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Swiss GDP weakened as expected The GDP data released today shows that Switzerland's GDP grew by 0.1% QoQ in 2Q2025, following a stronger expansion of 0.8% in 1Q2025. This result confirms weak growth for the Swiss economy in the latest quarter, as gains in the services sector were offset by a downturn in industrial activity and export pressures, especially related to recent US tariffs. Weak GDP growth and deflation increase the likelihood of continued dovish SNB policy. Any signs of further slowdown or persistent deflation could trigger additional easing, possibly even negative rates again. Meanwhile, the USD fell due to uncertainty about the Fed's independence, which drove the CHFUSD higher when Trump called to fire Fed Governor Cook. Technically, the pair is trading near 1.2474, with price action consolidating just above several moving averages (EMA 20/50/100/200), indicating a possible emerging bullish bias if the pair maintains above these levels Price recently broke above previous resistance at 1.2450–1.2460, pointing toward a short-term bullish trend continuation, with next resistance seen at 1.2500 and support at 1.2400. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
by WiseLeoTrading
Expectation of Fed rate cut and BoJ rate hike dampen the USDJPYDue to the recent softer US CPI print and weakening labor market data since the start of the month, market expectations for a Fed rate cut have increased. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are pricing in three rate cuts for this year, with the earliest likely to occur in September. Meanwhile, in Japan, inflation has also eased, while concerns about US demand have diminished. Japan's 2Q GDP is expected to rebound to 0.4%, avoiding a technical recession. As a result, markets anticipate the BoJ may hike rates further, which would lend additional support to the yen against the US dollar. Technically, USDJPY has formed a downtrend, characterized by lower swing low and a bearish extension of its EMAs. If USDJPY falls below the 146 support level, the currency pair could test the next support at 145. Conversely, if USD/JPY recovers above both the 21 and 78 EMAs, the price may surge toward the resistance at 149.00. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Analyst at Exness.
Short
by WiseLeoTrading
Will the US Inflation Data Drive a Breakout for USDCAD?Macro approach: - USDCAD edged higher this week amid softer Canadian labor data, boosting BoC cut odds and pre‑CPI caution that kept the USD supported as traders eyed key US inflation prints. - Canada shed 40.8k jobs in Jul while unemployment held at 6.9%, reinforcing expectations for a 17 Sep BoC cut and pressuring the loonie. With Canada's calendar light, focus shifted to the US, where Jul CPI/PPI and Retail Sales are set to steer Fed cut probabilities that sit near 85–90% for Sep, anchoring USD tone into the data. - In short, US inflation and activity data could drive USDCAD direction, while oil's resilience may cushion CAD. A softer US CPI/PPI may weigh on USD and support CAD, but it is limited (Oil trend and Sep rate cut), whereas sticky prints could extend USD firmness into the week. Technical approach: - USDCAD formed a Triple-Bottom pattern and broke the descending channel to make a swing high at around 1.3878. The price retraced and retested the support at around 1.3755 and bounced to close around EMA78. The price is captured within a tight trading range of 1.3755-1.3850, awaiting an apparent breakout to determine the trend. - If USDCAD closes above both EMAs and the resistance at 1.3850, the price may retest May's resistance area at around 1.4000. - On the contrary, closing below the support at 1.3755 and the ascending channel may prompt a correction to retest the key support at 1.3567. PS: I also provide a quick view on DXY regarding US CPI data today via Wall Street Journal: www.wsj.com Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
XAU move sideways, awaiting US CPI todayGold prices declined amid the extended US-China tariff truce, yet they remain highly volatile ahead of today's US CPI data. The market anticipates the July US CPI to rise to 2.8% from May's 2.7%, with Core CPI also expected to increase to 3.0% from 2.9%. Higher inflation could reduce the odds of a Fed rate cut, strengthening the dollar and pressuring gold. Conversely, a larger-than-expected inflation increase could fuel stagflation concerns, potentially supporting gold prices. Another factor that could support gold is the meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin this week in Alaska. A lack of a final agreement to end the war in Ukraine could prompt the US to increase sanctions on Russian goods, which could further exacerbate gold prices. Technically, XAUUSD is trading in a tight range, holding above the 3345 support level and below its EMAs (21, 78), suggesting a continuation of sideways movement. A breach below 3345 could see the price retest next support at 3285, while a sustained hold above this level could prompt a correction towards the 3402 resistance. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategis at Exness
