Walt Disney I Short Term Potential Buy to ResistanceWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** Walt Disney Analysis - Listen to video!
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Disney
DIS WEEKLY OUTLOOK!One of the best and easiest strategies when trading sideways markets…
I guess there’s no need for a long explanation the chart already speaks for itself if you know how to read it.
In trading or investing, you can never know where the market is going next. That’s exactly why we use charts: they show us solid levels where buying and selling makes sense. As you can see, DIS is still falling and as the saying goes, “never catch a falling knife.” If you buy here, you are taking unnecessary risk because this is the middle of the movement, not a confirmed reversal.
Technical analysis always teaches the same principle:
“Buy support, sell resistance.”
Right now I’m watching to see where this downward move stops. The $80–$85 zone is the main buying area, with a $77.44 stop-loss level. And I know what you’re thinking: “But what if the price doesn’t come down and reverses upward from here?
In that case, we simply wait.
If the price breaks above the $120 resistance, that level will turn into a strong support zone — and that breakout will also give us a clean buying opportunity. We don’t need to rush. We let the chart show us the solid levels.
Please ask yourself first: Are you a long-term investor or a trader?
If you are a trader, never enter a position without a proper setup, stop-loss, and take-profit target. Discipline is everything in trading.
And of course, this is not financial advice.
Walt Disney (DIS) – Reversal Cup & Handle FormationOn the Daily timeframe, NYSE:DIS is forming a reversal cup and handle pattern.
The price is moving below both EMA 50 and EMA 100 , confirming short-term bearish momentum. The recent decline matches the depth of the previous cup’s widest part, indicating potential continuation toward the next strong support near $106.
If this support level breaks, the price could move down to test the psychological zone around $100 , and possibly fill the gap below it.
Disney Stock Breakdown: Hidden Bull Flag and the Next Big MovePrice continues to trade inside the long-term parallel channel drawn from the higher timeframe structure. This channel has been respected for several years, and price is still moving within the same range.
On the monthly chart, price is below the 50-EMA, which increases the probability of a deeper retracement toward the 200-EMA. The global downtrendline, built from the major lows, was broken by a strong two-month bullish impulse. Current price action suggests the market may be forming a retest of that breakout zone.
On the weekly timeframe, price is trading below both the 50-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling potential continuation to the downside before buyers regain momentum. MACD and RSI both point lower, supporting the expectation of a pullback. A reaction around the weekly RSI 30 zone is likely.
A bull flag structure is developing. The corrective move is slower than the preceding impulse, indicating buyers are consolidating. If a breakout occurs near the expected zone, the pattern’s measured move suggests a potential rally equal to the height of the flagpole, aligning closely with the next major resistance level.
Another important detail: upward swings inside the channel have progressively shortened, signaling weakening seller control and an increasing breakout probability.
Selling volume has also decreased week-over-week, and the company’s latest report came out positive, adding additional bullish context once the correction completes.
Overall, the base scenario: further downside into the retest area, followed by a potential bullish breakout if the flag pattern confirms.
DIS | A Possible Bull Flag On Disney | LONGThe Walt Disney Co. engages in the business of international family entertainment and media enterprise. It owns and operates television and radio production, distribution and broadcasting stations, direct-to-consumer services, amusement parks, and hotels. It operates through the following business segments: Disney Entertainment, ESPN, and Disney Parks, Experiences, and Products. The company was founded by Walter Elias Disney on October 16, 1923 and is headquartered in Burbank, CA.
DIS Technical Breakdown – Bearish Trend Gains Momentum🎭 DIS – Walt Disney Company | Thief’s Cash Flow Management Strategy 🏰💸
Hello, Ladies & Gentlemen, welcome to the Thief OG trading crew! 😎 Ready to swipe some profits from the Walt Disney Company (DIS) stock? Let’s break down this bearish swing/day trade strategy with a sprinkle of fun and a whole lot of market swagger. 🚀 Let’s dive into the magic of cash flow management with a layered limit order approach! 🎥
📊 Asset: Walt Disney Company (DIS)
Market: NYSE
Strategy: Swing/Day Trade
Bias: Bearish 🐻
Why?: The 200-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA) has been breached by sellers, confirming a downtrend. The bears are running the show, and we’re ready to join the party! 🎉
🕵️♂️ The "Thief Strategy" Plan: Layered Limit Orders
Our Thief Strategy is all about sneaking in profits with a layered limit order approach. Think of it like setting multiple traps to catch the best entry points. 🪤 Here’s how we roll:
Entry Points: Place multiple sell limit orders to layer your entries. Suggested levels:
$116.00 📉
$115.00 📉
$114.00 📉
$113.00 📉
Pro Tip: Feel free to add more layers based on your risk appetite! Stack those entries like a master thief planning a heist. 😏
Entry Flexibility: You can enter at any price level within this range if you spot a good opportunity. Stay nimble, Thief OGs!
