GOLD - Wave 2 Bullish Towards $3,406 (1H UPDATE)I see a possible buy opportunity towards $3,406 on Gold, as part of its bigger Wave 2 correction, before we can consider selling again.
Confluences👇
⭕️Wave 2 Correction Not Complete (2 Sub-Waves So Far).
⭕️Distribution Schematic Forming.
⭕️Early Sellers ($3,377) & Buyers ($3,310) Liquidated In Past 2 Days.
Now we've seen both buyers & sellers liquidated, we can expect to see a cleaner move back towards $3,400 where there is a lot of pending liquidity.
DXY
EURUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on EURUSD?
EURUSD has broken support level and its ascending trendline, indicating a possible shift in short-term market structure and growing bearish pressure.
In the short term, we expect a pullback toward the broken support/trendline zone.
If price fails to reclaim this level, a continued move lower toward the next identified support zone is likely.
As long as price remains below the broken structure, the short-term outlook stays bearish.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
DXY Short Very Soon going to $96 or lowerCorruption has broken out all over America. Nothing good can come of this.
Wait for a solid Red weekly bar on DXY and short until 96 or lower.
- Earthquakes
- Wildfires over 600
- Floods
- Riots
- Epstein Files
- Housing (Only for the rich)
- Rental Increases
- Home Insurance Price increases
- Fraud for the Elite (Multiple Coins Created with withdrawals outside of US involving other Presidents)
- Crypto Investigations on Politicians
- Children Migrants being deported (Age 6 with Cancer)
TVC:DXY
FX_IDC:CADUSD
ECONOMICS:USTR
FRED:TREASURY
DXY: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DXY together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 98.243 Therefore, a strong bearish reaction here could determine the next move down.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 98.078..Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
One Shot, Clear Strategy – Silver Buy Zone in SightHey everyone 👋
📌 BUY LIMIT ORDER / XAGUSD-SILVER Key Levels
🟢 Entry: 36,892
🎯 Target 1: 37,409
🎯 Target 2: 38,189
🎯 Target 3: 39,246
🔴 Stop: 36,052
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2,79
I double-checked the levels and put together a clean, focused analysis just for you. Every single like seriously boosts my motivation to keep sharing 📈 Your support means the world to me! Huge thanks to everyone who likes and backs this work 💙 Our goals are crystal clear, our strategy is solid. Let’s keep moving forward with confidence and smart execution!
DXY Outlook: Bullish Move Fueled by Fundamentals & GeopoliticsTechnical Analysis (4H Chart & Broader Context) 📈🕓
The DXY 4H chart shows a clear bullish trend 🚀, with higher highs and higher lows since early July. DXY has caught a strong bid, breaking above short-term resistance near 98.40 and now eyeing the previous swing high 🎯. This matches the consensus among analysts: DXY remains in a bullish structure, with momentum supported by both technicals and macro factors.
Key resistance: Next upside target is the previous high (around 99.60 on the chart), with further resistance at the psychological 100 level 🏁.
Support: Immediate support at 98.20, then 97.60 🛡️.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles and no major bearish reversal signals on the 4H. Some analysts note positioning is stretched, so a short-term pullback or consolidation is possible before more upside (IG).
Fundamental Analysis 💹🌍
Why is DXY rallying?
Fed Policy & US Data: The US economy is resilient 💪, with robust services data, strong retail sales, and a recent uptick in core inflation. The Fed is less dovish, with markets now expecting a slower pace of rate cuts 🏦.
Interest Rate Differentials: The US keeps a yield advantage as the Fed is less aggressive in cutting rates compared to the ECB and BoJ, especially with Europe and Japan facing weaker growth and possible further easing 🌐.
Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing trade tensions (Trump’s tariff threats) and global uncertainty (including Middle East risks) are driving safe-haven flows into the dollar 🛡️🌏. DXY typically strengthens during periods of geopolitical stress.
Positioning: CFTC data shows USD long positioning at multi-month highs, which could mean the market is crowded and vulnerable to short-term corrections ⚠️ (IG).
Trade Idea (Bullish Bias, Targeting Previous High) 💡💵
Setup:
Bias: Bullish, in line with the prevailing trend and macro backdrop 🟢.
Entry: Consider buying on a minor pullback to the 98.20–98.40 support zone, or on a confirmed breakout above the recent high 🛒.
Target: Previous swing high near 99.60, with a stretch target at 100.00 🎯.
Stop: Below 97.60 (recent swing low/support) ⛔.
Risk Factors:
Overbought positioning could trigger a short-term pullback ⚠️.
Any dovish surprise from the Fed or rapid de-escalation in global tensions could cap further gains 🕊️.
In summary: The DXY’s bullish trend is underpinned by resilient US data, a hawkish Fed, and global risk aversion. Your bullish bias is well-supported, with the previous high as a logical target. Watch for short-term pullbacks, but the broader trend remains up unless key support is lost. 🚦
GOLD → Borders are shrinking. Consolidation continues...FX:XAUUSD is adjusting amid controversial CPI data and confirming the local bearish market structure. The PPI is ahead, and gold is consolidating, with its boundaries continuing to narrow...
Gold is recovering slightly but remains under pressure amid rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar. Higher inflation in the US reduces the chances of a quick Fed rate cut. Traders are cautious ahead of the PPI data release. If producer inflation exceeds forecasts, the dollar may rise again, putting further pressure on gold
Technically, we see consolidation in a symmetrical triangle pattern. Trading within the consolidation has a negative side - low volatility and unpredictable movements. The purpose of such movements is accumulation. However, decisions can be made based on relatively strong levels. In the current situation, we are seeing a rebound from 0.5 Fibonacci (I do not rule out a retest of the 0.7 zone before correction). The price may head towards the liquidity zone of 3322 before rising to the upper boundary of the consolidation and the zone of interest of 3350-3360.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3353, 3369
Support levels: 3322, 3312, 3287
The problem is that the price is in a consolidation phase. That is, technically, it is standing still and moving between local levels. You can trade relative to the indicated levels. Focus on PPI data. At the moment, gold is in the middle of a triangle and is likely to continue trading within the boundaries of a narrowing channel due to uncertainty...
Best regards, R. Linda!
DXY Bullish Pennant (awaiting breakout)**1-hour timeframe** of the **US Dollar Index (DXY)** with technical analysis applied. Here's the breakdown:
**Technical Analysis Summary:**
**Current Price:**
* Around **98.08**, trading just under the **7 EMA (98.09)**.
**Bullish Structure:**
* A strong **bullish impulse leg** is visible (sharp green candle rally).
* Followed by a **bullish flag/pennant** pattern (marked in red), which is typically a **continuation pattern** in an uptrend.
* The flag is forming after a steep upward move — suggesting **consolidation before potential breakout continuation**.
**EMA Trend Support:**
* **EMA 7, 21, and 50** are aligned bullishly:
* EMA 7 > EMA 21 > EMA 50
* This supports the **short-term uptrend** structure.
**Support Zones:**
* A strong **demand zone** is marked between **97.50–97.70** (highlighted in red), where price previously consolidated before the breakout.
* EMA 50 also sits around **97.72**, reinforcing this as a strong **pullback support level**.
**Possible Scenarios:**
1. **Bullish Continuation:**
* If the price breaks above the flag resistance, it may **rally towards 98.70 → 99.00 → 99.10**.
2. **Bullish Pullback:**
* If price dips to retest the support near **97.80–97.90** or EMA 21, and holds, it may bounce and continue upward.
**Conclusion:**
* **Trend:** Bullish
* **Pattern:** Bullish Pennant (awaiting breakout)
* **Support:** 97.72–97.90
* **Upside Targets:** 98.70 → 99.00+
* **Outlook:** Positive bias continues **as long as price holds above the support zone** and EMAs.
EUR/USD - Daily Chart (Wedge Breakout) (16.07.2025) The EUR/USD Pair on the D1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Days.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0956
2nd Support – 1.0625
💡 Fundamental & Sentiment Context
Euro under pressure amid renewed concerns over EU‑US trade friction .
The USD is strengthening, supported by safe‑haven flows amid tariff uncertainties.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Move From Key Level
I think that Dollar Index may drop from a key daily horizontal resistance level.
As a confirmation, I spotted an inverted cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame
and a bearish violation of its neckline.
The market will most likely continue falling at least to 98.36
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USDCAD (U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar) long (buy) setupUSDCAD (U.S. Dollar/Canadian Dollar) long (buy) setup. Here's the breakdown:
**Setup Overview**
* **Entry Level:** Around 1.3700
* **Take Profit (TP):** 1.3812 (upper green zone)
* **Stop Loss (SL):** 1.3638 (lower red zone)
**Technical Observations**
* Price is bouncing from a rising trendline (diagonal black line), suggesting bullish support.
* Price is trading above the 50 EMA, 21 EMA, and 7 EMA — indicating bullish momentum.
* A strong bullish candle with high volume occurred before consolidation, showing buyer interest.
* Tight consolidation near the entry level suggests potential for a breakout continuation upward.
**Bias**
* **Bullish** bias as long as price remains above the trendline and EMAs.
* The trade offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting a \~110 pip gain vs. \~60 pip risk.
*Summary**
The chart shows a bullish trade setup on USDCAD based on trendline support, EMA alignment, and volume confirmation. A breakout above 1.3700 aims for 1.3812, while invalidation lies below 1.3638.
