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EUR/JPY Long-Term Analysis: Potential for Further Rise to 251.00Today I am analyzing the EUR/JPY currency pair on the monthly chart and sharing my long-term bullish perspective. The current price is trading at 184.31, and I have been positioned in this bullish trend since 124.00. Technical Analysis: The currency pair is in a structural uptrend that shows multiple technical confirmations. EUR/JPY has successfully broken out of a multi-year consolidation phase to the upside, which underscores the bullish structure. The breakout from the long-term triangle or wedge pattern marks an important technical turning point. Particularly noteworthy is the marked order block in the area between 130 and 140, which serves as an important structural support zone. This zone could act as a buyer area during potential pullbacks. The ascending trendline from the 2024 low remains intact and confirms the overarching bullish market structure. Fundamental Perspective: The structural weakness of the Japanese Yen could persist in the coming years. The Bank of Japan continues to pursue an expansive monetary policy, while interest rate differentials work in favor of the Euro. These macroeconomic factors support the technical analysis and could further strengthen carry trade dynamics. Long-Term Outlook: Based on the current chart structure, I see realistic potential for a rise towards 251.00 over the next few years. This would represent an extension of the ongoing upward movement and lies in the area of historical highs marked by the horizontal resistance line. Risk Management: Traders should keep an eye on the important support zone in the order block area around 130-140. A sustained break of the ascending trendline would require a re-evaluation of the bullish thesis. Additionally, macroeconomic developments, particularly changes in central bank monetary policies, should be continuously monitored. This analysis does not constitute investment advice but is based on my personal technical chart analysis and market assessment.
Long
by Cihan_Akduman
1
EURJPY: Bullish Push to 184.9?FX:EURJPY is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price consolidating near major resistance levels after rebounding from support, converging with cumulative sell liquidation that could fuel upside momentum if buyers break through amid recent volatility. This setup indicates a potential rally opportunity post-pullback, targeting higher levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:2 .🔥 Entry between 182.6–183.0 for a long position (entry at current levels with proper risk and capital management is recommended). Target at 184.9 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 182.1 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:2 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with increasing volume, capitalizing on the pair's upward bias near key levels.🌟 Fundamentally , EURJPY is trading around 183 in late December 2025, with thin holiday markets this week due to Christmas (December 25) leading to low volumes and potential volatility. For the Euro, no major high-impact events, though the holiday closure could amplify moves. For the Yen, Tuesday December 23 at 11:50 PM UTC brings BoJ October Meeting Minutes, which may provide insights into recent rate hike decisions and future policy, potentially pressuring JPY if dovish. Overall, holiday dynamics and BoJ signals could favor volatility favoring EUR upside if no surprises. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 182.6 – 183.0 (Entry at or near current levels is valid with strict risk & capital management.) 🎯 Target: 184.9 ❌ Stop Loss: • Daily close below 182.1 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • > 1:2 ⚠️ Risk Warning: This is a high-risk trade due to the high probability of BoJ intervention aimed at strengthening the yen.
Long
by Master_Hunter
1
EURJPY M30 – Strong Bullish Impulse Into Reversal Zone📊 EURJPY – M30 Strong Impulse Move into Premium Reversal Zone 🔍 Technical Analysis EURJPY on the 30-minute timeframe is showing a powerful bullish impulse, driven by strong momentum and aggressive buying pressure. Price has expanded sharply from the lower consolidation area, leaving behind minimal retracement, which often signals institutional participation and urgency in order flow. 📈 Impulsive Move & Momentum Analysis The chart shows a clean bullish expansion, characterized by large-bodied candles and shallow pullbacks. This type of movement typically represents a liquidity-driven breakout, where sellers are forced to exit and buyers chase higher prices. Momentum remains bullish, but price is now entering a premium zone, where risk-to-reward for new longs becomes unfavorable. 