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Eurusdprediction

EUR/USD - Buy Entry (H1 - Flag Pattern)The EUR/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Flag Pattern on the H1 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout. FX:EURUSD ✅Market Context: 1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern. 2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance. 3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones. ✅Trade Plan: Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (H1 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout). 💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead. 🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure. ✅Psychological Discipline : 1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades. 2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy. 3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade. ✅ Support this analysis with a LIKE 👍 | COMMENT 💬 | FOLLOW 🔔 It helps a lot & keeps the ideas coming! ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Long
by AM_AlphaTrading
7
EURUSD: Dollar Strength Still In Charge, Euro Is The PassengerEURUSD , Looking at this with the chart not mentally flipped, the structure is clearly one of exhaustion on the euro side. We’ve got a series of lower swing highs against a dominant dollar backdrop, and price is grinding along support rather than impulsively breaking higher. Fundamentally this lines up with a market that still prefers USD carry and safety over a low-growth eurozone. Current Bias Bearish. On a non-inverted EURUSD chart, the dominant idea is USD strength: rallies are selling opportunities while price stays capped below recent highs and trend resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Fed vs ECB policy path Fed: Still on track for rate cuts, but at a measured pace, with Powell making it clear that the FOMC will react to data, not chase market pricing. That keeps US real yields relatively attractive and supports the dollar. ECB: Growth is softer, inflation is easing, and officials are signalling “policy in a good place” with strong data dependence. There is little appetite for a hawkish surprise, which leaves EUR without a clear policy advantage. Growth and labor dynamics US: Data points to a cooling but still resilient economy. Labor market is loosening, but not breaking. That combination justifies gradual easing rather than aggressive cuts. Eurozone: Sentiment and activity indicators are weak or only stabilising. Lower growth means the ECB cannot diverge hawkishly from the Fed for long without harming already-fragile demand. Risk and safe-haven flows In risk-off or “policy confusion” episodes, USD still benefits more than EUR. That underpins a downside bias in EURUSD when volatility picks up. Net: Fundamentals still favour USD over EUR, which on a standard chart is bearish EURUSD. Macro Context Rates: Market pricing has shifted toward fewer / slower Fed cuts than the most dovish scenarios. The ECB is also expected to cut, but the eurozone’s weaker growth gives it less room to signal anything hawkish. Rate differentials stay either neutral or mildly USD-supportive. Growth: US growth is moderating from strong levels, eurozone growth is stuck near stagnation. That relative story helps the dollar on a “least-ugly” basis. Geopolitics and trade: Trade tensions (US–China, EU–China, tariff talk) and geopolitical risk favour USD demand over EUR, because the dollar is still the primary global hedge. Put together, the macro picture argues against a sustained euro bull run and supports a sell-the-rally EURUSD regime. Primary Risk to the Bearish View The main risk is a sharp dovish pivot from the Fed driven by: A clear downside surprise in US labor or inflation data that forces the market to price a much faster and deeper rate-cut cycle. Any signal that the Fed is more willing to tolerate overshooting on inflation to protect growth and employment. That type of shift would knock US yields lower, hurt the dollar, and could squeeze EURUSD sharply higher, invalidating the downside structure. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US: CPI, PCE, NFP, and Powell/Fed speeches – anything that changes the timing or depth of 2026 rate cuts. Eurozone: Inflation prints and ECB communication; not because they are likely to be hawkish, but because any hint of “less dovish than feared” could temporarily lift EUR. For direction, though, the USD leg is still more important than the EUR leg. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD is a lagger, not a leader. It tends to follow DXY and US yields, rather than set the tone. When DXY strengthens on higher US yields or risk aversion, EURUSD typically moves lower. Crosses like EURJPY, EURGBP, and risk sentiment via US indices often move first and EURUSD confirms. So for timing, I’d look at DXY, US10Y, and broader risk sentiment, then use EURUSD to express the USD view. Key Levels Support Levels (bearish targets): 1.1500–1.1520: local support and mid-channel area. 1.1400: key structural support; break here opens the door to deeper downside. Resistance Levels (sell zones): 1.1700–1.1750: recent swing highs and clear horizontal resistance. 1.1800–1.1850: major supply zone and invalidation area for the medium-term bearish bias. Stop Loss (SL) for a bearish swing idea: Above 1.1850 on a daily close, which would signal that the current USD-strength narrative has been materially challenged. Take Profit (TP) for a bearish swing idea: First TP around 1.1500, Second TP extension toward 1.1400 if US data stays solid and the dollar bid persists. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Re-reading this with the chart correctly interpreted, EURUSD is fundamentally and technically bearish, not bullish. The story is still one of relative USD strength: a Fed that cuts, but slowly, versus an ECB constrained by weak growth and little scope to lean hawkish. That leaves rallies toward 1.17–1.18 as potential selling opportunities, with the bearish structure only really invalidated if price closes convincingly above that 1.18–1.1850 zone. On the downside, I’d watch how price behaves around 1.15 first and 1.14 second. Strong US data and firm yields could push us there; a sudden dovish Fed pivot is the main risk that would blow this view up and squeeze EURUSD higher instead. Until that happens, I’m treating EURUSD as a lagger that confirms the broader dollar story, not a pair that sets it.
