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USDCAD: Bearish Structure with Rejection from Key Supply ArraysGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCAD, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations: Weekly Timeframe Insight: Last week's candle rebalanced a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG), indicating internal range price action. As a rule of thumb, once internal imbalances are addressed, the draw typically shifts toward external liquidity—located at the swing low, where the weekly liquidity pool resides. H4 Resistance Alignment: On the H4 timeframe, price shifted bearish and has since retraced into a bearish FVG that aligns precisely with a reclaimed bearish order block. The alignment of these bearish arrays strengthens the case for continued downside, making this zone a high-probability resistance area. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for bearish confirmation setups on the M15 or lower timeframes within the H4 supply arrays (FVG + OB confluence). Target Objective: The primary draw on liquidity lies within the discount range—targeting the liquidity pool below the most recent swing low. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Stay patient, wait for your confirmations, and trade in alignment with the flow of smart money. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
Gold Setting the Trap: Fake Rally Before the Fall?Gold (GC) Futures are showing signs of a potential reversal after a surprise bullish NY session, likely sparked by headline sentiment (Trump-related news). While the impulse looked strong, we remain below the previous daily high, and structure may still favor a deeper move south. 🔍 Key Notes: Price is stalling near a high-volume node (~3436–3445). Possible liquidity sweep above NY highs before reversal. Watching for confirmation during Asian or London killzone. Bearish continuation becomes more likely if we break below NY session lows and hold. Bias: Bearish, targeting rebalancing of the H4 FVG if structure confirms. Sharing this to track how the algo reacts inside upcoming killzones. Open to thoughts, breakdowns, and alternate reads 👇
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
USDCHF: Bearish Continuation Setup From Reclaimed Supply ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of USDCHF, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. This reinforces our directional bias to the downside, prompting us to focus on strategic selling opportunities. Key Observations on H4: Weekly Bearish Order Block: Price recently tapped into a weekly bearish order block, which triggered a decisive market structure shift to the downside. This confirms the order block's validity as a firm resistance zone. Bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG): Following the market structure shift, price retraced into an H4 FVG. This zone acted as resistance, maintaining bearish momentum. Reclaimed Mitigation Block: After breaking through a previous mitigation block, the area now functions as a reclaimed order block. We expect this to serve as a high-probability resistance zone moving forward. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for confirmation entries within the reclaimed order block. Target Objective: The current draw on liquidity is the discount-side liquidity pools, which aligns with our bearish bias. As always, remain patient, wait for solid confirmations, and manage your risk with precision. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📉
Short
by The_Archi-tect
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 5, 2025 EURUSDEvent to pay attention to today: 17:00 EET. USD - ISM Services PMI EUR/USD continues to fall for the second day in a row, trading around 1.1560 during Tuesday's Asian session. The pair is devaluing amid the strengthening of the US dollar (USD) due to caution among traders caused by recent events in global trade and changes in expectations regarding monetary policy. Market sentiment is becoming cautious due to growing concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve (Fed). On Monday, Fed board member Adriana Kugler unexpectedly resigned. This event gave US President Donald Trump the opportunity to influence the central bank earlier than expected. However, the US dollar may face difficulties amid growing chances of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September after weak labor market data reinforced concerns about the US economic outlook. Markets estimate the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut next month at 91.6%. By comparison, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep rates unchanged, as annual inflation in the eurozone remained at 2.0% in July, slightly above the forecast of 1.9%. Meanwhile, traders are cautious amid the introduction of 15% US tariffs on goods imported from the European Union (EU). Trade recommendation: BUY 1.1580, SL 1.1500, TP 1.1685
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is reacting off the pivot, which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 98.62 1st Support: 97.96 1st Resistance: 99.54 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
