Light Crde Oil ( CL1!, US Oil ).... BULLISHAs I mentioned in the Weekly Outlook video, I expected the fair value gap + the bullish breaker block to hold price, and provide support for a potential rally. It chopped since Tuesday, but we've seen the bulls come in and slowly start to move price higher.
I expect that price will continue that move today.
I am looking for price to pullback a bit, after taking the yesterday's high. I should pullback halfway into Thur's candle, and push higher towards the highlighted draw on LQ (red line).
If it doesn't happen today, then I look towards the beginning of next week for it to play out.
May profits be upon you.
Fairvaluegap
USD Index (DXY, DX1!, ) Weekly Update.... BEARISHYes, I did call for bearishness in the Weekly Outlook. And yes, the USD has moved bullishly since Tuesday. However, I did state that price would move up into the fair value gap, and from there, the bears would take over.
Remember, I described an External to an Internal RUn on LQ. Price has moved from Discount to Premium prices. Currently, price is positioned to make the downward move!
I do believe price has finally started to turn over, as the FVG has been filled ... to the pip!
We should be looking to see the bearish FVG will hold, and watch for valid sell setups.
I do not trade DXY, but use it as an indicator, as I mentioned in the Outlook video. I would be looking for buys in xxxUSD pairs, and sells in USDxxx pairs. Also, Gold should continue upwards, as well as S&P, NAS, and DJ.
May profits be upon you.
GBPJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!GJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
EURJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!EJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
GBPJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!GJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
USDJPY - READY FOR THE BULL TO CONTINUE?!UJ has some amazing bullish momentum behind it- and I am looking to continue to ride this trend and long it!
I am Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the daily fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for market structure shift on the hourly and attack!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
How to trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)This trading strategy was initially popularized by an infamous trader who is also the founder of the Inner Circle Trading (ICT) method which is claimed to be the evolved version of the SMC. Let’s first take a look at the building blocks of this trading strategy and compare it with the well-known trading concepts by industrial titans (Dow, Wyckoff, Elliott).
Essentially, SMC puts forth the notion that market makers, including institutions like banks and hedge funds, play a deliberate role in complicating trading endeavours for retail traders. Under the Smart Money Concepts framework, retail traders are advised to construct their strategies around the activities of the "smart money," denoting the capital controlled by these market makers.
The core concept involves replicating the trading behaviour of these influential entities, with a specific focus on variables such as supply, demand dynamics, and the structural aspects of the market. Therefore, as an SMC trader, you'll meticulously examine these elements when making trading decisions, aligning your approach with the sophisticated techniques of prominent market figures. By embracing this perspective and closely monitoring the actions of market makers, SMC traders endeavour to establish an advantageous position in their trading activities, aiming to capitalise on market movements driven by smart money.
When you initially dive into the Smart Money Concepts (SMC), the technical vocabulary can be a bit overwhelming. To help demystify it, here's an overview of some common terms used by SMC traders.
1. Order Blocks
These are used to discuss supply and demand. Some SMC traders consider order blocks as a more refined concept than standard supply and demand, although not everyone agrees on this.
An order block signifies a concentrated area of limit orders awaiting execution, identified on a chart by analysing past price movements for significant shifts. These zones serve as pivotal points in price action trading, influencing the market's future direction. When a multitude of buy or sell orders cluster at a specific price level, it establishes a robust support or resistance, capable of absorbing pressure and triggering price reversals or consolidation.
2.Fair Value Gap
You should clarify whether your current trading style suits you. If you don't have time to look at charts during the day, you should not focus your strategy on intraday trading using 1
5-minute or 30-minute charts. It is definitely better to develop an approach that works on a 4-hour or daily chart so that you have enough time to analyze the charts before or after work.
Ideal time and timeframe
This phrase describes an imbalance in the market. It occurs when the price departs from a specific level with limited trading activity, resulting in one-directional price movement.
In the case of a bearish trend, the Fair Value Gap represents the price range between the low of the previous candle and the high of the following candle. This area reveals a discrepancy in the market, which may indicate a potential trading opportunity. The same principle applies to a bullish trend but with the opposite conditions.
3.Liquidity
Liquidity plays a pivotal role in SMC. It pertains to price levels where orders accumulate, rendering an asset class "liquid." Essentially, these are price points with available orders ready for transactions. Liquidity can manifest in various forms, such as highs and lows or trend line liquidity.
How liquidity is handled varies depending on the trader. One of the most common approaches is to use a pivot high or pivot low. For better understanding, a pivot high or low is formed when several adjacent candlesticks have a higher low or lower high.
In the picture, we can see the pivot low. The candlestick has the lowest low compared to its three neighbours to the right and left.