🛑 Stop Loss: Protect Your Loot
Thief Stop Loss: Set at $118.00. This is our safety net to keep the bears from stealing our cash! 🛡️
Note: Dear Thief OGs, this stop loss is my suggestion, but it’s your trade! Adjust based on your risk tolerance and make those profits at your own pace. 💸
🎯 Target: Cash Out Before the Trap!
Profit Target: Aim for the $105.00 level, where the 786-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) acts as strong support. 📈
Why?: This level shows oversold conditions and a potential bear trap. Escape with your profits before the market flips the script! 🏃♂️
Note: Thief OGs, this is my target, but you’re the boss of your trades. Take profits when it feels right for you! 💪
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
To make the most of this DIS setup, keep an eye on these correlated assets (all in USD):
NASDAQ:NFLX (Netflix): As a competitor in the streaming and entertainment space, Netflix often moves in tandem with DIS. A bearish move in DIS could signal similar pressure in NFLX, especially if market sentiment sours on streaming stocks. 📺
NASDAQ:CMCSA (Comcast): Another media giant with theme park and content exposure. Watch for bearish momentum in CMCSA to confirm broader sector weakness. 🏰
AMEX:SPY (S&P 500 ETF): DIS is a major component of the S&P 500. If the broader market is bearish, it could amplify DIS’s downtrend. Keep SPY on your radar for macro context. 📊
Key Correlation Insight: DIS, NFLX, and CMCSA often react to similar catalysts like consumer spending trends, streaming subscriber growth, or theme park revenue. A bearish move in DIS could be a signal to check these pairs for shorting opportunities or confirmation of sector weakness. 🔍
⚠️ Disclaimer
This Thief Style trading strategy is just for fun and educational purposes! 😜 Trading involves risks, and I’m not a financial advisor. Always do your own research (DYOR) and trade at your own risk. Steal profits, not your peace of mind! 🕵️♂️
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
Hashtags:#DIS #StockMarket #SwingTrading #DayTrading #Bearish #ThiefStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #StockPicks #CashFlow
Intuitive Machines (LUNR) BACK TO 20 DOLLARS Why Intuitive Machines (LUNR) Could Rocket Back to $20 by 2026: Lunar Bull Case LUNR's trading at ~$9.71 today (Sep 23, 2025), down from its $24.95 peak amid mission hiccups, but with NASA contracts stacking and revenue exploding, $20 (106% upside) is in orbit by EOY 2026. Here's the launch sequence:NASA Contract Avalanche: Fresh $2.5M NextSTEP award (Jan '25) for lunar logistics, plus $4.82B Near Space Network (NSN) for comms/nav through 2029 (extendable to 2034). IM-3 mission in '26 delivers South Pole payloads ($116.9M CLPS), scaling DTE services to $200M+ annually.
5 sources
LTV award mid-'25 adds mobility revenue, hedging risks.
Revenue Hypergrowth: From $217M in '25 to $700M+ in '26 (222% YoY) on dual missions, relay sats, and NSN backlog. EPS flips to $0.03 avg (from -$0.22), trading at 20x forward P/E—undervalued vs. space peers at 30x.
2 sources
Analyst Moonshot Targets: Consensus $15.44 short-term (6 firms, Moderate Buy), but bulls like Canaccord ($26, up from $17.50) and Intellectia ($24.94 Dec '26) eye $20+ on Artemis tailwinds. Highs to $31.88 clear it easy.
5 sources
Artemis & Market Boom: $1T space economy by 2040; LUNR's Nova-C landers + Khon sats position it for 20-30% YoY growth, per Reddit bulls modeling $500M+ revenue at 20x P/S = $100 PT (conservative slice: $20).
