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Eurusdoutlook

Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations: 📊 Chart Details: Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD 🔍 Key Annotations & Zones: 🟫 Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area): This area includes: Accumulation FVG (Fair Value Gap) Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone. 🔼 Buy Side Liquidity: Highlighted at the top of the range. Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal. 🔽 Sell Side Liquidity: Marked below the previous consolidation range. Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward. 📈 Accumulation: This phase occurred before the bullish breakout. Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning. 📉 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled. Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move. 📌 Price Structure Analysis: The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup: Price grabs buy-side liquidity. Enters a supply zone. May return to fill the FVG. Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone. ✅ Trading Implications: Bearish Scenario: Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows. Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately): If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
by King_Maker_FX
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):Key Zones & Markings: SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - "True return to support" (bottom horizontal line around 1.13700): Indicates that price has swept the sell-side liquidity, grabbing stop-losses below previous lows. This often precedes a reversal if it aligns with a key support zone. FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes): Price is expected to retrace back into these imbalanced zones. These zones act as magnet areas where price might rebalance before further continuation. Target Zone (Top Horizontal Line at ~1.16200): Marked as the bullish target, likely aligning with buy-side liquidity (BSL) or unfilled imbalances. Potential take profit area for long entries from the support zone. 📈 Market Structure: Price made a lower low, swept liquidity (SSL), and is now showing potential bullish intent. Anticipated move: Reversal from support A clean bullish move toward FVGs Final target near 1.16200 🎯 Strategy Idea: Long Entry Zone: Near 1.137–1.140 (liquidity sweep + support). Target: 1.15500 (intermediate) and 1.16200 (final). SL (Stop Loss): Could be below the most recent low (if re-entry needed). 🧠 Concept Used: Liquidity sweep (SSL) Return to support Fair Value Gap (FVG) fill Smart Money long setup
by King_Maker_FX
EURUSD Trade Plan: Retracement Into Key Fibo Zone POI.I’m currently watching EURUSD closely 👀. On the daily timeframe, it’s clearly broken structure and is now in a bullish trend 📈. Dropping down to the lower timeframes 🕒, price appears overextended and is now trading into a previous resistance level 🚧. I’m anticipating a retracement into equilibrium — specifically the 50% level of the current swing, and ideally into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔁. If price pulls back into that range, I’ll be watching for a bullish market structure shift 🔄. I don’t want to see it push below the bullish imbalance 📉—I want that zone to hold as support so price can continue north 🔼. If this plays out, my ideal entry would be around the imbalance and the 50% Fib level, with a stop loss just below the imbalance, and targets set at the current swing high and previous swing high, as detailed in the video 🎯. ⚠️ Disclaimer This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Please do your own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
1
Support and Resistance Zones Resistance zone is marked near 1.16000. Support zone is marked around 1.14500. Price Action: Price is currently near 1.15776, heading towards the resistance. There’s a strong white candle indicating bullish momentum. Projected Price Path: A white projection line suggests a move upwards to test the resistance zone. Then, a grey projection line suggests a potential reversal from the resistance, falling back to test the support level. Interpretation: This is likely a range-trading or false breakout trap analysis: The trader is possibly expecting a fake breakout above the resistance before a drop back down toward the support area.
by King_Maker_FX
1
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.Chart Breakdown 🔻 Price Action & Structure: The market is currently trending downward within a descending channel, marked by two parallel white trendlines. The current price is around 1.14797, with visible lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term bearish trend. 🔄 Projected Move: A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated. The white projected path shows: A dip toward the demand zone (highlighted in teal-green) around 1.13400–1.13800. A reversal from that zone, forming higher highs and higher lows. A move toward the upper liquidity zone, labeled EQH (Equal Highs) around 1.16000, suggesting a target for buy-side liquidity. 🧠 EQH = Equal High Liquidity : The EQH zone marks an area where previous highs are equal or nearly equal — a common target for price manipulation or stop-hunting. It’s expected that the market will sweep this area for liquidity before possibly reversing or continuing. 💡 Interpretation: The setup reflects a liquidity-based strategy using smart money concepts. Bearish short-term → bullish medium-term outlook. Potential trade idea: Wait for price to tap the lower demand zone, then look for entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or Ch0CH) to ride toward EQH.