Short
by ultreosforex
4
EURUSD Elliott Wave OutlookThe daily EURUSD structure continues to support a Wave 4 contracting triangle interpretation. Wave d appears complete at the recent swing high, and the pair is now expected to work lower in wave e toward the lower boundary of the triangle and the 0.382–0.5–0.618 Fibonacci retracement cluster of the prior advance. As long as price holds above the triangle floor and the base channel, the higher timeframe bias remains bullish and the Wave 4 label stays valid. Once wave e completes within this support zone, the next anticipated move is a Wave 5 thrust higher, with a measured triangle target near 1.20697. Key points: Wave 4 daily triangle in progress Wave d high in place, wave e developing lower Wave e downside zone: 0.382 / 0.5 / 0.618 Fibs Invalidation: break below triangle and base channel support Wave 5 upside objective: ~1.20697 triangle thrust level
by EWaveInsights
Is EUR/USD Preparing for a Deeper Bearish Continuation Move?EUR/USD BEARISH SWING 🐻 | Layer Entry "Thief" Strategy | MA Pullback Confirmation 🎯 TRADE SETUP: EUR/USD "The Fibre" - BEARISH SWING Hey Traders! 👋 Ready for a potential swing move? The Fibre is showing a classic bearish setup, and we're deploying a strategic entry to catch the wave. Let's break it down! ⬇️ 📉 MARKET BIAS & STRATEGY Bias: Strong Bearish Strategy: "Thief" Layer Entries + Moving Average Pullback & Trend Reversal The bearish structure is confirmed! Price is respecting key resistance and showing weakness after a pullback to the moving average. We're using a "Thief" style layer strategy to scale into the position optimally. 🎯 ⚙️ TRADE PLAN & EXECUTION 🎯 ENTRY (Thief Layer Method): We are not chasing price! We are placing multiple SELL LIMIT orders at key levels to get a favorable average entry. ✅ Layer 1 (Initial): 1.15800 ✅ Layer 2 (Add): 1.15600 ✅ Layer 3 (Add): 1.15400 💡 Pro Tip: You can increase or adjust these layers based on your capital and risk appetite. 🛑 STOP LOSS (Risk Management): A unified Stop Loss is set at 1.16000. ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY SL based on MY strategy. Dear Thief OG's 🦹‍♂️🦹‍♀️, you MUST adjust your SL based on your own risk tolerance and account size. Protect your capital! 💰 TAKE PROFIT TARGET: Our primary target is the strong support zone at 1.14300. This level aligns with: 📉 Strong Support 🩹 Oversold Conditions Potential Bull Trap 🔗 Positive Correlation Confirmation 🚨 Another Critical Note: Take profits based on YOUR plan! If you're in profit, feel free to escape early. Manage your own trade! 🔍 CORRELATION & PAIRS TO WATCH A move in EUR/USD doesn't happen in isolation. Keep these on your radar: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): 🚨 KEY DRIVER! A stronger DXY = Bearish EUR/USD. Watch for bullish breaks in the DXY to confirm our bearish bias. GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD ): Often moves in correlation with EUR/USD. If Cable is also falling, it reinforces the USD strength narrative. USD/CHF ( OANDA:USDCHF ): Typically inverse to EUR/USD. A bullish USD/CHF supports our bearish EUR/USD outlook. EUR/GBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ): Watch for relative strength/weakness. If EUR/GBP is also falling, it confirms broad EUR weakness. 💎 FINAL WORDS This is a swing trade plan. Patience is key! 🗝️ If you found this idea helpful: 👍 Smash that LIKE button! 🔔 Follow me for more "Thief" strategies and clear setups! 💬 Comment below with your thoughts or questions! Let's get those pips! 🏴‍☠️ Happy Trading, and remember, the trend is your friend (until it ends)!
