breakout is forming relative to 65K.
After the liquidation and strong impulse, a small correction is formed, directed to the imbalance zone. The retest may end with the bears holding the defense below 65K, in this case the price may start a gradual decline due to the lack of opportunity to break through 65K (in this case the all-time favorite pattern “Head and Shoulders” may form here). The focus is on the support 62745, below which an ogrom pool of liquidity is formed, if the price enters this zone, the market may spill down.... The global range of 65K - 55K is still relevant. It is not excluded that the resistance can be broken quickly, but for the moment the fight for 65K is still going on... Bears will be able to confirm their victory provided the price consolidates below 62800.
Resistance levels: 65K, 66K
Support levels: 62745, 61320
As the fight for 65K continues, the bulls may make another attempt on the background of the retest. If they will be able to consolidate above the 65-66K zone, the price will head to the global resistance - 68-69K, where a more serious, fierce struggle will develop...
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Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → No upside potential. Prepare to fall!FX:USDJPY is facing a sell-off at the end of last week, which proves that the currency pair is not ready to go up. The dollar still continues to prepare for a breakout of 100.0.
The currency pair is not able to approach the local highs, however, after the reduction of interest rates in the U.S. Japan refrained from any economic decisions regarding this issue. The pressure on the dollar has a corresponding effect on the currency pair. At the moment the price is facing a strong support at 141.74, from which a small correction to the liquidity or imbalance zone may follow, but with a high probability (technical and fundamental nuances) we may see a continuation of the fall.
Resistance levels: 143.25, 144.0, 145.18
Support levels: 141.74, 139.5
In the short term, I expect a slight pullback followed by a continuation of the fall, breakdown of the key support and price decline to 139.5-138
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Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Resistance Retest. Fed meeting ahead... FX:NZDUSD is set to go higher. The price is breaking the local resistance within the uptrend. There is an important event ahead, which can affect the price quite strongly...
On D1 the market is hinting at bullish prospects, a retest of the global resistance is forming, which divides the market into 2 parts...
Traders are waiting for the FOMC and FED meeting at 18:00, where officials will decide on the interest rate cut. The main question is 0.5% or 0.25%. The first will be a strong bullish signal for the currencies, the dollar will accelerate its downward movement on this background. The second value may slightly disappoint traders and the market reaction will be ambiguous. In any case, the general course of rate cuts sets the main tone in the market, it remains to wait only for specific numbers.
Support levels: 0.61528, 0.61244
Resistance levels: 0.62095, 0.62544
Technically, the bullish trend continues, as hinted by the local situation on the chart. Traders believe in the favorable background. I believe that the Fed's decision will strengthen the general market trends and in this case the currency pair will head towards the upper boundary of the channel....
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Regards R. Linda!
DOGE → Another manipulation or growth? What to expect next?BINANCE:DOGEUSDT in the distribution phase is aiming for a strong resistance at 0.11546. The global and local trend is bearish and there are no hints of breaking it yet. A contrend rally is forming....
On H4, the sideways range plays a relevant role. The last time we tested 0.11546 at the moment of its formation - exactly 1 month ago. There is no potential for breaking the level and further growth on the background of such a strong movement. The most probable scenario in this case is a rebound or a false breakdown, which may lead to a correction.
BUT! The structure may be broken if there is no pullback or the coin will start to form consolidation near 0.11546 with further signs of resistance retest and readiness to go higher....
Resistance levels: 0.11546
Support levels: 0.11099, 0.107, 0.103
DOGE does not enjoy any strong interest from traders due to the high level of manipulation by big players. At the moment, on the background of the global bearish trend it is worth looking for strong resistance levels with the purpose of catching bounces
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Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → There's a conglomeration of resistances ahead: 65-69KBINANCE:BTCUSD is forming a bull run amid a 0.5% cut in US interest rates, but investors' fervor may be cooled quickly enough by new economic news. The situation is not as simple as it seems....
