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Fearandgreed

Top 5 Mindset Mistakes That Kill Your Trades⭐ Top 5 Mindset Mistakes That Kill Your Trades Your strategy is not the problem — your mindset is. Most traders lose because emotions control decisions. Fix these 5 mindset mistakes, and your results change immediately. 1️⃣ Revenge Trading — Trading From Emotion, Not Logic 😡🔥 After a loss, many traders try to “win it back” immediately. This leads to: impulsive entries 🎯 oversized positions 💥 chasing price 🏃‍♂️💨 breaking rules 📉 Revenge trading is the fastest way to destroy your account. ✔️ Fix: Stop trading after a big emotional loss. Reset → Review → Return calm. 2️⃣ Fear & Greed — The Two Emotions That Control the Market 😰💰 Fear makes you exit too early. Greed makes you hold too long. They cause: hesitation ❌ early exits 🏳️ chasing breakouts 🚀 ignoring risk limits ⚠️ Fear and greed create emotional, not technical trades. ✔️ Fix: Set TP/SL BEFORE entering — never adjust emotionally. 3️⃣ Overtrading & No Clear Plan 📊🌀 Trading randomly because “the chart looks good” is gambling. Overtrading drains your money AND your discipline. You overtrade when: you want constant action 🎲 you feel FOMO 😵‍💫 you jump between setups ⚡ you trade every candle 🕒 ✔️ Fix: Build a simple plan: Entry rules ✏️ Exit rules 🎯 Risk per trade 📐 Trading times ⏰ Follow it with discipline. 4️⃣ Impatience — Forcing Trades Before They’re Ready ⏳⚡ Most losses come from entering too early or too late. Impatience creates fake setups in your mind. Signs of impatience: entering before confirmation 🚦 exiting trades too early 😓 forcing a trade because you’re bored 😴 chasing volatility 💨 ✔️ Fix: Wait for your confirmation signals. Patience pays more than speed in trading. 5️⃣ Emotional Attachment to Losing Trades 💔📉 You hold a losing trade because: you don’t want to accept the loss 😤 you hope the market “comes back” 🙏 your ego hates being wrong 💭 This mindset destroys accounts faster than anything else. ✔️ Fix: Treat losses as part of the statistical process — not personal failure. 🌟 Final Message Controlling emotions is more powerful than any indicator. Master your discipline, patience, and neutral mindset, and your trading results will transform. Your mind is the real trading system. 🧠✨
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by XAU_EMPIRE
8
24/11/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $96,057.33 Last weeks low: $93,034.53 Midpoint: $80,642.73 Has Bitcoin found its low, or is there more downside to come? After yet another brutal week of downtrend BTC tags $80,000 before bouncing back towards the weekly range midpoint at $88,000, a +10% bounce. It's important to note that back in April during the Tariff War sell-off, the $80,000 area was the origin of the subsequent move up to $110,000. So historically this area should provide support when retested as it has initially. What this does mean to me, the high time frame trend has shifted from bullish with areas of choppy rangebound consolidation before the next leg up, to now a new lower high ($108,000 rejection) which confirmed the 1d 200 EMA as resistance, and much lower low ($80,000 last weeks low) which confirms a bearish flip. For me this week it's about finding out if the bottom is already in or if not, where will it be? In terms of bullish target should the bottom already be in, it's the $98,000-$100,000 area. This key s/r level has been an important battleground since December '24, it's a big even level too so psychologically important, and the origin of this 20% sell-off. Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 19 but hit as low as 11 over the weekend, the lowest so far this bull run. These factors have me leaning towards the local bottom is in. However, if the bottom is not in then $74,000 comes into play, the Tariff war low. That would complete a full retrace of this years move up to $126,000 (-40% from high). The current weekly low sits at -36% move which is the largest of the bull run so far but not uncommon in previous cycles. Good luck this week everybody!
by ProR35
Bitcoin's Death Cross is Here: A crash with a message for all!Bitcoin has just delivered one of its most significant reality ✔ checks of the year — the recent crash wasn’t simply a dip; it was a multi-layered market unwind that exposes the current fragility of the crypto ecosystem. 📉 Current Bitcoin Situation: “From Euphoria to Uncertainty” Bitcoin’s trend shifted rapidly over the past few weeks. Spot ETFs that once fueled relentless upside have significantly slowed inflows, with some days printing net outflows as retail enthusiasm cooled and institutions trimmed exposure. Meanwhile: Over billions in long liquidations hit in some days. Funding flipped aggressively negative Sentiment turned from greed → hesitation High beta alts saw steeper collapses, showing risk-off behavior This wasn’t random volatility — it was a controlled flush triggered by structural weakness. 🔥 Why Bitcoin Crashed: The Real Story 🔹 Technical Factors BTC lost a major support cluster after multiple failed attempts to hold the mid-range. Open interest was overheated, creating the perfect setup for a liquidation cascade. Price rejected sharply from a supply zone that aligns with the weekly imbalance. ☠️ Death Cross on Daily Time Frame: Now Confirmed The 50 SMA crossing below the 200 SMA is not a “doom event” by itself… But historically, Bitcoin rarely ignores this signal, especially when paired with weakening momentum and fading liquidity. ⚠ The last major Death Cross? 2022’s brutal bear continuation, which led to several months of grinding downside before any meaningful reversal. The current structure looks uncomfortably similar: Lower highs printing consistently Loss of trend strength Distribution patterns on higher time frames Declining demand from smart money inflows This isn’t fearmongering — it’s observation. 