Gold Roadmap: Next Stop $3,325 After Ascending Channel Break?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) failed to touch the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) in the previous idea , and I took the position at $3,351 = Risk-free.
Gold is moving in the Resistance zone($3,366-$3,394) and has managed to break the lower line of the ascending channel .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , with the break of the lower line of the ascending channel, it seems that gold has completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Gold to trend downward in the coming hours and succeed in breaking the Support zone($3,350-$3,325) and attacking the Support line again , and probably succeeding in breaking this line this time.
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,396
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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Elliott Wave
NZDUSD is Nearing an Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.59100 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
The 3rd Nevada Lithium Elliot WaveI believe LAC may have begun its 3rd elliot wave, with a bottom at $2.33. There also appears to be nice recent strong base support around $2.80. In addition, there appears to be a deviation between price and money flow, as shown with the green arrows - with a potential correction available to push price beyond $3.30 very soon.
I have entered and will watch its daily action and volume with an upside expectation limit around $9-10, then a 4th wave down, etc. Of course, I am not a financial advisor and I have been wrong before and will be wrong again. I trade within this reality and control my risk.
Dow Jones Futures (YM_F) Expects Rally From Extreme AreaThe Dow Jones E-mini Futures (YM_F) favors impulsive rally from 4.07.2025 low of 36708. It is trading close to the previous high of 1.31.2025 of 45227. A break above that level will confirm the bullish sequence. Other US indices like Nasdaq & S & P 500 futures already confirmed the new high in daily, calling for more upside against April-2025 low. As per latest Elliott wave sequence in Dow Jones, it favors upside & pullback in 1-hour remain supported in extreme area to rally higher. Since April-2025 low, it placed 1 at 42976 high & 2 at 41236 low. Above there, it favors upside in 3 of (1) & expect one more push higher, while dips remain above price trendline. We like to buy the pullback in 3, 7 or 11 swings at extreme area for next rally.
Within 3, it ended ((i)) at 43316 high, ((ii)) at 42088 low & ((iii)) at 45177 high. In wave ((iii)), it ended (i) at 42759 high, (ii) at 42096 low, (iii) at 44435 high, (iv) at 44185 low & (v) at 45177 high. Currently, it favors pullback in zigzag correction in ((iv)) & expect small downside in to 44286 – 43815 area before resume upside in ((v)) of 3. Within ((iv)), it placed (a) at 44482 low, which subdivides in 5 swings. It placed (b) at 45043 high in 3 swings bounce that almost corrects 90 % of (a). Currently, it favors downside in (c), which should unfold in 5 swings in to extreme area. Within (c), it placed i at 44324 low, ii at 44827 high & iii at 44118 low. It favors bounce in iv before final down in v to finish the (c) of ((iv)) against 6.19.2025 low before rally resumes towards 45500 or higher levels. In 4-hour, it expects two or more highs to finish the impulse sequence from April-2025 low before it may see bigger correction
#Banknifty directions and levels for July 16th:Current View
If we look at the Bank Nifty chart from a broader perspective, it appears to be forming a bullish triangle pattern.
If we count the swings, it seems we are in the 4th wave, and the 5th downward wave is still pending.
So, if the market faces rejection near the top of the triangle, we can expect a minor correction, which may reach the bottom of the triangle pattern.
(For confirmation of the correction, the market must break the support zone at a minimum.)
Alternate View
Alternatively, if the market finds support around 56953 or at the support zone, we may see some consolidation.
After that, if it breaks above the top of the triangle, the minor rejection zone may act as a resistance before the rally continues.
GBPUSD is Nearing the Daily Trend!!!Hey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.34100 zone, GBPUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.34100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.37200 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.37200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Cable looking for a new high with Ending DiagonalCable found some support in the last 24 hours and it looks like we may still see a retest of the high, so apparently this 5th wave is still in progress but unfolding with an ending diagonal with subwave five on the way up to 1.37–1.38, which could be the key resistance for this reversal pattern. So despite some recovery that is happening right now, we still think that the impulse from January is in late stages, which is also confirmed by divergence on the RSI and overlapping price action that clearly suggests that bulls are losing strength up here.
GH
GBP/USD could be gearing up for a 200-pip move?Start: We jump in at 1.3601 if it’s going up or filling the gap, or 1.3599 if it might drop.
Goal: We aim for 1.3800 if it goes up, or 1.3404 if it goes down.
Safety Stop: Like a safety net, we stop if it drops to 1.3544 (up plan) or rises to 1.3650 (down plan).
Chance: These are best guesses based on the chart’s clues!
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI. Chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating amid a correction in the dollar ahead of important news. Consumer price index data is due later today. The market is stagnant and will not move prematurely.
On Tuesday, gold rose slightly amid profit-taking ahead of the US CPI release. Investors are waiting for a signal from inflation: weaker data could strengthen bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold, while strong inflation would strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The situation is exacerbated by Trump's new tariff threats and his criticism of the Fed chair. Let me remind you of Trump's pressure on regulators regarding inflation and interest rate cuts.
Technically, gold is trading above the previously broken “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. Bulls are trying to hold their ground above 3340-3350. Focus on the current range of 3340-3373
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3350, 3340
Favorable news for gold could boost interest in the metal, which would generally lead to growth. However, there is a factor of unpredictability, and against this backdrop, gold may test support at 3350-3340. If the bulls manage to keep the price above this zone, we may see growth in the medium term. Otherwise, the price may drop to 3310-3280.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$XRP All Tie High After Shallow Pullback?CRYPTOCAP:XRP had a fantastic week smashing all resistances. I am looking for a shallow pull back to test the High Volume Node support at $2.7 at the .236 Fibonacci retracement before continuing to challenge the all time high.
