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Elliott Wave

$XAUUSD Gold | Are We Looking at a Local Top Here?Looking at Gold again, I’m going a bit out on a limb and saying: There’s a good chance we’ve just seen a local top — at least for the coming weeks. Last time I was pretty spot on with my target after being wrong about the top. I wanted to see $2,955, and Gold ended up reaching $2,956.5 — missing my level by just $1.50. Totally fine, especially considering the huge rally that followed. But now it looks like that rally might be losing steam. We’re currently trading between the 127.2% and 138% Fibonacci extension levels, specifically between $3,225 and $3,250. That’s a zone I see as highly likely for a short-term correction. Possible downside targets? First $3,146, then lower at $3,034, and ideally even a move back toward $2,900. Of course, a lot will depend on macro news, especially from the US — tariffs, geopolitical risks, and overall market sentiment. If Gold pushes above $3,300, then this whole scenario gets invalidated and I’d switch to an alternative setup that I haven’t detailed here yet. The RSI is also sitting deep in overbought territory, with multiple bearish divergences building — which supports the idea of a pullback. But as always: Just because the RSI is overbought doesn’t guarantee an immediate drop. We still need price confirmation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by stromm
1
A Zoom of the Weekly DXY into a Daily viewI kept the colored rectangels from my weekly analysis, to keep the focus and knowledge where we are on the chart. DXY is doing a long A-B-C before it's is going into the last impulse og the C of Y of x of the larger degree. It's quite a lot of corrections to manage, but if you swipe from the daily to the weekly timeframe, it makes good sense. For me at least :D. The purple B wave took some time to figure out, but this was what made most sense to me. I was trying to look at it as a triangle, but that wouldn't have a good shape, so I ended out with this white ((w))-((x))-((y)) correction. DXY is right now performing, what I see as, a extended 5th wave in the white ((iii) wave, before it goes into the white ((iv)) correction. The white ((iv) wave correction could be become a long shallow drawn out correction for two reasons. We had a steep and swift white (ii) followed by an extended white ((iii) wave. This usually means we are going to spend some time correcting that white (iii) wave and the rule of alternation tells us, if we have a quick 2nd wave, we are usually going to see a slow fourth wave. I don't believe we have completed the white (iii) yet, so we have a long time to go still until that white (iv) wave is done. When the white (iv) wave is done, the white (v) wave is probaly going to take us down to that green box. So relax for the next 6 months and grab yourself a cup of coffee.
TVC:DXY
by TheDane
2
NZDJPY → Back in range, there's a chance to strengthenFX:NZDJPY is forming a false break of the range support and within the reversal pattern confirms the break of the bearish structure The fundamental background has been extremely unstable lately and depends on any harsh statements of politicians, mainly related to the trade war. But, technically, the pair is returning to the range on the background of local market recovery. A false breakdown of the range support is formed. The break of the bearish structure, the formation of the reversal pattern and the return to the trading range give chances for strengthening of the price. If the bulls hold the defense above 83.7 - 84.2, the currency pair may strengthen to 85.15 - 87.4 Resistance levels: 84.196, 86.15 Support levels: 83.79, 83.31, 82.21 Consolidation above the key support zone may allow the bulls to strengthen the price to the local zone of interest. Global trend is neutral, local trend is upward. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
“EUR/USD Nears Wave (C) Climax – Will Smart Money Step In?”EUR/USD is approaching the final leg of its corrective A-B-C structure. With wave (C) targeting the 1.15–1.18 supply zone, a major reversal setup is brewing. Wave (A)-(B)-(C) correction structure in play Current bullish momentum likely completing wave (C) Watch for potential 50% and 78% Fibonacci retracement zones for next sell setups Embedded Wyckoff distribution schematic suggests institutional unloading soon If you're tracking smart money, the final wave up could be the perfect setup to sell the rally once signs of distribution confirm. Key Levels to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.15–1.18 (Wave C Top) First Demand: 50% zone Deeper Demand: 78% retracement = high confluence #EURUSD #ElliottWave #WyckoffMethod #SmartMoney #ForexForecast #WaveC --
by Greenfireforex