OANDA:XAUUSD
by WiseLeoTrading
Pound break despite the MPC meeting is comingWhile a BoE rate cut of 0.25% is widely anticipated today, the market's focus will be on the post-meeting guidance, which could clarify the future path of monetary policy. The decision is influenced by a weakening labor market and a significant government deficit of 51 bln USD. A dovish stance could lead to a faster pace of cuts, dampening the pound. From a technical perspective, the GBPUSD pair has broken above the EMA78, signaling further potential gains. However, it is currently facing resistance at 1.33800. A break above this level could see the pair test the next resistance at 1.3440. Conversely, a failure to hold this level could lead to a fall toward the support at 1.3150. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategis at Exness
by WiseLeoTrading
BoJ keep interest rate unchanged, yen weakeningFollowing the July meeting, the BoJ maintained its interest rate at 0.5%, citing prevailing uncertainties from trade tariffs. Concurrently, the BoJ revised its inflation forecast upward to 2.7% YoY from 2.2%. The central bank's language on economic uncertainty has become less pessimistic, downgrading trade policy risks from "extremely high" to "high uncertainties remain," which signals a growing, albeit cautious, confidence in the economic outlook. In the US, the June PCE surged to 2.6% YoY, surpassing the 2.5% prev. cons. The increase was attributed to tariff impacts, with Goods prices rising 0.4% MoM, the fastest pace since January, while Services prices held steady at 0.2% MoM. The higher-than-expected US PCE data and the BoJ's decision to hold interest rates have continued to drive further appreciation of the USDJPY. USD/JPY Technical Analysis The USD/JPY pair is trading above its EMAs extensions, signaling a continuation of the bullish momentum. The price has successfully breached the ascending resistance trendline. However, the RSI is in overbought territory, suggesting that the current rally may be extended, and a potential pullback could be imminent. The pair could continue to test the resistance level at 151.367. Should it fail to break this level, a rebound could see the USD/JPY pair test the support at 149.65. By Van Ha Trinh - Financial Market Strategist at Exness
Long
by WiseLeoTrading
Gold in Strong Resistant D1🧠 Chart Summary: Pair: XAUUSD (Gold Spot) Time Frame: H4 Market is clearly in a downtrend – you can spot those Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL). Price hit a supply zone (marked in red) and instantly got rejected – clean bounce. It also touched the “Yesterday High” and then dropped – nice sign of strong resistance. Now price is heading down toward Fibonacci retracement levels (50% and 61.8%) and “Yesterday Low.” 🔻 SELL Trade Breakdown Factor Notes Trend Bearish – structure shows LH and LL Entry Zone Price rejected hard from that supply zone (red area) Candle Confirmation Bearish engulfing setup around that resistance zone Stop Loss Just above the red zone / “Yesterday High” (around 3,250–3,260) TP 1 Around 3,168 (Fibo 50%) TP 2 Around 3,121 (Fibo 61.8% + Yesterday Low) Momentum Solid bearish pressure – broke minor support, looks ready to drop 📈 SELL Plan Summary: Sell Entry: Current level or wait for a retest around 3,240–3,250 Stop Loss: Above 3,260 (above that red zone) Take Profits: TP1: 3,168 (50% fibo) TP2: 3,121 (61.8% fibo + previous day’s low)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by dodogtg
BTC/USDT Breakdown: Bearish Momentum Ahead?📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis 🔻 Trend Breakdown: BTC is in a descending triangle pattern, with lower highs forming resistance. The price has broken below the trendline, indicating bearish momentum. 📊 Key Levels: 📍 EMA 200 (Red Line): 100,411.25 USDT – Acts as major resistance. 📍 Current Price: 97,815.98 USDT – Trading below the 200 EMA, confirming bearish sentiment. 📍 Support Zone: 95,000 USDT – A retest could occur before further downside. 📍 Target: 89,351.53 USDT – The chart suggests a potential drop to this level. ⚠️ Bearish Signals: ✅ Price rejected from descending resistance. ✅ Below the 200 EMA – Bearish confirmation. ✅ Breakout from the structure, signaling further downside. 💡 Conclusion: If BTC stays below the resistance zone, expect further decline toward 89,350 USDT. If bulls regain control above 100,400 USDT, trend reversal could happen. 🚨 Trade Caution: Monitor volume and price action near the key support! 🧐
Short
by MrStellanSight
NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus📢 Title: NAS100USD Bullish Reversal: Gap Fill & Upside Target in Focus 🚀 📊 Current Price Action: The latest price is 21,490.1 📈, showing a +0.29% gain (+62.3 points) ✅. The 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) 📊 is at 21,365.2, suggesting the price is slightly above this key moving average. 📌 Key Levels & Market Structure: 🔻 BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a bearish structure break before the current recovery. 📉 GAP: There is a visible gap in the price action, which often acts as a magnet for price movements. 💰 Liquidity & Internal Liquidity (Int. LQ): Suggests areas where institutional interest may have been present. 📈 Trend & Potential Direction: The price recently bounced off the 200 EMA 🔄, indicating possible bullish momentum 📈. The ⬆️ arrow projection suggests a bullish outlook, targeting the gap fill and potentially moving higher towards 21,800 - 22,000. If price holds above 21,365, the bullish thesis remains valid ✅. 🏆 Conclusion: 🐂 Bullish Bias: Price is recovering from a break of structure (BOS) and pushing higher towards unfilled gaps 📊. 📍 Key Levels to Watch: 🛑 Support: 21,365 (200 EMA) – If it breaks below, downside risk increases ⚠️. 🚧 Resistance: 21,600 (gap area) – Price might struggle before breaking through 🚀. 💡 Trade Idea: A 📈 long position targeting 21,800+, with a stop loss below 21,365 🔥.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by MrStellanSight
EUR/GBP Bearish Momentum – Eyes on Support Zone!📊 EUR/GBP Daily Chart Analysis (28th Jan 2025) 🔹 Overview: Pair: EUR/GBP Current Price: 0.83855 📉 (-0.10%) Key Indicators: 200 EMA (Red Line): 0.84129 (Price is below the EMA, indicating bearish sentiment) Resistance Zone (🟠 Orange Box): ~0.84200 - 0.84400 Support Zone (🟢 Green Box): ~0.83200 - 0.83400 🔻 Bearish Outlook: Price recently rejected the resistance zone and started declining. It is now trading below the 200 EMA, suggesting potential further downside. Next Target: The support zone (~0.83200 - 0.83400) is likely the next major level. 📉 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Bearish Continuation ⬇️ If the price maintains momentum, it may head toward the support zone (~0.83200). A break below support could trigger further downside. 2️⃣ Bullish Rebound 🔄 If the price finds strong buying interest at support, a rebound toward the resistance (~0.84200) is possible. A breakout above 200 EMA could shift momentum back to bullish. 🎯 Trading Considerations: Short Opportunity: Below 0.83800, targeting 0.83400. Long Opportunity: If support holds around 0.83200, aiming for a move back to resistance. Breakout Watch: A move above 0.84200 could trigger bullish momentum. 🔥 Conclusion: Currently, the trend is bearish, and price action suggests further downside toward the support zone. Keep an eye on price behavior around 0.83400 for potential reactions.
by MrStellanSight
AUD/JPY At a Breaking Point – Big Move Loading!AUD/JPY is sitting at a crucial level right now. We're seeing a descending triangle pattern forming, with price getting squeezed between lower highs and key support around the 200 EMA (94.64). A breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp drop, with targets around 90 and possibly 85-87 in the coming weeks. The bearish momentum is building, and today's red candle isn't looking too promising for bulls. On the flip side, if buyers step in and push it back above 97.50, we might see a recovery towards the 100 level. But for now, the bias leans bearish unless we get a strong reversal signal. Keep an eye on that 94 level – a breakdown could mean more downside ahead. 🔻
by MrStellanSight
U.S Dollar Index (DXY) Rising Wedge Potential Reversal !!U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on a 2-day timeframe, a rising wedge pattern. Here’s a breakdown of the technical analysis: Key Observations: 1. Rising Wedge Pattern: The price has been following an upward trajectory within two converging trendlines. A rising wedge is typically a bearish reversal pattern, meaning a breakdown could lead to a decline. 2. Recent Price Action: The index has recently dropped from its recent high near 108.107 and is now trading at 107.807. This suggests that selling pressure is increasing. 3. 200 EMA Support: The 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is currently at 104.510. This is a key support level—if the price breaks down from the wedge, it may test the 200 EMA. 4. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Breakdown: If DXY breaks below the lower wedge trendline, the index could drop toward the 104.5-105.0 level (200 EMA). A further breakdown may lead to a decline toward 102-100 levels. Bullish Continuation: If DXY bounces from current levels and reclaims the upper wedge resistance, it could push toward 110-112. However, this is less likely given the wedge structure. Conclusion: The chart suggests a potential reversal in DXY. A breakdown from the rising wedge could lead to a decline toward 104-105. If bulls regain strength, DXY may attempt to push higher, but upside is limited. Traders should watch for confirmation of a breakdown or bounce before making decisions.
