XAU/USD Intra Day/Week Play - 27/05/2024With gold being at all time highs our analysis on this week's play was carried out on the Daily and 4hr to set a respectable tone to price action and what we anticipate seeing over the coming day(s) / week.
On the daily we see that price has finally exhaused itself to complete its upward move to the extreme supply zone of 2,440.372 and has now started to retrace back to key demand levels leaving behind it some imbalances on the daily and 4 hour.
Overall the ema's all support a bullish direction to which I believe we will continur but not before tapping into the unmitigated bullish order block at 2,317.065 and then heading upwards to seek out the extreme supply zone levels of 2,432.198
This all supports the inverse corrolation we anticipate happening with the greenback on this week's analysis also which can be seen below.
We are aware that CPI and Unemployment claums will greatly impact this technical analysis so it will be interesting to see how this week plays out.
Let me know your thoughts on this.
Hope you have a great week ahead.
Happy Trading.
The FX Capital Club.
Dollar
DXY (Dollar) Intra Day/Week Play - 27/05/2024On the monthly we can see that the dollar is on aan upward trend after breaking outu of it's previous range at 88.528 which has now become a key level of support.
We have seen this extention continue to levels 113.016 and then returned back to create a range between 101.421 (lows) and 107.424 (highs)
Price action is suggested to continue ranging to complete distributiob before heading to the downside to test the POC levels of 99.885 and possibly even further to 94.510 to test the bullish order block which has yet to be mitigated before continuing back on the upward trend.
On the Weekly we can get a clearer picture of this range and noticeably see that supply side liquidity at 106.726 has been swept which futher confirms our assumption that price will continie to the downside to the POC levels at 99.955
On the 4 hour we are able to get an even cleared picture with some assumptions being made that will test the 105.051 levels to form a bearish head and shoulders pattern and then heading down to test support level of 104.043 as part of a change of character, only to retract back to retest previous support at 104.380 and continue to he downside to reach our POI at 102.517.
Taking all these price movements into consideration it is very likely that we'll see the greenback test all these levels to head back int the demand zone area of 100.500 - 102.000 over the coming week.
Let me know what you guys think.
Hope you have a great week ahead.
Happy Trading.
xauusd weekly reviewxauusd faced the largest one week drop in last 5 months. the exact reason for this can be elicited as many.
1) soon there will be no change in interest rate of us dollar and its decided as it is may happen by september not in june
2) strong us job data
3) lot of positive economic news from usa which powered dollar
4) in last two months xauusd was over brought and now a correction is happening in that price.
5) market manipulation.
What you feel please comment us
DXY Index is Ready to Pump by 🌄Morning Candlestick Pattern🌄🏃♂️DXY Index is moving near the 🟢 Support zone($104.27-$103.90) 🟢, and 200_SMA(Daily) and 100_SMA(Daily) , and the lower line of the ascending channel .
💡Also, the Morning Candlestick Pattern is clearly visible.
🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that the DXY Index has completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) in the support zone .
🔔I expect the DXY Index to rise to at least the Resistance line .
U.S.Dollar Currency Index ( DXYUSD ) Analyze, 4-hour time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
AUDUSD - 4H Sell opportunityKeep your eye on this trendline. AUDUSD has experienced a three-leg rise, forming an ascending trendline.
A break of this trendline could be a good sign for sellers to achieve significant gains, potentially pushing the price down to the last pivot support zone.
Watch for confirmation of this break to identify potential entry points for short positions.
XAGUSD - Long Trade IdeaHello all,
I have a long trade possibility forming on XAGUSD.
Basically, my draw on price is the Relative Equal Highs residing above. My POI for taking a trade is where the BISI 2D is. Since we have a SIBI 2D, we should see lower prices to this POI. If price does not reach my POI before trading higher, I would like to see a clean 2D close above the SIBI 2D. Preferably I see price start to halt and create a consolidation at my POI. What I DON'T want to see if price blast right through it and have a 2D candle close below the BISI.
Silver is lagging behind Gold, so I am using that to back up my bias. Based on my proprietary analysis, price SHOULD go to the current target, if not at my POI, then still soon. Of course, we make allowance for wicks, and I will still hold my POI valid should any 2D candle not close below the BISD 2D and no other SIBI 2D be created, at least without an instant rejection through it in the next 2D candle.
Overall, simple and clean by the looks of it. We can always go to the lower timeframes to refine the narrative and frame some trades.
Have a good weekend!
- R2F
GDXJ new weekly lowsDollar UP.
gold at a very TOP
And miner doing very bad, after all, cant be a bullish continuation.
That means for me a RESET, to a weekly low or even a MONTHLY bottom.
If after Fed meeting, gold continues crahing (and it could) if dollar seeks new HIGH, miners would fall more...
I am full short at this moment.
There is a gap at 33 that should be filled.
And under 30 is very probable...afterwards, wait and see
us dollar index due to various uncertainties and market turmoil us economy is facing major challenges, today market is going to spectate 4 major FOMC members speech and market expects major volatility.
with the us dollar fluctuations the market also faces challenges in volatility of usd pairs especially xauusd.
dxy major support and resistance are given in the chart above.
live share and follow us for more market related updates and analysis
Very important EURUSD analysis (Bitcoin is at the beginning)It is worth noting that the euro has been in a major downward trend for over 14 years (5200 days). And it's time to end it.
In 2024-2025, the euro will rise. Possibly also in 2026
Proof of the great rise of Bitcoin, and that something we haven't seen before, something much better, is coming.
For crypto, a weakening dollar is very important.
Here's What You Can Expect On Wall Street & In The Crypto SpaceThere are no surprises with the U.S. dollar, vix, gold, precious metals, commodities, and stocks. Everything is right on track. We are nearing our SPY blow-off top target of 570-600, but we have some time to hit that before the U.S. election charades and the future recession. We'll review these things and then focus on what price action will look like in the coming weeks for the crypto space. Plus, I have added an extra video for my members in which I'll review the current altcoin entries we are in. I'll let you know clearly what my sentiment and strategy is for trading these coins, a few of which have 3-4x targets! Quickly, I believe our local low in the altcoin space is in and we are going to pop soon. Some coins will fare much better than others. I want you in those coins. Let's go!
EURUSD - Bullish and Bearish at the Same TimeOn the 1 hour, we see price in a current Bullish bias. This is the same bias on the 4 hour chart. But there is a strong likelihood that this Bullishness might not hold for much longer.
On the Daily chart, we see the price as being in a bearish swing. Prices had no doubt gone above the protected high last week, but unfortunately did not close above the protected high. The price went above and came back to close the daily candles below the protected high. We will therefore treat such price movement as a spike while holding on to the current bearish perspective on the daily chart.
What is my Trade Perspective...?
Because i trade the lower timeframes from off the 1 hour setup, i will still hold on the bullish perspective off of the 1 hour chart. I will look to monitor price movement and follow through as it meets each of every condntion of my Bullish trade setup.
It is only when the bullishness of the 1 hour chart is invalidated and I see a trend shift on the 1 hour from Bullish to Bearish, that I will begin to consider the Bearish perspective. And if that happens, we will be looking to trade bearish, all the way to the Daily liquidity target.