Elliott Wave
NIFTY50.....Box trading?Hello Traders,
the NIFTY50 has seen a massive sell-off during Monday's session. It declined from a high @ 23483.70 to a low @ 23221.15 in the first trading hour. That was a huge sell-off, off about 227.15 points.
It collapsed below my favored sell-off level @ 23462 and opened the door to more selling pressure, as it touched my price range from 23289 to 23196 by some points.
Chart analysis:
On March 24th the index achieved a 2.0 Fibo-extension @ 23869.60 points. This was a peak! Since the index is in a corrective mode, and possibly has shown a w-x-y correction, that has chances to morph into a triple correction.
Shorthand I expect a test off the lower boundary of the box, ranging @ 23038 points. N50 has the option to show a wave 4 of lower degree and decline than to a wave 5 low below today's low.
But step by step.
First, I'd like to check tomorrow's pattern and judge that.
The bulls need a massive buying pressure to achieve the range of 23414 to 23646.45 points.
Well Traders..... That's it for a short note.
Have a great week....
Ruebennase
Please ask or comment as appropriate.
Trade on this analysis at your own risk.
DOTUSD dailyThe price action suggests that a corrective wave might have completed its lower leg, and we could be entering the impulsive wave phase of a bullish cycle. Look for the formation of a five-wave structure typical of Elliott Wave theory, where the upward waves push through resistance levels and the corrective waves provide buying opportunities.
Given the breakout above the descending trendline and the potential for a bullish wave structure, the current setup appears favorable for a buy, provided that support at $6 holds and volume confirms the upward move. However, maintain caution with appropriate risk management measures in place.
Gold Short: Completed wave 3Take note that this is a recounting of the waves again. I had not expected wave 3 to extend and thus even though I had previously called a short (and it worked for a super short while), that was obviously a failure.
This set up is cleaner for the waves and we can now CLEARLY see the 5-waves structure, as opposed to force-counting the last time. I'll link my last failed trade here so you can study my mistake.
Pepe - Elliot Wave UpdateTrying to keep this clean and not had much time to study the theory exactly!
What's drawing me to this pattern the most is the trend lines (brown/orange)
IF, 1,2,3,4,5 (Blue)and we've hit wave 5 already. We're very much in the corrective phase (Green).
B to C I've drawn the fib highest high to the lowest low (This is trading logic, not sure this is how waves are measured for correctve waves).
Just to provide an idea given so much uncertainty in the market. :) Need more time to check the technicals, for me this is a good start.
If I had to commit, and I will. Nothing to me at the moment looks bearish! That's my point of view. Just not spot on yet!
GOLD → Growing economic risks increase interest ↑FX:XAUUSD rallied aggressively due to high interest driven by rapidly rising economic risks, mainly related to Trump's tariffs. For selling, the risk is very high, with the stock and cryptocurrency market declines only adding to the interest in the metal
Markets are taking refuge in defensive assets amid WSJ reports of Trump's possible tariff hike of up to 20% for most US trading partners. This could trigger inflationary pressures and stagflation, weakening the dollar and bond yields, which supports the gold price.
This week all eyes are on Trump's speech on Wednesday, PMI, NonFarm Payrolls and Powell's speech
Technically, it is not worth selling now as it is high risk, and for buying we should wait for a correction to key support levels
Resistance levels: 3127
Support levels: 3103, 3091, 3085
We are not talking about any trend reversal now. It is worth waiting for a local correction or consolidation, the market will mark important levels, liquidity zones or imbalances against which you can build a trading strategy. Gold will continue to grow because of the strongly increasing risks.
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Key Level Retest. Attempt to change the trend FX:USDJPY in the correction phase is retesting the previously broken boundary of the downtrend. The market is trying to break the trend on the background of the dollar correction
The dollar is having a rather difficult life because of economic and geopolitical nuances regarding the USA, as well as high inflation. Against this background, the index may continue a deeper correction, as the rhetoric of interest rate cuts may be prolonged, which may put pressure on the markets.
The currency pair tried to overcome the downtrend resistance earlier and succeeded, but this is not enough for a trend change, it needs confirmation.
Support levels: 148.92, 148.21
Resistance levels: 150.16, 150.95
If the bulls hold the defense above 148.92 - 149.5, we have a good chance to catch a trend change. It will be the readiness to go to the resistance of 150.16 range, and the breakout of this level and price fixation above it will be the confirmation of the trend change
Regards R. Linda!
BTCUSDTAccording to this analysis, if the price reaches around $70,000 in a corrective structure with a time-consuming and low momentum in the form of wave F, it may grow to around $120,000 and even higher in the form of wave G.
