EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EUR/USD kicked off the week with a sharp drop of nearly 200 pips, driven by renewed concerns over U.S. tariff policies. This strong bearish momentum signals intensified selling pressure across the board.
The pair is now approaching a support zone, which has previously triggered bullish reactions.
However, given the current strong bearish sentiment, there is a real risk this support may not hold.
Our bias remains bearish overall.
If the pair finds temporary support at this level, a short-term corrective bounce is possible.
But ultimately, we expect a continuation of the downtrend toward lower support levels after the correction completes.
Can this support zone stop the bleeding, or is more downside coming? Let us know your thoughts! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
DXY
US Dollar Index (DXY) Reaches One-Month HighUS Dollar Index (DXY) Reaches One-Month High
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has risen to its highest level since early July. According to media reports, the bullish sentiment in the market is driven by the following factors:
→ Optimism around US trade agreements. A new trade deal with the EU — which includes a 15% tariff on European goods — is being perceived by the market as favourable for the United States.
→ Confidence in the resilience of the US economy. Strong Q2 corporate earnings have acted as an additional bullish catalyst. Investors may have started covering short positions against the dollar, viewing concerns over a US slowdown as overstated.
→ Expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold.
From a technical standpoint, today’s DXY chart reflects strengthening bullish momentum.
Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart
Two U-shaped formations (A and B) that developed over the summer have created a bullish сup and рandle pattern — a formation that suggests waning bearish pressure, as evidenced by the shallower second dip.
This setup points to the potential for a bullish breakout above the trendline (marked in red) that has defined the downward movement in the DXY throughout the first half of 2025.
As previously analysed, there are signs that the dollar index may have found a base following a period of decline. This could indicate a shift in market sentiment and the possible end of the recent bearish phase.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Long, 29 JulyReversal Setup from Daily OB + LTF Confluence
Price tapped into a Daily Bullish OB with 50EMA support, signaling potential for a bullish reaction. While structure isn’t perfect, the overextension and DXY correlation offer strong intraday confluence.
📈 HTF Confluence:
✅ Sitting inside a Daily Bullish Orderblock
📍 50EMA in the same area → added support
🟢 Expecting a bounce from this zone, even if HTF trend isn’t clearly bullish yet
📉 LTF Context:
💤 Asia range formed, still unfilled → clean liquidity target
📉 Overextended bearish move into 15m POI
🪞 DXY at its own 15m POI + Asia range to complete → supports EU upside
🎯 Entry Plan:
✅ Clear 1m BOS after reacting from 15m Decisional OB
🎯 Entry taken at 5m OB inside that 15m POI zone
⚠️ Decisional OB isn’t ideal, but stacked confluences justify the risk
🛡 SL: Below 5m OB
📌 TP: Asia high + potential continuation if DXY breaks lower
Gold Alert: Key Levels for Potential Sell Setup!Good morning, my friends 🌞
Here’s today’s gold analysis. I'm expecting a decline in gold prices, specifically from the 3,383–3,420 level.
Once a correction starts around that zone, my target will be 3,310. Gold has been riding a strong uptrend, and if we reach those levels, I’ll be expecting a pullback and opening a sell position accordingly.
Please set your stop loss based on your personal margin preferences.
Your likes and support are my biggest motivation for continuing to share these analyses. Thank you to everyone showing appreciation 🙏
Major U.S. News Ahead—Will EURUSD Pivot?Good morning, my friends 👋
Here’s my EURUSD market analysis 📉
Currently, the pair is in a downtrend. I expect this downward move to end around 1.14899 or 1.14536, where a potential buying opportunity may emerge. I personally plan to enter a buy position once price reaches those zones 💼
Also, keep an eye on major U.S. economic reports being released today—they could trigger increased volatility 🔔
Every like you send is a huge source of motivation for me to keep sharing high-quality analysis 🙏 Thanks to everyone supporting the channel 💙
Will DXY Get Supported With Fresh US-EU Trade Agreement?Macro approach:
- The US dollar index has traded mixed since last week, pressured by lingering trade uncertainty and cautious market sentiment ahead of major economic events.