TVC:DXY
by MrStellanSight
2
BITCOIN (BTC/USDT) ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT !!Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Analysis: Breakout Toward $110K? Key Observations: 1. Ascending Triangle Formation: BTC is forming an ascending triangle pattern, a bullish continuation setup. A breakout above resistance could lead to a strong upward move. 2. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: ~$108K-$110K (highlighted in red). Support Zone: ~$104K-$105K. 200 EMA Support: Currently at $100,528, acting as a strong dynamic support. 3. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If BTC holds above $104K and breaks resistance near $108K, it could rally toward $110K and beyond. Rejection & Retest: If BTC faces rejection, a pullback to $104K or even the 200 EMA ($100.5K) could occur before another attempt higher. Conclusion: Bullish bias remains intact as long as BTC holds above $104K. A confirmed breakout above $108K-$110K could trigger a move toward new highs. Watch for volume confirmation on a breakout to validate the uptrend.
by MrStellanSight
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Breakout Incoming? Eyeing $4,000 TargetEthereum (ETH/USDT) 4H Analysis: Breakout Toward $4,000? Key Observations: 1. Potential Double Bottom Formation: ETH appears to be forming a double bottom near the $3,000 support level, indicating a potential bullish reversal. 2. 200 EMA Resistance: The 200 EMA ($3,324) is acting as resistance. A clear breakout above this level could confirm bullish momentum. 3. RSI Indicates Momentum Shift: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.85, trending upward, suggesting increasing buying pressure but not yet overbought. 4. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If ETH breaks and holds above $3,324, the next target could be around $4,000. Rejection & Retest: If ETH faces rejection at $3,324, it may retest $3,000 before another attempt higher. Conclusion: ETH is showing bullish potential, especially if it clears $3,324 resistance. A confirmed breakout could trigger a strong rally toward $3,800-$4,000. Traders should watch for volume confirmation to validate the move.
by MrStellanSight
EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis – Gap Fill Incoming?EUR/JPY 4H Chart Analysis 🏆📊 🚀 Current Price: 162.308 📍 200 EMA: 162.099 (Dynamic Support) 🔥 Key Levels & Insights: 🟥 Major Support Zone (Red Area - 162.000) ✅ Price recently bounced off this level, showing strong buying pressure. ✅ If price holds above 162.000, a bullish continuation is likely. 📈 Gap Zone (Orange - 163.000 - 163.500) 🔍 There’s a price imbalance above, meaning price could be drawn towards it. 🔼 Gaps act as magnets! A move up to fill the gap is likely. 📊 200 EMA (162.099) - Crucial Level 🚦 Price is hovering above the 200 EMA. If it remains above, we can expect further bullish momentum. 🔮 Price Prediction & Trade Idea 📌 If price breaks and holds above 162.500, expect a 🚀 move towards 163.500. 📌 Rejection from 163.500 could bring a pullback 📉 back to 162.500. 🚨 Risk Alert: 🔻 If price drops below 162.000, bears might take control, pushing it to 161.500 or lower. 💡 Final Thoughts: 👉 Bulls 🐂 need to break 162.500 to push towards 163.500. 👉 Bears 🐻 will gain control if price loses 162.000. 🔥 Verdict: ✅ Bullish Bias if price stays above 162.000. 🚀 Target: 163.500 (Gap Fill). 🔻 Invalidation: Below 162.000.
