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EURUSD Analysis week 30🌐Fundamental Analysis The USD rose after June retail sales beat expectations and initial jobless claims fell to 221,000. However, the USD's gains were limited as US stocks rebounded late in the session. On Friday morning, US stock index futures rose 0.2%, indicating that risk sentiment remains dominant. If this trend continues, EUR/USD could hold support. The next focus is on the Consumer Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Index data from the University of Michigan. If the data is positive, the USD could regain support and put pressure on EUR/USD. 🕯Technical Analysis EURUSD is in a corrective downtrend towards the 1.145 support. If this support zone is broken, the EURUSD trend will turn to a Downtrend. Currently, the main trading strategy will be to look for SELL points. After price reacted at EMA and trendline and headed to temporary bottom 1.156 and hit important support soon. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD 1.17500-1.17700 Stoploss 1.18000 BUY EURUSD 1.14500-1.14300 Stoploss 1.14000
by TVS-Trader
EURUSD(20250718) Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Kugler: It is appropriate to keep the interest rate policy stable for "a while". ② Daly: Whether to cut interest rates in July or September is not the most critical. ③ Bostic: It may be difficult to cut interest rates in the short term. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1597 Support and resistance levels: 1.1683 1.1651 1.1630 1.1565 1.1544 1.1512 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1630, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.1651 If the price breaks through 1.1597, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.1565
by NicolaZhu
EUR/USD Bearish Outlook: Short-Term Opportunity Ahead!Hello Fellow Traders! 👋 In my last post on Monday, I pointed out a key zone where EUR/USD showed bullish momentum, hitting nearly 60% of our target! 🎯 I booked profits yesterday, and now the market is giving us fresh clues. Let’s dive into the latest setup! 🚀 Market Update Over the past two days, the price has swept both buyers and sellers, clearing the way for a new move. The 4H trendline has been broken, signaling bearish momentum. As we head into the NY session, I’m watching for further confluence to confirm this move. 📊 Trade Idea Direction: Bearish 📉 Target: 1.14500 ( Long-Term First Target) Strategy: I’m focusing on short-term entries with confluence from lower timeframes (e.g., 1H or 15M). Long-term positions? Not yet—let’s stay nimble! Why This Setup? Trendline Break: Clear bearish signal on the 4H chart. Confluence: Awaiting confirmation from lower timeframes for precise entries. Risk Management: Short-term focus to capitalize on the move without overexposure. What do you think of this setup? Drop a comment below with your thoughts! 💬 If you found this idea helpful, smash that Like button 👍 and Follow for more updates. Let’s keep the trading community thriving! 🚀 Happy Trading! 💰 #EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
Short
by MRJ_Tradez
EURUSD analysis – 1H OB Setup ✅ Green zones = 1H Buy Order Blocks Clean plan: Wait for price to reach the green circle zone (1.1600 – 1.1650 OB). Once there: ✅ Drop to LTF (5M / 3M) and wait for: Price reaction to the OB zone BOS / CHoCH structure confirmation Strong bullish candle for clean entry Then, enter with stop below the OB zone. 🎯 Targets: First TP: 1.1690 – 1.1700 Second TP: higher previous highs if momentum continues ⚠️ Let price enter your zone, get your LTF confirmations, and then take your entry with discipline. 📊 ProfitaminFX | Gold, BTC & EUR/USD 📚 Daily setups & educational trades
Long
by ProfitaminFX
EURUSD Forming Bullish Continuation SetupEURUSD is currently retesting a key breakout zone that previously acted as resistance and is now serving as strong support around the 1.1620–1.1630 area. After a healthy bullish impulse in recent weeks, the pair is pulling back in a controlled manner, likely forming a bullish continuation setup. I entered from earlier levels and remain confident in a further upward move, with the structure showing signs of a new bullish wave forming. From a fundamental perspective, the euro is gaining strength as the European Central Bank (ECB) continues to signal a more cautious stance on rate cuts compared to the Federal Reserve. US inflation data released last week came in softer than expected, increasing speculation that the Fed could start its rate-cutting cycle as early as September. This shift in monetary policy outlook has weighed on the US dollar, opening up room for EURUSD to push higher. Additionally, eurozone macro data is showing early signs of recovery, especially in Germany, where industrial production and sentiment indicators are slowly improving. As inflation in Europe trends lower but remains sticky, the ECB has fewer reasons to rush into easing, which adds strength to the euro over the medium term. This divergence is a critical driver of the current bullish sentiment in EURUSD. Technically, the market is respecting a clean demand zone, with momentum indicators starting to flatten after the recent correction. With the trend structure intact and fundamentals aligned, I'm targeting the 1.2180–1.2200 zone as the next leg of this bullish cycle. Price action remains favorable, and the broader sentiment on TradingView is also increasingly bullish, confirming my conviction in this setup.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
1
EURUSD Under Pressure After Hot CPI – More Downside Ahead?Today, the US released key inflation figures : Core CPI m/m: 0.2% (vs 0.3% forecast) CPI m/m: 0.3% (as expected) CPI y/y: 2.7% (vs 2.6% forecast, up from 2.4%) Fundamental Analysis ( EURUSD ): The slightly lower Core CPI suggests some easing in underlying inflation pressures. However, the headline CPI y/y came in hotter than expected at 2.7%, reinforcing the idea that the Fed is not yet ready to ease policy aggressively. This combination supports the US dollar, as sticky inflation could delay rate cuts. EURUSD is likely to remain under pressure in the short term unless the ECB signals a more hawkish stance or US data starts showing broader weakness. Now let's move on to the technical analysis of EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) on the 4-hour timeframe . EURUSD is trading in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1802-$1.1602) , having simultaneously managed to break the Support lines and the lower line of the Descending Channel , and is also trying to break the Support zone($1.1642-$1.1578) . I expect EURUSD to continue its downtrend and decline to the Support zone($1.1549-$1.1520) at the first target . Second target : $1.15043 Third target : $1.1464 Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1660 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
