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Q4 | W50 | D8 | Y25 | - EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST📅 Q4 | W50 | D8 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
2
EUR/USD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TICKMILL:EURUSD EUR/USD is stabilizing around 1.1625, trading quietly beneath the 1.1637–1.1640 resistance zone. Price action shows repeated rejections from this supply area, keeping the short-term structure slightly bearish. At the same time, the 1.1620–1.1623 support zone continues to hold, forming a tight consolidation range as the market awaits the upcoming FOMC decision. A break above 1.1637–1.1640 could open the path toward a broader recovery, while another rejection from resistance would likely push the pair back toward support. For now, structure favours a buy-the-dip scenario from support, as long as the pair holds above 1.1618. 🎯 Trade Setup Bias: Looking for long setups from support after a liquidity sweep. Entry: 1.1620 – 1.1623 Stop Loss: 1.1618 Take Profit 1: 1.1637 Take Profit 2: 1.1640 Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1 : 2.62 The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above 1.1618. If EUR/USD breaks below the support zone with a 1H close, the setup becomes invalid. 🌐 Macro Background (Simplified) Markets are fully focused on the Federal Reserve’s rate decision tonight, where a 25 bps cut is almost completely priced in. Despite this expected easing, traders are cautious because Powell may deliver a hawkish tone, signalling fewer cuts ahead. That uncertainty is keeping EUR/USD range-bound. On the Euro side, expectations that the ECB is done with rate cuts offer mild support. Lagarde recently noted that the Eurozone economy is in a “good place,” suggesting the ECB is comfortable pausing policy changes for now. With the Fed potentially hawkish and ECB neutral, the pair remains stuck in a tight consolidation awaiting clarity from tonight's decision. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.1637 – 1.1640 Support Zone: 1.1620 – 1.1623 Invalidation Level: Break and close below 1.1618 (1H) 📌 Trade Summary EUR/USD is moving sideways ahead of the FOMC decision, holding between a clean support and resistance structure. As long as support holds, bullish setups toward 1.1637–1.1640 remain favourable. A breakdown below 1.1618 cancels the idea and shifts bias lower. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Long
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W50 | D9 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
2
wave strengthening on the background of consolidation EURUSD continues to develop the upward segment of the trend that began in late autumn. The breakout of a key resistance zone has strengthened buyers’ positions and confirmed the formation of a new impulsive wave. At the moment, the market is holding its gains, though signs of slowing within the structure suggest the emergence of a corrective pause. The wave picture remains multi-layered: higher-degree waves set the overall upward trend, while lower-degree waves create local fluctuations. Recent observations indicate that the corrective wave is close to completion, providing a foundation for further upward movement. The fundamental backdrop also supports the euro: dollar weakness amid expectations of a dovish Fed policy and moderate growth in the eurozone economy create favorable conditions for continued strengthening of the pair. Thus, EURUSD is in a consolidation phase that may serve as a launchpad for the next impulse.
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD: Quasimodo Formation Signals Downside ContinuationHi! EURUSD recently completed a clear Quasimodo (QM) reversal structure within the 1.1670–1.1680 supply zone. After forming the higher high and then breaking the previous higher low, bearish intent became evident. Price reacted strongly from the QML area, confirming the validity of the pattern. Following the rejection, EURUSD broke below its ascending trendline, which had been supporting the bullish leg from earlier sessions. The retest of this broken trendline has now occurred, and the price is trading back under the former resistance level. If bearish momentum continues from this retest area, the next logical downside target lies at the 1.1608–1.1614 demand zone, where previous accumulation took place. This zone aligns with the projected target of the QM pattern and provides a high-probability reaction area. However, if price reclaims the broken trendline and closes above the minor resistance at 1.1660, the bearish scenario weakens, and a deeper pullback into the QML zone becomes possible. Overall, the structure currently favors the downside as long as EURUSD remains below the broken trendline and QML supply. Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Short
by melikatrader94
19