Disney: Wave [iv] Still UnfoldingAfter an extended period of sideways trading, Walt Disney has come under renewed pressure, indicating that the low for magenta wave has likely not yet been reached. To better contextualize the recent price action, we have incorporated a blue WXY three-part corrective pattern within this wave, which should continue down to the support level at $108.78. Afterward, the magenta impulse wave is expected to complete turquoise wave 1 above resistance at $124.90. We then anticipate a wave 2 correction, which should bottom out within our long Target Zone between $97.18 and $85.12. On the other hand, our alternative scenario suggests that turquoise wave alt.1 may already be finished. A break below the $108.78 level would confirm this outlook and immediately shift focus to the Target Zone (probability: 40%).
DIS-Price is ranging but I'm ready to buy🕰 Monthly View
Price is still trading inside the monthly swing range.
Strong supply zone overhead near 140–160 where price has previously rejected.
Current candles show rejection from monthly resistance but still holding above major support (≈82–85).
Bigger picture: a break above the monthly supply could trigger continuation to 160–180.
📆 Weekly View
Weekly structure shows a Head and Shoulders pattern completed, with a recent retest.
Price currently pressing into resistance around 118–120.
Break and hold above this zone would open a path to the 159.55 target level.
Downside risk: failure here leads to deeper retracement back toward 85–90 support.
📅 Daily View
Market remains in a ranging environment between ~82 and 145.
Current move is testing resistance within this range (≈115–120).
Two scenarios:
Option 1: Break resistance → push into 135–140, eventually 159.
Option 2: Reject resistance → swing lower back into demand zones (≈95–100 or even 85).
⏱ 8H View
Price is coiling below weekly resistance.
Short-term rejection possible before a larger breakout attempt.
If bulls hold above local support, expect impulse push toward 130+.
🎯 Bias & Trade Plan
Bias: Neutral–Bullish (range breakout play)
Entry Zone: Look for demand confirmations around 100–105 or 95–100.
Upside Targets:
Short-term → 130–135
Mid-term → 159.55 (key supply)
Invalidation: Break below 82 (monthly strong support).
⚠️ Risk Note
DIS is consolidating long-term. Best plays are at range extremes (buy support or sell resistance). Wait for breakout confirmation before loading into swing positions.
DIS Call Option Loading – $117 Breakout Imminent?## 🎯 DIS Weekly Call Setup – 117C by Friday? Institutions Are Betting Big! 💥
**🧠 Summary of Smart Model Consensus (2025-08-06)**
> ⚖️ *Mixed Momentum, But Bullish Flow Stands Out*
---
### 🔍 5 AI Models – Here's What They're Seeing:
**📈 Grok/xAI:**
✅ *Bullish Weekly Flow* (Call/Put ratio: 2.54)
✅ *Institutional Accumulation* on high volume
⚠️ *Daily RSI still bearish*
⚠️ *High Gamma Risk* – short expiry window
**🔻 Gemini/Google:**
🔻 *Bearish RSI across daily/weekly timeframes*
📉 *Heavy Sell Volume* = Distribution
💬 *Bullish flow might be retail noise*
**🔄 Claude/Anthropic:**
✅ *Oversold RSI* = Possible Relief Rally
✅ *High Call Flow & Favorable Volatility*
⚠️ *Momentum Weak* – proceed cautiously
**📊 LLaMA/Meta:**
⚖️ *Mixed Signals* – leaning Bullish
⚠️ *Gamma Risk* critical with only 2 DTE
📈 *Support/Resistance Levels Must Guide Entry*
**🔻 DeepSeek:**
🔻 *Weak momentum, institutional selling*
⚠️ *Contrarian Bearish Position*
🎯 Targets breakdown support
---
### 🧠 Model Consensus:
💡 *Mixed Signals* → **Cautious Bullish Bias**
✅ *Institutional Flow + Oversold RSI*
⚠️ *Gamma + RSI Risk = Manage Entry & Exit Tightly*
---
## 📈 Recommended Trade Setup:
| 🔧 | DETAILS |
| ---------------- | --------------------------- |
| 🎯 Instrument | `DIS` |
| 🎯 Direction | **CALL (LONG)** |
| 💰 Entry Price | **\$0.72** |
| 📌 Strike | **\$117.00** |
| 📅 Expiry | **Aug 8, 2025 (2 DTE)** |
| 🎯 Profit Target | \$1.25 – \$1.80 *(75–150%)* |
| 🛑 Stop Loss | \$0.36 *(50% premium)* |
| 📈 Confidence | **65%** |
| ⏰ Entry | **At Market Open** |
---
### ⚠️ Key Risks:
* 🧨 **Gamma Risk:** Volatility can cause price to explode or implode quickly
* 📉 **Bearish RSI trend** still in play – this is a **speculative short-term trade**
* 🎢 Only **2 Days to Expiry** — manage actively
---
### 🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a **tactical high-upside, short-dated bet** on a potential bounce in \$DIS. Institutions are positioning early — retail might be late to this move. Risk tightly, but reward could be explosive.