Short
by The-Thief
EURUSD is shaping a potential corrective phaseThe pair is pulling back after its recent rise, but the overall structure hints that this pause may be temporary. A developing pattern is forming, and the next impulse could unfold once this correction completes. Traders should stay alert momentum could shift quickly as price approaches the next decision point. **Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
by WeTradeWAVES
EURUSD | Into The Next WeekLooking for a bullish continuation into the next week for both EURUSD and GBPUSD. Both looking strong. I have 2 best case possibilities shown on the chart. we either see a direct move to the upside, will be looking for bullish setups for the rest of the week. Or we see a small drop first into the lower time frame support, and again a move up. Let me know what your outlook is on EURUSD! Stay safe out there and do your own due diligence, this is not investment advise!
Long
by FX_Unlimited
4
EURUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
Elite | EUR/USD – Structural Breakout + Demand RetestFX:EURUSD Price has successfully transitioned from a multi-week range into bullish structure, confirmed by liquidity sweeps at the lows and a decisive break in the descending channel. The current retracement is retesting fresh demand — this zone will decide continuation power. Structure Notes • Strong downside liquidity sweep formed a base at 1.1500 zone • Break of structure confirms bullish control • Price now retesting 1.1580–1.1610 demand • Holding this zone keeps upside continuation valid Expectations If bulls defend demand and structure holds, continuation targets become active: 🎯 Target 1: 1.1712 🎯 Target 2 (Main Liquidity Objective): 1.1878 Invalidation: Break below 1.1580 weakens trend continuation and delays bullish projection. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes and market observation only — not financial advice.
Long
by Elite-Forex-Trades
2
(EUR/USD Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD 1H chart and the trade idea behind it: --- Market Structure Overview The market is in a clear bullish trend. Price is respecting an ascending channel (higher highs & higher lows). Overall bias remains bullish as long as price stays inside the channel. --- EMA Confirmation EMA 50 (≈ 1.16522) is acting as dynamic support. EMA 200 (≈ 1.16191) is well below price → confirms strong bullish trend. Price is currently holding above both EMAs, which supports continuation to the upside. --- Key Demand / Support Zone (Blue Box) The marked zone around 1.1640 – 1.1655 is: Previous support EMA retest Inside the trend channel This area is your high-probability buy zone. --- SMC Logic We see: Bullish impulse Followed by pullback into demand This suggests: Mitigation of previous orders Smart money likely accumulating longs before expansion. --- Trade Idea (Based on Your Chart) Buy Setup Entry Zone: 1.1645 – 1.1655 Stop Loss: Below demand & EMA → 1.1610 Target 1: 1.1685 Target 2: 1.1718 (your marked target) Risk : Reward: Approx 1:3 or better --- Projected Price Path Small consolidation → Higher low formation → Strong impulsive push Final target aligns with: Upper channel resistance Previous high liquidity --- Invalidation This setup is invalid if: H1 candle closes below 1.1610 Or price breaks below the channel & EMA 200 --- Final Verdict Trend: Bullish Structure: Higher Highs / Higher Lows Entry: Demand + EMA Support Target: 1.1718 Bias: BUY on retracement --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysisSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD 1H chart and the trade idea behind it: --- Market Structure Overview The market is in a clear bullish trend. Price is respecting an ascending channel (higher highs & higher lows). Overall bias remains bullish as long as price stays inside the channel. --- EMA Confirmation EMA 50 (≈ 1.16522) is acting as dynamic support. EMA 200 (≈ 1.16191) is well below price → confirms strong bullish trend. Price is currently holding above both EMAs, which supports continuation to the upside. --- Key Demand / Support Zone (Blue Box) The marked zone around 1.1640 – 1.1655 is: Previous support EMA retest Inside the trend channel This area is your high-probability buy zone. --- SMC Logic We see: Bullish impulse Followed by pullback into demand This suggests: Mitigation of previous orders Smart money likely accumulating longs before expansion. --- Trade Idea (Based on Your Chart) Buy Setup Entry Zone: 1.1645 – 1.1655 Stop Loss: Below demand & EMA → 1.1610 Target 1: 1.1685 Target 2: 1.1718 (your marked target) Risk : Reward: Approx 1:3 or better --- Projected Price Path Small consolidation → Higher low formation → Strong impulsive push Final target aligns with: Upper channel resistance Previous high liquidity --- Invalidation This setup is invalid if: H1 candle closes below 1.1610 Or price breaks below the channel & EMA 200 --- Final Verdict Trend: Bullish Structure: Higher Highs / Higher Lows Entry: Demand + EMA Support Target: 1.1718 Bias: BUY on retracement --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