- Dovish Fed expectations and subdued US inflation continued to weigh on the greenback, while news of a fresh US-EU trade agreement and upcoming talks with China contributed to two-way price action.
- Economic data reflected a resilient labor market but flagged moderating US growth, with investors closely watching forthcoming GDP figures and the Fed's policy stance.
- The US dollar index may remain range-bound as markets await catalysts, including the Fed meeting, the 2Q GDP release, and key labor market data.
Technical approach:
- DXY surged and closed above the descending trendline and the resistance at around 98600, indicating an early signal of a shift in the market trend.
- If DXY maintains above 98600, it may retest the following resistance at 99400, confluence with EMA78.
- On the contrary, closing below the descending trendline and EMA21 may prompt a retest of the swing low at 96.60.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
XAU/USD | Gold Holding Strong – Watching for Next Bullish Move!By analyzing the gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that yesterday, as expected, when the price dropped to around $3357, it faced strong buying pressure and rallied up to $3377. After that, it corrected again, pulling back to $3338 so far, and is currently trading around $3341. If gold manages to hold above $3337, we can expect another bullish move, with potential targets at $3347, $3354, $3364, and $3374.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
EUR/USD | Correction Near Key Demand – Watching for Rebound!By analyzing the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the last analysis, the price started a correction and is currently trading around 1.17150. I expect that once it enters the 1.16780–1.17100 zone, we could see a rebound from this key demand area. If the price holds above this zone, the next bullish targets will be 1.17370 as the first target and 1.17730 as the second.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Dollar Index (DXY): Possible Reversal | Inverse Head & ShouldersThe dollar has had a tough year, but that might be changing.
I’ve spotted a well-known reversal pattern: an Inverse Head & Shoulders.
This pattern features three dips, with the middle one—the "head"—being the deepest.
Now, the price has rebounded from the Right Shoulder and is heading higher.
It’s approaching the Neckline at $98.7, which needs to be broken for a bullish confirmation.
If that happens, the projected target is around $101.6, based on the depth of the pattern.
This lines up closely with the previous high of $102 from May. The target area is highlighted in the blue box.
However, if the price falls below the Right Shoulder’s low at $97.1, the pattern would be invalidated.
Anyone else see this pattern?
Could this be the bottom for the dollar?
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,880 (UPDATE)Gold 'Sell Trade' running 1,130 PIPS in profit to start the week. I hope you are all taking advantage of this free analysis & profiting from Gold's downside. Amazing move to start the new week, with much more downside expected.
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Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD RelationshipHello traders,
Here’s an analysis that can be useful for both short-term and swing trades on EURUSD and DXY. Our trading team’s calculations are as follows:
Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD Relationship
Currently, DXY is at 98.200. Historical statistical data indicate that if DXY declines toward 96.300, there is approximately a **1.55% probability of an upward move** in EURUSD.
Based on this scenario:
Current EURUSD level: 1.16500
Projected target level:1.1830
While the correlation data show a strong inverse relationship, it’s important to note that periodic deviations can occur in the market. Therefore, this analysis should be considered a statistical projection only, not a guaranteed outcome.
DXY at Its Most Critical Level of 2025 — Will the 100 Bank LevelThe Dollar Index (DXY), just like several other majors, is approaching a very important level. We’re now near the 100 mark, which is not only a psychological level — but also a key institutional (bank) level.
There’s also a gap zone left behind that price is about to fill. I believe the index will stay in a range over the next 1–2 days as it waits for critical data later this week — especially Wednesday’s announcements and Friday’s NFP report, which could set the tone for what’s next.
Based on current market sentiment, Trump’s remarks, Powell’s upcoming speech, and broader macro factors, I believe DXY has the potential to break above 100 and move toward 102–104, if that level is broken cleanly.
Let’s also not forget — price bounced from a monthly demand block near 96, and we’re seeing weak support across majors like EUR and Gold. That adds confluence for potential dollar strength.
📌 What do you think — is dollar strength just around the corner?
🔁 This analysis will be updated whenever necessary.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just my personal opinion.