---
**📌 TradingView Hashtags:**
`#DIS #OptionsAlert #WeeklyOptions #CallOptions #GammaSqueeze #UnusualOptionsActivity #TradingStrategy #SmartMoney #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #HighRiskHighReward #BullishFlow`
DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09)📈 DIS Weekly Options Outlook (Week of 2025-06-09)
🧠 Multi-Model AI Consensus | NYSE:DIS
This week, multiple AI models show short-term bullish momentum for Disney ( NYSE:DIS ), but technical overbought signals and options market dynamics point to potential pullback risks near $113 into Friday’s expiration.
🧪 AI Model Insights:
🔹 Grok/xAI
• Momentum: Bullish (5-min MACD +, price > EMAs)
• Risk: Daily RSI overbought, MACD histogram red
• Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $1.095 (+50%), SL: $0.365 (–50%)
• Confidence: 70%
🔹 Claude
• Momentum: Bullish on 5-min + daily RSI (~75), volume up
• Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 → PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20 (–50%)
• Confidence: 68%
🔹 Llama
• Momentum: Bullish; price > EMAs, MACD up, RSI not extreme
• Note: Max pain pullback risk to $113
• Trade: Buy $116C @ $0.73 → PT: $0.87 (+20%), SL: $0.365
• Confidence: 70%
🔹 Gemini
• Momentum: Strong bullish on 5-min, but daily MACD lagging
• Trade: Buy $117C @ $0.40 on breakout > $115.70
→ PT: $0.80 (+100%), SL: $0.20
• Confidence: 65%
🔹 DeepSeek
• Momentum: Bearish bias due to overbought RSI, MACD divergence
• Trade: Buy $113P @ $0.24 → PT: $0.48 (+100%), SL: $0.12
• Confidence: 65%
✅ Consensus Summary:
Market Bias: 📊 Moderately Bullish, but watch for gravity toward $113 max pain
Best Setup: Long weekly naked calls ($116–$117 strikes)
Strategy Type: Single-leg call
Key Levels:
• Resistance: $118 (heavy call OI)
• Pullback Risk: $113 (max pain zone)
📌 Suggested Trade Setup
🎯 Symbol: NYSE:DIS
📅 Expiry: 2025-06-13
🟢 Strike: 117 CALL
💵 Entry: $0.40
🎯 Profit Target: $0.80
🛑 Stop Loss: $0.20
📈 Confidence: 68%
⏰ Timing: At open or breakout > $115.70
⚠️ Risk Watch:
• Overbought RSI may trigger fade
• Max pain pressure into expiry
• Call-heavy OI at $116–$118 may cap upside
The Walt Disney Stock Future Goes 'Shining Bright as Never'The Walt Disney Company’s stock (DIS) has demonstrated robust performance following its Q2 2025 earnings release a week ago, with both fundamental and technical indicators reflecting positive momentum.
Here’s a detailed analysis:
Fundamental Perspective
Disney’s Q2 2025 results exceeded expectations, driven by strong execution across its entertainment, streaming, and experiences segments. Key financial highlights include:
Revenue Growth. Revenues rose 7% year-over-year (YoY) to $23.6 billion, surpassing estimates of $23.14 billion.
Profitability Surge. Adjusted EPS jumped 20% YoY to $1.45, beating forecasts of $1.20. Net income swung to $3.3 billion from a $20 million loss in Q2 2024.
Streaming Strength. Disney+ added 1.4 million subscribers (reaching 126 million globally), defying expectations of a decline. Combined Disney+ and Hulu streaming operations generated $336 million in profit, a sevenfold increase from $47 million YoY.
Guidance Upgrade. Disney raised its fiscal 2025 adjusted EPS forecast to $5.75 (up 16% YoY), citing confidence in double-digit operating income growth for entertainment and sports, and 6%-8% growth for experiences.
Growth Drivers:
Entertainment. Segment operating income rose $0.5 billion YoY to $1.3 billion, fueled by streaming profitability and box office success (e.g., Moana 2).
Experiences. Theme parks and consumer products saw higher attendance, guest spending, and cruise demand, though international parks faced headwinds in Shanghai and Hong Kong.