🔹 Fundamental + Macro Factors ETF inflow cooldown = reduced demand pressure Miners started selling into strength to stabilize income post-difficulty adjustment Global markets leaned risk-off due to macro tightening Whales began distributing quietly (confirmed by on-chain inflow spikes into exchanges) When technical fragility meets fundamental slowdown, crashes are not accidents — they’re consequences. 🐋 Whales Are Selling: “When the quiet money moves, the market reacts loud.” On-chain data over the last week showed: Increase in exchange inflows from large wallets Spot distribution from old long-term holders ETF issuers are reducing inventory during downswings This behavior is classic: Whales distribute during periods of retail excitement… Retail panics during whale exits… And the crash becomes a self-fulfilling cycle. 📅 4–6 Week Forecast: “Chop, Pain & Opportunity” Over the next month or so, the market will likely experience: Sideways-to-down structure Failed rally attempts near the 50 SMA Whip-saw price action due to low conviction Accumulation pockets are forming quietly BTC needs to reclaim the 50 SMA with strength before a clean trend resumes. Until then, volatility ≠ strength. 🎯 Conclusion: Re-Investment Zones & Smart Accumulation Crashes are emotional for most, but strategic for the prepared. This is not a call to rush. It’s a reminder: Smart money enters when sentiment collapses. Dumb money enters when sentiment peaks. Analyze. Prepare. Don’t chase. 🧩 Comment down below 👇 and let’s talk about how to overcome it — build awareness together as traders, not competitors. If this Idea gave you valuable information, then please boost it, and follow for more practical trading! Happy Trading & Investing! Team @TradeWithKeshhav
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by TradeWithKeshhav
Fear & Greed Index — Rebuilt as a Macro Oscillator for CryptoThe Fear & Greed Index is everywhere — a popular way to gauge market sentiment. But it's usually just a mix of volatility, momentum, and social buzz... 📉 Not exactly macro. This script is a technical reinterpretation of the Fear & Greed concept — but grounded in real, measurable economic behavior . 🧠 The Core Idea This indicator is powered by the Copper/Gold ratio , a time-tested signal used by economists and institutional traders to track macroeconomic cycles: - 🟢 When Copper outperforms → the economy is likely expanding → risk-on → Greed - 🔴 When Gold outperforms → the economy may be contracting → risk-off → Fear Copper represents industrial growth , while Gold signals defensive capital flows . We track this ratio over time using a Z-Score oscillator to identify when sentiment is statistically stretched in either direction — highlighting moments of macro-level greed or fear. 📊 Why It Matters for Crypto Crypto doesn’t live in a vacuum. It's highly sensitive to the broader risk environment. This oscillator gives you a macro lens to help: - Anticipate bullish or bearish shifts in crypto markets - Avoid common emotional traps at sentiment extremes - Build entries or exits around macro confluence zones It doesn’t tell you when to buy or sell — it tells you when the market context is shifting . 🔧 How to Use It - Watch for the Z-Score entering > +2 (Greed) or < -2 (Fear) - Use it to confirm broader risk-on/off behavior - Combine with BTC or ETH price for potential lead/lag relationships - Customize the tickers to test other macro pairs (e.g. SPX/VIX, BTC/DXY) 📈 Built with Pine Script v6 🔍 Default Tickers: CAPITALCOM:COPPER vs TVC:GOLD 📦 Fully customizable inputs, clean visual design, alert-ready 💡 Use this to trade with context — not emotion. If you found this useful, give it a like and drop your feedback or improvements below 👇
INDEX:BTCUSD
by RWCS_LTD
BTC - Fear & GreedAs Bitcoin falls below $100,000, now is a good time to check the Fear & Greed index to map out the sentiment around the move, and to compare similar scores at other places in this bull run move. As painful as it may be, buying the fear and selling the green is an effective strategy. Every local bottom since the start of 2023 has had a F&G score below 50: Jan 26th 2023 - 26 March 10th 2023 - 34 June 14th 2023 - 46 Sept 11th 2023 - 40 July 7th 2024 - 29 Aug 5th 2024 - 26 Sept 6th 2024 - 22 Feb 26th 2025 - 21 March 10th 2025 - 20 April 8th 2025 - 24 Today - 16 As of writing the current fear and greed score is lower than it has been for nearly three years! What is important to note is that bullish momentum has faded but structure remains (higher lows + higher highs). IF the pattern continues then this is a good place to buy historically, obviously that does not guarantee the same pattern will continue to play out but if the bull market is still alive then this level usually gets a bullish reaction. The timing also adds another layer of complexity as the US Government shutdown is ending. Bitcoin is super reactive to liquidity, once the shut down began it is clear liquidity did drop resulting in price falling. This correlation implies an expected rise in liquidity and Bitcoins price along with it. For the bears the target area is $89,000-$92,000. In my opinion this will cap the downside at least temporarily.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ProR35
1