DXY: USD Flexes Muscle - Pairs SlideFriday, July 25, 2025
The foreign exchange markets are experiencing a pronounced USD bullish session this morning, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) showing robust gains of +0.35% while simultaneously pressuring all major currency pairs into negative territory. The Japanese Yen (JPY) is bearing the brunt of this dollar strength, currently registering losses between -0.4% to -0.66% across JPY pairs. This market behavior suggests traders should pay particularly close attention to DXY dynamics, as its movements will likely dictate price action across all major currency pairs in today's session.
Technical Perspective: DXY at Critical Inflection Point
A detailed examination of the Dollar Index reveals several compelling technical factors that market participants should consider:
1. Weekly Demand Zone Reaction
- The DXY has demonstrated a strong rejection from a significant weekly demand area
- The subsequent bullish spike indicates potential continuation of upward momentum
- This price action suggests institutional buyers are defending this key level
2. Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights
Non-commercial traders (typically hedge funds and speculators) have increased their positions from a bottom level not seen since June 2021 meanwhile the Commercial traders (often corporations hedging FX exposure) show opposing extreme positioning. This stark divergence between trader categories often precedes significant market moves
3. Seasonal Patterns Favor USD Strength
- Historical seasonal analysis indicates the current period typically supports dollar appreciation
- The combination of technical and seasonal factors creates a potentially powerful bullish setup
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DXY Approaching Key Resistance — Trend Reversal Ahead?The DXY is forming a strong base at the bottom, showing clear signs of accumulation after a long downtrend.
Price has started pushing upward and is now approaching the secondary resistance line. A breakout here could open the path toward the primary resistance zone, which has capped rallies in the past.
The RSI is also trending higher, supporting this potential move.
If bulls clear the red resistance line, momentum could accelerate quickly.
DYOR, NFA
New Week...New Bullishness on Gold???Sorry my post have not been showing up. I have mistakenly been posting them as private! lol. But new week on gold looking to see some good bullish action this week but it also is the end of the month and price could stall till we get some news to move it. I need more confirmation before taking any moves so we are watching for now.
US Dollar Index: Down YTD, But at a 5-Week HighThe U.S. dollar plays a leading role in the performance of U.S. stocks versus international stocks. The greenback endured its worst first-half performance since 1973, helping ex-U.S. equities post massive absolute and relative gains through June. But could the narrative be shifting? And what might it mean for investors?
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) sits at a five-week high ahead of the July Federal Reserve interest rate decision and the key July jobs report to be released on August 1. Up four sessions in a row, the dollar appears poised to post its best month since last December (in fact, the DXY's first positive month of 2025). If it’s the start of a protracted recovery, then the “U.S. exceptionalism” trade could be back in vogue over the second half, resulting in the same old story of U.S. over international in the stock market.
Dollar Index - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH4 - Strong bullish momentum followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Singapore Dollar: Asia’s Quiet Safe Haven with Eyes on ParityThe Singapore dollar has quietly emerged as one of the strongest performers in Asia, gaining over 7% against the US dollar this year.
While much of the FX world fixates on the yen or franc in times of uncertainty, the SGD is carving out a niche as a regional safe-haven, driven not by size or liquidity, but by credibility.
The strength in the SGD isn’t just about USD weakness. Singapore's macro fundamentals
budget surpluses,
robust reserves, and
deep-rooted investor confidence
offer a kind of quiet strength that traders tend to overlook until it becomes obvious.
This makes the SGD a compelling hedge against both regional turmoil and global dollar decay.
As more global capital looks for stable homes outside of the traditional, Singapore’s financial system and currency are set to benefit.
The idea of SGD hitting parity with the USD, once dismissed as unrealistic, is now getting serious attention.
Analysts have suggested that it could happen within five years, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it comes sooner!
The greenback’s structural issues of twin deficits, political gridlock, and de-dollarization headwinds are no longer theoretical.
That said, liquidity is still a constraint. The SGD makes up just 2% of global FX turnover, and the MAS actively manages the currency to avoid excessive volatility.
This means that while the long-term trend favors SGD appreciation, traders betting on a rapid sprint to parity may be left waiting.
In my view, the SGD is one of the most underappreciated macro trades in FX.