Strategic Initiatives. The upcoming Abu Dhabi theme park and ESPN’s direct-to-consumer launch are expected to drive long-term growth.
Technical Perspective
Disney’s stock firstly reacted positive to the earnings beat, reflecting renewed investor confidence:
Price Action. Shares surged 10-12% post-earnings, hitting an intraday high of $103.31. Over the past month, DIS gained 31%, including a 20% rally in five days.
Valuation. The stock trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 2.1x sales, a premium to industry averages but below its historical norms.
Analyst Sentiment. The average price target stands at $126.50 (14% upside), with a Street-high target of $148 (33% upside).
Technical Indicators:
Momentum. The breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., $100) signals bullish sentiment, supported by high trading volume.
Volatility. Beta of 1.01 aligns with market volatility, while short interest remains low at 1.24% of float.
Risks and Considerations
Macroeconomic Uncertainty. Disney acknowledged potential impacts from tariffs and global economic conditions.
Valuation Premium. While growth prospects justify some premium, prolonged macroeconomic stress could pressure multiples.
Investors challenge
Disney’s Q2 2025 results underscore its ability to execute on streaming monetization, theme park innovation, and content-driven growth.
Fundamentally, raised guidance and streaming profitability signal a turnaround, while technically, the stock’s breakout suggests locally bullish momentum.
Following historical patterns we are Bearishly tuned at this time, with targets to fill the gap at $92.17 per share (left after Earnings report), and drilling all the way below.
--
Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
DIS is already at $96.… Don’t miss the train!🚨 🎢✨Disney (DIS) is pushing up and showing strength — are you watching this move? 👀 We’ve been eyeing entry levels between $91 and $81, but with the price at $96.30, this setup is heating up faster than expected! 🔥
Sometimes the perfect dip doesn’t come — and waiting too long can mean watching the rocket 🚀 from the sidelines. If you’re still tracking DIS, this might be your sign to stay alert and have your strategy ready. 🎯
Potential targets? Still aiming for that juicy $100–$120 range if momentum continues! 📈💰
Let’s see how it plays out — keep your plan tight and emotions out. Are you in, or still waiting? 😎👇
📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and consider speaking with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Walt Disney Co | DISThe Walt Disney Company is reportedly exploring options to sell or find a joint venture partner for its India digital and TV business, reflecting the company's ongoing strategic evaluation of its operations in the region. The talks are still in the early stages, with no specific buyer or partner identified yet. The outcome and direction of the process remain uncertain. Internally, discussions have commenced within Disney's headquarters in the United States as executives deliberate on the most viable course of action. These deliberations signify the company's willingness to adapt and optimize its business operations to align with changing market dynamics. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 11 that Disney had engaged with at least one bank to explore potential avenues for assisting the growth of its India business while sharing the associated costs. This approach suggests a proactive stance by the company to explore partnerships or arrangements that can drive growth while minimizing financial burdens. While it is too early to ascertain the exact direction this exploration will take, the developments in Disney's India business warrant attention, as they may shape the future landscape of the company's presence in this all-important region.
The ongoing shift from traditional TV to streaming has placed Disney and its competitors in a costly and transformative phase. As part of this transition, Disney is actively cutting costs amid macroeconomic challenges that have impacted its advertising revenue and subscriber growth. CEO Bob Iger has been at the forefront of these changes, and his contract was recently extended through 2026 to allow him sufficient time to make transformative changes while strengthening the bench with future leaders of the company.
One of the key considerations for Disney is evaluating its portfolio of TV networks, including ABC and ESPN. Bob Iger has expressed a willingness to be expansive in assessing the traditional TV business, leaving open the possibility of selling certain networks while retaining others acknowledging that networks like ABC may not be core to Disney's new business model. ESPN, as a cable TV channel, is being approached differently. Disney is open to exploring strategic partnerships, such as joint ventures or offloading ownership stakes, to navigate the challenges faced by the sports network. CEO Iger, who had previously expressed pessimism about the future of traditional TV, has found the situation to be worse than anticipated since his return to Disney.
Although the linear networks segment, which accounts for Disney's TV properties such as ABC, National Geographic, FX, and FreeForm, has struggled to grow in the recent past, this segment is still an important part of the company's business, which is evident from the positive operating income reported by this segment in fiscal 2022. As below data reveals, the DTC business and content licensing made operating losses in FY 2022 which were offset by the operating income reported by linear networks. For this reason, investors will have to closely monitor a potential sale of TV assets to evaluate the impact of such a decision on Disney's profitability.