4.Break of Structure (BOS)
Once you become familiar with this terminology, you'll realize that many SMC concepts are consistent with traditional trading ideas. A fundamental element of SMC market analysis is the emphasis on the "break of structure" (BOS) in the market.
5.Change of Character (ChoCH)
For instance, in a chart illustrating breaks of structure, each time the price surpasses the previous high, a break of structure occurs. Conversely, when the price drops below previously established lows, it signals a change of character (ChoCH). SMC traders leverage their understanding of these patterns to make informed decisions based on the market's behaviour.
USDJPY: LETS GO LONG BABYYYWe just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair and a bullish trend change!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
EURUSD: BEARISH TREND CHANGE- TIME TO SHORTWe got a confirmed bearish trend change for EU on 4H. MASSIVE BEARISH MOMENTUM
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
GBPUSD:TREND CHABGE- GET READY TO SHORT SOON!We got a confirmed bearish trend change for GC. MASSIVE BEARISH MOMENTUM
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
ANOTHER USDJPY SHORT- MONEY PRINTER IS LOADING AGAIN !We are seeing clean bearish momentum for this pair. Excellent and clear market structure of lower lows and lower highs.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
EURUSD: LET'S LONG AGAINWe just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
CANNOT WAIT TO SHORT USDJPY AGAIN! GET THE MONEY PRINTER READYWe are seeing clean bearish momentum for this pair. Excellent and clear market structure of lower lows and lower highs.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
GBPCAD: READY TO SHORT SOON!We got a confirmed bearish trend change for GC (2 LL and 2 LH is what I look for to ensure I do not fall for the trap of a fake trend change!)
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
EURUSD: ALMOSY READY FOR LIFT OFF! GET THE MONEY PRINTER READYWe just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair! Such A BIG JUICY... BULL CANDLE and continuation after the FOMC!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
ALMOST READY FOR GBPUSD LIFTOFF!We just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair! Such A BIG JUICY... BULL CANDLE and continuation after the FOMC! We have also aligned bullish on the daily, 4H, 1H timeframes.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
EURUSD: LOOKING TO GO LONG LADIES AND GENTS!We just saw clean bullish momentum for this pair! Such A BIG JUICY... BULL CANDLE after the FOMC!
Now looking for trend continuation to take a long trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bullish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy LONG!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
CANNOT WAIT TO SHORT USDJPY AGAIN! YUMMWe are seeing clean bearish momentum for this pair. Excellent and clear market structure of lower lows and lower highs.
Now looking for trend continuation to take a short trade.
Waiting for at least a 50% retracement and price coming into the fair value gap (this is a must for my system!)- then we look for a bearish trend change on 15min and ATTACK!
This is looking like a very yummy short!
Follow and Stay tuned my friends ;)
Watching for Possible shorts daily sibi has been creating resistance for the last 11 days, the dealing range is in bullish and price is in a premium, the volume has been weakening on the rally up, however supply has not stepped in the market to bring prices lower, so we can be in a manipulation/consolidation of the market
4hr and lower is making bearish structure so I'm anticipating price continuing lower to
15725.00
i would like to to see price retrace around 15847.00 before dropping down into this level
NQ what are you doing lol daily time frame shows NQ is in a bullish trading range at a premium and price action has been pretty much sideways for past 6 days meaning consolidation and anything lower than the daily can result in buy side and sell side liquidity being taken
4h bullish trading range at a premium and price action has been sweeping liquidity both ways with no clear displacement, I favor price falling to sell side but without the displacement that will not happen, I have marked the liquidity that has been taken and what has not
I will continue observing but for now im playing the sidelines
Nq Price Action Watch I'm anticipating price selling off into any one of the w-bisi pd arrays since price is in a premium according to the daily range to reach for sell side liquidity. I will look for potential shorts in Ny session at area of interest before first sell side target is reached if the opportunity presents itself
high news is coming out this week between Wednesday and Friday so we will see how that impacts price action
Watching Levels on Micro NQdaily-price has taken out monthly buy-side liquidity
4hr- we are in a bullish trading range and currently pulling back the price has disrespected the first BISI that was in the premium of the range
1hr- price failed to take out the Asian buy-side and just fell in London creating SIBIs,
my AOI for buys would be around 50-61% of the fib on the 4hr if we price can come in that zone and create a lower time frame market momentum shift.
Gold Run Big Time Bullishretraced into a FVG recently broke structure on the 5 min so either it swept its liquidity down there in the FVG and continues breaking the old high that i marked out as black (5 min, 15 min, 1h, 4h) and just rallies or it´ll go down again sweep liquidity once again and then will continue to break the last highs. tp under the FVG that i marked out that could bring sells. also the other higher time frames are bullish. so lets look for thos longs and start makin bread!!