GOLD market update: range locked / breakout pending🏆 Gold Market Mid-Term Update
📊 Technical Outlook Update
🏆 Market Overview
▪️broke above 3 000 USD
▪️3250 USD S/R cleared as well
▪️Tested 3500 USD key S/R
▪️Rejection at 3500 USD key S/R
▪️pullback in progress currently
▪️locked inside range trading
▪️3275/3365 usd active range
▪️break below 3245 - BEARS take over
▪️break above 3385 - BULLS take over
▪️Bulls targets - 3450/3550 USD
▪️Bears targets - 3050/3150 USD
⭐️Recommended strategy
▪️Wait for a breakout
▪️LONG/SHORT after breakout
🔥 Key Drivers to Watch
🌍 Geopolitics & Trade
🇺🇸🇨🇳 U.S.–China Tariffs: Escalation continues pushing inflation fears & gold demand
🇪🇺 EU–U.S. tariffs (25%) are further straining global trade
💵 Weaker USD = stronger gold sentiment
🕊 Russia–Ukraine Ceasefire Talks
🗓 May 9 (Victory Day): Symbolic date eyed for a possible ceasefire announcement
🇷🇺 Parade vs 🇺🇦 EU leaders visiting Kyiv — all eyes on peace prospects
☢️ U.S.–Iran Nuclear Deal
🗓 April 28: Talks in Rome
🇮🇷 Iran shows readiness — possible easing of Middle East tensions
DXY
EURUSD SellHello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately."
Ve sonuna eklememi istediğin mesajla birlikte tam hali şu şekilde olur:
Hello everyone! The first trade of the day will be on EURUSD. On the 5-minute chart, I’ve set the trade with a Risk-Reward Ratio of 1:1.50 and will open a sell position. The TP target is 1.12920 and the SL is 1.13130. It’s better to activate the trade immediately.
🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
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XAU/USD - Bearish Flag Pattern (25.04.2025)The XAU/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 3232
2nd Support – 3188
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DXY Forecast: More Bearish OrderflowThis week, I anticipate further downside movement on the DXY, with price potentially reaching a key area of interest—a bullish order block. While the reaction at this level remains uncertain, my current bias remains bearish unless a break of structure to the upside signals a continuation of the bullish trend.
USDJPY Bearish Forecast, More Bearish Order FlowAfter the recent change of character from Monday, UJ continued lower and broke the H1 structure. As we all know, whenever you get a break of structure, expect a pullback. On the H4 there is a nice bearish OB which serves as a nice point of interest for price to rally back towards, be mindful this OB is big so we don't know what to expect once price reaches it.
For now this is how I see the dollar heading towards.
USDCHF: More Bearish Order FlowSimilar to USDJPY , USDCHF has exhibited a change of character, initiating a bearish order flow for the week. Price has reached a key point of interest where a potential continuation to the downside could occur. The DXY is reflecting similar behaviour, supporting the bearish outlook.
An entry position has been established, and now it is a matter of monitoring the trade and allowing the market to develop accordingly.
EURUSD m15 SellEURUSD is once again giving a sell signal. It's advisable to set the trade with a 1:1.50 Risk-Reward Ratio. You may consider closing your position at this level.
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IMP update for all Forex Traders Expect the Dollar Index (DXY) to appreciate in the near future. However, a further decline into the green highlighted region is possible before this upward movement. The green zone represents a potential key reversal area. Monitor the following currency pairs for trading opportunities if the DXY begins to climb:
BUY - USDCAD, USDCHF, USDSGD;
SELL - EURUSD, GBPUSD
AUDCHF m15 SellLet the final trade of the day come from AUDCHF.
I expect the pair to decline first to 0.52545 and then towards 0.52419 / SL 0,52861.
Adjust your risk accordingly and activate the trade.
Wishing everyone a profitable day!
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🔔 I post detailed trade ideas and daily market analysis like this every day on my TradingView profile.
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EURAUD H2 compression BUY/HOLD +150/300 pips🏆 EURAUD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: BEARS 7650/7700
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 8050/8150
🔸Status: compression wedge
🔸getting ready for a PUMP
🔸noteworthy compression in April
🔸Price Target Bears: 7650/7700
🔸Price Target BULLS: 8050/8150
📊 Forex & Gold Market Highlights – April 30, 2025
💶 EUR/USD Nears 1.1400
- Trading around 1.1390 amid softer U.S. economic data
- Investors await German economic indicators and U.S. PCE report
- April shows a 5.1% gain, the largest monthly increase since November 2022
💷 GBP/USD Hovers Near 1.3400
- Sterling trades at approximately 1.3379 after testing YTD highs
- U.S. JOLTS and Consumer Confidence data missed forecasts, fueling Fed rate cut speculation
🥇 Gold Retreats Below $3,310
- Spot gold at $3,302.58 per ounce, down 0.4%
- Decline follows easing trade tensions and a stronger U.S. dollar
- Investors focus on upcoming U.S. PCE data and non-farm payrolls report
📌 Market Outlook:
- EUR/USD: Potential to test 1.15 if German data supports euro strength
- GBP/USD: Eyes on U.S. economic data for direction; support around 1.3300
- Gold: Volatility expected; watch for U.S. economic indicators influencing Fed policy expectations
Chart Overview (EUR/USD — 4H)Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4 Hour
Current Price: 1.13596
Key Concept Highlighted:
“This is where money is made — in the retrace, not the rally.”