It's also the most likely scenario
We need to be careful as the price is approaching a conglomeration of strong resistances. Pressure could come from both the 65K area, which is still untested, and the area above - 68K - 69K. Let me remind you that globally bitcoin is in a descending channel. Globally ( D1-W1 ) the asset looks good for continued growth, but locally ( D1-H4-H1 ) I don't see any signs that the market is ready to overcome the resistance zone above.
Trades may get nervous ahead of next week's new news: SP PMI, DGP, DGO and Fed chief's speech. If the indicators become sharply unpredictable, all the speculators' bullish fervor may cool down very quickly and in that case we may meet the correction phase amid profit taking....
Resistance levels: 64K, 65K, 68K, 69K
Support levels: 62750, 61300, 59400, 57730
Now, above 62750 a consolidation is forming. If the price does head towards 64-65K, we should keep an eye on the global resistance. But, if bears sell the price down and bitcoin consolidates below 62750, then an impulse to the nearest liquidity zones may be formed.
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Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → Resistance Retest. A rebound or a breakthrough? FX:EURUSD is testing the resistance of the local correction, and instead of the expected rebound, I am waiting for an attempt of a breakout with the aim of further growth to 1.12757 on the background of the expected fall of the dollar....
There is important news ahead that traders have been waiting for months. A rate cut. And the question is no longer “when?”, but “by how much?”. 25 basis points or 50 ... But before that traders will have to endure Retail Sales, CPI, FOMC, which may also have an impact on both the market and the Fed.
Technically, the focus is on the resistance of the range, 1.112. The market is likely to fight for this zone, a correction is possible, but a gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout. If the bulls hold 1.112, it will open the way towards ATH!
Resistance levels: 1.112, 1.12
Support levels: 1.1099, 1.1072
Globally the trend is bullish, on D1 the price is coming out of the correction phase and continues the upward movement. The news may have a big impact on the market, which will shape both medium and long term prospects... Targets are indicated on the chart
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Regards R. Linda!
USDCHF → Dollar rebound changes the local situationFX:USDCHF after a shakeout returns to range resistance amid the current downtrend. The dollar index is rising and many don't realize what's going on....
DXY failed to overcome the critical and psychological level of 100.0. The yield on 10-year US government bonds did not fall after the rate cut, but even rose to 3.74% from 3.6%. Strange divergence between currency market expectations of rate cuts and debt market expectations of rising yields. The expectations of traders/investors on the background of interest rate cuts did not come true and in the future we should expect a deeper rebound of the dollar considering the fact that GDP data and Powell's speech are ahead.
The currency pair is currently forming a local resistance at 0.8517, the breakdown of this zone will give an impulse to the trend resistance, which will determine the further situation. Either the rebound or the price will go higher, to deeper zones of interest.
Resistance levels: 0.8517, 0.856, 0.8616
Support levels: 0.843, 0.837
The trend can be considered broken and confirmed bullish after the price fixation above 0.875, currently bearish. It is worth forming your strategy on this fact
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Regards R. Linda!
Nvidia looks pretty flat these days but it needs to MOVE ! We believed Nvidia would make the turn to validate and then break point #5, but that wasn’t the case.
Nvidia remains within the bearish sequence, but it still hasn’t been able to give us confirmation of reaching point #5. The only thing we need to consider is the structure of the bearish channel, in which the most important part of this structure is our GAP zone (blue), as that’s where most buy orders are positioned, and we can see it has respected it correctly (see green circles).
The scenario over the last few days looks very flat; Nvidia has to break the line it’s currently on to activate our point #5 or, in another scenario, retest the GAP Zone, which it has already tested and is of great importance since that's where the largest number of buy positions are concentrated.
So, if it comes back to touch our GAP Zone (Blue), you know what to do!
Best regards, and thanks for supporting my analysis.
OPUSDT → Double top. How far can we fall?BINANCE:OPUSDT cannot get out of the bears' clutches. The market continues to form its movement under the pressure of the downtrend. There are important events ahead that could shake up the trading community....
