DOW JONES: This is why it targets 70,000Dow Jones is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.838, MACD = 20.320, ADX = 34.615) as the recovery since last month's low is taking a pause ahead of the Fed on Wednesday. Last month's candle closed with an incredible reversal and all this is just noise for long term investors who look at this very chart you have in front of you. The index is basically on the usual -20% correction it undergoes when it is in the middle of a multidecade Bull Cycle. If this is indeed what many call the A.I. Cycle, Dow has a minimum target of 70,000 expected somewhere in 2032.
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DJI
BUYS For the Markets. Wait for BUYS in Gold and Silver.In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of May 5 - 9th.
The Indices are moving higher, and it's buys until they are not. Simple.
Gold is near potential support at 3201. This may present a great buying opportunity once the lows are swept. A weakened USD will help this cause.
Silver has made a bearish market structure shift (MSS), so buys are not yet on the table. If it disrespects a Daily -FVG, then sells are warranted. It is considerably weaker than Gold.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key DriversDow Jones Correction in May 2025: Key Drivers
Summary: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) is under pressure and likely headed for a correction due to the Federal Reserve’s tight monetary policy, trade uncertainty from Trump’s tariffs, and weak economic data.
Key Drivers:
➖ Federal Reserve Policy: At the May 6–7 meeting, the Fed is expected to maintain the 4.25–4.5% interest rate due to persistent inflation (2.7% forecast for 2025) and a robust labor market (+177K jobs in April). This dampens hopes for rate cuts, pressuring stocks.
➖ Trump’s Tariffs: New tariffs raise inflation risks and recession fears, reducing the appeal of Dow Jones constituents like Caterpillar and Walmart.
➖ Weak GDP and Global Volatility: A 0.3% GDP contraction in Q1 2025 and declines in Asian markets (1.6–1.8%) signal global instability.
➖ Technical Indicators: DIA trades below its 200-day moving average (~420 USD), with fewer stocks above this level (down from 76% to 55% since January), indicating market weakness.
➖ Outlook: Analysts (Long Forecast) predict volatility, with a potential drop to 38,958 in May, despite an average forecast of 43,370 by month-end. Historically, corrections occur every 1.88 years, and current conditions (tariffs, inflation, GDP) heighten the likelihood of a 10–15% decline.
Target: My downside target for the Dow Jones is 38,555.00.
Current factors and historical trends strongly suggest a near-term correction.
Idea for S&P 500:
With Dow at Resistance, it Could be Make or Break for ASX 200The Dow Jones tends to share the strongest correlation with the ASX 200, out of the three Wall Street indices. It is therefore worth noting that Dow futures formed a bearish pinbar at trend resistance on Thursday, following an intraday false break of the March low. The daily RSI (2) was also overbought by the day’s close. The March 31 low also hovers nearby for additional resistance.
Given futures volumes were declining while Dow futures rose, I suspect a pullback is due.
ASX 200 futures formed a hanging man candle beneath the January high, near a weekly VPOC (volume point of control). The 200-day SMA also hovers nearby. A bearish divergence has also formed on the daily RSI (2). And like the Dow, volumes were declining while ASX prices rose.
Bears could fade into moves around the Jan low or 2000-day SMA with an initial target at the March high, a break beneath which assumes aa deeper pullback towards the 7939 VPOC and 7900 handle.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
DOW JONES: The most critical 1D MA50 of all.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.914, MACD = -282.250, ADX = 30.751) but has completed 5 green 1D candles in a row, going for the all important Resistance test of the 1D MA50. This trendline has been intact since March 3rd and is on a crucial Resistance cluster as this is where the LH trendline from the ATH is. The 1D RSI is already on an Inverse H&S, which is a positive sign but we need to see a candle closing over the 1D MA50 to validate the restoration of the long term bullish trend. If succesful, we will turn long and target the ATH Resistance (TP = 45,000), which is also just under the 2.0 Fib extension.
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MARKETS NOT OVERSOLD CAUTION! UPDATE!This is a monthly chart and TV keeps forcing "Target reached" on my updates. As such i am reposting this chart I first issued back on April 1st, 2025, before our "LIBERATION DAY" FACEPALM!
We are still not oversold on a monthly chart!
WARNING!