“GBP/USD Bulls Eyeing the Final Wave V – Will Cable Hit the Targ” The GBP/USD weekly chart is unfolding beautifully under Elliott Wave theory. After completing wave (iv), price is charging upward in wave (v) toward the final resistance zone around 1.38–1.42. This impulsive structure is playing out textbook-style: Wave 1–2–3–4–5 mapped clearly Recent breakout confirms bullish strength Wave (v) target aligned with historical supply zone If you're riding the wave, keep eyes on short-term pullbacks for re-entry before the final leg completes! Next Key Levels: Pullback demand near 1.2750–1.2850 Major resistance in the 1.38–1.42 zone Wave V completion zone = high probability reversal area #GBPUSD #ElliottWave #ForexForecast #WaveAnalysis #FXTrading #CableAnaly
by Greenfireforex
(SMC) and key liquidity zones aligning for a major bearish reverThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is tracing out its final wave of the Elliott 5-wave structure, with a powerful confluence of Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and key liquidity zones aligning for a major bearish reversal. Wave (iv) correction might offer the last sell opportunity before a deep wave (v) drives us into the golden demand zone near 91–93. Watch closely: Fair Value Gap (FVG) & Order Block aligning at resistance Wave (iii) completed with strong momentum Massive bearish pressure setting up for 2025–2026 Next Move? We’re tracking the wave (iv) pullback into the SMC zone, looking for entries to ride wave (v) down. Get ready for a potential macro-level shift in dollar strength! #DXY #ElliottWave #SMC #ForexAnalysis #DollarIndex -- Let me know if you like it
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
APTOS Triple Reversal: Is This the Macro Bottom?APT is exhibiting a potential triple bottom formation, reinforced by a series of completed 5-wave declines terminating within a strong demand zone. The structure points to a possible macro reversal with staged recovery targets at 7.548, 12.037, and a full breakout extension toward 17.401. This bullish outlook remains valid as long as the current base around 4.729 holds. Momentum confirmation will be key to validating this shift in trend. Risk-reward now heavily favors early positioning.
by weslad
6
EUR USD Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends In the previous analysis we expected a slight correction and then a price increase, which happened (please refer to the previous analysis). Now the same wave 5 of 3 or C is completing. This micro-wave should have 5 waves. Now its 4 waves are visible, so we expect a price increase and the price target is 1.13750. This micro-wave 5 will grow slightly and we expect a divergence between the main waves 3 and 5 and then a price correction should happen. Good luck and be profitable.
Long
by M_Gheysvandi
6
GLMR Bottomed? Watch This Key Trendline ReclaimGLMR has likely completed a full 5-wave impulsive decline, with the final leg extending after a clean deviation below the key trendline, printing a low at 0.0543. This marks a potential medium-term bottom. A corrective upside move is expected from this zone, though the broken trendline remains unreclaimed and now acts as resistance. The internal supply trendline around 0.2337 is critical — price may face strong rejection here. However, a confirmed breakout above it could open the door toward 0.757, aligning with a broader supply zone.
Long
by weslad
1
SPX Elliott Wave Count AnalysisJust dropping a multi-timeframe breakdown of my current EW thesis for SPX, starting from the macro and drilling down to now. Big Picture (3M View): We’re still grinding through Grand Super Cycle Wave 3 (GSCW3) that I have starting in the 1932 low till now. Scoped in look at Super Cycle W4(SCW4) Super Cycle Wave 4 (SCW4) wrapped up around the ‘08-‘09 housing crash lows. Since then, we’ve been in SCW5, and based on current structure, I believe we’re still early or mid-stage, not near the end. Zoom-In: SCW5 to Present (Cycle Degree Breakdown): From the 2009 lows, price action carved out a textbook impulsive structure into what I’m labeling as Cycle Wave 1 (CW1), which likely topped out ~Dec 2024. The correction that followed has the characteristics of an Expanded Flat: A-B-C structure where Wave C just completed around April 7th. This structure, in my view, forms Wave W of a potential WXY complex for CW2. Now we’re either in: The early stages of Wave X, targeting the 0.618 retracement zone of W (marked on the chart), Or, X has already completed in a shorter move. Alt (Low-Probability) Scenario: There’s a slim case that the ABC (now W) correction was all of CW2 — given how it wicked into a deep, low-probability Fib zone (gray box). If we get a clear impulsive move above that 0.618 area, I’ll pay closer attention to this alt — but for now, I’m leaning toward more downside after this X-wave finishes (if it hasn't already). EW interpretations evolve, but this is my current working roadmap