Market Sentiment Shifts: Fear & Greed, Liquidity & Next Cycle🌍 A truly global look at the market! 😱 The Fear & Greed Index has been sitting at 29 for the second day in a row, after recovering from 22–23 — even though the market has been trying to bounce for two days That means all euphoria is dead — no more 10–15 random spikes a day. 📉 Short-term — not great. 📈 Long-term — that’s actually good. ⚠️ The index trying “get the bottom,” but historically major trend reversals happened around 10–15 points — keep that in mind. 💰 Meanwhile, index USDT.D looks ready for another big downward wave, which usually means stablecoins start flowing back into crypto 🐸 (Which ones? That’s the mystery for all, will see soon 😉) 🪙 A short bullish phase might last until spring 2026, or, if the cycle stretches, even until late 2026 – early 2027 😉 ⁉️ But here’s the key question — where will the new money come from? Because liquidating traders for $30–50B and then handing out “cashbacks” of $400–500M… that’s laughable 🐔 And expecting a March 2020-style buyback again? Unrealistic. 👉 Back then, people were locked at home, got freshly printed $, and instantly sent them to exchanges 💵 That was a real injection of fresh blood into the market — hundreds of billions. Now? Nothing like that… or not yet 😉 🤔 What do you think — will a new wave of liquidity appear soon, or does the market still need more pain before the next leg up? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by P_S_trade
6
Market Psychology: Gold vs Bitcoin - Where We Really Are🧠 The Psychology Test That Changes Everything Here's a simple test that will tell you everything about where TVC:GOLD and IG:BITCOIN is in its cycle: Look at these two charts. Which one screams "bull market euphoria"? ──────────────────────────────────── Chart One 🥇 TVC:GOLD : A Textbook Bull Market Current Price: $4,000.92 Peak Price: $4,390 (Recently hit) RSI: 69.15 Phase: EUPHORIA → COMPLACENCY (Post-peak pullback) What the Psychology Chart Shows: Looking at FOREXCOM:XAUUSD price action overlaid with the Wall Street Cheat Sheet: ✅ Clean parabolic structure - No ambiguity ✅ Multiple phases completed - Hope → Optimism → Belief → Thrill → Euphoria ✅ Peak already hit at $4,390 - The pink Euphoria circle was touched ✅ Now pulling back from peak - Classic post-euphoria behavior ✅ RSI cooling from overbought - Down from 85+ to 69.15 ✅ Volume still elevated as reality sets in This is what a COMPLETED bull market looks like. When you see this chart, you don't second-guess. You don't wonder "is this a bull market?" You KNOW it is. ──────────────────────────────────── Chart Two ₿ IG:BITCOIN : Still in Early Stages Current Price: $101,802.2 RSI: 44.61 Phase: OPTIMISM (not even Belief yet) What the Psychology Chart Shows: Looking at INDEX:BTCUSD price action overlaid with the Wall Street Cheat Sheet: ⚠️ "We are here" marker - Sitting in the OPTIMISM phase ⚠️ Haven't reached Belief yet - The green zone is still ahead ⚠️ Thrill phase - Blue circle far above current price ⚠️ Euphoria phase - Pink circle even further away ⚠️ RSI at 44.61 - Not even close to overbought ⚠️ Fourth Halving marker - April 22, 2024 clearly noted This is what mid-cycle consolidation looks like. ──────────────────────────────────── 🔍 The Critical Difference Let me use an analogy: Think of market cycles like a marathon. FOREXCOM:GOLD (Chart 1): Mile 26 - Just crossed finish line - Race is over, starting to cool down Runners are slowing down after sprint (Post-euphoria) Crowd peaked, now dispersing (Volume still high but declining) Everyone saw the finish (Peak at $4,390) Now wondering if they should have sprinted harder CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Chart 2): Mile 8 of 26 - Still early in the race Runners are fresh and steady (Optimism) Crowd is watching but not cheering wildly yet Most people aren't even at the venue yet Many spectators think the race might be cancelled ──────────────────────────────────── 📊 Side-by-Side Psychology Comparison ──────────────────────────────────── 🎯 What This Tells Us About IG:BITCOIN If COINBASE:BTCUSD were truly at a cycle top, it would look like CAPITALCOM:GOLD : ❌ Parabolic vertical moves ❌ RSI pinned above 75 for weeks ❌ Volume exploding ❌ Everyone saying "Bitcoin to $500K" ❌ Taxi drivers asking about crypto ❌ Magazine covers everywhere ❌ No doubt whatsoever about the trend But OANDA:BTCUSD looks nothing like that: ✅ Choppy consolidation ✅ RSI in neutral zone (44.61) ✅ Volume moderate ✅ Everyone asking "Is the bull market over?" ✅ Retail despair and fear ✅ Zero mainstream coverage ✅ Maximum doubt about the trend ──────────────────────────────────── 💡 The Psychology Principle Here's the key insight from behavioral finance: **"If you have to ask whether you're in a bubble, you're not in a bubble."** TVC:GOLD : No one is asking if TVC:GOLD is in a bull market. It's obvious. IG:BITCOIN : Everyone is asking if IG:BITCOIN is in a bull market. That's your answer. ──────────────────────────────────── 🧩 Where Each Asset Really Is TVC:GOLD - Post-Peak Bear Market Transition: Completed Phases: ✅ Hope (Oct '23 - May '24) ✅ Optimism (May '24 - Dec '24) ✅ Belief (Dec '24 - May '25) ✅ Thrill (May '25 - Sep '25) ✅ EUPHORIA - PEAKED at $4,390 (Oct '2025) Current Phase: 🔶 COMPLACENCY - "It'll come back to $4,390" Price: $4,000.92 (down ~9% from peak) Classic post-euphoria denial behavior What's Next: Anxiety → Denial → Panic → Capitulation (2026+) Time Remaining: Bull market is OVER - bear phase beginning ──────────────────────────────────── KRAKEN:BTCUSD - Early-Mid Bull Market: Completed Phases: ✅ Hope (2023 - Post-FTX recovery) 🟡 OPTIMISM (Current - 2024-2025) Phases Still Ahead: ⬜ Belief ⬜ Thrill ⬜ Euphoria What's Next: Break into Belief phase → Thrill → Euphoria Time Remaining: Given CRYPTOCAP:BTC high volatile nature - 2-6 months of upside potential ──────────────────────────────────── 🎨 The Visual Test (Do This Right Now) Step 1: Look at the TVC:GOLD chart Does it look like a bull market? YES Could you be wrong? NO Is there any doubt? ZERO Step 2: Look at the IG:BITCOIN chart Does it look like a bull market? MAYBE? Could you be wrong? POSSIBLY Is there any doubt? TONS Step 3: Ask yourself **"Would a cycle TOP have this much doubt and fear?"