But it seems that the ideal buying point is around $60,000 and the origin of the breakout node. In this case, of course, we will have a strong wave F, which means that we must be a little flexible in the possible targets of wave G.
In terms of time, late June, July and early August are the ideal time areas for the end of wave F, and late 2025 and early 2026 are the time areas for the end of the two waves G.
S (The Ex FTM) Has Formed a Bull Pattern and in Wave 3In short time frame the S, AKA "Ex FTM" has formed a Cup&Handle pattern. The breakout has already copleted. If it can stay above the invalidation level, S can reach the level 0.62 easily.
For a better perspective for long term, S also completed it's Bearish A-B-C waves and seems bullish again.
Good Luck.
GOLD → Correction after a false breakout. A reversal?FX:XAUUSD is forming a false break of the channel resistance within the rally, we should wait for a correction, but not for a trend reversal. Let's see what we can expect from the price in the short and medium term.
Gold is reacting to market turmoil over Trump's tariff plans. Investors are looking for protection ahead of the possible imposition of new duties from April 2, boosting demand for the metal
Fears of a trade war and a slowing global economy are supporting gold despite positive US GDP data. PCE data and tariff updates will be key catalysts for further movement. Higher inflation could dampen the rally, while weak data will reinforce bets on a Fed rate cut, helping gold to rally further.
The energy to continue the move is gone, so I am waiting for a correction to the imbalance zone or to 0.7 Fibo to accumulate potential. The price may consolidate in the zone of 3050 - 3075 before it continues its growth
Resistance levels: 3075, 3085, 3095
Support levels: 3059, 3055
The correction after a strong rally can be quite deep. The imbalance zone 3066 - 3063 and liquidity zone 3057 play an important role. False breakdown of support may resume growth.
Regards R. Linda!
AMDNot a whole lot to add to my AMD analysis. I have said for some time now that I anticipate price to make OML to the $85-$87 area down at the 1.618's. We did hit the 1.382's in the $95 area for our last low. Price did not breach the prior high of $116.55 though. This would have been a big clue that a bottom for (A) had been struck. However, the fact that it was not broke is a clue in itself. Especially with the strength this thing is showing to the downside, I will remain with my analysis that we hit the area if the 1.618's for the bottom of (A). If that is the case, the target for wave (B) will be in the $160-$190 area. Keep in mind, price won't head straight for that area when (A) is over. It will take its sweet time getting there and frustrate traders in the process. It is a (B) wave after all, and they are some of the most complex structures within EWT. For now, if price does hit my lower target, I will very likely buy a small position with a stop in place. Regardless on if price makes it all the way to my (B) wave target or not, that will be a very small risk entry point at the least.
Elliott Wave | Final Bullish Push Before the Big Drop? | (C) of MEXC:SOLUSDT
🔵 Elliott Wave Setup | Complete structure - Final move incoming?
The current wave structure suggests we're approaching the end of the corrective (B) wave. Price is now testing the 78.6%–88.7% Fibonacci support zone, which is a typical launch area for a bullish (C) wave.
➡️ My Outlook:
- (B) correction is nearly completed at the key Fibonacci support.
- Expecting a bullish move up into the 78.6%-88.7% target box to complete wave (C) of (b).
- After that, a strong bearish move is likely towards the "End of the bear" zone.
➡️ Trading Idea:
1️⃣ Long entry within the 78.6% – 88.7% retracement support.
2️⃣ Target: Red box area (potential top of wave (C) of (b)).
3️⃣ Prepare for a short setup after confirmation of reversal from that zone.
‼️ Risk Note:
- If the price breaks below the 88.7% level, the setup becomes invalid.
- Always use proper risk management and wait for confirmation.
💬 What do you think? Is wave (B) already complete or are we getting one more push?
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Elliott Wave Analysis: One More Low Before Seeking New HighsMEXC:SOLUSDT
Currently, we are in a corrective Wave (4) within a larger impulse cycle. The structure shows a classic ABC correction, with the possibility that Wave C is not yet complete.
Key Levels:
📌 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement – A potential zone for the correction to end.
📌 Last Low (Wave C) – Expected final low before the next impulse wave (5) begins.
Expected Scenario:
🔹 A final low is needed – We should see one more dip within Wave C to complete the correction.
🔹 Bullish momentum afterward – Once the low is confirmed, I expect a strong move up toward new highs.
I'm closely watching near the 61.8% Fibonacci level for a potential long setup into Wave 5.