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DOW JONES Are you willing to bet against a 15 year pattern?Dow Jones (DJI) will close the month today with a massive rebound 1M candle after almost touching its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). Since the October 2010 break above the 1M MA50, after the market recovered from the 2008 Housing Crisis, the 1M MA50 has been the ultimate long-term Buy Entry as it has always signaled rallies that ranged from +58% to +67%.
The 1M MA50 has also kept the index mostly within the 0.382 - 0.786 Fibonacci range (blue zone) of the multi-year Channel Up. Given also that the 1W RSI also reached in April its ultimate Buy Zone (green), we view this as the best long-term Buy Signal the index handed to us since the September 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis.
Since the Bullish Legs that followed have been fairly consistent on average, we expect another 58% rise minimum. Assuming a 'bad-case' scenario of being contained within the 0.786 Fib, then a 56000 long-term Target seems more than fair.
Are you willing to go against this pattern?
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US30 LOCAL SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 40,947
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 40,314
SHORT🔥
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DOW JONES New long-term bottom being formed on the 1W MA200.Dow Jones (DJI) hasn't yet broken above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the April 07 Low, but is nonetheless consolidating and holding the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which hasn't broken as Support since October 17 2022.
That was a few days after the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis was formed and the current Channel Up started. In fact, the rallies that started on both Channel Up bottoms since, have been almost identical in range (+22.60% and +23.80% respectively) so technically we should be expecting at least 44800 (+22.60% from April's Low) on the medium-term.
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DOW fulfilled all Market Bottom conditions. 2year rally started!Dow Jones (DJI) has cemented a strong Support zone last week. Not only did it almost test its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and successfully held but also the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance trend-line that started from the previous Cycle Top and now turned into Support.
This previous ATH trend-line held and offered its Support on the previous 2 major market bottoms as well (October 03 2022 and March 23 2020). Actually on all 3 previous Cycle bottoms that turned out to be the best level to buy long-term, the 1W RSI was oversold on the 30.00 limit.
All the above conditions were fulfilled on last week's (April 07 2025) Low. Even though Dow is expected to reach 53000 on its next Top in around 2 years, the most optimal Sell Signal has been given by the 1W RSI. After the 1W RSI breaks for the first time above the 70.00 overbought limit again, the best Sell Signal would be after it drops and re-tests again 70.00 for the 2nd time.
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DOW JONES Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
US30 made a nice bullish
Rebound from the lows it
Plunged towards during the
High volatility of the last weeks
But now that the market seems
To have calmed down a bit we
Are seeing a retest of the
Horizontal resistance of 40,725
And a local pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased, therefore
We can enter a short trade
With the Take Profit of 39,700
And the Stop Loss of 40,956
Sell!
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14/04/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $86,116.94
Last weeks low: $74,520.92
Midpoint: $80.318.93
Did we truly think it would be easy? As Trump targets China the markets panicked in a huge de-risking event that sent BTC down to $74,500, fully retracing the Us election pump 6 months ago. After a double bottom and a tariff pause for 90 days on those countries that played ball, BTC reclaimed the previous weeks bottom and steadily climbed back toward major resistance at $86,000.
Clearly the focus has primarily been on traditional markets like the SPX & DJI, on the SPX the 1D 200 EMA tagged and as usual gave huge support, this is very often a local bottom and so far that is the case. BTC has very quietly flipped the 4H 200 EMA after the 10th time of trying, staying above the $84,000 level would be a confirmed reclaim if the trend can follow and flip bullish. If that is the case then it would seem the flush we've all been dreading is over, however, if Trump escalates the trade war once again then TA takes a back seat to FA once again.
This week I would like to see strong support at 0.75 line, a wick down to that level and a reclaim of the 4H 200 EMA would give me confidence that BTC can target the $91K mini range top. A loss of the 0.75 line and acceptance below I would then target weekly lows once again for a triple bottom.
Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025.
Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
07/04/25 Weekly Outlook Last weeks high: $88,502.90
Last weeks low: $77,786.89
Midpoint: $83,144.89
Never a dull moment in this game, last week we saw a relatively flat move from Bitcoin as traditional markets continued their heavy sell-offs thanks to the tariff trade war. The high of the week coming from the run up to Trumps tariff announcement, that then retraced as the speech went on and as the week closed a heavy capitulation move down.