** The answer is NO. ──────────────────────────────────── 📈 What the RSI Divergence Tells Us TVC:GOLD RSI Pattern: Peaked above 85 during euphoria Currently cooling at 69.15 Rolling over from overbought Classic post-peak behavior This is bear market transition IG:BITCOIN RSI Pattern: Sitting at 44.61 Plenty of room to run Not even approaching overbought Recent "Bear" signals flushing out This is early-cycle behavior Think of it like a gas tank: TVC:GOLD : Hit redline at $4,390, now coasting down on fumes IG:BITCOIN : 45% full, tons of room to run ──────────────────────────────────── 🔥 The Contrarian Insight What the majority thinks: " TVC:GOLD is in a bubble, IG:BITCOIN topped" What the charts actually show: TVC:GOLD is in a mature bull market (near end) IG:BITCOIN is in early-mid bull market (tons of runway) The irony: Everyone trusts TVC:GOLD rally (late stage) Everyone doubts IG:BITCOIN rally (early stage) This is exactly backwards. ──────────────────────────────────── 🎭 The Emotional State Comparison TVC:GOLD Holders Right Now: 😰 Starting to feel anxious (down from $4,390) 🤔 "It'll bounce back, right?" 📉 Checking price hoping for recovery 🙃 "I should have sold at $4,390" 😬 "This is just a healthy correction" This is COMPLACENCY - the denial phase after euphoria. IG:BITCOIN Holders Right Now: 😰 Anxious and doubtful 🤐 Not talking about their positions 😔 Wondering if they should sell 📉 Feeling defeated 💀 "Maybe the cycle is over" Which emotional state typically marks: Post-cycle tops? → TVC:GOLD current state (Complacency/Denial after Euphoria peak) Cycle middles? → IG:BITCOIN current state (Doubt during Optimism) ──────────────────────────────────── 💎 The Bottom Line Using the Wall Street Cheat Sheet as our guide: TVC:GOLD : Phase: Thrill → Euphoria Completion: ~95% through cycle Risk/Reward: High risk, limited reward Action: Take profits soon IG:BITCOIN : Phase: Optimism (just finished Hope) Completion: ~30% through cycle Risk/Reward: Moderate risk, massive reward Action: Accumulate aggressively ──────────────────────────────────── 🧠 The Psychology Lesson The market is designed to make you feel wrong at exactly the wrong time: When TVC:GOLD peaked at $4,390 (Euphoria) → You felt confident, " TVC:GOLD to $5K!" Now TVC:GOLD is pulling back (Complacency) → You feel like "it's just a correction" When IG:BITCOIN is cheap and poised (Optimism) → You feel scared to buy This is why most people: Miss selling tops (felt too good at $4,390) Hold through corrections (denial and complacency) Sell bottoms during fear (Optimism feels scary) To win, you must: Trust the structure over the sentiment Buy when it feels uncomfortable (Optimism/Belief) Sell when it feels amazing (Euphoria/Peak) ──────────────────────────────────── 📍 Where We Actually Are HOPE → OPTIMISM( IG:BITCOIN ) → BELIEF → THRILL → EUPHORIA ( TVC:GOLD $4390 Peak) → COMPLACENCY → ( TVC:GOLD Current) IG:BITCOIN is 3-4 phases behind TVC:GOLD . TVC:GOLD already peaked. IG:BITCOIN hasn't even started its parabolic phase yet. ──────────────────────────────────── 🎯 What This Means for Your Portfolio If you're holding TVC:GOLD at $4,000: You missed the peak at $4,390 You're in post-euphoria complacency "It'll bounce back" is denial Risk/reward is terrible now Exit strategy needed YESTERDAY If you're doubting IG:BITCOIN at $102K: You're sitting in Optimism You're early to the party Peak is 3-4 phases away Risk/reward is excellent Accumulation strategy needed NOW ──────────────────────────────────── 🔚 Final Thought The next time someone tells you " IG:BITCOIN topped," show them these two charts side by side. Ask them: "Which one actually topped?" The answer is clear: TVC:GOLD peaked at $4,390 and is now in complacency denial. IG:BITCOIN is still in optimism. TVC:GOLD finished its race. IG:BITCOIN is just finishing Act 1. The Golden Bull Run isn't over—it's barely begun. ──────────────────────────────────── This is educational content comparing market psychology across asset classes. Not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. ────────────────────────────────────
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by niclaxfx
Fear Feeds Gold to the Next Target at 4200Last Friday October 10,2025 massive waterfall came in when President Donald Trump announced he will impose an additional 100% tariff on goods from China, on top of the 30% tariffs already in effect, starting November 1 or sooner. The threat is a massive escalation after months of a trade truce between the two nations.(-CNN) With this sentiment in the air, the positivity of cut rates have been wiped out and the sentiment is inclined to fear making gold the safe haven asset for investors. Gold has picked up its momentum at the 0.5 level of the Fibbonaci ratio around 3940 $/oz and is accumulating to beat again the recent all time high 4059 $/oz Safe haven status will lead gold to another highs this week. Potentially targeting the next 2 Standard deviation around 4200 $/oz . It is possible Monday will open a gap up and will continue its way up all Monday long. Retracements will sure happen if Dollar index picks up. The said fear can be alleviated by Powell's speech coming on October 15,2025 at 12:20 noon US time.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LestradePh
1
High Beta Bear | HIBS | Long at $7.54 (Primarily September)Historically, September is one of the worst performing months in the stock market. A hedge against my bets for this month is to buy shares of Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X AMEX:HIBS as a volatility play. The index provider selects 100 securities from the S&P 500 Index that have exhibited the highest sensitivity to market movements, or “beta,” over the past 12 months based on the securities’ daily price changes. This isn't "buy and hold" play, whatsoever - you'll lose. It's a short duration hedge using seasonality odds that *may* be in my favor. Targets: $8.50 (+12.7%) $9.50 (+26.0%) $10.50 (+39.3%, if a market scare...)