by King_Maker_FX
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels📉 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels 📊 🔍 Overview: The EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour chart is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal after testing a strong resistance zone near 1.16000. Price action has rejected this area twice (🔴), confirming it as a significant supply zone. The chart now suggests a descending move toward the strong support zone around 1.12000. 🔑 Key Levels: 🟡 Resistance Zone: 1.15700 – 1.16000 Multiple rejections indicate strong selling pressure. 🟦 Mini Support: Around 1.14550 A minor level where price could react short-term, but not a major barrier. 🔻 Mid-Level Target: 1.13653 Potential bounce zone before continuation downward. 🟥 Strong Support Zone: 1.11500 – 1.12200 Previously held as a launch point for a major rally in May; likely to be tested again. 📈 Scenario Outlook: Bearish Path Expected: Price is forming a series of lower highs and appears to be losing bullish momentum. Target Path (Blue Arrows): A potential drop toward the 1.13653 level is expected, followed by a deeper drop toward the strong support. Rebound Possibility: If the strong support holds, we could see a strong bullish bounce 🔄, potentially creating a longer-term buying opportunity. 💡 Conclusion: EUR/USD is currently in a correction phase. Traders should watch for a confirmed break below 1.14550 for bearish continuation 📉. A drop to the 1.12000 zone may offer a high-probability reversal setup 📊📍. 🔔 Trading Tip: Use caution around mini support; aggressive sellers may enter on any weak bounce. Wait for confirmation before entering positions. 🧠📉
Short
by VikingFx-Community
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Bullish Continuation Opportunity💶 EUR/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum Builds 📈 Taking a look at the EUR/USD on the daily chart, it’s clear the pair is currently in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Momentum has been building consistently, reflecting underlying euro strength and continued USD weakness. 🕓 On the 4H timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear shift in market structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Look for a continuation entry after a retracement back into equilibrium — ideally around the 50% level of the current price swing 🔄📐. 🎯 Trade Plan Idea: Wait for price to pull back into equilibrium 🌀 Entry: Long from the discounted zone 🟩 Stop loss: Just below the recent swing low 🔻 Target: Previous high as a logical take-profit zone 🎯📊 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD(20250619) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed's June interest rate meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time. The dot plot shows two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expect no rate cuts this year has risen to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year have been reduced to 1. Powell continues to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1489 Support and resistance levels: 1.1558 1.1532 1.1516 1.1463 1.1446 1.1420 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1489, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1516 If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1446
Short
by NuggetsWarriors
Core Impact Logic of the Middle East Situation on EURUSD(I) Energy Transmission Chain: Oil Price Fluctuations → Eurozone Inflation and Economy The escalation of the Middle East situation (the Iran - Israel conflict, risks in the Strait of Hormuz) directly impacts the global energy supply chain: If the conflict expands to block the Strait of Hormuz (transports ~20% of global crude oil 🛢️), Brent crude has already soared from recent lows—spiking over 5% on June 17 amid tensions ⛽️. This pushes up imported inflation in the Eurozone. As a net energy - importing region 🌍, prolonged high oil prices will squeeze corporate profits, suppress consumption, and drag Eurozone economic recovery (German/French manufacturing is acutely energy - cost - sensitive 🏭). This weakens the euro’s fundamental support. (II) Geopolitical Safe - Haven Sentiment: The "Safe - Haven Balance" Between USD & EUR Amid Middle East tensions, the US dollar’s traditional safe - haven status competes with Eurozone havens like German bonds 📈: If the US (e.g., the Trump administration) intervenes militarily 💥, market fears of "America mired in war" rise. USD safe - haven demand may temporarily weaken ⬇️, and the euro benefits as funds shift 🔄 ⚡️⚡️⚡️ EURUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️ 🚀 Buy@ 1.14500 - 1.15000 🚀 TP 1.15500 - 1.15600 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
Long
by Sovereign_1
1
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Tone Ahead of Fed DecisionIn recent hours, the pair has shown limited movement of just 0.5%, reflecting a neutral bias as the market prepares for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement. At this point, expectations suggest that the U.S. central bank will maintain a neutral stance, keeping the interest rate steady at 4.5% in the short term. However, the key focus will be on the Fed’s accompanying statement, where the greatest uncertainty lies. If the tone remains hawkish, it's likely that demand for the U.S. dollar will strengthen, potentially adding downward pressure to EUR/USD. Uptrend Remains Intact Since early March, the pair has maintained a steady bullish trend, without any major corrections that would threaten the current structure. That said, the price has once again approached key resistance zones, but has yet to break through them in a sustained manner—opening the door for range-bound movement if this pattern continues. Technical Indicators RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show lower highs, while EUR/USD continues to print higher highs. This bearish divergence indicates an imbalance in market forces, potentially signaling room for a short-term correction. MACD: The MACD histogram is fluctuating near the zero line, reflecting a technically neutral environment. As long as this behavior continues, the pair may enter a consolidation phase, awaiting a clearer directional signal. Key Levels to Watch: 1.15443 – Current Resistance: Marks the multi-month high. A sustained move above this level could revive the bullish momentum. 1.13177 – Intermediate Support: Aligns with a recent neutral zone and the 50-period moving average. It acts as a technical support in the event of short-term pullbacks. 1.10428 – Key Support: Represents the lowest level of recent months. A break below this area could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the current uptrend at risk. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area. Key observations: The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming. A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support. Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500. A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown. Conclusion: If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
Short
by ZareeFxTradingAac
4
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces RejectionMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Rejection EUR/USD declined from the 1.1640 resistance and traded below 1.1550. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1600 zone. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1600 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1550 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.1520 and tested the 1.1475 zone. A low was formed near 1.1475 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1495 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1550 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1505 level. The next key resistance is at 1.1545 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545. The main resistance is near the 1.1580 level. A clear move above the 1.1580 level could send the pair toward the 1.1615 resistance. An upside break above 1.1615 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1650. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1475. The next key support is at 1.1450. If there is a downside break below 1.1450, the pair could drop toward 1.1400. The next support is near 1.1350, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now. The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time. We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week. We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions. We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content. Cheers, Team Setupsfx ❤️🚀
Long
by Setupsfx_
30
EURUSD(20250616) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1550 Support and resistance levels: 1.1674 1.1628 1.1598 1.1502 1.1472 1.1426 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1550, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1598 If the price breaks through 1.1502, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1472
by NuggetsWarriors
EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move. This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting. 🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis 📉 Bias: Bearish 💡 Context: EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below. 📊 Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530 Target 1: 1.1268 Target 2: 1.1086 Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC) 🪙 Leading Asset Clue: Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics. ⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch: 🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12) 📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13) 💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference 📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines 🧠 Risk Factors: Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness Market overreacts to rate cut expectations Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD Bearish Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk) FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell 📌 Final Note: Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
Short
by ultreosforex
12
EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level. We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD(20250612) Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1463 Support and resistance levels: 1.1556 1.1521 1.1499 1.1427 1.1404 1.1369 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1499, consider buying in, and the first target price is 1.1521 If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, and the first target price is 1.1427
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT