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EURUSD Long, 29 JulyReversal Setup from Daily OB + LTF Confluence Price tapped into a Daily Bullish OB with 50EMA support, signaling potential for a bullish reaction. While structure isn’t perfect, the overextension and DXY correlation offer strong intraday confluence. 📈 HTF Confluence: ✅ Sitting inside a Daily Bullish Orderblock 📍 50EMA in the same area → added support 🟢 Expecting a bounce from this zone, even if HTF trend isn’t clearly bullish yet 📉 LTF Context: 💤 Asia range formed, still unfilled → clean liquidity target 📉 Overextended bearish move into 15m POI 🪞 DXY at its own 15m POI + Asia range to complete → supports EU upside 🎯 Entry Plan: ✅ Clear 1m BOS after reacting from 15m Decisional OB 🎯 Entry taken at 5m OB inside that 15m POI zone ⚠️ Decisional OB isn’t ideal, but stacked confluences justify the risk 🛡 SL: Below 5m OB 📌 TP: Asia high + potential continuation if DXY breaks lower
Long
by sTax11
EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed? Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way: Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak France: Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast) Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction) Germany: Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected) Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary) Eurozone Overall: Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50) Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast) ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected. U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K) Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise) Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD) Interpretation : The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany. Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience. This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive. Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup. --------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position . EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) . Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) . If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point. Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
32
EUR/USD – Short from Channel TopHi Traders , Took a short on EUR/USD after price rejected the top of the ascending channel. Entry: 1.17545 Stop Loss: 1.18015 Take Profit: 1.17098 📌 Why I took this trade: Price is showing rejection at the upper trendline + near resistance (R1). RSI is cooling off, so I’m expecting a move back to the demand zone around 1.1710. Clean structure, low risk, good reward. Just my take, not financial advice. What do you think — continuation or rejection?
Short
by Trading-On-Top
6
Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD RelationshipHello traders, Here’s an analysis that can be useful for both short-term and swing trades on EURUSD and DXY. Our trading team’s calculations are as follows: Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD Relationship Currently, DXY is at 98.200. Historical statistical data indicate that if DXY declines toward 96.300, there is approximately a **1.55% probability of an upward move** in EURUSD. Based on this scenario: Current EURUSD level: 1.16500 Projected target level:1.1830 While the correlation data show a strong inverse relationship, it’s important to note that periodic deviations can occur in the market. Therefore, this analysis should be considered a statistical projection only, not a guaranteed outcome.
TVC:DXYShort
by Nurlan_PT
1
Europe and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD DeclinesEurope and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD Declines The past weekend was marked by the official signing of a trade agreement between the United States and Europe, as announced by US President Donald Trump and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen following their meeting in Scotland. According to reports, the agreement is based on a 15% baseline tariff on goods exported from Europe to the United States, with certain exemptions. As previously reported, a trade agreement with a 15% baseline tariff had earlier been concluded between the US and Japan. According to President Trump: → under no circumstances did he allow the baseline tariff for Europe to fall below 15%; → the European Union committed to investing in the US economy, purchasing weapons, and importing energy resources. The financial markets’ reaction to this news is noteworthy: → European stock indices opened the week with a bullish gap, reflecting relief that previously feared tariffs of up to 30% did not materialise; → the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bearish momentum this morning. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart As indicated by the black arrow, bearish sentiment intensified on Monday morning, pushing the pair towards the 1.1700 level, which had previously acted as resistance in mid-July. From the perspective of the ascending channel (shown in blue), its median line is currently acting as a resistance level – following contact with it, a short-term rally was broken (highlighted in purple). This reinforces the notion that bears are currently in control. Given the above, we could suggest that, should bearish sentiment persist on the EUR/USD chart, we may soon witness an attempt to break through the 1.1700 support level. A successful breach could open the path for further downside movement of the euro against the dollar, towards the lower boundary of the channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is moving strongly towards the 1H supply zone (around 1.1780), and it is likely to reach this area first before pulling back. During the pullback, the blue FVG and green OB zones below are key areas for potential long entries: 🔹 FVG 1H around 1.1660 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1620 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1580 📌 Plan: 1️⃣ If the price reaches the upper supply zone, we will look for short scalps with confirmation on the lower timeframe (5M/3M). 2️⃣ After the pullback to lower zones, we will look for long opportunities with PA confirmation. 🎯 Long targets after pullback: 1.1700 – 1.1720, potentially 1.1750. ❌ No entry without confirmation.
by ProfitaminFX
10
EURUSD: Buyers Like the New Trade Deals With The US!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD Buyers reacting positively to the announcements of trade deals with the US. Longs are the play until we see a bearish break of significant structure. FOMC and NFP looming, so be careful the markets don't reverse on your trades! Wait patiently for buy setups. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Long
by RT_Money
14
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.15800 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by The-Thief
2
EUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB MeetingEUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB Meeting Today at 15:15 GMT+3, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision, followed by a press conference at 15:45 GMT+3. According to Forex Factory, the main refinancing rate is expected to remain unchanged at 2.15% after seven consecutive cuts. In anticipation of these events, the EUR/USD exchange rate has risen above the 1.1770 level for the first time since 7 July. Bullish sentiment is also being supported by expectations of a potential trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. According to Reuters, both sides are reportedly moving towards a deal that may include a 15% base tariff on EU goods entering the US, with certain exemptions. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair has shown bullish momentum since June, resulting in the formation of an ascending channel (marked in blue). Within this channel, the price has rebounded from the lower boundary (highlighted in purple), although the midline of the blue channel appears to be acting as resistance (as indicated by the arrow), slowing further upward movement. It is reasonable to assume that EUR/USD may attempt to stabilise around the midline—where demand and supply typically reach equilibrium. However, today’s market is unlikely to remain calm. In addition to the ECB’s statements, volatility could be heightened by news surrounding Donald Trump’s unexpected visit to the Federal Reserve. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD – Bulls Still in Control, Trend ResumesIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I pointed out that the pair was nearing an important confluence support around 1.1620, and that – given the overall bullish trend – this zone could offer solid long opportunities. What followed? The market briefly dipped below that zone, even challenging the psychological 1.1600 round number. But instead of breaking down, bulls regrouped, stepped in with force, and pushed the pair aggressively higher. 📍 At the time of writing, EURUSD is trading at 1.1770, and my long trade is running with a comfortable 150 pips profit. 🔍 W hat’s Next? The current structure suggests a continuation of the uptrend, and the logical technical target is the recent high at 1.1830. Until proven otherwise, this is still a buy-the-dip market. ✅ Buying around 1.1700 could be a valid setup, especially if we see buying power on the intraday chart ⚠️ The Warning Sign Despite the bullish bias, keep in mind: If EURUSD drops and closes below 1.1670, the structure begins to shift — and this could signal a deeper correction or even trend reversal. 📌 Until then, the bias remains bullish, dips are to be watched for entries, and 1.1830 is the next checkpoint. D isclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
8
EURUSD(20250724) Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office." Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1751 Support and resistance levels: 1.1814 1.1791 1.1775 1.1726 1.1711 1.1687 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1775, consider buying in, with the first target price at 1.1791 If the price breaks through 1.1751, consider selling in, with the first target price at 1.1726
Long
by NicolaZhu
EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains. 🔸 Technical Structure (4H) Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone. Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower. Downside targets: 🔹 First: 1.1637 🔹 Second: 1.1527 🔹 Final: 1.1445 Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly). 🧭 Key Fundamentals 🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand. 🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth. Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside. Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR. ⚠️ Risks to Watch A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed. Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales. Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness. New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises. 📆 Key Events Ahead 🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength. 🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts. 🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR. 🔄 Leader or Lagger? EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves. Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses. Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it. ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.
Short
by ultreosforex
14
EUR/USD Set to Fly – Don’t Miss This Perfect Channel Breakout!Hi traders!, Analyzing EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, we can observe that price is respecting the ascending channel and reacting to the dynamic trendline support (green dashed lines). A recent bounce suggests a potential bullish continuation within this structure. 🔹 Entry: 1.17399 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.17640 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.17056 Price remains above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish environment. The bounce aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and follows a short consolidation period, indicating buying pressure. The RSI also shows signs of recovery after approaching oversold levels, supporting the idea of upward momentum. This long setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio and aims to capture continuation toward upper channel resistance. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Long
by Trading-On-Top
EURUSDHello traders, I've been closely monitoring the **EURUSD** pair for a while, and it’s now offering an ideal entry opportunity. It has presented several great setups for swing trading, and I’d like to share one of them with you today. 🔍 **Trade Details** ✔️ **Timeframe**: H4/D ✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:4.22 ✔️ **Trade Direction**: Buy ✔️ **Entry Price**: 1.17281 ✔️ **Take Profit**: 1.18997 ✔️ **Stop Loss**: 1.16874 🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
EURUSD Breaks Bullish Structure – Here’s My Trade Plan📍 Watching EURUSD closely—it's recently broken bullish (market structure) on the daily timeframe 📈. I’m now waiting for a retrace into a fair value gap, watching for the rebalance and a possible support zone touch before the next leg up 🔄🟢. 🎥 In this idea, I walk you through: 🔍 Price action 🧱 Market structure 📊 Trend direction 📋 And my personal trade plan for this setup Not financial advice ❌💼
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD Trading Price Channel, SELL Strategy✏️ OANDA:EURUSD H4 Timeframe EURUSD is trading in a bearish channel. This bearish channel may extend to the important support at 1.145. A break of this important support will form a Downtrend. Further upside recovery will remain limited by the channel, with the notable upper boundary at 1.16800. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: rejection from 1.168 with bearish confirmation Sell DCA: Break 1.155 Target: 1.145 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Short
by VHT_Trader
10