AMEX:HIBSLong
by WorthlessViews
Nasdaq and S&P 500 higher than ever. Crash incoming??The stock market is now more expensive than ever. Some people are calling the top, saying that the market is overbought and too high. There are indicators that show that the market is overheated, but NO ONE KNOWS whether it's going to crash next week or continue running up for months. Since April, Nasdaq has gained 40%, which is a lot. Congrats if you bought some QLD and TQQQ back in April when I posted about it. SP:SPX : All-time high. NASDAQ:NDX : All-time high. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD : All-time high. TVC:GOLD : All-time high HOME PRICES ( ECONOMICS:USSFHP ): All-time high. Sounds a bit like a bubble. The S&P 500’s market cap now equals 28x real disposable personal income — a record. The stock market Shiller PE ratio is at its highest in 20 years. Nasdaq companies, especially the MAG7, are strongly outperforming small-cap companies. The last time this happened at this speed, we had the dot-com crash. The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 account for 40% of the index. So, saying this, is the market going to crash? I don't know, but I know that it's more likely to crash now than it was 3 months ago. It might continue running higher, too, as the FED is expected to cut rates. Really, no one knows. 😊 Here's what I'm doing: I trimmed down some overpriced stocks from my portfolio: Lemonade, Coupang, Shopify, and Crowdstrike I trimmed down some of my crypto, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum I stopped DCA'ing into leveraged ETFs I'm accumulating cash I'm still investing (added more healthcare stocks to the portfolio) Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
SP:SPXShort
by HenriqueCentieiro
2
VIX | Nov 19, 2025 Call Options | Strike $21TVC:VIX , the great "fear" index, has two looming price gaps on the daily chart. Every gap has always been filled in the history of the $TVC:VIX. Given the 90-day tariff pauses and forever world turmoil, there will (undoubtedly), be a spike in the TVC:VIX to close these open gaps. It's just a matter of timing... I've chosen to go 6 months out on the option date (November 19, 2025) as a hedge to my portfolio ($3.45 per contract). I plan to add more contracts if the TVC:VIX dips into the 13-14 area, too. I truly dislike timing the market, but such a position could be a nice 3x gainer of the TVC:VIX spikes to $36 in short time. Or... totally worthless if we are in a constant bullish market for the next 6 months. Time will tell.
TVC:VIXLong
by WorthlessViews
the markets are a very emotional cry babyIf you've ever asked, “Why is the market going up on bad news?” or “Why did it dump after great earnings?”, you're not alone. Markets may seem logical—economic data in, price action out—but in reality, they’re driven by human emotion, crowd psychology, and reflexive feedback loops. The charts don’t lie, but the reasons behind the moves? Often irrational. Let’s break down why markets are emotional—and how traders can use that to their advantage. 🧠 1. Markets Are Made of People (and People Aren’t Rational) Even in the age of algorithms, human behaviour sets the tone. Fear, greed, FOMO, panic—all of it shows up on charts. Fear leads to irrational selling Greed fuels bubbles and euphoria Uncertainty causes volatility spikes—even with no new information 📉 Example: The 2020 COVID crash saw massive capitulation. Then came one of the fastest bull markets ever—driven by stimulus and FOMO. another example 📊 S&P 500 in 2020 with VIX, the S&P 500 crashed and the VIX went up, When the VIX (CBOE Volatility Index) goes up, it means that traders/investors expect a greater likelihood of price fluctuations in the S&P 500 over the next 30 days. This generally indicates increased fear as shown on the chart below 📈 2. Price Doesn’t Reflect Facts—It Reflects Belief The market is not a thermometer. It’s a barometer of expectations. When traders believe something will happen—whether true or not—price adjusts. If the Fed is expected to cut rates, assets may rally before it actually happens. 💡 Nerd Tip: Reality matters less than consensus expectations. Chart Idea to visit: 💬 USD Index vs. Fed rate expectations (2Y yield or futures pricing) 🪞 3. Reflexivity: Belief Becomes Reality Coined by George Soros, reflexivity explains how beliefs can influence the system itself. Traders bid up assets, creating bullish momentum That momentum attracts more buyers, reinforcing the trend Eventually, fundamentals “catch up” (or the bubble bursts) 📌 Insight: The market creates its own logic—until it doesn’t. 😬 4. Emotional Extremes Create Opportunity When markets overreact, they offer setups for rational traders. Capitulation = Bottom Fishing Euphoria = Caution Disbelief = Strongest rallies 🧠 Pro Tip: Watch sentiment indicators, not just price. Fear & Greed Index, put/call ratios, or COT data reveal what the crowd is feeling. Chart Example: 📊 Bitcoin 2022 bottom vs. Fear & Greed Index.. on the chart above the index score close to zero (RED) indicating extreme fear this was because in november 2022 crypto cybercrimes grew new level and investors lost confidence, these cyber crimes included the bankruptcy of FTX as the owners were allegedly misusing customer funds. 💡 5. How to Trade Rationally in an Irrational Market a. Have a plan. Pre-define entries, exits, and invalidation levels. b. Expect overreaction. Markets often go further than they “should.” c. Use sentiment tools. Divergences between price and emotion are gold. d. Don’t fight the crowd—until it peaks. Fade extremes, not momentum. e. Zoom out. 5-minute panic means nothing on a weekly trendline. 🎯Nerd Takeaway: Markets aren’t efficient—they’re emotional. But that emotion creates mispricing, and mispricing = opportunity. You don’t need to predict emotion—you just need to recognize it, and trade on the reversion to reason. 💬 Have you ever traded against the crowd and nailed it? Or got caught up in the hype? Drop your chart and your story—let’s learn from each other. put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by currencynerd
7