Bitcoin, as well as the rest of the cryptocurrency market continues to decline. Cryptocurrencies are not reacting to Trump's speech in any way, but traders are waiting for the U.S. rate cut in the hope that the encouraging data (0.5% decrease) will increase interest. But the 0.25% decrease will add weight to the bearish paw, which can only strengthen the already current decline.
Technically OPUSDT is forming a global bearish trend, the price is not allowed to update the local highs. The last retest ended with the formation of a double top, which led to a sharp decline.
Resistance levels: 1.469, 1.510, 1.544
Support levels: 1.431, 1.393, 1.3
The 1.431 area is holding the market back from falling, but a strong pre-breakdown accumulation is forming near this area with a target to continue falling. Watch out for the 1.430 trigger, a break of this zone will give downward momentum
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Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → Manipulating growth before liquidation BINANCE:ETHUSD is forming a counter-trend bounce and is aiming for strong resistance amid a bearish trend. The project is going through a rough patch, fumbling for a market bottom...
ETH faces troubles::
WisdomTree has requested the withdrawal of its ETH (Ethereum Trust) fund registration application three years after filing with the SEC. Earlier, VanEck closed its futures ETH-ETF, citing lack of demand.
Likewise, indicators suggest that Whale stopped accumulating ETH since July. Since then, they have been mostly selling.
Technically, we see the market being squeezed by strong resistance: trend lines as well as moving averages, which may negatively affect the market, keeping the coin from rising.
Resistance levels: 2375, 2460, 2510.
Support levels: 2309, 2111
The coin is heading towards the resistance and liquidity area amid a bearish trend. This can be seen as a manipulated move to capture liquidity before further testing the intermediate bottom. I expect a decline from the mentioned zones towards 2100-2000.
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USDJPY → Full readiness to drop to 138.0 - 136.0FX:USDJPY breaks support at 141.68 and hits lows. The dollar is declining after the US election debate, but is still in consolidation ahead of CPI. The currency pair may continue to fall
Ahead of CPI, traders expect consumer inflation to fall to 2.5 for the year. This indicator will determine the interest rate cut next week, and more precisely by how much they will cut the interest rates, by 25 or 50 basis points.
Technically, everything is inclined to the further decrease of the dollar, which will be reflected on the currency pair. But, we should expect high volatility, within the framework of which, if the bears do not hold 141.68, the price may test 142.2 - 142.8 before further falling to 138 - 136.
Support levels: 140.75, 140.25
Resistance levels: 141.68, 142.2, 142.8
Global and local trends are under bearish pressure. Important news is ahead, which may strengthen the fall, or temporarily squeeze the price in the range. Consolidation of the price below 141.68 will be a good sign for the continuation of the fall
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GBPJPY → Traders increase short, preparing for a fallFX:GBPJPY is unable to continue the uptrend. The price is breaking the price channel support, and the parabolic curvature can be interpreted as a set of short positions.
The Japanese Yen continues to strengthen. GBP is forming a small correction since the Open of the session, and the Japnese national currency is accelerating northward.
The parabolic curvature that is forming on the chart can be explained as a set or increase of short positions by large players. Such a maneuver indicates a possible strong and prolonged decline in prices. But, the focus is on the sideways range 192 - 189. Despite the fact that the price has left the channel, it is still in the range and the mentioned support restrains the market from falling.
Resistance levels: 190.97, 192, MA-50
Support levels: 189
If the bears manage to break 189 and consolidate below, it will be the reason for the continuation of the decline to the global low. On D1 the price is pushing away from the strong zone and also shows bearish preconditions
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USDJPY → Consolidating before the news.... FX:USDJPY has been in consolidation for a long time, correlating with the dollar. Traders are waiting for key news and are not ready to act early.
The currency pair is in the downward phase, which is a consequence of the strengthening of the Japanese yen on the background of the dollar's decline. The Central Bank of Japan actively considered the issue of raising rates, but postponed this step for later because of destabilized markets.