25
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Pares GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Pares Gains EUR/USD declined from the 1.1750 resistance and traded below 1.1650. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1720 zone. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1720 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1660 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.1620 and tested 1.1590. A low was formed near 1.1592 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1610 level. EUR/USD is now trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, it is now facing resistance near the 1.1630 level. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1749 swing high to the 1.1592 low. The next key resistance is at 1.1660 and the 50% Fib retracement level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1660. The main resistance is near the 1.1690 level. A clear move above it could send the pair toward the 1.1720 resistance. An upside break above 1.1720 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1750. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1590. The next key support is at 1.1550. If there is a downside break below 1.1550, the pair could drop toward 1.1520. The next support is near 1.1485, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD : US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation ReportEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens Following Inflation Report Yesterday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was released, showing an increase in consumer prices. According to Forex Factory, annual CPI rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, exceeding analysts' expectations of a 2.6% rise. As reported by Reuters, the data supports the stance of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who has repeatedly stated that the anticipated inflationary pressure—driven in part by tariffs—is a reason to refrain from further interest rate cuts. However, President Donald Trump interpreted the data differently. On his Truth Social platform, he posted that consumer prices remain low and called for an immediate rate cut. The market responded with a stronger US dollar—indicating that participants believe interest rates are likely to remain at current levels in the near term. Notably, the EUR/USD exchange rate fell to the 1.1600 level for the first time since late June (as indicated by the arrow). Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Analysing the EUR/USD chart as of 7 July, we identified: → A long-term ascending channel → A potential downward trajectory (marked by red lines) Since then, the pair has followed the outlined path and declined by more than 1%. It is worth noting that today, the EUR/USD price is near the lower boundary of a key trend channel, which may offer significant support — traders may look for a technical rebound from this level. Additionally, attention should be paid to the upcoming release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) at 15:30 GMT+3. These figures carry particular weight in light of potential renewed inflationary pressures. This and other upcoming data may prove decisive for the near-term direction of EUR/USD. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD(20250715) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Sources said that after Trump's latest trade tax threat, the European Central Bank will discuss a more negative scenario next week than expected in June. The ECB is still expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its meeting on July 24. Discussions on rate cuts are still postponed to September. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1671 Support and resistance levels: 1.1714 1.1698 1.1687 1.1654 1.1644 1.1628 Trading strategy: If it breaks through 1.1671, consider buying in, the first target price is 1.1687 If it breaks through 1.1654, consider selling in, the first target price is 1.1644
Long
by NicolaZhu
EURUSD(20250714) Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① Fed's Goolsbee: The latest tariff threat may delay rate cuts. ② The Fed responded to the White House's "accusations": The increase in building renovation costs partly reflects unforeseen construction conditions. ③ "Fed's megaphone": The dispute over building renovations has challenged the Fed's independence again, and it is expected that no rate cuts will be made this month. ④ Hassett: Whether Trump fires Powell or not, the Fed's answer to the headquarters renovation is the key. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1689 Support and resistance levels: 1.1738 1.1719 1.1707 1.1670 1.1658 1.1640 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1689, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1707 If the price breaks through 1.1670, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1658
by NicolaZhu
2
EURUSD Short re entry, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone. 📉 Confluence: Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill 15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50% 🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS 🛡️ SL: Above LH structure 📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low ⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade. 3 hours ago Trade active We got an 1mBOS from the 15m POI Got 2 entry points now : The one from the 5m OB marked out on the photo and one at the lower 5m that created the break. Will see what happens
Short
by sTax11
EURUSD Short, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone. 📉 Confluence: Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill 15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50% 🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS 🛡️ SL: Above LH structure 📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low ⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
Short
by sTax11
Long Opportunity for EURUSDEURUSD is currently in a retracement within a bullish trend with clear Bullish market structures in place. Price is currently approaching the break and retest level at 1,16285... a potential pivot point which acted as a resistance level in the past. On the 4-hour timeframe, price is trading below the 21 and 50 SMA due to the slow nature of the retracement and we are seeing bearish momentum on the RSI. Need to see the Bulls stepping in with clean bullish momentum on the 4 hour chart to confirm the bullish market directionality before looking to take a long position. will also be observing the bearish trendline break as an additional point of confluence to take the long trade
Long
by Fides_Trading
2