Fear and Greed: How Extreme Emotions Can Wreck Your TradesThere’s an old saying on Wall Street: Markets are driven by just two emotions — fear and greed. It’s been quoted so many times it’s practically cliché, but like most clichés, it’s got a thick slice of truth baked in. Fear makes you sell the bottom. Greed makes you buy the top. Together, they’re the dysfunctional couple that wrecks your portfolio, sets your confidence on fire, and leaves you staring at your trading screen, wallowing in disappointment. But here’s the good news: you’re not alone. Everyone — from the newbie scalper with a $500 account to the fund manager with a Bloomberg terminal and a caffeine drip — fights these exact same emotional demons. Let’s break down how fear and greed mess with your trades, and more importantly, what to do about it. The Greed Trap: From Champagne Dreams to Margin Calls Add some more to this one… this one’s going to the moon . Suddenly, you’re maxing out leverage on a hot altcoin because your cousin’s barber said it's “the next Solana.” This is how traders end up buying tops. Not because they lack information — we’ve got more charts, market data , and indicators than ever before — but because they chase the feeling. The high. The fantasy of catching a once-in-a-lifetime move. Safe to say that’s not investing, that’s fantasy trading. Greed doesn’t show up in your P&L right away. At first, it may reward you. You get a few wins. Maybe you double your account in a week. You start browsing the million-dollar houses. You post a couple of wins on X. You’re unstoppable… until you’re not. Then comes the inevitable slap. The market reverses. You didn’t take profits because “it’s just a pullback.” Your unrealized gains evaporate. You panic. You sell the bottom. And just like that, you’re back where you started — only now with a bruised ego and fewer chips on the table. The Fear Spiral: Paralysis, Panic, and the Art of Missing Every Rally Fear doesn’t need a market crash to show up. Sometimes all it takes is a bad night’s sleep and a red candle. Fear tells you to cut winners early — just in case. Fear reminds you of every losing trade you’ve ever taken, every blown stop loss, every time you told yourself, “I knew I should’ve stayed out.” It’s what makes you exit a long position at break-even, only to watch it rip 20% after you’re out. It’s what keeps you on the sidelines during the best days of the year. It’s what turns potential gains into chronic hesitation. And the worst part? Fear disguises itself as “discipline.” You think you’re being cautious, but you’re really just self-sabotaging under the banner of risk management. Yes, there's a difference between being prudent and being petrified. One saves your capital. The other strangles it. The Greed-Fear Cycle: The Emotional Roundabout That Never Ends Here’s how the emotional hamster wheel usually goes: You start with greed. You chase something because it looks like easy money. You get smacked by the market. Now you’re afraid. You hesitate. You miss the recovery. You get FOMO. You jump back in… late. The cycle repeats. Only now your account is lighter, and your confidence is shot. Wash. Rinse. Regret. Repeat. This cycle is what turns many promising traders into burnt-out bagholders. It’s not a lack of intelligence or strategy — it’s the inability to manage emotions in a game where emotions are everything. The Emotional Gym You can’t eliminate fear and greed — they’re wired into our monkey brain. But you can train your emotional responses the same way you train a muscle. How? Structure, repetition, and brutal honesty. Start with a trading journal . Not a Dear Diary, but a cold, clinical log of what you did and why. Include your emotional state. Were you excited? Anxious? Overconfident? Bored? (Yes, boredom is a silent killer. It’s how people end up revenge trading gold futures at 2AM.) Review it weekly. Look for patterns. Did you always overtrade after three green trades in a row? Did your losses happen when you broke your own rules? Bingo. Now you have something to fix. The Rules Are the Ritual Every seasoned trader eventually realizes this: rules are freedom. The more emotion you remove from the decision-making process, the more consistent your results. Set rules for: Entry criteria Risk per trade Stop placement When to sit out Then — and this is key — follow them even when you don’t feel like it. Especially when you don’t feel like it. If it feels uncomfortable, that’s usually a sign you’re on the right path. You’re breaking your old habits. And if you break a rule? Cool. Own it. Log it. Learn from it. No need to self-flagellate, but don’t pretend it didn’t happen. This is the emotional weightlifting that builds your trading spine. Story Time: The Trader Who Cried “Breakout” Let me tell you about Dave. Dave loved breakouts. He’d buy every single one, no matter the volume, structure, or trend. His logic? If it breaks the line, it’s going up. Simple. One week, Dave hit it big on a meme stock that doubled in a day. His greed kicked in hard. He started adding leverage, sizing up, swinging for the fences. You can guess what happened. Three fakeouts later, Dave blew half his account. So he stopped trading. Fear took over. Weeks passed. He watched from the sidelines as clean setups came and went. When he finally got back in, he was so timid he under-sized every position and exited too early. He made nothing — but the emotional damage cost him more than the red trades ever did. Dave didn’t lose because he lacked a strategy. He lost because he was letting emotions drive. And when fear and greed are in the driver’s seat, they don’t use the brakes. Be the Trader Your Future Self Will Thank (Not Tank) Markets may sometimes be chaos wrapped in noise wrapped in hype (as we’ve seen with the recent drama around Trump’s tariffs ). There will always be something to fear, and always something to chase. But if you can stay calm while others are panic-buying Nike stock NYSE:NKE or rage-selling the S&P 500 SP:SPX , you’ve already got an edge. The best traders aren’t fearless or greedless. They’re just better at recognizing when those emotions show up — and they don’t let them steer the ship. They’ve built processes to trade through uncertainty, not react to it. So next time you feel that itch to click “Buy” at the top or “Sell” at the bottom, pause. Ask yourself: Is this my setup — or is this just emotion pretending to be insight? Take another look at the Screener , scroll through the latest News , and take a minute to think it over. Final Thoughts: Feelings Aren’t Signals Trading is emotional — but trading on emotion is a fast track to regret. Fear will always be there. So will greed. But you don’t have to let them wreck your trades. Build systems. Log your trades. Know yourself. That’s how you survive the jungle with your capital — and sanity — intact. And if nothing else, remember this: Warren Buffett didn’t get rich by panic-buying breakouts on a Tuesday morning. Let's hear it from you now — how do you deal with fear and greed in your trades? Or are you still fighting them in the wild?
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
19
BTC FEAR AND GREED INDEXAfter BTC corrects to the $86K level and the Timeline sentiment hit an all time low it got me thinking, is there any correlation between sentiment around pivotal price levels of the market? To find out I studied the "Fear and Greed Index", an indicator that uses a range of sources such as volatility, volume, sentiment, dominance and trends to give a score out of 100. 1 being peak fear and 100 being peak greed. The results were interesting, currently the FGI is 21/100 (extreme fear) and if you've spent much time on crypto twitter is does feel that way too. However, during this bull market there are two key price areas where BTC had the same score: Bear market bottom - When the bear market ended after a full year of brutal selling BTCs price was around $16K with the same FGI score as today with 21. This signaled the end to the selling and began the bull market we have now. Q2-23 '24 bottom - For me, the most relevant time to compare FGI with todays score is with the bottom of the bearish trend channel we suffered through in 2024. Although price did wick below this $53,923 level to hit GETTEX:49K , the daily didn't close below it and so the September 6th low is the trend channel bottom. FGI score of 22 provided the springboard for the next leg up. So with his information the real question is this: Are we still in a bull market? If the answer is yes, then history tells us once FGI reaches these levels the bottom is in and the next leg up is around the corner. If the answer is no then the printing of a new lower high after yesterdays lower low will be confirmation of bitcoin rolling over. I am not sure which is true but having a plan for both will be very important.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by ProR35
4
FTM LongFTM is currently testing resistance at $0.71 as it enters a price discovery phase. The chart forms an early-stage symmetrical triangle pattern accompanied by positive momentum indicators. This pattern suggests a period of consolidation, where the price is likely to move sideways within a narrowing range. The 200-day moving average is acting as a key level for a potential breakout, while the MACD suggests an imminent surge. Given these factors, the outlook for FTM appears bullish, favoring long positions. Support - 0.62 Resistance - 0.76 RSI - Neutral Fear & Greed Index (Binacne) - 48 Neutral Fundamental Analysis: Fantom's approaching transition to the Sonic platform creates positive investor sentiment and contributes to its recent price appreciation. This EVM-compatible upgrade promises enhanced transaction speeds exceeding 10,000 TPS and includes a substantial airdrop of S tokens for existing FTM holders. Given these developments and the improving market landscape, analysts project that FTM may outperform significant cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum in the coming quarters, potentially positioning it as a notable player in the evolving blockchain ecosystem.
FLong
by LOWCO_487
SUPERSuper has been powering through the uptrend since the beginning of September. Today, the chart indicates strong buying volume that strives to break resistance to the next resistance level. There is a red candle stick with a long wick and shorter body and a green candlestick with a long wick and longer body, indicating future bullish momentum. Indicators show lots of buying power, which will help with the upward trend for a future breakout. Support - $1.24 Testing Resistance/Possible Support - $1.35 Resistance - $1.42 Fear & Greed Index (Binance) - 65 Greed
KRAKEN:SUPERUSDLong
by LOWCO_487
4
Psychology in Trading: Overcoming Fear of LossesFear of Losses" "As traders, we often fear losses, but it’s important to understand that losses are part of the game. Instead of avoiding them, we should learn from them. Here's how I’ve learned to overcome this fear: 1️⃣ Accept losses as part of the process. 2️⃣ Focus on consistent execution, not on short-term results. 3️⃣ Develop a mindset that values learning over perfection.* Remember: losses are temporary, but discipline leads to long-term success!