The broadcasting landscape is experiencing a significant shift, with uncertainties surrounding its future and the changing nature of consumer preferences. While linear television channels are not expected to disappear immediately, their consumption continues to decline as viewers increasingly favor OTT platforms. This transition represents a fundamental trend shaping the industry. In terms of business models, subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) services will continue to grow with targeted advertising.
As the ascent of streaming video continues, cable, satellite, and internet TV providers in the United States faced their most significant subscriber losses to date in the first quarter of 2023. Analyst estimates indicate a collective shedding of 2.3 million customers during this period. Consequently, the total penetration of pay-TV services in occupied U.S. households, including internet-based services like YouTube TV and Hulu, dropped to its lowest point since 1992, standing at 58.5%, according to Moffett's calculations.
In Q1, pay-TV services in the U.S. witnessed a nearly 7% decline in customers compared to the previous year, with cable TV operators experiencing a 9.9% decline, while satellite providers DirecTV and Dish Network registered subscriber losses of 13.4%. Virtual MVPDs, which are multichannel video programming distributors, also suffered significant losses, shedding 264,000 customers during the quarter. Comcast, the largest pay-TV provider in the country, lost 614,000 video customers in Q1, and Google's YouTube TV was the only tracked provider to experience subscriber growth, adding an estimated 300,000 subscribers during the period. These trends illustrate the challenges faced by the pay-TV industry, with factors like increasing sports-broadcast fees driving retail prices higher, leading to cord-cutting and subsequent price adjustments by distributors. By 2026, e-Marketer predicts that the number of non-pay TV households will surpass pay TV households by over 25 million.
In efforts to achieve profitability in the streaming business, Disney has implemented significant cost-cutting measures, including saving $5.5 billion through cost reductions and layoffs, and a focus on making Disney+ and Hulu more profitable. Disney aims to enhance Hulu integration, seeing it as a vital component of the company's transition from TV to a streaming-only model. Discussions are also underway for Disney to acquire Comcast Corporation's (CMCSA) stake in Hulu, as Disney currently holds 66% ownership. The company believes that the integration of Hulu and Disney+ will bolster the streaming business and contribute to its profitability. While the negotiations with Comcast over Hulu's valuation are ongoing, the combined offering of Disney+ and Hulu is expected to be available to consumers by the end of the calendar year. Although Disney's plans for ESPN+ and the fate of its other cable channels, such as the Disney Channel, remain uncertain, Bob Iger expects ESPN to eventually move to a streaming-only model, acknowledging the disruptive nature of the traditional TV business model.
The discussions surrounding Walt Disney's TV and streaming business in India come at a critical juncture for the company, as it grapples with intensified competition and significant challenges in the market. The emergence of Reliance Industries' JioCinema streaming platform has posed a considerable threat to Disney's dominance, especially after Reliance secured digital rights for the highly popular Indian Premier League cricket tournament. This strategic move by Reliance, which offered free access to the tournament earlier this year, caused a substantial decline in Disney+ Hotstar's subscribers, a popular streaming service under Disney's India business.
Additionally, Viacom18, which is backed by Reliance and Paramount Global (PARA), made a significant impact on Disney's market position in India. Through its partnership with Warner Bros, Viacom18 secured content rights to popular shows on HBO including Succession, previously aired on Disney's platform. This collaboration forms a formidable alliance challenging Disney's dominance in the Indian market. Reliance's freemium model poses the most significant threat to Disney's current position. By offering content for free on its streaming platform, JioCinema attracted a substantial number of subscribers through the broadcast of IPL. With its ample cash reserves, Reliance has the advantage of focusing on subscriber growth without immediately focusing on monetization strategies. The loss of streaming rights for the IPL, combined with a subsequent decline in paid subscribers, had a profound impact on Disney's reputation in India in the first quarter of this year, which could very well be the most challenging Q1 Disney has had in India for a long time.
A report on video consumption trends in India by Media Partners Asia sheds light on the dynamic landscape of the online video sector in India. For the 15 months that ended in March 2023, total consumption across the online video sector reached a staggering 6.1 trillion minutes. During this period, Disney+ Hotstar emerged as the dominant player in premium VOD, capturing 38% of viewing time. The report attributes Hotstar's success to its strong sports offerings and the depth of its Hindi and regional entertainment content.