by MrStellanSight
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Symmetrical Triangle Analysis: Next move?Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 4H Chart Analysis Key Observations: 1. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: The chart shows a symmetrical triangle formation, characterized by converging trendlines. This pattern typically signals a breakout, but the direction (up or down) depends on market momentum. 2. Current Price Action: BTC is trading around $102,979.98 at the time of the chart. It is above the 200 EMA ($100,003.64), indicating bullish strength. The price recently bounced off support and is moving towards resistance. 3. Support and Resistance Levels: Support: Around $97,785.55 (blue line). Resistance: Around $109,636.60 (blue line). 4. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Breakout: If BTC breaks above the upper trendline, it may rally towards $109,636.60 or higher. A confirmed breakout could push BTC to $112,500+. Bearish Breakdown: If BTC rejects at resistance and breaks downward, it could retest the $100,000 level or lower. A breakdown could target $97,785.55 or even $95,000. Final Thoughts: Watch for a breakout or breakdown from the triangle pattern. Volume is crucial—a high-volume breakout confirms strength, while low volume can indicate a fakeout. If BTC stays above $100,000 (200 EMA support), the bullish bias remains intact.
by MrStellanSight
1
XAUUSD Analysis: Potential Bearish Pullback Towards Key Support📉 XAUUSD Daily Analysis 🔍 🚨 Potential for a Bearish Pullback 🚨 Gold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of a potential downward move after rejecting a key resistance level. If this momentum continues, we could see the price heading towards the support zone at 2680/2670. 💡 Key Insights: 📌 Market rejection at resistance = possible bearish momentum. 📌 Target support area: 2680/2670. 📌 Risk Management: Stick to 1-2% risk on trades. ⚠️ Historical Note: When the market last hit an all-time high, it saw a sharp one-day drop. Stay cautious! 💬 Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk effectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrStellanSight
11
USD/CHF Poised for a Bullish Breakout: Path to Parity Bullish Scenario 🚀📈 1. Breakout Above the EMA (200) 🔺: If the price closes above the 200-week EMA (0.9082), it could confirm a long-term bullish trend reversal. A strong push may target key levels like 0.9500 and eventually 1.0000 (parity) 🎯, as shown by the projection arrow. 2. RSI Support 💪: The RSI above 50 indicates that buyers are gaining momentum. If RSI trends toward 70, it signals even stronger bullish momentum ✅📊. 3. Higher Highs and Higher Lows 📶: The chart is forming higher highs and higher lows, a classic signal of an uptrend. This pattern supports a move toward higher price levels 🚀. 🔥 Key Takeaway: A breakout above the EMA could spark a powerful rally, with parity (1.0000) as a major psychological target.
Long
by MrStellanSight
USD/JPY Market Update: Support Holds and Resistance Levels AheadUSD/JPY has held firm at the support level and is now returning to a buy zone. Currently, the market is at 156.500, with the next resistance level set at 159.000. I’ve explained the market clearly in my chart analysis for easier understanding. If anyone has questions, feel free to ask in the comments or send me a message in my inbox. Thank you for your support—like, comment, and follow for more updates!
by MrStellanSight
Gold Price Forecast: Key Levels to Watch !!Gold Price Analysis: 🔑 Key Zones and 📉 Potential Reversal at MA200 1️⃣ Resistance Zone 🟥: The red-highlighted area marks a strong resistance zone. A breakout 🚀 above this level could lead to bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Liquidity Zones 💧: The "In LQ" region shows where liquidity may be resting, suggesting possible retracements or reversals near this point. 3️⃣ 200 EMA Support 📊: The MA200 (2,734.059) is a critical support level. A breakdown 🔻 here could send prices lower, testing further support levels. 📈 Potential Scenarios: 🔼 Bullish: Break above resistance 🟥 with higher highs. 🔽 Bearish: Rejection from resistance 🟥 leading to a drop toward the MA200 support 📉. Watch these levels closely! 🔎
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrStellanSight
1
USOIL remains under pressure USOIL remains under pressure, with the price approaching the support-turned-resistance zone at 72.00, which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci extension level. A reversal below the 72.00 resistance could prompt a further decline and a potential retest of the 66.00 support zone. The Ichimoku cloud also shows bearish pressure, indicating the potential for a further decline. Conversely, a break above 72.00 could prompt a further rise, with 75.00 as the next potential resistance. Analysis by: Li Xing Gan, Financial Market Strategist at Exness
TVC:USOILShort
by lixing_gan