BITCOIN → Possibility of retesting 100K. Buyer weakeningBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is in consolidation after the rally stalled due to the exhaustion of the bullish driver. The price updates local lows and starts looking at 100K
Bitcoin is under pressure after the escalation of conflict in the middle east and after the FOMC speech. There is also another observation: large companies, politicians, funds and investors have long and aggressively motivate the crowd to buy, verbally confirming that they bought dozens and hundreds of bitcoins at a time for the balance, but bitcoin is standing still and updating lows. At the same time, various services such as "cryptorank" fix bullish sentiment at the lows. The market either lacks liquidity or something more unpredictable is happening (chart drawing????)
Technically, bitcoin is following the behavior of the SP500 quite strongly, which closes Friday's session quite weak and close to key support, which could trigger a continuation of the decline. Bitcoin won't stay on the sidelines and could also follow the index....
Resistance levels: 104K, 105K, 106K
Support levels: 102K, 100.6K, 97.5K
The price is coming out of the “symmetrical triangle” consolidation breaking the support, thus confirming the bearish mood. After a small correction after a false breakdown of 102500 the price may again return to storm (retest) the level under market pressure, which will only strengthen expectations of further decline. The target is liquidity 100600 - 100K. From 100K rebound and growth is possible.
Regards R. Linda!
Fibonacci
Bitcoin Hits PRZ — Is This the Perfect Short Entry?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has entered the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) after a strong bullish impulse , testing the confluence of Daily Resistance(3) .
In terms of Elliott Wave analysis , the market seems to have completed a complex WXY corrective structure , with the recent rally likely representing the final wave Y . This makes the current zone highly reactive for potential reversal .
I expect Bitcoin to retrace toward the CME Gap($105,075-$105,055) and possibly continue downward toward the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) and Cumulative Long Liquidation levels if the sellers regain momentum .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $107,568-$106,601
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $105,360-$104,784
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $103,937-$103,217
Note: It is better to look for short positions at the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) or if Bitcoin touches $104,780 before reaching PRZ. That is why I chose to label this analysis as ''Short".
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $107,620 , there is a possibility of breaking the resistance lines and increasing further.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
#GBPUSD: A strong bullish move incoming, comment your views The price has shown a possible price divergence, which could lead to a long-term move to 1.37. We expect the US dollar to weaken, which will likely push the price of GBPUSD to our target. Key economic data will be released later today and tomorrow, which could shape the price pattern.
Good luck and trade safely!
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD → Consolidation within a falling wedgeFX:XAUUSD is consolidating. A major player is gathering a trading position inside a wedge ahead of distribution. But the main question is: in which direction?
Gold lost ground again on Friday after mixed holiday trading on Thursday. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Fed and monitoring the situation in the Middle East. Interestingly, gold fell as the conflict escalated further (which is not logical overall). The dollar is in a global bearish trend, and traders are waiting for a decision from Powell (who is under pressure from Trump to cut rates).
Technically, if we look at the wedge, we can see how difficult it is for the market to move. The price is stuck inside the consolidation. The intraday movement is very short, with long tails and a very weak reaction to both false breakouts and level break. Large players are building up positions inside the current channel. This may only hint at the possibility of future implementation (distribution).
Resistance levels: 3360, 3396, 3420
Support levels: 3338, 3320, 3302
On D1 - H4, gold is in a countertrend (bullish trend) correction and is testing the trend support + 0.7 Fibo zone. Below, there are fairly strong areas of interest — 3320 and 3302 — which gold may test before rising. However, within the wedge, there is a fairly high probability of a breakout of resistance and the 3360 level, followed by a rally to the liquidity zone at 3396
Best regards, R. Linda!
EUR/USD analysis and pending orderTwo days ago, there was a FED meeting, where it was stated that the benchmark interest rate will be kept at 4.25-4.50% level.
What is important is what they told - the expectations - economicp rojections are lower, and inflation is higher.
Maybe they’ll decrease rates in future?
Right now, it’s not so important. It’s summer already, and by the old “Sell in May, and go aways” mentality, I don’t expect some huge impact on the market.
I know… Iran, Israel, Trump, maybe even Putin? Anybody can do some stupit stuff and everything can go to Hell.
And it’s Friday, not very smart time to open trades, so I’m putting pending order.
I decided for EUR/USD.
Timeframe is 4h.
On my chart I can see clear uptrend in the last couple of weeks, especially in the last 3 months.
Also, I see lower highs.
Upward trend is breached… Where it could stop?
Overall, I don’t expect the pair will come near parity, even though ECB lowered rates before FED did.
But some “selloff”, probably.
I used good old Fibonacci, draw it, and the price could potentialy drop to 50% level or even ideal 61…8%-78.6% zone.
Pending entry: 1.15577
TP: 1.12645
SL: 1.1671
If it activates today, I’ll leave it over the weekend.
USD/CHF: The Next Big Impulse Down? Here's The PlanHello, traders! Let's break down a high-probability short setup that could potentially form on USD/CHF.
📉 Overall Bias & Context
After another powerful bearish impulse, the price entered a correction, mitigating the previous range and reaching the maximum 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. From this level, a potential continuation of the next impulse has begun.