Gold – Eyeing the H4 FVG Before the Next Bull RunPrice has been consolidating within the current Asian range after running last week’s high and today’s daily high. The move into D-H lacked strong momentum, and with a large unfilled H4 Fair Value Gap (3,350–3,372) below, I’m anticipating a retracement to rebalance liquidity before resuming the bullish trend. Key Notes: D-H (~3,436) acting as short-term resistance. Watching for a sweep of D-H to create excess on the DOM, then a potential breakdown toward the H4 FVG. Bearish path targets: 3,397 → 3,372 → 3,350. Bullish continuation requires a clean breakout and hold above D-H with volume. This scenario could set up a stronger bullish leg later in the week, especially if the retracement aligns with London or NY session volatility.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by DWoodz
EURUSD: Bullish Continuation from Reclaimed Institutional ZoneGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURUSD, recent price action confirms the presence of bullish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align with this narrative by seeking high-probability buying opportunities at key institutional arrays. Higher Timeframe Context: On the weekly timeframe, last week’s candle retraced into a Re-Delivered Re-Balanced (RDRB) Array—a bullish structure often associated with institutional repositioning. From this zone, we anticipate continued bullish delivery towards the weekly liquidity pool, reinforcing a bullish directional bias. Key Observations on H4: Bullish Market Structure Shift: Price action on the H4 has decisively shifted bullish, aligning with the higher timeframe’s narrative and confirming our bias. Reclaimed Order Block Support: Following the bullish shift, price has pulled back into a reclaimed order block—a previously institutional selling zone that, once broken and reclaimed, now acts as a high-probability support area. This becomes a key zone for seeking lower timeframe confirmation entries. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation entries within the reclaimed order block on lower timeframes (M15–M5). Target Objective: The draw on liquidity resides at the long-term high, where a cluster of buy-side liquidity is expected to attract price. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown: Remain patient and precise in execution. Let the market confirm your bias before entering and manage risk appropriately. Kind regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
2
USDOLLAR H4 | Bearish dropBased on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price drop lower from the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the downside. Sell entry is at 12,769.54, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 12,834.49, which is at 12,695.18, which is a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 12,695.18, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:USDOLLARShort
by Tradu
EURUSD Current Market Situation Technical Analysis Current Market Situation The chart displays a Double Top pattern, a strong bearish reversal signal that often indicates the start of a downward move. The price has already broken the neckline, and it is now approaching a retest of both the neckline and the broken trendline, which serves as a critical resistance area for potential bearish continuation. Key Zones Neckline Retest Zone: Around 1.1600, acting as immediate resistance. Trendline Retest Zone: Between 1.1670 – 1.1700, serving as an additional resistance level to confirm the bearish bias. Potential Scenarios ✅ Bearish Scenario (Preferred): If price respects the retest zones and fails to break higher, we may see a decline toward: Target 1: 1.1500 Target 2: 1.1400 Target 3: 1.1300 ⚠ Bullish Scenario (Alternative): A clear breakout and daily close above 1.1700 would invalidate the bearish outlook and could lead to a bullish reversal. Conclusion The market structure currently favors the bears. Rejection from the neckline or trendline retest zones will provide a strong confirmation for sell positions. ⚠️ Trade at your own risk – We are not responsible for any losses.
Short
by TradingWithMohamad
XAUUSD Technical AnalysisTechnical Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle with Retest Current Market Situation The chart shows a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is a continuation pattern often followed by strong directional movement. The price has broken below the triangle, signaling a potential bearish move. Currently, the price is in the retest phase of the broken triangle, which is an important area to confirm the bearish trend before continuing downward. Key Zones Retest Zone (Pullback): Located between current price and 3,374, which is a strong resistance area. Targets (TP): TP1: 3,322.97 TP2: 3,285.87 TP3: 3,262.59 Possible Scenarios ✅ Bearish Scenario (Preferred): If the price holds below the retest zone, we expect a continuation to the downside towards: Target 1: 3,322.97 Target 2: 3,285.87 Target 3: 3,262.59 ⚠ Bullish Scenario (Alternative): A daily close above 3,374 will invalidate the bearish scenario and may trigger a reversal. Conclusion The market shows a strong technical indication of a bearish continuation after confirming the retest. Any daily close above 3,374 would cancel the bearish scenario. It is recommended to monitor price action closely in the retest zone for confirmation before entering trades.
EASYMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by TradingWithMohamad
Gold Daily Bias – Bulls Have the Ball, But Watch the TrapGold Daily Chart – August Outlook Bias is still bullish for August. Price is holding well above the big 3M FVG ($2,900–$3,100). Strong bounce from Weekly Low ($3,331) heading toward Weekly High ($3,416). Above $3,416 we’ve got $3,451 (M-H) and ATH ($3,508) as liquidity targets . Seasonal tailwinds could help push us higher into Q4. Blind spots to watch: Still range-bound between $3,330–$3,450 for months — no clean break yet. Unfilled FVG near $3,210 could be a draw if we reject from resistance. August liquidity is thin — spikes can reverse fast. Triple-top risk if we reject near $3,450 again. Game plan: Bullish if we get a daily close above $3,416 (confirmation) and ideally above $3,451 to aim for ATH. If breakout fails, I’ll target range play back toward $3,290–$3,210. Bias = bullish, but I’m staying nimble.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by DWoodz
Dollar Falls as Traders Price In Two 2025 Rate Cuts on Weak JobsDollar Falls as Traders Price In Two 2025 Rate Cuts on Weak Jobs Data Introduction In a significant turn of events for the global currency markets, the U.S. dollar has taken a sharp tumble as traders brace for a more dovish Federal Reserve. A weaker-than-expected U.S. employment report for July 2025 has prompted market participants to price in two interest-rate cuts by the Fed before the end of the year. This shift in monetary policy expectations comes during a time of heightened global uncertainty, much of it triggered by President Donald Trump's aggressive trade policies, which have already disrupted the $7.5 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, a key gauge of the dollar’s strength against major currencies, plunged as much as 1%—marking its worst single-day performance since April 21, 2025. The greenback’s decline was mirrored by strong gains in rival currencies, with the Japanese yen appreciating 2.2% and the euro climbing more than 1% against the dollar. This article delves into the recent developments surrounding the U.S. dollar, the implications of weak jobs data, the Federal Reserve’s likely response, and how Trump’s trade policies are shaping the broader economic landscape. ________________________________________ Weak Jobs Data Sparks Policy Shift The July 2025 employment report came in well below expectations. Non-farm payrolls growth fell short, and revisions for May and June showed fewer jobs were added than previously reported. These figures suggest that the U.S. labor market is cooling more rapidly than anticipated, raising concerns about the sustainability of the post-pandemic economic recovery. According to Helen Given, a foreign exchange trader at Monex Inc., “It’s now clear that the U.S. labor market is cooling fairly sharply. There’s a good chance that Trump’s crusade against Chair Powell ratchets up further in the coming days, and there could be further losses for the dollar to come as a result.” The disappointing employment data has led traders to adjust their expectations for U.S. monetary policy. Futures markets are now pricing in two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the end of 2025, a stark reversal from the earlier outlook that suggested the Fed would remain on hold or even consider tightening if inflation remained sticky. ________________________________________ The Federal Reserve’s Dilemma The Federal Reserve now finds itself in a precarious position. On one hand, inflation has moderated in recent months, giving the central bank more room to maneuver. On the other hand, a weakening labor market could indicate a broader slowdown that might require immediate action to prevent a recession. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has come under increasing political pressure from President Trump, who has publicly criticized the Fed for keeping rates too high. Trump argues that rate cuts are necessary to support U.S. exporters and counteract the negative effects of his own tariffs and trade restrictions. Historically, the Fed has maintained its independence from political influence, but in an election year, the pressure to act can become intense. If the Fed moves to cut rates, it will be seen as responding to both economic data and political dynamics—a delicate balancing act. ________________________________________ The Global Currency Market Reacts The ripple effects of the dollar’s decline are being felt across the globe. The $7.5 trillion-a-day foreign exchange market, already under strain from geopolitical uncertainty and shifting central bank policies, has seen increased volatility in recent weeks. The Japanese yen, often viewed as a