10
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast LTF - Q4 | W49 | D5 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49 | D5 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast LTF FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY ! 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD Buy Levels Mapped Out | Bullish Pullback PlayEUR/USD "The Fibre" 🎯 Bullish MA Pullback | Layered "Thief" Entry Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 💰⚡ 👑 EUR/USD BULLISH OPPORTUNITY - PROFESSIONAL PLAN 👑 Hey Traders! 👋 The "Fibre" is setting up a classic and high-probability bullish continuation pattern. Here’s a detailed guide to navigate this Swing to Day Trade opportunity. 📈 Core Thesis: Asset: EUR/USD ("The Fibre") Bias: BULLISH ✅ Strategy: Moving Average Dynamic Support Pullback, confirmed by higher timeframe structure. Entry Method: "The Thief" Layered Limit Order Strategy – Stealing pips on the way down. ⚙️ Trade Plan & "Thief" Execution: CONFIRMATION: Wait for price to pull back into the key support zone (e.g., Dynamic Moving Averages like EMA 50/200) and show signs of rejection (bullish pin bar, engulfing candle, RSI support). ENTRY (LAYERED LIMITS): Instead of one risky entry, use multiple buy limit orders to scale in. This "Thief" method improves your average entry price. Suggested Layers: 1.16400 | 1.16200 | 1.16000 | 1.15800 ⚠️ You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your capital & risk tolerance. STOP LOSS (MANDATORY): Ideal Thief SL: Below the swing low at 1.15000. 🔒 RISK DISCLAIMER: THIS IS MY PLAN. You MUST adjust your SL based on YOUR OWN risk management and strategy. Protect your capital! TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: Primary Target (TP1): 1.17800 – A strong resistance & overbought zone. "Escape with profits before the trap!" Scalping Option: Consider partial profits at interim resistance levels. 🎯 KEY NOTE: TP is your choice! Manage your trade actively. "Make money, then take money" at your own discretion. 🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & KEY CORRELATIONS: Monitoring these pairs helps confirm the Euro/Dollar story: PEPPERSTONE:USDX (DXY): 🔥 INVERSE CORRELATION. A weaker DXY directly supports a stronger EUR/USD. Watch for DXY rejection from resistance. GBP/USD ("Cable"): ✅ POSITIVE CORRELATION. Often moves in tandem with EUR/USD. Strength here can confirm broad USD weakness. EUR/GBP: 🔄 INTERNAL EURO STRENGTH GAUGE. If EUR/USD rises and EUR/GBP is stable/rising, it signals genuine Euro demand, not just USD selling. USD/CHF: ✅ INVERSE CORRELATION. Another USD pair that often mirrors EUR/USD inversely (though watch for CHF safe-haven flows). AUD/USD & NZD/USD: 🟡 RISK CORRELATION. If these are also strong, it indicates a broader "risk-on" USD sell-off, reinforcing the bullish EUR/USD setup. ✅ Summary: Strategy: Bullish Pullback + Layered "Thief" Entries. Risk: Defined & Managed with layered SL. Target: Clear Resistance Zone. Context: Supported by multi-pair analysis. 💬 Let's Discuss! What do you think of this setup? Are you watching the same levels? Drop your analysis below! 👇 🚨 REMINDER: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk. Trade responsibly! 👍 LIKE & FOLLOW if you find this detailed guide helpful! It helps the algorithm and keeps more professional ideas coming your way! ✅ #TradingView #Forex #EURUSD #Fibonacci #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ThiefStrategy #RiskManagement #DXY #FX
by The-Thief
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast ASIA RANGE FILLED 📅 Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast -Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 | 📅 Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 | 📊 DXY FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYLong
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W49| D2| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49| D2| Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT