Going long on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has made a 5 wave move to the downside, it is forming a bullish RSI divergence on the 4-hour chart, it already shown climatic volume on the recent bounce, seems like downside should be limited from here in the short to mid-term. Long term, the trend is still down.
I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the 50% retracement, around 92k, before continuing to move down to a deeper lower-low.
Good luck to you
Elliott Wave
SOLANA → Pre-breakout consolidation relative to 136.00BINANCE:SOLUSDT relative to the range support forms a false breakdown. The market reacts quite positively and the price recovers, forming a consolidation in front of strong resistance
Bitcoin is also in consolidation, as well as SOL, in general the movements coincide, but lately bitcoin is leading relative to the stock market.
SOL is in consolidation in front of a strong resistance level at 136.00. The primary test may end with a small correction to 0.5 fibo, or consolidation near the level, but a breakout and price consolidation above the current consolidation will be a positive signal for continued growth. The global trend reversal is out of the question, we are aiming at local targets, such as 140, 147, 152.
Resistance levels: 147,152
Support levels: 129, 123, 111
In general, the global market situation is bearish, the local situation is neutral as the price is in a sideways range. A false breakdown was formed against the support of the current range. Technically, due to liquidity imbalance (after the false breakdown) the price may head towards such zones as 147 - 152
Regards R. Linda!
DeFi Index Completes Irregular Flat Correction; Bulls Back?DeFi Index may have a completed irregular flat correction within an uptrend, which may cause another rally this year, according to Elliott wave theory.
Cryptocurrencies are recovering and DeFi Index is now bouncing back above EW channel, so a five-wave impulse into wave (C) of an irregular (A)(B)(C) flat correction in blue wave B can be finished. It means that a higher degree blue wave C can now be in play, which can rally this year all the way back to March 2024 highs. Is this the beginning of an ALTseason?
A basic bullish irregular flat correction is a three-wave (A-B-C) pattern where wave B exceeds the start of wave A and wave C dips below wave A before the overall bullish trend resumes.
GBPUSD → A false breakout can trigger a correction FX:GBPUSD is strengthening as part of the rally associated with the fall in the dollar index, but there is a technically strong resistance zone ahead that could trigger a correction...
The dollar index, due to US politics, desire for lower interest rates, tariff war, continues its decline, giving an advantage to the currency pairs of the main basket.
Against this background, the pound sterling is strengthening and is ready to test the key resistance at the moment: 1.343. The huge pool of liquidity, accumulated behind this area may not let the price up at the first time. The last test and confirmation of this level was half a year ago.
Resistance levels: 1.343
Support levels: 1.3292, 1.3207
A sharp approach to resistance, a false breakout without the possibility of growth continuation and consolidation below the resistance 1.3430 may provoke a correction in the imbalance zone or liquidity 1.3292.
Regards R. Linda!
Macro Quarterly Chart of NZ50G (NZX50)Big picture view of NZX 50 Index
NZ50G Quarterly Chart
Basic Elliott Wave - 8 wave structure shown... with where I think we are now
We appear to be in a long term 5 wave trending move higher
Currently within a choppy wave 4 structure that is near completion of a triangle pattern
Triangle patterns are typically Wave 4's and lead to continuation of the trend that proceeded it
Therefore its quite likely we will base out somewhere around the 11,000 point mark (Currently at 12,116) before finding some support and moving higher
I suspect this could lead to a large 30-50% move higher, but then expect things to get choppy and sideways for a number of years... as its going to take a lot of time to correct this 15 year trend, at least 5 years...
Am looking for buy levels on some key levels on NZX stocks to start loading up long term multi year positions
ETHEREUM | 1H | IMPORTANT LEVELS AND MY TARGETHey there, my dear friends!
I’ve taken a deep dive into BINANCE:ETHUSDT just for you. If it breaks above the 1,693 level, the next target will be 1,800.0. On the flip side, a key support level sits around 1,473.0.
All I ask in return is your support through likes — it really means a lot!
Big thanks to everyone showing love and support with those likes!
Oil Short: Ending Diagonal and Rising WedgeI propose that Oil is a good short candidate because of what I am seeing:
1. Rising Wedge
2. Ending Diagonal within the Rising Wedge
I propose 3 entry points for shorting but mention that if you are shorting at the top of the trendline, to cater for false breakout, meaning more allowance in your stop.
Good luck!
DXY Correction Persists: Further Downside Potential in FocusThe DXY remains in a prevailing downtrend, and I estimate that it is currently in the final stages of wave (v) of wave . The correction is projected to extend toward the 97.023–97.739 area. Meanwhile, the nearest potential rebound zone is located between 99.690 and 100.764.
XAUUSD at a Critical JunctureAs I previously mentioned, the upside potential in XAUUSD appears relatively limited. At present, I estimate that XAUUSD is forming wave iv of wave (v) as indicated by the black label (best-case scenario), suggesting a potential correction toward the 3,228–3,292 range. Should this scenario hold, the next bullish target lies within the 3,483–3,561 area.
However, you should also be mindful of the bearish scenario (red label), where XAUUSD may have completed wave 3. In such a case, the current movement could represent the beginning of a deeper correction as part of wave 4, with the potential downside projected toward the 2,854–3,101 range.
Short-Term Opportunity in Dow Jones: Limited UpsideCurrently, I estimate that under the best-case scenario (black label), the Dow Jones is forming wave of wave B. This implies that the upside movement is likely to remain limited, with a potential retest of the 39,310–39,649 area.
Caution is advised for a possible reversal, especially if the Dow Jones fails to break above the 40,791 resistance level.
S&P500 Long then Short: Last Wave 5 of 5In this video, I updated the wave counts for S&P500 and expects a last wave 5 of 5 (thus the long). I uses 2 Fibonacci extensions to project the final target and chose the lower of the target as the TP.
Once the target is reached, then we look for a reversal signal before entering short. The target of the short will be the end of sub-wave 4 as illustrated.
Good luck!
EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Structure 5th Wave Extension UnderwayThe overall trend of EUR/USD appears upward when observed from a higher time frame, indicating that the 4th wave has completed and the 5th wave is in formation. Within the main 5th wave, sub-waves are developing, and it seems we are currently in the sub-wave of the 5th sub-wave. Once this sub-wave completes, the main 5th wave is also expected to complete.
The invalidation level for this structure is at 1.10920 . If the upward move continues as expected, potential targets could be seen around 1.14683 and 1.15894
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 22 April 2025
- Bitcoin broke round resistance level 90000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 95000.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency today broke the resistance area between the round resistance level 90000.00 and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward wave (A) from January.
The breakout of this resistance area should accelerate the C-wave of the active ABC correction (B) from March.
Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise in the active C-wave to the next resistance level 95000.00 (former strong resistance from the start of March).
Bitcoin Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
On the Bitcoin chart, we see the formation of a complete Elliott wave pattern. These waves from 1 to 3 or C are quite clear and we can even count its sub-waves.
Now a 3-wave ABC has formed. We cannot be exactly sure that this is a complete zigzag because wave C can be extended and the price will fall further.
But we consider it wave 4 assuming that this zigzag is completed.
So we will wait for the formation of an upward wave in the form of wave 5.
The target is first $86,500 and then $88,000.
Good luck and be profitable.