by Safaric
1
Anticipating Short-Term Prospects: What's on the Horizon?Kaspa indicates a bearish bias, particularly with the potential for further downside if the reverse cup and handle formation plays out. However, there is a possible bounce scenario near the key support around $0.125, which aligns with a long-term ascending trend line. If buying pressure increases, the price could see a bounce from this area, potentially targeting the $0.146 to $0.160 resistance levels. The 20 EMA (red) is currently below the 200 moving average (purple), indicating continued bearish momentum. The price has recently rejected the 200MA, suggesting that this moving average will be a key resistance level on any bounce. Breaking above the 200MA at $0.146 would be critical for signaling a potential shift in momentum to the upside. The BB Power indicator shows stronger selling pressure than buying pressure, reflecting ongoing bearish sentiment. This adds weight to the downside risk, though a bounce remains possible if the price holds support at $0.125 and selling pressure weakens. Additionally, it’s important to keep a close watch on Kaspa since it seems volatile at the moment. Don't doubt the signs but hope for the best for a continuation in the upward trend. Support - $0.125 Resistance - $0.180 Fear and Greed Index (Binance) - 72 Greed
by LOWCO_487
2
FEAR: Your Biggest Trading EnemyFear is a natural emotion that affects all traders, whether beginners or experienced professionals. In trading, fear often stems from uncertainty, the potential for losses, and the volatility of financial markets. Left unchecked, fear can lead to poor decision-making, impulsive actions, and even significant financial losses. However, by understanding fear and learning how to manage it effectively, traders can improve their performance and build confidence over time. Steps to Overcome Fear in Trading Develop a Trading Plan Having a well-structured trading plan provides clarity and reduces fear. A plan should include specific rules for entry and exit, risk management strategies, and profit targets. When you follow a plan, you take emotions out of decision-making and rely on data-driven strategies. Stick to your plan: Trusting your trading strategy can reduce emotional decision-making, especially during times of market volatility or uncertainty. Use Risk Management Effective risk management can alleviate fear because it limits the potential downside of any trade. Traders should: Set a stop-loss: Predetermine the maximum amount you are willing to lose on any trade. This not only limits losses but also takes the emotional pressure off monitoring trades. Control position sizing: By using small position sizes relative to your account balance, you minimize the impact of any one trade, which can reduce fear and emotional stress. Focus on Process, Not Outcomes Instead of focusing on whether an individual trade is profitable, concentrate on executing trades according to your plan. Understand that losses are part of trading and that a single trade doesn't define your overall success. Avoid emotional attachment to trades: Treat trading as a probabilistic game where losses and gains balance out over time if your strategy is sound. Build Confidence with Knowledge Fear often stems from uncertainty. The more knowledge and experience you gain, the more confident you’ll feel in your trading decisions. Spend time improving your understanding of: Technical analysis: Learn to read charts, patterns, and indicators to make informed decisions. Fundamental analysis: Understand the economic factors that drive market movements. Regularly review your past trades, both successful and unsuccessful, to learn from mistakes and build confidence in your abilities. Practice Patience and Discipline Patience is crucial to avoid overtrading or jumping into trades impulsively. Fear can push you into making quick decisions, but staying disciplined ensures you wait for the right setups. Discipline in following your trading plan and sticking to risk management rules can help control the emotional swings that come with fear. Staying patient allows trades to develop fully and increases the chances of success. Accept Losses as Part of the Process No trader wins 100% of the time, and understanding that losses are a natural part of trading can help reduce the fear of losing. Treat each loss as a learning experience rather than a failure. Reframe your mindset from avoiding losses to managing losses. When you accept that losses will happen but you can limit their impact, fear becomes easier to handle. Control Emotional Reactions Mindfulness techniques: Practices like deep breathing, meditation, or taking regular breaks can help traders stay calm during high-pressure situations. Avoid overreacting: If you experience a significant loss, avoid the temptation to enter a "revenge trade" to recover quickly. Emotional decisions can compound losses. Take a step back, review your plan, and re-enter the market with a clear mind. Use a Trading Journal Keeping a trading journal helps track your emotions, thought processes, and decision-making patterns. Over time, this can help identify fear-based behaviors and allow you to adjust accordingly. By reviewing your journal regularly, you can improve self-awareness and make better decisions. Fear is a natural part of trading, but it doesn't have to control your actions. By developing a solid trading plan, practicing effective risk management, and building knowledge and discipline, traders can overcome fear and make more rational decisions. Over time, learning to accept losses and focusing on long-term strategies will help you manage fear and improve your overall trading success. Remember, the key to overcoming fear is consistent practice, self-awareness, and developing confidence in your abilities as a trader.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by HexaTrades
Head and Shoulders with price retestA drastic dip occurred with week buy action. FTM value has been reset to the low 0.60 zone. I expect a price bounce from the head and shoulder retract. I called a head and shoulder earlier this week on the XRP chart, and FTM has also followed that trend. 20MA and 200MA are still playing the break for all long positions. The moving average holds uptober excitement, but we will have to wait and see if it will hold strength and value next week. Support - 0.56 Resistance - 0.65 Momentum - Low Volume strength - Sell Fear & Greed Index - Greed (73) Fundamental analysis—With new price discoveries, it has been a rough week for all cryptocurrencies. I've noticed that the world crisis events will determine crypto price bounces. A lot of selling occurred with whale accumulation.
FLong
by LOWCO_487
Key Signals Point to a Bitcoin ReversalCurrently, Bitcoin's price is hovering around a strong support level in the short term, and we're seeing early signs of a potential reversal pattern, possibly forming a macro (inverted) head-and-shoulders setup. Based on other technical indicators, this region between $47k and GETTEX:54K is likely to attract significant buying interest, positioning it as a key accumulation zone for long-term holders and institutional buyers alike. - The only thing that could stop us now is a recession, but do you think that will happen? - How many times we saw fud lately for Bitcoin, but also stocks? - Is there volatility and fear in the stock market, yes. - But when we see extreme fear. What should you do? .. I'm loading heavily on these levels. Let me explain once more the bullish fundamentals that should bring us above the ATH neckline: Institutional Adoption: Large financial institutions, hedge funds, and corporations continue to accumulate Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation and as an alternative asset class. This influx of institutional capital is providing long-term stability and driving up demand. Increasing Scarcity: With Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins and a decreasing issuance rate due to halving cycles, the supply-demand dynamic is highly favorable. Each halving event further reduces supply growth, which has historically led to significant price increases. Inflation Hedge & Store of Value: In times of rising inflation and currency devaluation, Bitcoin is increasingly viewed as digital gold. Its decentralized nature and limited supply make it a prime candidate for capital preservation in an inflationary environment. Network Growth & Hashrate: The Bitcoin network's hashrate continues to hit all-time highs, signaling growing security and miner confidence. The expanding user base and increased global transaction volume further indicate that Bitcoin adoption is accelerating worldwide. ETF Approval: The potential for the approval of Bitcoin ETFs in key financial markets like the U.S. could lead to a massive influx of retail and institutional investment, further boosting liquidity and price discovery. Global Geopolitical Instability: Bitcoin is gaining traction as a hedge against political and economic uncertainty, with increasing use in countries with unstable fiat currencies or restrictive financial systems.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Davy_h