EURUSD: Dollar Strength Still In Charge, Euro Is The PassengerEURUSD , Looking at this with the chart not mentally flipped, the structure is clearly one of exhaustion on the euro side. We’ve got a series of lower swing highs against a dominant dollar backdrop, and price is grinding along support rather than impulsively breaking higher. Fundamentally this lines up with a market that still prefers USD carry and safety over a low-growth eurozone. Current Bias Bearish. On a non-inverted EURUSD chart, the dominant idea is USD strength: rallies are selling opportunities while price stays capped below recent highs and trend resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Fed vs ECB policy path Fed: Still on track for rate cuts, but at a measured pace, with Powell making it clear that the FOMC will react to data, not chase market pricing. That keeps US real yields relatively attractive and supports the dollar. ECB: Growth is softer, inflation is easing, and officials are signalling “policy in a good place” with strong data dependence. There is little appetite for a hawkish surprise, which leaves EUR without a clear policy advantage. Growth and labor dynamics US: Data points to a cooling but still resilient economy. Labor market is loosening, but not breaking. That combination justifies gradual easing rather than aggressive cuts. Eurozone: Sentiment and activity indicators are weak or only stabilising. Lower growth means the ECB cannot diverge hawkishly from the Fed for long without harming already-fragile demand. Risk and safe-haven flows In risk-off or “policy confusion” episodes, USD still benefits more than EUR. That underpins a downside bias in EURUSD when volatility picks up. Net: Fundamentals still favour USD over EUR, which on a standard chart is bearish EURUSD. Macro Context Rates: Market pricing has shifted toward fewer / slower Fed cuts than the most dovish scenarios. The ECB is also expected to cut, but the eurozone’s weaker growth gives it less room to signal anything hawkish. Rate differentials stay either neutral or mildly USD-supportive. Growth: US growth is moderating from strong levels, eurozone growth is stuck near stagnation. That relative story helps the dollar on a “least-ugly” basis. Geopolitics and trade: Trade tensions (US–China, EU–China, tariff talk) and geopolitical risk favour USD demand over EUR, because the dollar is still the primary global hedge. Put together, the macro picture argues against a sustained euro bull run and supports a sell-the-rally EURUSD regime. Primary Risk to the Bearish View The main risk is a sharp dovish pivot from the Fed driven by: A clear downside surprise in US labor or inflation data that forces the market to price a much faster and deeper rate-cut cycle. Any signal that the Fed is more willing to tolerate overshooting on inflation to protect growth and employment. That type of shift would knock US yields lower, hurt the dollar, and could squeeze EURUSD sharply higher, invalidating the downside structure. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US: CPI, PCE, NFP, and Powell/Fed speeches – anything that changes the timing or depth of 2026 rate cuts. Eurozone: Inflation prints and ECB communication; not because they are likely to be hawkish, but because any hint of “less dovish than feared” could temporarily lift EUR. For direction, though, the USD leg is still more important than the EUR leg. Leader/Lagger Dynamics EURUSD is a lagger, not a leader. It tends to follow DXY and US yields, rather than set the tone. When DXY strengthens on higher US yields or risk aversion, EURUSD typically moves lower. Crosses like EURJPY, EURGBP, and risk sentiment via US indices often move first and EURUSD confirms. So for timing, I’d look at DXY, US10Y, and broader risk sentiment, then use EURUSD to express the USD view. Key Levels Support Levels (bearish targets): 1.1500–1.1520: local support and mid-channel area. 1.1400: key structural support; break here opens the door to deeper downside. Resistance Levels (sell zones): 1.1700–1.1750: recent swing highs and clear horizontal resistance. 1.1800–1.1850: major supply zone and invalidation area for the medium-term bearish bias. Stop Loss (SL) for a bearish swing idea: Above 1.1850 on a daily close, which would signal that the current USD-strength narrative has been materially challenged. Take Profit (TP) for a bearish swing idea: First TP around 1.1500, Second TP extension toward 1.1400 if US data stays solid and the dollar bid persists. Summary: Bias and Watchpoints Re-reading this with the chart correctly interpreted, EURUSD is fundamentally and technically bearish, not bullish. The story is still one of relative USD strength: a Fed that cuts, but slowly, versus an ECB constrained by weak growth and little scope to lean hawkish. That leaves rallies toward 1.17–1.18 as potential selling opportunities, with the bearish structure only really invalidated if price closes convincingly above that 1.18–1.1850 zone. On the downside, I’d watch how price behaves around 1.15 first and 1.14 second. Strong US data and firm yields could push us there; a sudden dovish Fed pivot is the main risk that would blow this view up and squeeze EURUSD higher instead. Until that happens, I’m treating EURUSD as a lagger that confirms the broader dollar story, not a pair that sets it.
