BTC - Golden Pocket test & what comes next?Bitcoin (BTC) has been steadily recovering from its January correction, entering a promising uptrend that has now brought it to a crucial technical juncture: the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone, which lies between the 61.8% and 65% retracement levels. This area is widely watched by traders, as it often serves as a springboard for either significant reversals or continuation of the trend.
4H timeframe
On the 4H timeframe, BTC recently formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern. The price managed to break above the triangle’s resistance, but it failed to hold above this level, closing back below the breakout zone. This lack of follow-through signals weakness and suggests that a short-term pullback could be imminent.
Daily timeframe
Turning to the daily chart, the situation becomes even clearer. After reaching the Golden Pocket, BTC printed a bearish engulfing candlestick, a strong reversal signal. The subsequent price action saw BTC break below both the 4H support and a daily FVG, further strengthening the case for a deeper correction or trend reversal. If this downward momentum continues, the next major support zone is likely between $89,000 and $91,000. This area marks an imbalance created during the previous rally and is a natural target for buyers to step in.
However, the bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. If BTC can reclaim and hold above the Golden Pocket, it would signal a resumption of the uptrend, with the next key target being the psychologically significant $100,000 level. For now, though, the technical structure suggests that a retracement toward the $89–91k zone is more likely before any attempt at new highs.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin’s recent test of the Golden Pocket Fibonacci zone has resulted in a short-term rejection. The immediate outlook is cautious, with a likely retracement toward $89–91k. Traders should watch closely for confirmation signals in both price action and volume before making new commitments. A successful hold above the Golden Pocket would open the door for a rally toward $100,000, but for now, patience and careful observation are advised.
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Fibonacci
BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500.
The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel.
95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K.
Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475
Support levels: 95,500, 92,000
All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN I Weekly CLS, KL OB,Model 1 I Target 50% of CLSAs investor Im longterm bullish , but from the trader perspective my system says short.
Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
⚔️ Listen Carefully:
Analysis is not trading. Right now, this platform is full of gurus" trying to sell you dreams based on analysis with arrows while they don't even have the skill to trade themselves.
If you’re ever thinking about buying a Trading Course or Signals from anyone. Always demand a verified track record. It takes less than five minutes to connect 3rd third-party verification tool and link to the widget to his signature.
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— David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
GOLD ( XAUUSD ) : H4 / D1 : Big Long !!!Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on Gold?
After a strong upward move, gold entered a corrective phase upon reaching the $3500 resistance zone.
This correction could offer a buy-the-dip opportunity, with potential for a move back toward the recent highs.
XAUUSD
Market price : 3240
Buy limit : 3140 - 3120
Tp1 : 3240
Tp2 : 3340
Tp3 : 3500
Tp4 : 3750
Sl : 3030 ( 100 pip )
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GOLD → Gold not ready to fall? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is forming a local bottom and is not ready to continue falling. The price is breaking through the downward resistance amid a weakening dollar and a complicated fundamental backdrop.
At the beginning of the week, the price of gold stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade agreements with China and Japan, as well as growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine.
The weakness of the dollar ahead of the Fed meeting and declining expectations of a rate cut are also supporting demand for gold. The focus remains on US trade news and the possible hawkish tone of the Fed this week.
Technically, the price is testing the bottom of the range as resistance. If there is no reaction to the false breakout and the price continues to storm 3268, then a breakout and consolidation above the level will allow it to strengthen to 3292-3314.
Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314
Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204
The price is forming a second retest of 3269 since the session opened. Buyers are testing resistance for a breakout. If the bulls break 3269 and consolidate above 3270, the chances for growth will be good. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBPJPY Signal : 1H / 4H Beautiful buy !!!Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPJPY ?
GBPJPY
Market price : 192.40
Buy Limit: 191.20 - 191.00
Tp1 : 192.10
Tp2 : 193.10
Tp3 : 194.50
Tp4 : 195.90
Sl : 190.10 ( 100 pip )
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Remember this is a position that was found by me and it is a personal idea not a financial advice, you are responsible for your loss and gain.
Ethereum is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring ETH/USDT for a selling opportunity around 2,000 zone, Ethereum is trading a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BTC: Balancing on the EdgeBitcoin held the $90.5K level and managed to flip prior resistance into support—an encouraging development, especially given how close price was hovering to the so-called danger zone. That flip marked a technical win for bulls, signaling potential strength in the short-term structure.
However, we’re not entirely out of the woods just yet.
While price is holding above support and showing some resilience, we’re still trading uncomfortably close to the edge of the recent consolidation zone. For now, $91.5K stands as the ideal level to hold.