🟥 Premium Reversal Zone (Upper Area) The marked Reversal Zone represents a key supply and reaction area. This zone aligns with: Prior high-liquidity levels Potential institutional sell interest Overextended price conditions after an impulsive leg The highlighted circle emphasizes the decision point, where market intent will become clear. ⚠️ “Pattern Must” – Confirmation Is Key This is not a blind sell zone. A clear bearish pattern must form, such as: Strong rejection wicks Bearish engulfing candles Lower high / micro structure shift Without confirmation, price may continue consolidating or push slightly higher to sweep liquidity before reacting. 🔄 Possible Market Scenarios Scenario 1 – Bearish Reaction (Pullback / Correction): If sellers defend the reversal zone, a corrective move lower is likely. This would be a healthy retracement within a larger bullish context. Scenario 2 – Continuation Higher: A strong close above the reversal zone with volume would indicate acceptance at higher prices. In this case, the bearish idea is invalidated, and price may target higher liquidity levels. 🧠 Trading Insight Strong trends often end or pause at premium zones, not in the middle of expansion. Let the market show rejection before committing to a trade. Structure + reaction + volume = probability. 📌 Key Levels to Watch Resistance: Premium Reversal Zone Support: Internal pullback levels from the impulsive move Bias : Bullish momentum, cautious bearish reaction only with confirmation 💬 Trade confirmation, not emotion. Patience protects capital.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURJPY breakout: Buying dips into BOJ last hike?EURJPY has broken out of a triangle consolidation on the 4-hour chart and is retesting the 182 level as support. With Japan pumping fiscal stimulus into a shrinking economy and the BOJ nearing its cycle peak, the macro setup favours buying dips for a continuation higher. In this video, we break down why the yen remains weak despite rising yields and an imminent BOJ hike, focusing on the toxic mix of fiscal slippage and soft growth. Then, we map out the technical buy zone between 181.60 and 180.70, targeting a final fifth-wave push toward 183.40 and 185.00. Key drivers Japan macro: A massive ¥21.3 trillion stimulus package into a contracting economy (Q3 GDP -2.3% annualised) has spiked yields on debt concerns rather than growth, weighing on the yen.​ Central bank divergence: The BOJ is expected to hike next week but signal it's near the terminal rate ("one-and-done"), while the ECB holds at 2%.​ Technical structure: We are in a continuation pattern (triangle breakout) that likely marks wave 4 of a larger sequence, implying one last impulse leg higher.​ Key levels: Support at 181.60 (161.8% extension of the internal wave) and 180.70 (structural pivot). Upside targets at 183.40 (138.2% extension) and 184.29–185.00 (161.8% extension).​ Trade plan: Look to buy dips into the 181.60–180.70 zone with a stop below the previous low, taking partial profits at 183.40 and 184.29, and trailing the rest for a potential extension.​ Trading the yen cross breakout? Share your entry levels in the comments and follow for more macro-to-technical trade setups. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Long
by ThinkMarkets
1
EURJPY: Bullish Push to 182?FX:EURJPY is eyeing a bullish continuation on the 4-hour chart , with price consolidating near major and minor resistance levels after rebounding from support, converging with a potential entry zone that could fuel upside momentum if buyers break through the resistances amid recent volatility. This setup indicates a rally opportunity post-pullback, targeting higher levels with risk-reward exceeding 1:3. Entry between 180.800–181.000 for a long position (entry a current levels with proper risk and capital management is recommended). Target at 181.790 . Set a stop loss at a daily close below 180.730 , yielding a risk-reward ratio of more than 1:3 . Monitor for confirmation via a bullish candle close above entry with increasing volume, capitalizing on the pair's upward bias near key levels.🌟 Fundamentally , EURJPY is trading around 181.00 in early December 2025, with focus on upcoming economic data that could drive volatility. For the Euro, key releases include Retail Sales (MoM forecast 0.1%, YoY 1.1%) on December 4 at 10:00 UTC, which could support EUR if stronger-than-expected, signaling resilient consumer spending amid stable growth; followed by GDP revisions (QoQ 0.2%, YoY 1.4%) and Employment Change (QoQ 0.1%, YoY 0.5%) on December 5 at 10:00 UTC, potentially bolstering EUR if confirming economic steadiness. For the Yen, notable events are Household Spending (MoM 0.7%, YoY 1%) on December 4 at 05:30 UTC, which might weaken JPY if indicating softer consumption; and GDP Final (Annualized -1.8%, QoQ -0.4%) on December 7 at 05:50 UTC, where downward revisions could pressure JPY further due to signs of contraction, alongside other indicators like Current Account and Bank Lending. Overall, positive Euro data versus potential JPY weaknesses could favor upside in EURJPY, though markets await these catalysts for direction. 💡 📝 Trade Setup 🎯 Entry (Long): 180.800 – 181.000 (Entry at current levels is valid with proper risk & capital management.) 🎯 Target: • 181.790 ❌ Stop Loss: • Daily close below 180.730 ⚖️ Risk-to-Reward: • >1:3 overall 💡 Your view? Will EURJPY break through resistance and push toward 182—or stall below the ceiling? 👇 Share your thoughts below! 👇