During the survey period, Zee and Sony together held a 13% share of the Indian premium video sector viewing time. While the two companies are expected to merge pending regulatory approval, they are projected to operate independently for another year, benefiting from strong engagement across sports as well as regional, local, and international content. Prime Video and Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) collectively accounted for a 10% share of viewership in the premium VOD category. Prime Video also garnered a significant portion of viewership from regional Indian titles. The report emphasizes that local content dominates premium VOD viewership, particularly outside the sports category, while international content leads paid tiers. Catch-up TV is prevalent in the free tier across freemium streaming platforms.
Although Disney was the clear winner in 2022, this report highlights a significant shake-up in the market brought about by the transformation of JioCinema. JioCinema, which previously held a mere 2% share of the premium video market, experienced a major upswing in growth since April. This surge can be attributed to JioCinema's decision to offer free live streaming of the popular IPL cricket tournament, a property that was previously exclusive to Disney-owned media in India. Despite technical glitches impacting user experience, JioCinema witnessed a more than 20-fold increase in consumption in April 2023, enabling it to dominate the premium VOD category. The report raises questions about JioCinema's ability to sustain this growth and scale in the absence of IPL action after June 2023. That being said, this could be an early indication of growth challenges Disney-owned brands may face in India.
Star India, now known as Disney Star following the rebranding last year, is expected to experience a revenue drop of around 20% to less than $2 billion for the fiscal year ending September 2023. Additionally, EBITDA is projected to decline by approximately 50% compared to the previous year. Furthermore, Hotstar is estimated to lose 8 to 10 million subscribers in its fiscal third quarter as well.
Given the current scenario, finding an outright buyer for Disney's India business is expected to be challenging. When Disney acquired the entertainment assets of 21st Century Fox in 2019, the enterprise value of the Indian business was estimated at around $15-16 billion. This high valuation, coupled with the intense competition and declining subscriber base, presents a complex landscape for potential buyers or partners.
I believe Disney stock is attractively valued today given that the company's streaming business has a long runway for growth internationally while its brand assets will continue to drive revenue higher. As an investor, I am both concerned and curious about what the future holds for Disney's linear networks segment. Going by the recent remarks of CEO Iger, major changes are on their way. A strategic decision to divest non-core assets, in my opinion, will trigger a positive response from the market. That being said, a major divestment of TV assets could materially impact the company's profitability in the next 3-5 years until its streaming business scales enough to replace lost revenue from the linear networks segment. Investors will have to closely monitor new developments to identify a potential inflection point in Disney's story.
Disney Stock Pops on Strong Earnings Data. Turnaround Working?The Magic Kingdom just pulled a rabbit out of its hat — and Wall Street’s loving it.
Disney stock NYSE:DIS surged 11% on Wednesday, not just for its best day in a year, but for the kind of earnings beat that makes analysts reconsider their entire valuation model while retail traders tweet “ NYSE:DIS to the moon.”
Is the House of Mouse finally finding its footing? Just a day ago, Disney shares were languishing 60% below their 2021 record. Let’s break it down.
♫ Earnings That Deserve Their Own Theme Song
Starting with the headline: adjusted earnings per share clocked in at $1.45 , stomping the $1.20 consensus estimate. Revenue came in at $23.62 billion, a 7% jump from last year’s earnings performance and another beat that sent traders racing for their mouse ears.
After a year of streaming skepticism, cost-cutting, and investor hand-wringing over whether Bob Iger’s encore CEO tour could work magic, this quarter delivered. Bigly.
💪 Streaming Had No Business Going That Hard — But It Did
Wall Street was braced for a Disney+ subscriber drop. Instead, the company added 1.4 million new subscribers to 126 million, easily topping expectations of 123 million.
Not only are people still subscribing despite price hikes, but the direct-to-consumer segment (Disney+, Hulu, ESPN+) posted revenue growth of 8% to $6.12 billion, powered by both higher prices and surprise stickiness. Operating profit in streaming? A cool $336 million, up from $47 million a year ago.
Disney even raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $5.75, a 16% gain from fiscal 2024 — a confident flex in a market where most companies are still managing expectations with surgical pessimism.
⏫ Mickey’s New Best Friend: Margin Expansion
It wasn’t just top-line fireworks — the net income boom was one for the books: $3.28 billion in profits, compared to a $20 million loss a year ago.
Operating margins in streaming are on the rise. Profitability, once seen as an elusive dream for all the big streaming platforms, is suddenly in sight. Disney is guiding toward $875 million in streaming profit for this fiscal year — and based on this quarter, that may end up conservative.