As the week begins BTC's price hit as low as $74,500 barely frontrunning the HTF goal of $73,500 to close the inefficiency wick from the US election 6 months ago. For me this is where I start to pay attention to where buyers may be stepping into the market at this HTF support area. Obviously the worry is still in Tradfi, just how low will the SPX, DJI etc go? That's hard to tell but there is certainly a huge amount of fear in the market and fear brings opportunity.
The NY open should be an interesting one and should set the tone for the week, A reclaim of the weekly low sets up yet another SFP long opportunity to then go and test the midpoint, acceptance under the weekly low may provide one last push to close tout the move to $73,000.
The Federal Reserve is having am emergency closed board meeting today too, if an emergency cut to interest rates comes of this to boost growth then BTC will definitely see the benefits of this.
Good luck for the week ahead!
DJI being squeezed into a long term bearish wedgeI know, I sound like a bear monger when the market looks very bullish and at best possible technical support. Nothing wrong with taking advantage of it, but shouldn't forget the bigger picture. The market valuation has been pushed up by easy money since GFC and valuation. The covid money printing made it worse. Bigger the bubble, bigger the burst
With recession around the corner and many hedge funds are facing margin calls, the risks are highest from all metrics, market/GDP, Pe ratios, real income growth, jobs are all slowing down, Debt to GDP has only accelerated. Fringe Economist have been crying wolf since GFC and they are not wrong but when ? This year ?
The market could rally one last leg up to finish in a ending diagonal (if you know wave theory)
DOW JONES Will the 1week MA200 save the day?Dow Jones / US30 almost reached its 1week MA200 today and immediately rebounded.
Last time it approached it so closely was on October 23rd 2023 and last it crossed under it was September 19th 2022.
The most recent was the first higher low of the 3 year Channel Up and the latter was the bottom of the last bear market.
The 1week RSI hasn't been this low since June 13th 2022, which was again a near 1week MA200 test that caused an immediate rebound to the 1week MA50 before the rejection to the eventual bear market bottom.
As long as the 1week MA200 holds and closes the candles over it, we expect the Channel Up to start a near bullish wave like post October 2023.
Target 45200 (same as the March 2024 rally) which is around the All Time High.
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Just In: The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip 1,300 PointsOverview
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, also known as the DJIA or simply the Dow, is a market index frequently used to gauge the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. Indexes like the DJIA track the prices of a group of securities.
The Consumer index saw a downtick of 1300 points representing a 5.5% dip. This was days after Donald Trump declared a new set of tariffs targeting 185 countries, including major U.S. trading allies.
Tariffs Concern
The US stocks are poised to continue their bloodbath as futures signaled more fear over President Donald Trump's tariffs. Administration officials and Trump himself signaled on Sunday that they won't back down from their aggressive decisions. Meanwhile, an inflation report is due later this week as well as bank earnings.
Wall Street remained in fear mode over President Donald Trump's tariffs on Sunday evening as futures pointed to more steep losses.
The S&P 500 futures also sank 3.9% and Nasdaq futures dived 4.9%. That follows a devastating week that saw the worst selloff since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Similarly, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped 8.5 basis points to 3.906%, and US crude oil prices fell 3.7% to $59.72 a barrel.
Countries affected by the tariff rates are:
China (34%), the European Union (20%), and Japan (24%). Fitch Ratings estimated that the effective tariff rate could hit 25% on average — the highest in more than 115 years.
In an X post on Sunday, Former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers cautioned, saying there's a very good chance of more market turbulence similar to what was seen on Thursday and Friday.
Those sessions represented the fourth largest two-day drop in the last 85 years, Summer said. The selloff wiped out about $6 trillion in market cap.
“A drop of this magnitude signals that there’s likely to be trouble ahead, and people ought to be very cautious,” Summers wrote.
Meanwhile, Trump administration and the president himself defended the tariffs.
Technical Outlook
as of the time of writing, the The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) Dip index point is down 5.5% trading in tandem with the support point that aligns with the 38,000 points. On a bearish case scenario, a break below this axis could be canning for the stock market as it will lead to panic selling in the industries concerned.
Similarly, should the bulls manage to thrust the DJI points up to the 42,000 points, we should experience a respite from the bears and possibly increased momentum might sent the stocks soaring higher. With the RSI at 23, this is hinting to a weak momentum with more downside ahead.