SP:SPX
by Googlesaur
SOL/USDT – Potential Final Leg Down Before Major RallyBINANCE:SOLUSDT 🚀📉🔁 We are likely approaching one of the final moves down before a significant push higher. But before that, I expect one last move up to the $142 area, forming what I believe is a Red ABC corrective structure. 🔴 Red Wave A-B-C Red Wave A has likely already completed, confirmed by a clean White ABC move. We are now inside Red Wave B. ✅ Ideal Long Entry Zone The ideal entry would be near the 88.7% Fibonacci retracement, which aligns with Green Wave B around $119.4. From that level, I expect a drop down toward $100, completing Red Wave B. 🔄 What Comes After? From the $100 zone, two possible scenarios for Red Wave C (or Wave 1 of a new impulse): A 1-2-3-4-5 impulsive wave structure to the upside Or a corrective A-B-C structure We’ll need to carefully watch the first move out of the $100 zone: A 5-wave move would suggest a new bullish impulse has begun A 3-wave move might just be a larger corrective rally 🎯 Upside Target: $142 Once we hit $142, I anticipate another corrective move downward. This could take the form of: A clean ABC A complex correction (A-B + 1-2-3-4-5) Or even a direct impulsive 5-wave drop Again, the key is watching the first leg down from $142 – whether it's impulsive or corrective will define the entire next phase. ⚠️ Summary: Current focus: Entry near $119.4 (88.7% Fib), targeting $142 Caution: Expect volatility – structure will only become clear wave by wave Watch: Reactions at $100 and $142 for structure confirmation Let me know what you think below! Like & follow if you enjoy deep EW breakdowns!
Long
by ElliotXSolana
Elliott Wave Analysis 🔹 Wave Structure: The chart shows a clear corrective structure unfolded, currently developing as a complex correction (likely WXY or an ABC): Wave A: Strong impulsive move to the downside Wave B: Ongoing corrective rally (possibly a flat or zigzag) Wave C (anticipated): Final downward leg yet to unfold 🟩 A green target box marks the potential end zone of the correction, aligning with a horizontal support level around 85.35. 📊 Indicators: 🔸 MACD: Currently showing a bullish crossover (MACD line above the signal line) → supports the idea of a temporary B-wave rally. Momentum is not very strong → another hint that the move might be corrective, not impulsive. Watch for a bearish crossover as a possible trigger for the start of Wave C. 🔸 RSI: RSI is recovering from lower levels, signaling short-term strength. No overbought condition yet → allows more room for the B-wave to extend. Key Watch: If RSI enters overbought territory while MACD turns down, it could mark the start of the C-wave drop. 🎯 Summary & Outlook: We are likely in the final phase of Wave B. Expectation: One last downward move in Wave C towards the green zone. That area could offer a strong long opportunity, but only after clear confirmation (e.g., divergence, impulsive reversal, rising volume). 📌 Potential Strategy: ❌ No long entries yet – risk of another drop in Wave C. 🔔 Set alerts around 85–60 – monitor for reversal signs. 📈 Upon confirmation: potential entry for the next larger impulsive wave.
Long
by ElliotXSolana
GOLD → Price is consolidating, but to what end? Growth?FX:XAUUSD continues on its way as part of a strong rally. Price is testing strong resistance and there is a good chance of a new high as the trade war escalation intensifies. Against the backdrop of the bull run, there is no need to think about selling! Gold is trading near all-time highs above $3,200 on Friday, posting a weekly gain of about 5.5%. Rising prices are fueled by concerns over U.S. financial stability and the possible resignation of the Fed chief, adding to pressure on the dollar. Expectations of recession and Fed rate cuts are increasing amid escalating trade war with China, after the US imposed tariffs of 145% and Beijing retaliated - China raised tariffs to 125%. Inflation in March came in below expectations, reinforcing forecasts for a rate cut. Focus is on further trade talks and China's response Resistance levels: 3219.5 Support levels: 3197, 3187, 3167 Emphasis on the local range: 3219 - 3187. Breakdown and price consolidation above the resistance will provoke rally continuation. But I do not rule out a correction to accumulate energy before the continuation of growth. In this case gold may test 3197 (0.7f), or support of 3187 range. But we should be aware of the fact of unpredictability: If the US and China sit down for negotiations, the situation may change dramatically. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10