🎡 Parks Still Pay the Bills — With a Sprinkle of Magic
Now let’s talk about the real engine behind Disney’s machine: the parks and experiences division.
Domestic parks posted a 13% profit increase, powered by higher visitor spending and the launch of a shiny new cruise ship.
That’s important in an economy where every other headline screams “recession imminent.” Disney’s park guests are ignoring macro headwinds and enjoying the fantasy — and that’s music to shareholders’ ears.
Worried about tariffs? Sure, but they haven’t shown up on Disney’s balance sheet just yet. And until they do, Disney’s parks remain a cash printer with castles.
🏟️ A Park in Abu Dhabi — Why It May Be Big
Tucked in among the streaming buzz and EPS upgrade was something that made global investors raise an eyebrow: a new Disney theme park in Abu Dhabi.
On the surface, this sounds like a headline for 2031. And sure, it’ll take a few years to plan and build, and a few more to create the commemorative popcorn bucket. But long-term investors should pay attention.
Abu Dhabi isn’t just a tourist destination — it’s a capital backed by one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds and a keen interest in diversifying the revenue streams beyond oil. A Disney park there isn’t just another expansion — it’s a geopolitical bet on premium travel.
As Iger put it, it may seem modest now, but it’s quietly huge for the brand’s future footprint.
👀 What’s Behind the Magic? And Can It Last?
So the big question: is this a one-time sugar rush, or the start of a sustained turnaround?
There are reasons to be optimistic. Disney's streaming growth looks increasingly sustainable. Its content pipeline (including ESPN's evolving digital presence) is improving. The parks continue to defy economic gravity. And Iger seems to be rebalancing the business with a more profitable, investor-friendly mix.
But let’s not forget: content costs are still high, competition in streaming hasn’t gone anywhere, and park margins may come under pressure if consumer sentiment shifts. The macro backdrop remains complicated, and even Mickey can't outwit the Fed forever.
Still, this quarter wasn’t just “less bad than feared.” It was actually good — and that's a narrative shift that could power momentum.
🐭 The Mouse Still Got It
Disney’s earnings report, delivered in the heat of the earnings calendar , could be interpreted as a signal that the entertainment giant isn’t just navigating the new entertainment landscape — it might actually be mastering it.
And in a market starved for upside surprises, Disney just reminded investors that storytelling is its business — and this one’s finally got a happy twist.
The question now is whether traders and long-term holders believe in the next chapter. For now, with the stock back above $102 and the Magic Kingdom delivering financial magic, the bulls are back in the castle.
Your turn: Are you buying into Disney’s turnaround? Holding for the next golden age? Or still side-eyeing that subscriber chart? Let’s hear your play on NYSE:DIS below.
DISNEY for sale?Under the 1974 trend line there’s absolutely no bullish argument. Already retraced a 62% of the whole upside movement since the 70’s. Once too big to fall, now maybe it’s a too big to move company. I am aware of the whole books to market ratio, but still see it as a value trap: over exposed to Asia and Europe, streaming isn’t going that well, parks suffering from slowing demand caused by inflation…
Snow White's very low ratings - Bullish Disney stock ?The SnowWhite IMDB rating can't get any worse - could the same be said of Disney stock?
Price is the ultimate proof but buying the shares of a well established company when sentiment is at a low point can be a fruitful endevour.
The poor box office showing + very weak ratings for Snow White - maybe a contrarian buy signal ?
A) The stock is attempting a long term double bottom via is 2020 + 2023 lows
B) A breakout over the downtrend line (orange) could confirm a bullish trend change
Bottom of the ratings ➡️ Bottom in the stock? NYSE:DIS
Disney: Recovery?!Disney appears to have stabilized after its recent sell-off, holding above the $106.26 support level. From here, the price should push beyond the $123.74 resistance during the turquoise wave 3. However, if it drops below $106.26 (41% probable), it will trigger our alternative scenario, signaling a move into our blue Target Zone between $97.27 and $91.46. After the wave alt.(ii) low in that range, the stock would quickly resume its upward trajectory.
DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DIS:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 140usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disney - Don't Miss This Reversal Now!Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) is about to retest strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Even though Disney has been consolidating for about 10 years now, it is still providing bullish trading setups. Especially the current horizontal support has been holding Disney above water and it is more than likely that Disney will create another bullish reversal away from this level.
Levels to watch: $85
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)






















