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EURUSD Retest and Drop Bears Eye 1.14 ZoneEURUSD has broken down from its rising structure, with sellers now taking control after weeks of grinding price action. The failed retest of broken support turned resistance highlights that momentum has shifted, and the focus is shifting toward deeper downside targets. With the US dollar supported by sticky inflation risks and geopolitical tensions, the euro’s ability to recover looks limited in the near term. Current Bias Bearish – sellers are in control after the channel breakdown, with momentum favoring further downside. Key Fundamental Drivers US Dollar Strength: Sticky US services inflation and Fed hesitancy on aggressive cuts keep USD supported. Eurozone Weakness: German and broader Eurozone data show sluggish growth, keeping ECB cautious. Geopolitics: Tariff risks and global uncertainty favor the USD as a safe haven. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed easing path is slowing, with sticky inflation potentially stalling rate cuts. ECB remains cautious with inflation still above target but growth faltering. Economic Growth Trends: US data still resilient compared to stagnating Eurozone activity. Commodity Flows: Higher energy costs remain a drag on the euro area’s trade balance. Geopolitics: Trade tariffs and political tensions in the US and EU support the dollar’s defensive bid. Primary Risk to the Trend A dovish Fed surprise or significantly stronger Eurozone inflation data could weaken USD and trigger a corrective euro rebound. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed speakers will be critical for rate expectations. Eurozone PMIs and German inflation data will guide the ECB outlook. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD often acts as a leader for broader USD moves, setting tone across USD majors. However, it currently behaves more like a lagger to Fed policy and US inflation dynamics, following rather than driving. Key Levels Support Levels: 1.1540 (near-term support) 1.1410–1.1400 (major downside target) Resistance Levels: 1.1695 (broken support turned resistance) 1.1800 (upper rejection zone if retrace extends) Stop Loss (SL): 1.1799 Take Profit (TP): 1.1400 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD bias is firmly bearish after breaking below its rising channel and rejecting resistance on the retest. With USD strength underpinned by sticky inflation risks and geopolitical tensions, sellers will likely remain in control unless the Fed pivots more dovishly. The key levels to watch are resistance at 1.1695 and 1.1800, with downside targets at 1.1540 and 1.1400. My trade plan favors short setups with SL around 1.1799 and TP at 1.1400, aligning technical breakdown with fundamentals. Unless Eurozone data surprises to the upside or the Fed softens tone, momentum stays with the bears.
Short
by ultreosforex
11
EUR/USD Short BIAS - NY Session Outlook As we head into the New York open, we anticipate potential price manipulation to the upside, targeting key liquidity pools at the Asian session high and London session high. These levels are prime draw-on-liquidity (DOL) areas where buy-side stops are likely resting, making them attractive for a pre-NY liquidity sweep. Following a potential sweep of these highs, we expect a reversal towards sell-side liquidity, with clear downside targets including the Asian low, London low, and the previous day’s low (PDL). These levels form relatively equal lows, adding confluence as a strong DOL zone beneath current price. Particularly, we have a 4-hour bullish imbalance (BISI) that remains unfilled. This imbalance aligns precisely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, marking the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) zone within the premium array. This confluence strengthens the case for a short setup from that level, suggesting institutional intent and a potential distribution phase. Taking all of these factors into consideration : liquidity engineering, session timing, equal lows as downside targets, and the alignment of the H4 BISI with the 0.618 OTE , we maintain a bearish bias on EUR/USD for the New York session, anticipating a high-probability short opportunity once liquidity above intra-day highs is taken.
Short
by TheProfitRoomFx
EURUSD: Bearish! Wait For The Pullback, Then Look For Sells!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of Oct 13 - 17th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD The EURUSD drifted lower last week, Friday notwithstanding. I am expecting more downward drift for the week ahead... after a pullback to Fair Value Area. I am not interested in taking buys in this market. I'll be looking for valid sell setups at the two highlighted POI's. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
10
EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | D16 | Y25| 📅 Q4 | W42 | D16 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Eur/Usd - Breakout or Breakdown?EUR/USD is currently trading near a key resistance zone, while maintaining a short-term ascending trendline support. Price action shows a strong bullish structure, but the resistance zone is acting as a barrier. Key Observations: Resistance Zone: Price has tested this level multiple times without a clear breakout, indicating seller presence. Trendline Support: An ascending trendline is providing support, forming a potential ascending triangle pattern. Support Zone: If the trendline breaks, the price may retest the broader support zone below (marked in blue). Potential Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: A clean breakout above resistance could trigger a move toward the next upside target. Bearish Breakdown: A break below the trendline and support could open the door for a drop toward the lower target zone. Conclusion: This setup is ideal for breakout traders. Watch for a candle close above resistance or below trendline support for confirmation of the next move.
