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Economic Cycles

Banana zone starts when PMI is above 53.Check your charts to verify this fact. Total 2 with the US Purchasing Managers Index overlain. The PMI is one of the most reliable leading indicators for assessing the state of the U.S. economy. Previous Banana zones have coincided with the PMI above 53. so not just when the economy is growing, but when the economy has entered humming along approaching full acceleration. This is when most people will feel confidence and WANT to take on more risk as they are most optimistic about the future when the economy is in this state of being.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by BallaJi
1
META: Testing Alternative Interconnection TypeResearch Notes Given expression like this: Fractal Corridors can be used for horizontal perspective of the same pattern manifestation. Alternative frames of reference exposes how historic swings of various magnitude in some way wire the following price dynamics. www.tradingview.com helps to seek a matching commonality in angles of trends which gives a hint how structure evolves in multi-scale perspective. I use both when it comes to working with complex waves and making interconnections through fibonacci ratios. To define emerging wave's limits (probable amplitude), I'll test classic rule of Support/Resistance shift in fibs. (When resistance becomes support or vice versa) By theory it means a trendline can also shift like that. In our case this can be applied as: Fibocnacci Structure:
NASDAQ:META
by fract
1
Aptos Long Term ViewAptos taken out almost all liquidation from below side, it can fall more towards 3.5$ to take out all new buyers and then push towards 15$, remember 15-16$ is an unmitigated zone, sooner or later this imbalance zone will be filled. So if your an investor and want easy 3x gain then buy apt from 5$ 2nd entry 4$ and last buying from 3.5$, ignore lower timeframe volatility and BTC movement, these entries are easily achievable if market crashes by any chance so you can close your position at breakeven. While 7.19-7.50$ area is crucial to break, once this zone is broken there is nothing upside that can stop Aptos from hitting 15$. Any daily candle closing above the marked zone will confirm trend shift, before this trade setup is like high risk n reward. While I'm very confident on Aptos that it will hit 15% mark.
Long
by mejazkhanm
Crypto Tide Rising: Will TOTAL Market Cap surf past $5T?In November 2024 the crypto ocean was calm, hovering near $2.25T . Then, in a short time, fresh capital poured in, daily volume spiked, and the tide lifted us to $3.65T by mid-December . Two bullish buoys popped up: ▶️ The daily down-trend snapped on Nov 4th, triggering a 51 % climb; ▶️ The 50-day MA (orange) crossed above the 200-day MA (white) on Nov 7th, after a 64 % rally. Fast-forward to June 4th 2025 . Another Golden Cross has just flashed, and price is again nudging that descending trend-line. If History rhymes: the line breaks and momentum matches 2024’s move, the TOTAL MC could vault toward $5T . Keeping today’s dominance ratios, that target implies roughly $162 k BTC and $3.8 k ETH . Add rising Global M2 and stablecoin liquidity, a supportive macro backdrop, and we may be staring at the next great crypto swell. Will the market catch this wave or will macro headwinds keep the tide in check? Not financial advice. DYOR, Arrr!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by MorangoTango
1
ABC Flat correction? Verifiably had Elliot wave impulse wave that reach completion. Going sideways was the correction. There’s either gonna be a breakout, which is likely, Or a correction to the downside. Since it is Fourth of July weekend, There’s plenty of room for global markets to greatly impact weekend trading. We’ll know by Monday, what Trump has said, what Elon has done, And with the wars results are. Hold on tight. Any correction to the downside is opportunity for institutions to further increase their anchor hold greater chunks of market liquidity. That’s all for today. Welcome back, Sincerely yours Paul Dorz
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by PaulDorz
AXON: Navigating Support After Short-Term Trend ReversalAXON: Navigating Support After Short-Term Trend Reversal Overall Trend and Channels: The stock has been in a clear uptrend since late February/early March, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Two ascending channels are identified: A red diagonal band labeled "Short-Term Support, multiple times already tested" represents a steeper, more immediate trendline that the price has followed closely. A blue diagonal channel appears to define a broader, less aggressive uptrend, encompassing the price action over a longer period. Recent Price Action and Breakdown: The most recent price action, highlighted by the upper blue ellipse, shows a significant red candlestick indicating a strong down move. This candlestick has clearly broken below the "Short-Term Support" (red diagonal band). This breakdown suggests a loss of immediate bullish momentum and a potential shift into a corrective or consolidation phase after an extended rally. The current price of 777.05 is now below this previously established dynamic support. Identified Support Levels: Potential Area 700 to 715 (Green Horizontal Box): This zone is marked as the "Potential Area to look at if price drops" and "Ideal Level." It represents the next significant horizontal support level that the price could test if the current decline continues. This area also appears to align with the lower boundary of the broader blue ascending channel, providing confluence and strengthening its significance as potential support. Earnings Volatility Area 650 (Green Horizontal Box): This level is identified as a potential support that "Earnings volatility can trigger." This suggests it's a known historical support that might be tested under conditions of significant selling pressure, such as a negative reaction to earnings reports. Key Support Area 575 (Green Horizontal Box): This is the lowest and appears to be the strongest support level highlighted on the chart, labeled as "Key Support Area." This typically implies a major historical turning point or a strong accumulation zone where buyers have previously stepped in forcefully. Historical Volatility and Support Tests (Lower Blue Ellipses): The middle blue ellipse around late February highlights a prior instance where the price experienced a sharp decline, breaking through an earlier support level (likely the upper boundary of the blue channel that turned into resistance after breaking above it later on) before finding temporary support. The bottom blue ellipse in early March highlights a substantial plunge in price that tested and found strong support at the "Key Support Area 575," followed by a significant bounce. This confirms the historical importance and strength of the 575 level. In summary, the chart indicates that AXON has recently broken down from its immediate short-term uptrend. Technical analysts would now be observing whether the price finds support at the 700-715 zone, which is reinforced by the broader trend channel. Further downside could test the 650 area (potentially triggered by earnings), with the 575-level serving as a critical, long-term historical support floor. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.  
NASDAQ:AXONLong
by ManiMarkets
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊 The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC We trade across three market cycles: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend. MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC. LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend. Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm. Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze: HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders). MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily). LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour). Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach. While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships. Trading Scenarios: When to Act Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout). Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry. Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend. Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend. Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave. Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC): Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure. Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high. Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario. Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10). HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly. Final Vibe Check This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Education
by SkepticWise
1