The first confirmation was an impulsive reaction from the 4h order block that formed after interacting with the 78.6% Fib level. This reaction, in turn, created a 1h order block, which now acts as a magnet for price and is a key condition for the bearish trend to continue.
A mitigation and reversal from this 1h OB will confirm the bearish order flow and could initiate the next strong impulse down, with a minimum target of taking the low at 0.80384 .
Why This Setup is High-Potential
High Risk/Reward: This potential short setup could offer a very high RR. The deep corrective move has built up a significant amount of liquidity, which can fuel a fast and powerful move towards our target.
DXY Confluence: The Dollar Index (DXY) provides an additional trigger for this scenario. After its own bearish impulse, the DXY has also corrected to a 78.6% Fib level, bounced off a daily order block, and after a small pullback, looks ready to continue its fall, dragging the USDCHF pair with it.
The Entry Plan: Two Scenarios to Watch
We have two potential areas for a reaction. We must try not to miss this with-trend setup once we get an entry confirmation.
1️⃣ Scenario 1: Primary POI
* I'll be watching for a reaction from the aforementioned 1h order block, which aligns with the local 78.6% Fib level around 0.81840.
2️⃣ Scenario 2: Deeper Liquidity Grab
* If the first level is broken and the "whales" need additional liquidity, we could see a sweep of the 1h swing high at 0.81937, followed by a mitigation of the 1h FVG (Fair Value Gap) just above it.
The potential short entry zone will be within these two levels, after a clear reversal reaction.
Price is approaching the POI zone! Follow for live updates on every step of this trade idea as the price reaches the zone.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀
Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬
► Follow me on TradingView to get real-time updates on THIS idea (entry, TP, stop) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown.
► Follow me on X @TheWhaleSM for DAILY watchlists with more pairs, live setups, and trade ideas.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
HYPE/USDT Technical Analysis (4H Chart)🔍 HYPE/USDT Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
High Time Frame (Daily): Bullish
Despite recent pullbacks, the overall trend remains bullish on the daily timeframe. However, current price action suggests a potential fakeout or legitimate breakdown, as we test key structural and volume-based supports.
Short-Term Time Frame (4H): Bearish
The 4-hour chart displays clear bearish pressure, confirmed by the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern. This signals sustained selling interest and supports the current downward move.
🧱 Key Zones
Supply Zone: $41.7 – $45.9
Strong resistance marked by prior selling pressure and overlapping FVGs.
Demand Zone: $24.4 – $26.3
Historical area of buying support, aligned with a low-volume node and an unfilled FVG.
📏 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)
Above Price:
Four 4H FVGs act as upside inefficiencies, offering targets in a bullish recovery:
~$34.9
~$36.6
~$37.8
~$40.0 (psychological level & POC cluster)
Below Price:
One major 4H FVG remains unfilled, directly above the demand zone.
📐 Fibonacci Analysis
Price is testing the Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65) from the recent swing low to high.
A clean break below this area (with confirmation) targets the unfilled FVG around $30, and potentially the demand zone ($24.4–$26.3).
📉 Volume Profile Insight
Volume is clustered around $34–$37, indicating strong past market participation.
Very low volume between $29–$30, creating a volume void — if price loses support at the FVG and golden pocket, it could rapidly drop into the demand zone.
🔻 OBV Analysis (Volume Momentum)
OBV has broken below a larger rising wedge, confirming bearish divergence.
A falling wedge is now forming within OBV.
Break below this wedge: Confirms further price breakdown.
Reclaim of the larger wedge trendline: Suggests potential bullish reversal.
✅ Trade Scenarios
🔺 Bullish Scenario
Trigger: Bullish reversal pattern at the golden pocket (e.g., double bottom, falling wedge, inverse H&S) + OBV recovery.
Entry: Upon confirmation around $32.5.
Targets:
$34.9 (FVG)
$36.6 (FVG)
$37.8 (FVG)
$40.0 (psychological)
Stop: Below $30 or recent swing low (tight below FVG).
🔻 Bearish Scenario
Trigger : Confirmed breakdown of golden pocket & 4H FVG with OBV falling wedge breakdown.
Entry : Below $32.5 with confirmation (e.g., retest or strong momentum candle).
Targets:
$30.0 (psychological level)
$28.5 (FVG zone)
$26.3 → $24.4 (Demand zone)
Stop : Above golden pocket resistance (~$33.8–$34.2).
📝 Conclusion: The market is at a pivotal point. A confirmed break below $32.5 could accelerate selling due to the volume gap, while a strong bullish reaction from the golden pocket could drive a recovery toward $40. Always wait for confirmation before entering either scenario.
$100 a barrel coming soon for Crude oil futures In this video we focus on the current accumulation in the oil chart and the prospect of higher prices ahead .
I highlight how the respect of the previous quinquennial pivots gave us a 45% move to the upside in the past 8 weeks .
Looking ahead on the monthly timeframe we have the following confluences above the current price of $75 .
Above the current pa we have the point of control at $ 88 and the avwap at $97, if we can reclaim the poc I think we will continue to push up to the fib levels that I have mentioned in the video.