Short
by ultreosforex
6
Is EUR/USD Preparing for a Deeper Bearish Continuation Move?EUR/USD BEARISH SWING 🐻 | Layer Entry "Thief" Strategy | MA Pullback Confirmation 🎯 TRADE SETUP: EUR/USD "The Fibre" - BEARISH SWING Hey Traders! 👋 Ready for a potential swing move? The Fibre is showing a classic bearish setup, and we're deploying a strategic entry to catch the wave. Let's break it down! ⬇️ 📉 MARKET BIAS & STRATEGY Bias: Strong Bearish Strategy: "Thief" Layer Entries + Moving Average Pullback & Trend Reversal The bearish structure is confirmed! Price is respecting key resistance and showing weakness after a pullback to the moving average. We're using a "Thief" style layer strategy to scale into the position optimally. 🎯 ⚙️ TRADE PLAN & EXECUTION 🎯 ENTRY (Thief Layer Method): We are not chasing price! We are placing multiple SELL LIMIT orders at key levels to get a favorable average entry. ✅ Layer 1 (Initial): 1.15800 ✅ Layer 2 (Add): 1.15600 ✅ Layer 3 (Add): 1.15400 💡 Pro Tip: You can increase or adjust these layers based on your capital and risk appetite. 🛑 STOP LOSS (Risk Management): A unified Stop Loss is set at 1.16000. ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY SL based on MY strategy. Dear Thief OG's 🦹‍♂️🦹‍♀️, you MUST adjust your SL based on your own risk tolerance and account size. Protect your capital! 💰 TAKE PROFIT TARGET: Our primary target is the strong support zone at 1.14300. This level aligns with: 📉 Strong Support 🩹 Oversold Conditions Potential Bull Trap 🔗 Positive Correlation Confirmation 🚨 Another Critical Note: Take profits based on YOUR plan! If you're in profit, feel free to escape early. Manage your own trade! 🔍 CORRELATION & PAIRS TO WATCH A move in EUR/USD doesn't happen in isolation. Keep these on your radar: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index): 🚨 KEY DRIVER! A stronger DXY = Bearish EUR/USD. Watch for bullish breaks in the DXY to confirm our bearish bias. GBP/USD ( FX:GBPUSD ): Often moves in correlation with EUR/USD. If Cable is also falling, it reinforces the USD strength narrative. USD/CHF ( OANDA:USDCHF ): Typically inverse to EUR/USD. A bullish USD/CHF supports our bearish EUR/USD outlook. EUR/GBP ( OANDA:EURGBP ): Watch for relative strength/weakness. If EUR/GBP is also falling, it confirms broad EUR weakness. 💎 FINAL WORDS This is a swing trade plan. Patience is key! 🗝️ If you found this idea helpful: 👍 Smash that LIKE button! 🔔 Follow me for more "Thief" strategies and clear setups! 💬 Comment below with your thoughts or questions! Let's get those pips! 🏴‍☠️ Happy Trading, and remember, the trend is your friend (until it ends)!
Short
by The-Thief
EURUSD is shaping a potential corrective phaseThe pair is pulling back after its recent rise, but the overall structure hints that this pause may be temporary. A developing pattern is forming, and the next impulse could unfold once this correction completes. Traders should stay alert momentum could shift quickly as price approaches the next decision point. **Disclosure:** We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
by WeTradeWAVES
EUR/USD Pair Reaches 1.5-Month HighEUR/USD Pair Reaches 1.5-Month High This morning, the EUR/USD rate moved above 1.1680 during early trading — its highest level since mid-October. The main driver behind the rise is traders’ assessment of the diverging policies of central banks. Based on the fundamental outlook ahead of the December meetings: → The market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in December under pressure from the Trump administration, making the dollar appear less profitable and less attractive. → The ECB, by contrast, has adopted a wait-and-see stance. Inflation in the Eurozone is close to target, and there seems to be no intention to cut rates aggressively for now. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart In November, the pair formed a broad balance zone: → The 1.1500 level acted as support — the price dipped below it twice, but failed to hold beneath this psychological mark. → A downward sloping trendline (shown in red) served as resistance. At the start of December, we see that price growth within the blue ascending channel has led to a bullish breakout above the red resistance line. However, the chart suggests that the rally may now be losing momentum, because: → As the arrow indicates, this morning’s attempt to surpass yesterday’s high may result in a candle with a long upper wick. → RSI conditions point to a possible bearish divergence between price highs A and B. It is possible that the EUR/USD rise to a 1.5-month high could attract sellers — therefore, forex traders should not rule out a pullback towards the lower boundary of the blue channel. A retest from above of the red line is also possible. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Buy Levels Mapped Out | Bullish Pullback PlayEUR/USD "The Fibre" 🎯 Bullish MA Pullback | Layered "Thief" Entry Strategy (Swing/Day Trade) 💰⚡ 👑 EUR/USD BULLISH OPPORTUNITY - PROFESSIONAL PLAN 👑 Hey Traders! 