Long
by Master_Hunter
3
Can EUR/JPY Extend Higher After the 200 SMA Pullback?🌐 EUR/JPY “YUPPY” – Forex Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing/Day Trade) 🔥 Market Outlook EUR/JPY continues to respect its 200 Simple Moving Average, proving strong trend momentum and confirming bullish structure. Price is showing a clean pullback into a demand zone, offering a high-probability continuation opportunity. 📌 Plan: Bullish Plan Confirmed via 200 SMA Pullback The pair is reacting strongly above the 200 SMA, signaling trend continuation. As long as price holds above major support zones, bullish momentum remains intact. 🎯 Entry: Layered Buy Strategy (Thief Method Explained Clearly) You can enter at any price level, but for smarter execution, the plan uses multiple Buy Limit layers to average into the pullback: 🧩 Layered Buy Limit Entries (Example Levels): 180.200 180.400 180.600 180.800 ➡️ You may increase or decrease the number of layers based on account size, volatility, or personal strategy. This approach helps capture value entries, reduces emotional pressure, and aligns with trending market re-entries. 🛡️ Stop Loss: Thief SL @ 180.000 Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), adjust your stop loss based on your own risk appetite and trading strategy. This SL is a guideline, not a compulsory level, and you should set your own protective level responsibly. 🎯 Target: 182.800 – Strong Resistance + Overbought Zone This zone aligns with a cluster of resistance + potential trap region. Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), you are NOT required to use my TP. If you make money, take money at your comfort and risk parameters. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation & Key Notes) 💠 USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ) Strong positive correlation with EUR/JPY due to shared JPY weakness. If USD/JPY continues its bullish structure, EUR/JPY is more likely to sustain upward momentum. 💠 EUR/USD ( FX:EURUSD ) Mixed correlation but still important. If EUR fundamentals strengthen, EUR/JPY upside gets additional support. A strong EUR/USD rally often boosts EUR/JPY indirectly. 💠 CHF/JPY ( OANDA:CHFJPY ) Heavily correlated with Yen sentiment. If CHF/JPY is also trending up, it signals broad JPY weakness, supporting EUR/JPY bullish continuation. 💠 GBP/JPY ( OANDA:GBPJPY ) High volatility and strong direct correlation with JPY movements. Watching this pair helps identify if JPY weakness is market-wide or isolated. 📈 Correlation Key Points (Easy View) 🟢 If JPY weakness is broad across USD/JPY, CHF/JPY, GBP/JPY → EUR/JPY bullish plan becomes stronger. 🔵 If EUR pairs (like EUR/USD or EUR/GBP) show strength → EUR/JPY upside becomes cleaner. 🔴 If JPY suddenly strengthens across the board → Be cautious with layered buys. ✅ Why This Idea? ✔️ Clean SMA200 Pullback | ✔️ Professional Layered Entry | ✔️ Clear Risk & Reward | ✔️ Correlations Mapped Like 👍 if you find this useful! Follow for more high-quality "Thief" strategy setups and professional trade plans. Share your thoughts and adjustments in the comments! Let's get this bread, Thief OG's! 🍞 #TradingView #Forex #EURJPY #YUPPY #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TradingStrategy #ForexSignals #TechnicalAnalysis #BoJ #ECB #ThiefStrategy
by The-Thief
EUR/JPY Bullish Setup Ahead – Are You Riding the YUPPY Wave?💶 EUR/JPY “YUPPY” Profit Pathway Setup (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 Market Outlook The EUR/JPY (YUPPY) pair is showing a bullish structure, confirmed by a HULL Moving Average pullback and a Triangular Moving Average breakout. Momentum is clearly shifting north — the bulls are loading up, and the market looks ready to dance higher. 🎯 🧠 Thief’s Plan Our Thief Strategy uses a layering-style entry system — meaning multiple limit orders stacked across different price levels for better precision and reduced risk. Here’s the playbook: Buy Limit Layers: 🟩 176.200 🟩 176.400 🟩 176.800 🟩 177.000 (You can extend your limit layers based on your own risk appetite or conviction.) Stop Loss (Thief SL): 📉 175.800 ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — I’m not recommending you to use my SL. Trade responsibly and set your own protection based on your risk plan. Target Zone: 🎯 178.700 The 179.000 level is a police barricade zone 🚧 — strong resistance, overbought signals, and potential trap area. So, take profits before the “market cops” show up! 