safe-haven currency, surged 2.2% against the dollar following the release of the jobs data. Meanwhile, the euro gained over 1%, reflecting investor sentiment that the greenback’s era of dominance may be waning—at least for now. Emerging market currencies also found some relief, as a weaker dollar generally eases pressure on countries with large dollar-denominated debts. However, the overall picture remains complex, as trade tensions and capital flow volatility continue to weigh on risk sentiment. ________________________________________ Trump’s Trade Policies: A Double-Edged Sword President Trump’s trade strategies have been a central feature of his second term in office. From imposing tariffs on Chinese imports to renegotiating trade agreements with the European Union and Canada, Trump has sought to reshape the global trading system in favor of American manufacturers. Yet these policies have produced mixed results. While some sectors have benefited from protectionist measures, others—particularly those reliant on global supply chains—have suffered from rising costs and retaliatory tariffs. The uncertainty generated by these policies has also dampened business investment, slowed global trade, and disrupted financial markets. “The dollar had tumbled this year as Trump’s aggressive trade policies rocked the $7.5 trillion-a-day currency market, weighing on global growth outlook,” Bloomberg reported. Investors are increasingly concerned that continued trade friction, combined with growing political pressure on the Fed, could lead to policy missteps that undermine the U.S. economy and erode confidence in the dollar. ________________________________________ Market Implications The dollar’s recent decline has far-reaching implications for various asset classes: 1. Equities U.S. equities have shown mixed reactions. While lower interest rates are typically supportive of stock prices, the underlying reason—economic weakness—has investors on edge. Sectors such as technology and consumer discretionary are expected to benefit from cheaper borrowing costs, but cyclical sectors may struggle if growth slows further. 2. Bonds Treasury yields have fallen sharply as traders anticipate rate cuts. The 10-year yield dropped below 3.8%, its lowest level in months. The yield curve has also flattened, a potential warning sign of slowing economic momentum. 3. Commodities A weaker dollar typically supports commodity prices, as most are priced in dollars. Gold, oil, and industrial metals all saw gains in the wake of the jobs report. However, demand-side concerns stemming from a global slowdown could limit the upside. 4. Emerging Markets For emerging markets, a softer dollar offers both relief and risk. On the positive side, it reduces debt servicing costs and can attract capital flows. On the negative side, if the dollar’s weakness reflects a broader global slowdown, risk appetite could remain subdued. ________________________________________ Looking Ahead: What to Watch As markets digest the latest economic data and policy signals, several key developments will be closely monitored: 1. Upcoming Fed Meetings The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet again in September. Markets will be keenly watching for any changes in tone or new forward guidance. A rate cut in September now appears increasingly likely, especially if subsequent data confirms a labor market slowdown. 2. Inflation Trends While inflation has moderated, it remains a key concern for policymakers. If inflation rebounds unexpectedly, it could complicate the Fed’s ability to cut rates without stoking price pressures. 3. Geopolitical Risks Trade tensions, particularly with China and the EU, remain unresolved. Any escalation could further destabilize markets and weigh on the dollar. Additionally, developments in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and Southeast Asia could add to the uncertainty. 4. U.S. Presidential Politics With the 2026 presidential election campaign already underway, Trump’s rhetoric and policy decisions will continue to influence market sentiment. His ongoing criticism of the Fed could erode confidence in U.S. institutions, particularly if it leads to perceived politicization of monetary policy. ________________________________________ Conclusion The sharp fall in the U.S. dollar following weak July jobs data marks a pivotal moment in 2025’s economic narrative. With traders now pricing in two Federal Reserve rate cuts by year-end, the stakes have never been higher for policymakers, investors, and political leaders. While a softer dollar can provide some temporary relief to exporters and boost inflation expectations, it also reflects deeper concerns about the strength of the U.S. economy and the unintended consequences of aggressive trade policies. President Trump’s confrontational approach to global trade, combined with mounting pressure on the Fed, is creating a complex and potentially volatile environment for markets. As the year progresses, all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve’s response, the resilience of the U.S. labor market, and the evolving political landscape. In a world where headlines can move markets in seconds, clarity, stability, and sound policy have never been more critical. ________________________________________ Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