👋 The "Fibre" is setting up a classic and high-probability bullish continuation pattern. Here’s a detailed guide to navigate this Swing to Day Trade opportunity. 📈 Core Thesis: Asset: EUR/USD ("The Fibre") Bias: BULLISH ✅ Strategy: Moving Average Dynamic Support Pullback, confirmed by higher timeframe structure. Entry Method: "The Thief" Layered Limit Order Strategy – Stealing pips on the way down. ⚙️ Trade Plan & "Thief" Execution: CONFIRMATION: Wait for price to pull back into the key support zone (e.g., Dynamic Moving Averages like EMA 50/200) and show signs of rejection (bullish pin bar, engulfing candle, RSI support). ENTRY (LAYERED LIMITS): Instead of one risky entry, use multiple buy limit orders to scale in. This "Thief" method improves your average entry price. Suggested Layers: 1.16400 | 1.16200 | 1.16000 | 1.15800 ⚠️ You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your capital & risk tolerance. STOP LOSS (MANDATORY): Ideal Thief SL: Below the swing low at 1.15000. 🔒 RISK DISCLAIMER: THIS IS MY PLAN. You MUST adjust your SL based on YOUR OWN risk management and strategy. Protect your capital! TAKE PROFIT TARGETS: Primary Target (TP1): 1.17800 – A strong resistance & overbought zone. "Escape with profits before the trap!" Scalping Option: Consider partial profits at interim resistance levels. 🎯 KEY NOTE: TP is your choice! Manage your trade actively. "Make money, then take money" at your own discretion. 🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH & KEY CORRELATIONS: Monitoring these pairs helps confirm the Euro/Dollar story: PEPPERSTONE:USDX (DXY): 🔥 INVERSE CORRELATION. A weaker DXY directly supports a stronger EUR/USD. Watch for DXY rejection from resistance. GBP/USD ("Cable"): ✅ POSITIVE CORRELATION. Often moves in tandem with EUR/USD. Strength here can confirm broad USD weakness. EUR/GBP: 🔄 INTERNAL EURO STRENGTH GAUGE. If EUR/USD rises and EUR/GBP is stable/rising, it signals genuine Euro demand, not just USD selling. USD/CHF: ✅ INVERSE CORRELATION. Another USD pair that often mirrors EUR/USD inversely (though watch for CHF safe-haven flows). AUD/USD & NZD/USD: 🟡 RISK CORRELATION. If these are also strong, it indicates a broader "risk-on" USD sell-off, reinforcing the bullish EUR/USD setup. ✅ Summary: Strategy: Bullish Pullback + Layered "Thief" Entries. Risk: Defined & Managed with layered SL. Target: Clear Resistance Zone. Context: Supported by multi-pair analysis. 💬 Let's Discuss! What do you think of this setup? Are you watching the same levels? Drop your analysis below! 👇 🚨 REMINDER: This is my personal analysis, not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk. Trade responsibly! 👍 LIKE & FOLLOW if you find this detailed guide helpful! It helps the algorithm and keeps more professional ideas coming your way! ✅ #TradingView #Forex #EURUSD #Fibonacci #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexAnalysis #TradingStrategy #ThiefStrategy #RiskManagement #DXY #FX
by The-Thief
EURUSD: End of Deep Retracement - Downtrend ResumptionThe EURUSD is positioned to resume its downward trend after completing a major pullback on the 1HR chart, with confirmation across smaller timeframes. 📊 Multi-Timeframe Analysis: 1HR Chart: Major pullback complete 5Min Chart: Bearish wave structure complete Signal: Secondary trend (correction) began yesterday 🔍 Setup Breakdown: The Signal: Price failed above an internal Momentum High on the 5-minute chart. This failure pattern always signals bearish momentum—buyers attempted to push higher but lacked conviction. Wave Structure: Downtrend established Deep retracement completed Corrective wave finished Resumption pattern confirmed Reference: This setup was covered extensively in last week's major pairs analysis where I broke down the EURUSD structure in detail. 📈 Trade Details: Entry: 1.1642 Stop Loss (Invalidation): 1.1655 Risk: 13 pips Target: 1.1577 (T1 Key Ratio) Potential: 65 pips Risk:Reward: 5:1 Key Principle: Deep retracements are normal in trending markets. The key is waiting for wave structure completion and failure patterns before entering the resumption trade. This is mechanical trading. This is the WavesOfSuccess methodology. 👍 Hit the boost button if you found this valuable 👤 Follow for more wave structure breakdowns
Short
by Charts247TradingAcademy
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49| D3| Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast - Q4 | W49| D2| Y25 |📅 Q4 | W49| D2| Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT Daily Forecast 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:GBPUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
Q4 | W49 | D1 | Y25 - EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST POST BREAKDOWN📅 Q4 | W49 | D1 | Y25 | 📊 EURUSD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:EURUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
1