Wave (3) of a motif wave appears complete adding confluence to a shallow retracement for wave (4).
Daily RSI is extremely overbought.
Safe trading
$RIOT Hit The Target Whats Next?NASDAQ:RIOT hit the descending orange resistance were I took partial take profits on my trade this week and it was immediately rejected as expected.
Price is now above the weekly pivot so that is the next support. This level also matches the weekly 200EMA.
Wave (II) hit the 'alt-coin' golden pocket of 0.618-0.786 Fibonacci retracement at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and descending support line which kicked off wave (III).
A breakout above the descending resistance line bring up the the next target of the HVN and previous swing high at $18-20 and $40 following a breakout above that.
Safe trading
$HUT Clear for Further Upside?NASDAQ:HUT is having a great time clearing resistances, the weekly 200EMA and the weekly Pivot point did not prove challenging.
It is currently sitting in a High Volume Node (HVN) where price is likely to reject and retest the weekly pivot as support before continuing upwards towards $32 and beyond in wave 3.
Wave 2 tested the 'alt-coin' golden pocket between 0.618-0.782 Fibonacci retracement giving me confidence in the count.
Safe trading
$HBAR Weekly Pivot Time...In classic CRYPTOCAP:HBAR fashion what a powerful move this week! Moves like this leave me skeptical of continuation straight away as you often get a pretty decent pullback afterwards before the next leg up. However how many times have you seen a move like this that completely unwinds weeks later and goes lower?
Wave (3) looks truly underway after wave (2) tested the High Volume Node and 'Golden Pocket' 0.50.618 Fibonacci retracement as support on weekly bullish divergence from the RSI.
The weekly pivot is now resistance and it already proving itself. If price continues the all time high is next resistance and price has a weekly R5 pivot target of $1.2 while the Fibonacci extension targets have a minimum of $5.2..
Analysis is invalidated below $0.12
Safe trading
$FET Does Zooming out look better?NYSE:FET has been underperforming lately and the local chart looks trash so I wanted to zoom out to give us all some context on the larger picture which hasn't really changed.
Price appears to have completed wave II at the High Volume Node (HVN) support and 0.5- 0.618 'Golden Pocket' Fibonacci retracement and wave 3 is underway but finding local resistance.
Pivots are warped due to the strength of the move last year so wouldn't count them as reliable so focusing on support and resistance. The megaphone pattern is clear and the next area of resistance when FET starts moving is the $1.2
Weekly RSI is decreasing and is attempting to cross bearishly. If Bitcoin has a significant pullback I would expect new lows for FET at this rate. I have a neutral stance at this point.
Analysis is invalidated below $0.546
Safe trading
Bitcoin Dominance Found The Top; ALTcoin Dominance Stepping InHello Crypto traders! BTC.Dominance is falling in an impulsive fashion after we spotted the top within the wedge pattern. Now that is trading in wave (v) of a five-wave impulse from the highs, it just confirms a bearish reversal, which indicates that ALTcoin dominance is stepping in. And with still bullish Crypto market, we might be in the ALTseason.
$ETH Pullback to $2630 Support?CRYPTOCAP:ETH has a great week pushing through resistance and making new local highs after testing the daily 200EMA and daily pivot as support.
Price is likely to retest the swing high and previous resistance as support around $2600-2700, also the .382 Fibonacci retracement.
RSI is printing daily bearish divergence in overbought from the wave (3) top to current as it did at the wave (5) top seeing large rejection. The retest of $2600 would reset RSI.
Price is ultimately set to test $3600 as the next resistance if the Elliot wave count is correct.
Analysis is invalidated below $2050
Safe trading
$CLSK Trapped between Critical Resistance and Support?NASDAQ:CLSK Shot through the weekly 200EMA and hit the weekly pivot resistance and was rejected into the High Volume Node (HVN) just below.
If the count is correct we should see price breakthrough in wave 3 after some consolidation and continue up after wave 2 tested the .618 Fibonacci retracement and HVN as support.
Heavy resistance HVN coupled with the R1 pivot at $20.40 will prove another challenge to overcome. Ultimately, if the count is correct AND Bitcoin doesn't tank we can expect a challenge of the all time highs up at $60.
I already closed partial take profit myself at the weekly pivot on a recent trade and will be looking to go long again to the those targets. Make sure to always be taking profits on the way as nobody has a Crystal ball!
RSI is currently printing a bearish divergence on the weekly so we need to see that negated.
Analysis is invalidated below $6.
Safe trading
$AAVE Macro outlook Grinding the PathCRYPTOCAP:AAVE continues to grind higher poking above the swing high which was rejected to test the weekly pivot and .382 Fibonacci retracement as support successfully. This was a shallow wave 2 so I am expecting a big thrust up in wave 3. However, the alternative count could suggest a wave is only completing now with wave 2 actually being wave (4) of 1, this would be the case if price falls back below $171.
Weekly RSI is still bullish with plenty of room to rise ahead of it. It printed a weekly bullish divergence at the wave II low and major support high volume node.
AAVE is definitely one too watch this cycle.
Safe trading