(Focus is on catching retracements, not chasing rallies)
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Technical Breakdown
1. Wave Count (Elliott Wave context assumed)
The chart labels wave iii as complete.
A corrective move is underway (likely forming wave iv).
The next anticipated move is wave v rally to the upside — target zone shown near 1.22000–1.20000.
2. Key Zones
Immediate Support/Buy Zone: Small rectangle near the current price (likely minor demand zone).
Major Buy Zone: 1.10500–1.11500 (approximate)
→ Strong demand area backed by confluence of:
Previous wave structure support
Trendline retest
Cluster of economic event icons (suggesting high volatility catalysts)
3. Bias
Waiting for price to either:
Bounce from the immediate small support (early aggressive long), or
Dip deeper into the major buy zone for safer long entries.
---
EURUSD m15 SellThere’s another Sell opportunity on EURUSD.
I've set the RRR to 1:1.50, with a TP level at 1.13694.
I opened three short positions at: 1.13795 / 1.13802 / 1.13834.
EURUSD is one of the four pairs I trade the most and trust the most.
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NZDCHF m15 BuyHello everyone.
There's a perfect buy opportunity on NZDCHF right now.
You can even set your RRR to 1:4, but those who prefer a shorter target can close at RRR 1:2.
I expect the pair to reach the 0.49225 level during the day.
Wishing everyone profitable trades!
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DXY Ready to Pop – Watch That 100 Break!After breaking below the key psychological level at 100 and making a low just under 98, the Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a consolidation phase.
Over the past three weeks, price has developed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, with the neckline perfectly aligning with the horizontal resistance at 100 — a strong zone of confluence from both a technical and psychological standpoint.
Despite the current hesitation under resistance, the structure suggests bullish potential. I believe we are approaching a breakout above 100, and once that happens, an acceleration to the upside is likely to follow.
🎯 Target: 102
🔒 Invalidation: A break below 98 would cancel the bullish bias.
As long as the price stays above the 98 area, I remain bullish and expect the dollar to strengthen.
🚀 The breakout hasn’t happened yet — but the pressure is building.
DXY Technical Analysis – Bearish BiasDXY Technical Analysis – Bearish Bias
Market Structure: The price attempted a recovery but failed to break above a strong supply/resistance zone around 99.30–99.40.
Price Action: A rounded bottom (U-shape) move formed, but instead of continuation, the price rejected the resistance and started to fall.
SHORT ON GBP/USDGBP/USD Has bearish divergence on the 4hr timeframe.
This is a bearish reversal indication. Price is also over brought on GU.
The Dollar (dxy) Looks like it will start to rise from its demand area.
I will be selling GU looking to catch over 300-400 pips to the previous swing low /demand zone.
DXY: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 98.933 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 99.097.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DXY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 99.288.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 100.788.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Gold (XAUUSD) Take Profit📉 Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Update
A few hours ago, I shared a short setup on gold — it has successfully hit the target and closed with a solid profit.
Looking ahead, there's still room for further downside. In the medium term, gold could decline towards the $3020 level.
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Is EURUSD getting ready for another 600 pips bull run?🏆 EURUSD Market Update
📊 Technical Outlook
🔸Short-term: mixed/range
🔸Mid-term: BULLS 2000
🔸Status: accumulation in range
🔸previously x2 waves +600 pips
🔸clearly strong uptrend in progress
🔸Price Target Bears: range
🔸Price Target BULLS: 2000
🔸strategy: accumulate in range
🔸TP1 +200 TP2 +400 pips
🔸SL 60 pips / below accum range
📈 EUR/USD Bullish Drivers
🏦 ECB staying cautious on rate cuts while Fed signals easing
📉 Weak U.S. job and manufacturing data pressuring the dollar
🌍 U.S. trade policy uncertainty pushing investors toward euro
📊 Technicals show strong support, RSI confirms bullish momentum
🔮 Outlook
⏳ Short-term: Targeting 1.1500 if U.S. data stays soft
📆 Medium-term: 1.20 possible on policy divergence and EU fiscal boost