Today is an important report on inflation in the USA. So far, everything is going according to the Fed's plan. Markets are actively plotting the start of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the bearish trend may continue, there is a huge pool of liquidity above 147.9, which may be liquidated before further decline.
Resistance levels: 147.9, 150.2, 150.86
Support levels: 146.29, 144.04
Technically and fundamentally we have prerequisites leading to a possible decline. We should wait for news to take some actions....
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Regards R. Linda!
LTC → Price exit from accumulation ↑BINANCE:LTCUSDT is coming out of accumulation, breaking the structure of the “descending wedge” pattern - a rather strong bullish pattern. Price is still pinned by resistance, but the bulls have a chance...
Globally, there is no trend in the market. The price is in a sideways movement between 114.0 - 56.0, which I consider a positive reason for a possible rise, as the price moves between the levels in a range. But we have prerequisites for possible growth (consolidation above MA-50, break of the wedge resistance), theoretically the price can head towards the resistance of the global range.
Emphasis on the area of 0.5 fibo - 67.8. If the bulls successfully manage to keep the defense above the mentioned zones, in the mid-term the coin can show a good realization towards 76.9 - 88.6.
Resistance levels: 67.8, 76.9
Support levels: descending line, MA-50, 0.5 Fibo
Perhaps the primary retest of 67.8 will not bring success and the price may form a small correction, but the gradual return of the price to the retest will increase the chances of a breakout. A fixing above the level will be a good signal for growth!
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GBPNZD → Realization (distribution) phase. Target 2.065FX:GBPNZD is in the phase of realization of the previously accumulated potential (descending triangle), at the moment a counter-trend correction is formed, directed to the liquidity area. The fall may continue.
The currency pair entered the range of 2.117 - 2.095. The lower boundary and the liquidity area have not been tested yet, so the potential target is still valid. The counter-trend correction is due to the counter-trend growth of the dollar against the main basket of currency pairs.
On H4, there is a conglomerate of strong resistances ahead, which may prevent the price from the first time, accordingly, a false breakdown and further decline should be considered.
Resistance levels: 2.11, 2.113, 2.12.
Support levels: 2.098, 2.085
The breakdown of the structure, character and the formed confirmation of the bear market indicates that the counter-trend correction can be stopped from the liquidity pool area, so the downward movement can be continued from the mentioned resistance
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EUR/JPY Trade Setup 4 Hour TimeframeEUR/JPY has formed a descending channel on the 4-hour timeframe, followed by a strong breakout and a retest.
The price is currently at the retest level, so we will be looking for buy candlestick signals from this level.
To find a suitable entry, we need to scale down to the lower timeframes to identify chart patterns and candlestick confirmations.
BITCOIN in trouble? check this out first... There is no doubt that Bitcoin is in a downward trending channel. As you can see in this analysis, Bitcoin has been in a bearish sequence since the highest point (#1), bouncing within the channel until it was rejected at point #5, which did not break through our green confirmation zone and instead dropped to the purple inefficiency zone.
If you look closely, the purple inefficiency zone has shown significant strength for months (since April). It's a crucial area because when the price reaches it, there is a strong volume and buying pressure.
There are only two possible moves the price could make this week:
Move 1: The price could stay in our purple inefficiency zone and consolidate, accumulating for its next bullish trend. Note: Point #5 was a total rejection and decided to disrupt the sequence that Bitcoin had from point #1.
Move 2: The price could simply respect a large-scale supply and demand zone, in which case we might see the price continue to drop, allowing it to enter a demand zone and then take off into a bullish market.
What will happen? We really don't know, but what we can conclude from this postis that since the beginning of this analysis several weeks ago, the price has moved in our favor just by using basic price action concepts.I am very satisfied with this analysis, and I'm glad you were able to benefit from it, if you have been following this analysis closely, The price has been moving according to our prediction, And whenever I see these kinds of charts or analyses, I remember the words my mentor used to tell me: always remember that the price action is always right.
I sincerely appreciate your trust and support in my study.
I send you a warm greeting, and always stay alert for the next move.
-RM