TVC:DXYShort
by bryandowningqln
What now for the dollar after a poor NFP report?It is difficult not to link the bad US data to the impact of tariffs. Indeed, it certainly looks that way, especially given that the slowdown in jobs started in early Q2 when reciprocal tariffs were announced. Companies expecting margins to be squeezed by higher duties probably thought twice about hiring workers in order to keep costs down. So, the US labour market has been losing steam fast, undoubtedly due to tariff concerns. Unless the data surprises on the upside soon, the Fed may have no choice but to cut—and cut again. Against this backdrop, the recovery in the dollar is going to a long bumpy road. We noted the area around 100.00 to be resistance in the previous update, and that level has held, thanks to the weak jobs report (and ISM survey that was released later). The DXY was testing potential support around 98.95 at the time of writing. Will it be able to bounce there? Break that on a closing basis and next week could bring more technical dollar selling. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
USDZAR Bullish ideaAs we can see this is our USDZAR quarterly shift idea were we are anticipating price to rally to the upside toward our draw on liquidity objectives. We had a weekly volume imbalance and monthly mean threshold order block show us support after we took out major liquidity points. We also showed more support on our daily FVG and a market shift taking place after a displacement. We are anticipating a rally for USDZAR and will be looking to see how price plays out. USDZAR is an exotic pair that is part of the emerging markets and emerging markets/exotic pairs can usually lead ahead of major forex pair or lag between major forex pairs so this can also help us with our intermarket analysis of forex pairs when determining our dollar strength against other basket currencies.
Long
by That_Guy_Trades
5
You've Already Lost: The Bitcoin Delusion of FOMO and False HopeLet’s get one thing straight: if you’re staring at Bitcoin, squinting past the red flags, and convincing yourself it’s not a Ponzi scheme because of that one shiny feature that screams “legit,” you’re not investing—you’re auditioning for the role of “next victim.” And if your motivation is the fear of missing out (FOMO) or the fantasy of getting rich quick, well... congratulations. You’ve already lost. The 99%: Red Flags Waving Like It’s a Parade Let’s talk about the indicators—the ones that make Bitcoin look suspiciously like a Ponzi scheme. No, it’s not technically one, but the resemblance is uncanny: - No intrinsic value: Bitcoin isn’t backed by assets, cash flow, or a government. It’s worth what the next person is willing to pay. That’s not investing. That’s speculative hot potato. - Early adopters profit from new entrants: The people who got in early? They’re cashing out while newcomers buy in at inflated prices. That’s the classic Ponzi dynamic: old money out, new money in. - Hype over utility: Bitcoin’s actual use as a currency is minimal. It’s slow, expensive to transact, and volatile. But hey, who needs functionality when you’ve got memes and moon emojis? - Opaque influencers: From anonymous creators (hello, Satoshi) to crypto bros promising Lambos, the ecosystem thrives on charisma, not accountability. - Scam magnet: Bitcoin has been the currency of choice for over 1,700 Ponzi schemes and scams, according to a University of New Mexico study cs.unm.edu . That’s not a coincidence. That’s a pattern. The 1%: The “But It’s Decentralized!” Defense Ah yes, the one redeeming quality that Bitcoin evangelists cling to like a life raft: decentralization. No central authority! No government control! It’s the financial revolution! Except… decentralization doesn’t magically make something a good investment. It just means no one’s in charge when things go wrong. And when the market crashes (again), you can’t call customer service. You can tweet into the void, though. FOMO: The Real Engine Behind the Madness Let’s be honest. Most people aren’t buying Bitcoin because they believe in the tech. They’re buying because