by Hamza_Gold
EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | D15 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W42 | D15 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Attempts RecoveryMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Attempts Recovery EUR/USD is recovering losses from 1.1540. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to stay in a positive zone and declined below 1.1650 before finding support. - There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1590 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair started a fresh decline from 1.1720. The Euro declined below 1.1650 and 1.1600 against the US Dollar. The pair even declined below 1.1565 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1540 zone. A low was formed at 1.1541, and the pair is now recovering losses. There was a move above 1.1600 and a connecting bearish trend line at 1.1590. The pair surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1721 swing high to the 1.1541 low. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 50% Fib retracement at 1.1630. The first major hurdle for the bulls could be 1.1650. An upside break above 1.1650 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1720. If not, the pair might drop again. Immediate support is near the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1590. The next key area of interest might be 1.1540. If there is a downside break below 1.1540, the pair could drop toward 1.1500. The main target for the bears on the EUR/USD chart could be 1.1440, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | D14 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W42 | D14 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
3
EUR/USD Calm Before the Next Big Move?The Euro’s setting up for what could be a textbook correction before the next drive up. The question now: does 1.14 hold… or do we break deeper? 👇 Here’s the simple map: 🔻 Correction zone: Price is cooling off toward 1.14. ⚡ If 1.14 holds, we could see a clean bounce and a new leg higher. ⚠️ If it breaks, then eyes on 1.12, 1.10, and in a worst-case dip, 1.08–1.07. So basically: 👉 Hold 1.14 = bounce potential 👉 Break 1.14 = deeper pullback ahead Momentum is slowing; this is where smart traders are patient, not panicked. If you’re watching EUR/USD and unsure where the best risk-to-reward setups might form, DM me; I’ll walk you through how I’m mapping my key levels and what I’m waiting for before jumping in. Mindbloome Exchange
Short
by Mindbloome-Trading
EURUSD Daily FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | D13 | Y25|📅 Q4 | W42 | D13 | Y25| 📊 EURUSD Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Long
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure CMCMARKETS:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating around 1.1620, holding above Support Zone 1 (1.1585–1.1606). The chart shows a potential rebound structure: if buyers defend this zone, the pair could climb toward Resistance Zone 1 (1.1703–1.1718), where the descending trendline also intersects. A rejection from that resistance would confirm bearish continuation, with a possible slide back toward Support Zone 2 (1.1535–1.1550). The overall structure remains within a downtrend, but near-term rebounds are possible. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.1592–1.1606 (buy near Support Zone 1) Stop Loss: 1.1588 Take Profit 1: 1.1680 Take Profit 2: 1.1703 Take Profit 3: 1.1718 Risk/Reward (R:R): ~1 : 5.35 🗝️ Key Technical Levels Support Zone 1: 1.1592–1.1606 Support Zone 2: 1.1535–1.1550 Resistance Zone 1: 1.1703–1.1718 Trendline Resistance: From early October highs 🌍 Macro Background The euro gains some stability as US-China trade tensions escalate following Trump’s announcement of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports from November 1, weighing on the USD. The ongoing US government shutdown has delayed federal paychecks, further undermining confidence in the dollar. Meanwhile, in Europe, political risks in France have eased as President Macron prepares to appoint a new prime minister, reducing fears of snap elections. On the monetary policy front, the ECB September meeting minutes reaffirmed policymakers’ confidence that current rates are sufficiently restrictive to guide inflation back toward the 2% target. 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD is testing Support Zone 1 near 1.1600. As long as this support holds, a rebound toward 1.1700–1.1718 is possible, offering short-term long opportunities. However, the broader downtrend remains intact; a rejection near resistance could provide a better risk-reward short setup targeting 1.1550–1.1535. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD Weekly FRGNT Forecast -Q4 | W42 | Y25📊 EURUSD – Weekly Forecast 💡 Weekly FRGNT Insight Q4 | W42 | Y25 Weekly Outlook 🔍📅 Here’s a concise breakdown of the current market structure 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these remain our key points of interest for potential reactions 🎯🧭. Patience is key: Wait for a confirmed break of structure (BOS) 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is actually showing — not what we want to see. