EURJPY Testing Supply Zone Can Bears Regain Control?EURJPY has climbed back into a key resistance area near 172.40–172.50, a zone that previously triggered sharp selling pressure. Price action suggests exhaustion at these highs, with a possible rotation back toward support if sellers defend this zone again. Given the yen’s safe-haven role and the euro’s sensitivity to ECB policy shifts, this setup is primed for a potential reversal play.
Current Bias
Bearish – The pair is showing rejection signs at resistance, favoring downside toward lower support levels.
Key Fundamental Drivers
ECB Outlook: The ECB is cautious, with slowing eurozone growth limiting room for further tightening, reducing euro strength.
BOJ Policy & Yen Flows: Yen remains supported by safe-haven demand and speculation around BOJ gradually tightening, even if modestly.
Risk Sentiment: Global equity volatility and tariff/geopolitical risks support yen buying when risk-off flows emerge.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: ECB is holding policy steady but leans dovish relative to other central banks. Japan remains ultra-loose, but any hint of normalization sparks yen strength.
Economic Growth: Eurozone growth is fragile, with Germany’s industrial sector under pressure. Japan’s economy is steady, though export-driven, making it vulnerable to global demand.
Geopolitics: Trade tariffs, US-China tensions, and Middle East risks all lean supportive for the yen as a safe haven.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A hawkish ECB surprise or strong eurozone inflation rebound could shift bias back to the upside, invalidating the bearish setup.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
ECB Minutes & Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate
BOJ Commentary on Yield Curve Control (YCC)
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURJPY tends to act as a lagger, following flows in broader yen crosses like USDJPY (as a leader) and EURUSD (for euro sentiment). Movements in EURJPY often confirm rather than lead directional bias in FX markets.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 171.42, 170.99, 170.65, 170.08, 169.73
Resistance Levels: 172.47, 173.31
Stop Loss (SL): 173.31 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 171.42
TP2: 170.65
TP3: 170.08
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
Bias on EURJPY is bearish, with sellers looking to defend the 172.40–172.50 resistance area. A stop loss is best placed above 173.31, while downside targets stretch toward 171.42 → 170.65 → 170.08. Fundamentally, the euro faces growth headwinds while the yen benefits from safe-haven demand, though BOJ policy risks remain in play. The most important watchpoint is ECB and Eurozone CPI data, which could either reinforce the bearish case or shift sentiment sharply. For now, EURJPY looks vulnerable to a deeper correction, with price action aligned to favor sellers.
Eurjpylong
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1st Layer (The Decoy): @173.000 (After breakout confirm)
2nd Layer (The Bag Filler): @172.700
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EURJPY – Bearish Reversal Looming from Key Resistance ZoneAfter a strong recovery rally, EURJPY has once again hit the 172.30 resistance zone a level that has repeatedly acted as a ceiling for price action. This latest retest comes with signs of momentum fading, and I’m eyeing a potential reversal that could send the pair back toward key support zones. With broader yen strength creeping in on safe-haven flows and the euro’s upside capped by a cautious ECB, this setup is looking primed for sellers to step in.
Current Bias
Bearish – The pair is struggling to break and hold above the 172.30 resistance zone. Price action is showing rejection wicks on the H4 chart, indicating potential distribution before a move lower.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Euro Side: The ECB remains cautious on further tightening, with growth concerns in the eurozone limiting the upside for EUR. Recent industrial production softness and muted inflation expectations cap bullish momentum.
Yen Side: The BoJ’s shift toward a slightly less accommodative stance, combined with safe-haven demand amid global trade tensions and Trump’s tariff rhetoric, supports JPY strength.
Risk Sentiment: Ongoing uncertainty around global growth and trade flows benefits JPY as a defensive asset, putting downside pressure on EURJPY.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A surprise hawkish tilt from the ECB or strong eurozone economic data could fuel renewed buying pressure, forcing a breakout above 172.98.
A sudden drop in risk-off sentiment or a rebound in global equities could weaken JPY demand and negate the bearish bias.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
Eurozone GDP and Industrial Production data – Any significant beat could temporarily lift EUR.
Japan CPI and BoJ commentary – Inflation beats or hawkish language could accelerate JPY gains.
Geopolitical headlines – Trade tensions between the US and China remain a key driver for yen demand.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EURJPY is acting as a lagger in the current yen move, with USDJPY leading the direction for JPY crosses. Any decisive move in USDJPY—especially a break lower—would likely spill over into EURJPY. The pair also tends to mirror risk sentiment shifts seen in equity indices like US500, making global sentiment a secondary driver.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
I’m maintaining a bearish bias on EURJPY as long as price stays below the 172.30 resistance zone. My stop-loss is placed just above the 172.98 swing high to protect against a bullish breakout. First targets sit at 171.43, then 170.65, with an extended downside target near 169.73 if momentum builds. A clean break below 170.65 would open the path for deeper declines, while any sustained break above 172.98 would invalidate this setup. In short, I’m watching for rejection confirmation from resistance and will be tracking USDJPY closely as the leader for yen sentiment.
EURJPY – Anticipating a Bullish MoveI’m currently watching EURJPY for a potential upside move based on price action signals.
🔹 Setup Overview
Pair: EURJPY:
Entry Level: 177.496
Entry Confirmation: Bullish Engulfing candle on the 4H timeframe
Stop Loss: Just below the low of the Bullish Engulfing candlestick
📊 Technical Insight
EURJPY has been maintaining a bullish market structure on higher timeframes, with price consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. Recently, price has pulled back to a key support area around 177.496, aligning with a previous structure level and potential demand zone.
I’m waiting for a 4H Bullish Engulfing candle to confirm the buying pressure before entering. This candlestick formation often signals a strong shift in momentum from sellers to buyers, making it a reliable trigger for continuation trades.
🔍 Why This Setup?
Trend Alignment: The daily and weekly charts remain bullish, with strong buying momentum over the past few weeks.
Key Level Reaction: 177.496 coincides with both structural support and a Fibonacci retracement zone, increasing the confluence for a bounce.
Clear Risk Management: Placing the stop loss below the Bullish Engulfing candle low keeps risk defined while giving the trade room to breathe.
🎯 Potential Targets:
TP1: 178.800 (recent swing high)
TP2: 179.900 (psychological resistance)
TP3: 181.200 (extended bullish target)
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer:
This is my personal trading idea based on technical analysis, not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own strategy.
EUR/JPY Setup: Thief Trader's Stealth Bull Run to 173.000🔥💶 EUR/JPY Bullish Heist Plan 💶🔥
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🧩 Asset: EUR/JPY
📊 Strategy: Bullish Bias with Stealth Layered Entries (Limit Order Gameplan)
🎯 Target: 173.000 — That’s the vault we’re cracking!
🛑 Stop Loss: 169.100 — Tight security, keep your escape route clean.
📍 Entry: No fixed door — we’re setting traps (limit orders) across key levels. Patience pays thieves.
Watch for pullbacks on lower timeframes: 15m, 30m, or even 1H — strike near support bounces & fakeout wicks. 🐍💥
🔍 Thief Logic:
This ain’t random — price is setting up for a high-stakes move north with JPY weakness fueling the getaway car.
Think smart, layer deep — sniper entries, not shotgun chaos. 🎯🔍
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Trade with position sizing discipline – the market doesn’t owe you.
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Use trailing SLs once in profit — secure the bag and vanish. 💼💨
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EURJPY: Bullish Rebound from Key Demand ZoneEURJPY has bounced off a critical demand zone and is showing signs of a bullish recovery. Despite the recent pullback, the pair’s structure remains fundamentally and technically bullish, driven by JPY weakness and EUR resilience.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Pattern: Price tested a strong demand zone near 170.35–170.50 and rejected it aggressively.
Current Level: 170.77, starting a potential bullish leg toward higher resistance levels.
Key Support Levels:
170.35 – key demand zone and invalidation level for bulls.
169.90 – deeper support if demand zone breaks.
Resistance Levels:
172.17 – first bullish target and interim resistance.
173.64 – major target if bullish continuation sustains.
Projection: A successful rebound from 170.35 could drive price toward 172.17 initially, then 173.64 if momentum holds.
Fundamental Analysis
Bias: Bullish.
Key Fundamentals:
EUR: ECB’s slower path toward easing supports EUR stability relative to JPY.
JPY: Weakness persists as BoJ maintains dovish bias, though FX intervention risk limits JPY downside speed.
Global Sentiment: Mild risk-on mood supports EUR strength against JPY.
Risks:
BoJ verbal intervention or actual FX intervention could trigger temporary JPY strength.
Sharp reversal in global risk sentiment could weaken EUR/JPY.
Key Events:
ECB speeches and data (CPI, growth updates).
BoJ FX comments and broader market risk appetite.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
EUR/JPY is a leader among JPY pairs, often moving in sync with GBP/JPY and CHF/JPY. Its movement also tends to precede confirmation in risk-sensitive JPY crosses.
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EUR/JPY is bullish from the 170.35 demand zone, with a potential move toward 172.17 and 173.64. Key watchpoints include ECB communication, BoJ stance, and market risk sentiment. As long as 170.35 holds, bulls remain in control.
EUR/JPY Made Inverted H&S Pattern , Time To Buy And Get 150 PipsHere is my 2H Chart On EUR/JPY , The price created a very clear reversal pattern ( inverted head and shoulders pattern ) and the price closed above neckline so the pattern confirmed and we can buy it and targeting from 100: 200 pips , if we have a daily closure above 171.000 it will be a great confirmation telling us the price will continue to upside .
Trading the Pullback on EURJPY My Trade PlanThe EURJPY is clearly in a strong bullish trend 📈, as shown by a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows on the 1H timeframe ⏱️. In this video, I’m looking to capitalize on a pullback as a potential buy opportunity 🎯.
We dive into my entry strategy, explore how to align with the prevailing trend, and break down key concepts such as price action, market structure, and smart pullback zones 🧠📊.
⚠️ As always, this is for educational purposes only — not financial advice.
How I’m Trading the EURJPY Break of Structure Setup📈 EURJPY Analysis Update 🔍
I'm currently watching EURJPY closely. On the weekly timeframe, the pair is clearly in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Price has recently tapped into a previous daily bullish order block 🧱 — a key zone of interest.
Now, I’m watching for a break of structure (BoS) 📉 followed by a bullish continuation, especially if price pulls back into the fair value gap (FVG) 📊 near the current low.
As always, this setup — along with all key details and trade considerations — is fully broken down in the 🎥 video.
⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.