they saw someone on TikTok turn $500 into a Tesla. FOMO is the fuel, and social media is the match. Bitcoin’s meteoric rises are often driven by hype cycles, not fundamentals. Tesla buys in? Price spikes. El Salvador adopts it? Price spikes. Your cousin’s dog walker says it’s going to $1 million? Price spikes. Then it crashes. Rinse, repeat. This isn’t investing. It’s gambling with a tech-savvy twist. The Punchline: You’ve Already Lost If you’re ignoring the overwhelming signs of speculative mania and clinging to the one feature that makes you feel better about your decision, you’re not ahead of the curve—you’re the mark. And if your motivation is “I don’t want to miss out,” you already have. You’ve missed out on rational thinking, due diligence, and the ability to distinguish between innovation and illusion. Bitcoin might not be a Ponzi scheme in the legal sense. But if it walks like one, talks like one, and makes early adopters rich at the expense of latecomers… maybe it’s time to stop pretending it’s something else. INDEX:BTCUSD NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:HOOD TVC:DXY NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:SILVER TVC:GOLD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MARA
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
Fundamentals Support Dollar’s Potential Trend ReversalThe dollar appears to be reversing its direction on the 4-hour timeframe. The trendline has been broken and retested twice, but the dollar has held above it, signaling a potential shift in momentum. Despite intense pressure from the White House on the Federal Reserve, the data is likely to prevent the Fed from cutting rates at the upcoming meeting and possibly at the one after that. A potential rate cut in September will largely depend on incoming inflation and labor market data. The inflation impact of tariffs became more visible in the latest CPI report, but the effect is still relatively modest. This aligns with our theory that tariff-driven inflation will build gradually and persist over a longer period, rather than cause an immediate spike. Meanwhile, the labor market has not shown clear signs of rapid weakening, so there is no strong case for a rate cut from that side either. The Financial Conditions Index also indicates that monetary policy remains on the accommodative side. Bloomberg financial conditions index is at highest level since March. As markets increasingly recognize that no rate cuts are likely in the near term, and with the August 1 tariff deadline approaching amid potential rising risks of trade tensions between the U.S. and the EU, the dollar may gain further support. The U.S.–EU bond market spread also does not favor a stronger euro at the moment, adding to the dollar's upside potential. In the short term, 98.10 and 98.53 are immediate support and resistance levels. If the dollar breaks above 98.53 again, upward momentum may strengthen and open the path toward the 100 level.
TVC:DXYLong
by ftdsystem
DXY with interest rates With interest rates remaining steady, the U.S. Dollar is currently moving in a bullish direction. As shown in the chart, it seems likely that price will break the previous high and form a bullish Quasimodo (QM) pattern. The price may then reach the 50% Fibonacci level. After that, we should wait and observe the market's reaction. If price gets rejected from the 103 zone — especially if accompanied by a rate cut or bearish price action — we could see a sharp decline toward the 95 area. This 95 zone also aligns with a key weekly Fibonacci support level on the Dollar Index. As long as the Federal Reserve maintains its hawkish stance, the U.S. Dollar may continue its upward momentum. However, the 103–104 zone — which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a significant supply area — could serve as a strong resistance. If price gets rejected from this area and we simultaneously see signs of a rate cut or weakening U.S. economic data, a trend reversal and corrective phase could begin. In that case, lower targets around 95 or even 93 could become likely in the medium term. good luck
TVC:DXY
by mehdi_kb
USDJPY Setup: Prime Buy Zone with a Clear Target!Good morning my friends, I've prepared a fresh USDJPY analysis just for you. Currently, the most logical buy zone sits at 147.170. If price reaches this level and performs a retest, it’s likely to target the 149.185 level. I'll personally be entering at 147.170 and waiting for my target: 149.000. This setup is based on the 4-hour timeframe, so it may take some time to reach the target. Every single like you give is a major source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses. Thanks so much to everyone supporting with a like!
Long
by TraderTilki