Dollar Index Having Bullish MomentumDollar Index shown good bullish momentum on previous day as we analyzed it earlier. Index has created a imbalance now the possibility for the index is to retrace back to imbalance and continue the bullish momentum and target towards the supply zone and swing high.
DXY: potentially aiming for January 2025 highsAlthough we do not Trade the dollar specifically, it is a good barometer the feel out other assets.
It seems like DXY reached a MONTHLY LEVEL. I expect price to form a FVG within this rectangle on the daily level. Which will eventually create a GAP on one of the currencies. Will follow up when this happens.
IMO reversed and is going to reach the daily level quick. This will mean, POUND, EURO DOWN.
GOLD - SHORT TO $2,800 (1H UPDATE)Yesterday's entry hit SL, as price pushed up a little higher for liquidity, ahead of today's CPI data.
I have entered another sell entry today at $3,353. Couldn't send analysis straight away as I was out & didn't have my laptop on me. But re-trying this analysis one last time. If SL is hit, we will wait for $3,400 entry.
EUR/USD - Wedge Breakout (CPI- Today) 15.07.2025 The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1741
2nd Resistance – 1.1766
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Dollar Index Bullish OverviewThe Dollar moving Bullish as we expect it to within the Gold Fund! As soon as we saw a '5 Bearish Wave Completion' on the DXY, straight away buyers entered the market & start pushing price back up.
My Gold Fund investors & Gold Vault Academy students know from our 'Q3 Market Breakdown Report' what we're expecting for the Dollar in the next 3 months.
A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the (DXY)A Closer Look at the Role and Recent Volatility of the US Dollar Index (DXY)
We don’t even need to say that the US Dollar Index (DXY) is one of the most influential benchmarks in global currency markets. The index, which measures the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, experiences heightened volatility and presents potential opportunities.
Understanding the DXY: A Macro Lens on the Dollar
The DXY tracks the relative strength of the US dollar versus a weighted currency basket including the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, Canadian dollar, Swedish krona, and Swiss franc. Although the euro comprises nearly 58% of the index, the DXY reflects broad USD strength or weakness across global markets, not just against a single currency.
Traders and analysts use the DXY as a key macro indicator—to track policy divergence between central banks, to hedge USD exposure, and to assess broader market sentiment. Rising DXY levels often signal tightening US policy or global risk aversion, while declines may reflect weakening growth expectations, dovish Fed policy, or geopolitical stress. In volatile environments like 2025, the DXY serves as a real-time barometer of global confidence in the US economy and dollar-based assets.
Recent Price Swings: Tariffs & Policy Uncertainty Shake the Dollar
Since April, the US Dollar Index has faced one of its most volatile stretches in years, driven by a convergence of Federal Reserve policy uncertainty and new trade tariffs announced by President Trump.
April: “Liberation Day” Tariffs Trigger Market Shock
On 2 April, the announcement of sweeping “Liberation Day” tariffs—10% on nearly all imports, with higher duties on selected countries—jolted currency markets. The DXY fell over 2% in a single day. In the following weeks, the index continued to decline as business confidence deteriorated and early signs of recession risk emerged.
May–June: Policy Headwinds Compound Dollar Weakness
As the tariff package took effect, the dollar extended its slide—marking a ~10% drop from its late‑2024 peak, the worst first-half performance in over 50 years. Investors reassessed US growth prospects amid the pressures of trade friction. The Fed responded with a hawkish pause, while President Trump publicly urged for rate cuts, further muddying the policy outlook and pressuring the dollar.
July: Uncertainty Builds
By early July, the DXY had fallen below 97, tallying an approximate 11% year-to-date decline. Analysts cite a “perfect storm” of expanding fiscal deficits, erratic trade decisions, and growing doubts over US policy credibility as key reasons for the dollar’s fall from favour.
Why DXY Matters Now More Than Ever
The DXY has become a real-time gauge of market confidence in US policy stability. The dollar’s sharp decline in 2025 underscores how fragile that confidence can be in the face of aggressive trade measures and uncertain monetary direction.
The introduction of Trump’s tariffs has raised structural concerns among investors:
- Growth expectations have been cut due to higher input costs and supply chain friction.
- The so-called safe-haven appeal of the USD has eroded, with flows shifting to the euro, Swiss franc, and gold.
- Foreign demand for dollar assets has softened, as fears of a prolonged trade conflict and fiscal indiscipline mount.
In this climate, the DXY has evolved into a barometer for geopolitical tension, inflation fears, and investor sentiment towards US leadership.
Bottom Line
The DXY is not just a tool for dollar specialists—it's a key reference for any trader dealing with macro-sensitive instruments. As the global rate environment continues to shift and the US economy shows mixed signals, the DXY may become one of the most revealing indicators to watch and trade in the second half of 2025.
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