The concern? If price starts slipping back below this newly established support, especially with conviction, that could be a signal of deeper retracement on the table. The bullish narrative would weaken significantly if we revisit and fail to defend those levels, potentially opening the door for a more sustained correction.
So, while the short-term structure remains cautiously optimistic, this isn’t the time for complacency. The market’s still in a precarious spot, and clarity will only come with either continued strength—or a confirmed break below support.
Eyes on $91.5K for now. Hold that, and the momentum favors the bulls. Lose it, and the deeper pullback scenario comes back into play.
Trade Safe, Trade Clarity.
TURBO price analysisWell, admit it, at least someone took a chance / was lucky enough to buy #TURBO at $0.0014-0.0015 with a pending limit order that they forgot about ?)
The price of OKX:TURBOUSDT rebounded well, now it would be a "blessing lucky" to buy this #memcoin at $0.0029-$0.0033
With the prospect of #Turbo continuing to grow at least to $0.010
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USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend
The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline
The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation...
Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383
Support levels: 1.378, 1.374
Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase
Best regards, R. Linda!
Master HBAR with Fibonacci: The Golden Pocket BlueprintSince topping out at $0.20151, HBAR has spent the last nine days in a corrective pullback. Digging into a rich confluence of supports that offers a long trade setup. Here’s how to spot the high‑probability entries, manage your risk, and scale out for maximum reward.
Current Context
Two days ago, price was firmly rejected at the weekly open ($0.19029) right alongside the anchored VWAP drawn from the $0.28781 swing high.
HBAR now trades below the monthly open ($0.18210), the weekly open ($0.19029), and the daily open ($0.18024), sitting at about $0.177.
Just beneath today’s level lies the swing low at $0.17543. Breaching this could flush out stops before any meaningful bounce.
The Golden Support Zone
All signals converge between $0.170 and $0.1725:
The anchored VWAP from the $0.12488 low sits at around $0.17.
The 0.618 fib retracement of the $0.15396→$0.20239 move falls at $0.17246. Just under the swing low where the liquidity lies.
The secondary 0.666 fib retracement lands at $0.17014, reinforcing that floor.
Volume‑profile analysis of the past 27 days pins its Point of Control right at $0.17, great confluence with the anchored VWAP.
This “golden pocket” is your pivot for a low‑risk, high‑probability long.
Long Trade Setup
Ladder buy orders between the swing low ($0.17543) and the 0.666 fib at $0.17014.
Aim to average in around $0.1725.
Place a single stop‑loss just below $0.17
Scaling Your Exits
First Partial Exit at the monthly open ($0.18210). This offers roughly a 2:1 R:R.
Second Exit Zone around the weekly open and VWAP resistance (~$0.19) for about a 3:1 R:R.
Final Target at the 0.618 fib retracement of the entire down‑wave (from $0.28781 to $0.12488) near $0.2256. An astounding 10:1 payoff for the patient trader.
Keep in mind a potential false‑break (SFP) at $0.17543: if price briefly dips below then snaps back up, with increased volume.
Short Trade Setup
For traders looking to play the downside from the “golden pocket” flip, here’s a clear short strategy:
Entry Zone: Ladder short entries between the 0.618 fib at $0.22557 and the 0.666 fib at $0.23339.
Confluence: The 0.666 level aligns perfectly with the negative 0.618 fib from the prior swing, creating a resistance zone.
Stop‑Loss: Place your stop just above $0.23339, invalidating the confluence.
Take‑Profit: Target a return to around $0.206, where you can lock in gains as HBAR retests its previous high.
By scaling into shorts across that fib band, you balance your risk and capture the high‑odds reversal offered by stacked Fibonacci confluence. Let the golden pocket guide both your longs and shorts!
Key Takeaways
Confluence is king: VWAPs, Fibonacci retracements, Liquidity and volume‑profile all align in the $0.170–$0.175 zone.
Risk control: One stop‑loss under $0.17 protects the entire laddered entry.
Tiered targets: Small wins at $0.182, larger as you clear $0.19, and a big payoff if HBAR rallies toward $0.225. Trail your SL accordingly.
Patience pays: Wait for price to enter the golden pocket, avoid chasing!
With these confluences lining up and clear levels to work from, HBAR’s next high‑probability long setup is staring you in the face. Trade smart, size appropriately, and let the market reward your discipline.
Happy Trading!
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Bitcoin to create new All Time High?Fundamental Analysis
Uncertainty with the Dollar.
Institutional adoption of Bitcoin undergoing unprecedented acceleration.
COT report(Bitcoin Micro Futures) as of: April 29, 2025 shows Non-commercial traders still net short(-3,958) however, a larger percentage of investors who were short the previous week have closed their short positions(-17,401) as opposed to those long(-758).