In addition to the above we also have the decennial pivots at $107/$112 alongside the value area high .
All of this validates for me why oil will be pushing back up throughout the course of the year .
Tools used in the video
Tr pocket , pivots , fived range volume profile and fib expansion
#EURJPY: Major Swing Sell +1100 Pips, One Not To Miss! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is most likely to continue its bullish trend, as the Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to decline due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. Historically, JPY and CHF, alongside gold and silver, have been favoured by global investors and remain bullish. Strong fundamentals and technical support further support our analysis.
The 167-169 price region remains a critical point for sellers, where we anticipate significant selling volume. There are two entry points to consider: one near the current price and another slightly further away. Please monitor volume and use smaller time frames for entries.
Our Swing Target is at 154, but you can also target smaller zones once the trade is activated. For instance, set take-profit levels at 164, 160, and finally, at 154.
To encourage and support us, you can like the idea, comment on it, or share it.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️❤️🚀🚀
GBPJPY I Expect a Rally from the Buy Zone in the 1H Time FrameDescription:
I'm viewing the 195.116–194.845 range on GBPJPY as a strong buy zone. My target is 196.088. Once the trade setup becomes active or the target is reached, I’ll be sharing an update here. Stay tuned!
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
XAUUSD I Daily CLS I D1 FVG / OB Midpoint confluenceHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
XAUUSD: Is Bullish Trend Ended? Or It is just beginning big moveAs we previously stated that price can reverse between 3340 to 3350 region, which was a pivotal point for bulls. Price smoothly moved currently trading at 3376 and possibly bullish move continuing towards 3400,3450 and ultimately reaching 3600.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CD we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD[XAUUSD]: Breakthrough the bearish pressure, What next?Evening Everyone,
Hope you are doing great, price recently breakthrough the current price inducement, showing a strong bullish volume emerging in the market. Long term approach remain bullish ultimately taking the price towards the new high.
Good luck
Team Setupsfx_
GOLD → Continuation of the global trend... To 3350?FX:XAUUSD is testing trend support within a correction. Against a complex fundamental backdrop (the Middle East, Fed comments, Trump's desire to lower rates), the price may continue to rise.
The price of gold rose from a weekly low of $3,363 on Thursday thanks to increased demand for safe-haven assets following reports of possible US strikes on Iran. Markets are ignoring the Fed's hawkish decision to maintain its tight policy and rate forecasts. Traders are waiting for new signals from the Middle East, given the risk of increased volatility due to low liquidity in connection with the US holiday.
Technically, a bullish wedge pattern is forming as part of the correction. The breakdown of the pattern's support did not lead to a decline, but a return of prices and a breakout of resistance could trigger growth after liquidity returns.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3403, 3420
Support levels: 3349, 3320
Before growth, a retest of the trend support or the 3350 zone is possible. However, if the price goes above 3375 and the bulls hold their ground above this level, then we can expect growth to continue within the trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
EUR/USD Slips Toward Trend SupportEuro plunged nearly 1.6% from the highs with price rebounding this week at former resistance at the 1.618% extension of the May advance. While the risk remains for a deeper correction towards the April uptrend, we’re looking for signs of support / that a low is in.
EUR/USD is trading within the confines of a proposed descending channel with price rebounding off confluent support at the lower parallel yesterday. The immediate focus is on this recovery with initial resistance eyed at the 61.8% retracement of the recent decline / the high-day close (HDC) at 1.1560/85. Ultimately, a breach / close above the 2016 high would be needed to mark uptrend resumption towards the upper parallel (currently near 1.1680s) and the August 2015 high / 78.6% retracement of the 2021 decline at 1.1714/47- both regions of interest for possible top-side exhaustion / price inflection IF reached.
Initial support rests at 1.1455 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement of the May advance at 1.1415. Note that the April trendline converges on this threshold mid-week and a break / close below this slope would be needed to suggest a more significant high weas registered las week / a larger trend correction is underway. Subsequent support rests with the objective monthly open at 1.1347 and the 2023 high / 61.8% retracement at 1.1276/82- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Bottom line: The Euro rally remains vulnerable to a test of uptrend support while below 1.1585. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to the April trendline IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above 1.1616 needed to mark uptrend resumption.
-MB
BTC 4H SCALPBTC/USDT Scalp Setup – 4H Chart
Entered a scalp position with TP1 aligned at the Fibonacci extension near 105,652. The first take-profit has been secured, and the remainder of the position is being left to ride — no emotional attachment. If invalidated, the trade will be abandoned without hesitation.
Technical Overview:
Price broke out of the local downtrend channel
Watching for a potential green dot on the volume oscillator to confirm upward continuation
VMC Cipher B shows early signs of a shift; confirmation is still pending
That said, short-term caution is warranted.
Bearish Considerations:
On the higher timeframes, there’s a visible bearish divergence between price and volume — price continues to push higher, while volume fades, indicating a potential trend exhaustion.
Thanks for your support.
If you found this idea helpful or insightful, feel free to leave a like or comment, open to your thoughts and perspectives.