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: -Risk no more than 1% per trade -Execute only at pre-identified levels -Let alerts, not emotions, guide decisions -Maintain your minimum 1:3 RR plan 🧠 Remember: You’re not paid for how many trades you take, but for how well you manage risk. “Trade what the market gives — not what your ego wants.” Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities play out. FRGNT FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/USD Bullish Continuation in Play — How High Can It Go?💶 EUR/USD “THE FIBRE” | Forex Money Liquidity Hunt Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 📊💼 📈 Trading Plan: Bullish Bias Setup: Demand Zone 🔥 + Heikin Ashi Doji reversal confirmed 🟢 + Re-Accumulation spotted (buyers stepping in). Narrative: Market showing strong intent from bulls, eyeing higher liquidity pools 🏦. 🎯 Entry Strategy (Layering Method) We don’t chase — we layer! 🧑‍💼 Multiple limit orders (layered entries) can be set around these levels: 1.16500 1.16750 1.17000 1.17250 1.17500 (Traders may adjust / expand layering based on their style ✅). 🛡️ Stop Loss Guidance Example SL: 1.16000 (below demand zone structure). ⚠️ Note: Adjust based on your own risk tolerance + strategy — flexibility is key. 🎯 Target Zone Key Resistance: ~1.19500 ⚔️ Momentum shows overbought risk + possible liquidity trap in that area 🚨. Best practice: Secure profits early, scale out gradually. 🔑 Key Notes for Traders This is not financial advice 🚫. Manage risk, adapt levels, and trade safe. Targets/SL shared are reference points only — every trader is responsible for their own execution. 🌍 Related Pairs to Watch OANDA:EURGBP : Often mirrors EUR strength but reacts slower — useful for cross confirmation. FX:USDJPY : Inverse correlation with risk appetite; USD weakness here may boost EUR/USD. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): Always track! If TVC:DXY drops, EUR/USD usually pushes higher. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #EURUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #HeikinAshi #LiquidityHunt #LayeringStrategy #TradingPlan #PriceAction #DemandZone
Long
by The-Thief
EUR/USD Falls to Two-Month LowEUR/USD Falls to Two-Month Low As shown on the EUR/USD chart today, the euro has dropped below 1.1550 against the US dollar — its lowest level since early August. The main driver of pressure on the single currency remains the political crisis in France: President Emmanuel Macron is currently seeking a candidate for the position of prime minister. The situation is complicated by the fact that: → the government needs to quickly approve a rather tight budget reflecting the country’s significant deficit; → media reports highlight unrest in the streets; → financial market turbulence is intensifying amid uncertainty surrounding the ongoing US government shutdown. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart On 6 October, we noted that: → fluctuations in EUR/USD over recent months had formed an upward channel (shown in blue); → we highlighted a break below line S; → and suggested that a bearish break below 1.16600 would pave the way for a decline towards key support at 1.14500. Indeed, following the break of 1.16600, the downtrend continued. How might the situation develop from here? To explore this, we extended the ascending channel and proposed a hypothesis that in mid-September, the price entered a supply zone (marked in purple) above the previous peak near 1.1790 and the psychological level of 1.1800. In other words, smart money appeared to be forming short positions, as described by the Liquidity Sweep pattern. Since then, the market has been moving in search of liquidity on the opposite side. On the EUR/USD chart, we have identified a potential demand zone around key levels: → the lower boundary of the blue channel; → the 1.1530 level, where buyers’ stop-losses may be located; → and the mentioned support at 1.14500. From a bearish perspective: → the market is moving within a descending channel (shown in red); → resistance may be provided by both its median line and the former local support at 1.1600. In light of the above: → in the short term, the market remains bearish; → in the medium term, bearish pressure may ease, and EUR/USD could begin to consolidate. Whether this scenario unfolds — and in what configuration — will largely depend on the news flow and political developments in both the US and France. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD – Support Tested, More Downside ProbableIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I mentioned that there was a strong chance of a break below the 1.17 support zone, targeting 1.16 initially — and possibly even lower to 1.15. The pair followed the plan perfectly, dropping to 1.16 as expected and currently trading just above this key level. My outlook remains unchanged: while a short-term rebound from support is possible, it should be seen as a selling opportunity, not a trend reversal. The broader structure still favors further downside. 📊 Resistance: 1.17 📉 Bias: Bearish continuation remains likely
Short
by Mihai_Iacob