👮‍♂️ ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s) — same applies here! Take profits wisely at your own discretion. 🧩 Key Technical Highlights Bullish bias confirmed by HULL MA + Triangular MA crossover. Price structure forming higher lows — classic accumulation before expansion. Momentum divergence fading — bullish pressure regaining strength. Ideal for swing or day trading strategies. 🔄 Related Pairs to Watch These pairs often correlate with EUR/JPY movements — keep an eye for confirmation or divergence: 💵 USD/JPY ( FX:USDJPY ) → Yen sentiment indicator; if JPY weakens, EUR/JPY tends to rise. 💶 EUR/USD ( FX:EURUSD ) → Tracks Euro strength; helps validate bullish bias. 💰 GBP/JPY ( OANDA:GBPJPY ) → Cross-check risk sentiment in other JPY pairs. DXY ( TVC:DXY ) → Dollar Index; a stronger DXY can dampen Euro moves, so watch inverse correlation. 🧭 Thief’s Professional Take The “YUPPY” is preparing for a northbound joyride 🚀 — but patience is key! Let price come to your layered entries. Manage your risk like a professional thief: smooth, smart, and stealthy. 🎭 ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #EURJPY #ForexAnalysis #SwingTrade #DayTrade #ThiefStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #FXMarket #HullMA #TriangularMA #LayeredEntries #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradeSetup #MarketOutlook #TradingViewCommunity #ForexTraders #RiskManagement
Long
by The-Thief
EURJPY Breaks Structure: The Key Pullback Level I’m Waiting For📊 I’m currently watching EUR/JPY closely. The pair has broken structure to the upside, showing clear bullish intent 🔼. However, when we compare price to the VWAP, it’s noticeably overextended 📈. 📉 On the volume profile, price has pushed through a major resistance level — the Point of Control — which has now flipped into an important value area acting as support 🟩. 🔍 Because price is stretched, I want to see a pullback into this support zone, hold firmly there, then deliver a fresh bullish break followed by a retest of the current range. If EUR/JPY stabilises and holds above the volume profile levels, I’ll be watching for a long opportunity 💰. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/JPY Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURJPY EUR/JPY holds steady above the 180.63–180.79 support zone, maintaining its short-term bullish structure. Price continues to trade above key moving averages and shows a constructive recovery from the support area. As long as the pair stays above support, upside momentum remains favoured. The chart reflects a bullish continuation pattern: Support zone: 180.63 – 180.79 Resistance zone / target area: 181.38 – 181.54 While price stays above 180.63, dips into support are likely to attract buyers, with upside potential toward the 181.38–181.54 resistance band. A 4H close below 180.63 would invalidate the bullish scenario and expose the 180.20 region. 🎯 Trade Setup Idea: Buy dips into support, targeting a move into the 181.38–181.54 resistance zone. Entry: 180.79 – 180.63 Stop Loss: 180.56 Take Profit 1: 181.38 Take Profit 2: 181.54 Risk–Reward Ratio: ≈ 1 : 2.74 Bias stays constructively bullish while price holds above 180.63–180.79 on a closing basis. A decisive break below 180.63 would weaken the bullish outlook. 🌐 Macro Background According to FXStreet, EUR/JPY trades slightly softer near 181.05 as the Japanese Yen finds mild support from verbal intervention by Japanese officials. Market participants also await Germany’s Retail Sales and CPI inflation data, which could influence EUR volatility. EUR side: Price action remains supported by a strong medium-term uptrend, trading above the rising 100-day EMA. RSI stays in bullish territory, signalling healthy but controlled momentum. JPY side: Verbal intervention from Japanese authorities provides temporary strength to the Yen. However, broader market sentiment remains stable, limiting JPY safe-haven demand. Overall, EUR/JPY maintains a bullish bias while price holds above support, with upside targets aligned toward the next resistance zone. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance zone: 181.38 – 181.54 Support zone: 180.63 – 180.79 📌 Trade Summary EUR/JPY preserves a bullish continuation structure above the 180.63–180.79 support band. The setup favours buying dips toward support with targets placed in the 181.38–181.54 resistance zone. Traders should watch German macro data and any new Japanese intervention commentary, which may affect short-term volatility. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global