Technical analysis(Daily TF)
Possible low of the year formed in April(on the 7th)
Displacement of sellers with buy stops above previous highs(2nd & 24th March)
-2 scenarios possible;
1. Correction to fill the liquidity void created on 20th-24th of April then continuation of the bull run or
2. If the daily FVG formed on the 1st of May holds, it could support price higher.
SSW Long Term Long PositionThe South African JSE stock has been gradually degrading for the past 3-4 years. It has reached support level 1633 ZAC which was last tapped in 2020. There is a possibility that it might drop even lower but we are in the mid trough or end of its depressing stage of its cycle before recovery commences . Overall JSE:SSW is a good pick for long term investing.
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: 88k or 100k?Bitcoin has broken through the 4H imbalance zone that also acted as an old resistance area. The break came through a clear displacement candle, which showed strong intent from the market. That same move left behind a new gap just under the previous resistance. Although price already retested that area once, it didn’t fully fill the gap, so we could see one more retest to complete the 50% line before the market chooses direction.
Consolidation Structure
The range before the breakout was clean, with multiple rejections from the resistance zone. That zone was front-run several times, then finally broken with conviction. Now, price is hovering just under that broken level, and the new gap created by the displacement candle is still fresh and technically unfilled.
Below current price, there’s a large inefficiency sitting between 88.2k and 90k. This zone stands out because it’s not only a clean 4H imbalance, but it also aligns with the golden pocket retracement from the last major leg up. That type of confluence usually attracts liquidity, especially if price gets rejected from the gap above and starts moving lower.
Bullish/Bearish Scenarios
The bullish scenario would play out if price manages to reclaim the gap zone, pushes back above the resistance cleanly, and treats the gap as support. That would be a classic structure flip, where the previous resistance becomes a new base, and the gap gets inverted into a continuation zone. If we see that, the next upside targets would sit around the 96k to 97k area, where more liquidity is likely resting.
On the other hand, if price moves into the gap and gets rejected again, that confirms sellers are still active at that level. In that case, I’d expect the market to push down and start filling the inefficiencies below. The 88.2k to 90k area becomes the primary draw. It’s packed with confluence from the 4H imbalance and the golden pocket, and it also lines up with previous demand zones. If price reaches into that area, it could trigger a strong reaction and potentially form the next higher low.
Price Target and Expectations
If we see rejection from the current gap, the target shifts to the 88.2k to 90k zone. That’s where I’ll be watching for bullish signs, since it’s the type of level where buyers often step in. A clean reaction there could be the start of a new leg higher. But if the market doesn’t get that low, and instead pushes up through the resistance, then the bullish breakout scenario is active, and we’d be aiming higher toward the 96k range or even the 100k.
Current Stance
Right now, I’m in reactive mode. The trade will depend on what happens at the gap zone. If we get another rejection from it, I’ll look for a move into the golden pocket below. If we reclaim the gap and break resistance, I’ll be looking to enter on confirmation of the flip. No trade from the middle, only once price gives clear direction from either key level.
Conclusion
This is a clean two-scenario setup. Either price fills the remaining gap and flips resistance, triggering the bullish continuation, or we reject from that area again and drop into the 88.2k to 90k range for a deeper liquidity grab. Both are valid, and both offer high-probability trades once price confirms the path.
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Nasdaq Pending Short: previous wave 4 as resistance This idea is complementary to the S&P500 pending short idea. I've labelled the waves slightly differently but it doesn't impact the forecast for it's still the same expectation of a last wave. I purposely left it as a different count as comparison.
I would start building a short position around 20300. Stop above purple Fibonacci extension level.
TRUMP Forming Major Reversal Within Bullish Wave StructureTRUMPUSDT has completed a substantial corrective phase, culminating in a pronounced low within a high-probability buy-back zone between 8.25 and 9.81 This accumulation area aligns with critical Fibonacci retracement levels and historical structural support, suggesting the end of a major wave cycle likely Wave 2 or Wave B.
Current price action signals the emergence of a new impulsive phase, with price initiating a potential Wave 3 advance. Immediate resistance resides around 16.43–16.51, a key internal supply zone. A confirmed breakout above this area would validate the bullish continuation, opening the path toward the external supply region near 45.65.
If the bullish momentum sustains beyond that, higher Fibonacci expansion levels project extended targets toward the 87.90 zone consistent with the terminal points of a larger Wave 5 within the macro Wave formation.
Maintaining structural integrity above the key demand zone is essential to uphold the bullish thesis. Failure to defend this zone could expose the market to deeper corrective retracements.
However, as long as price remains above 7.14, the bias remains favorably bullish with clearly defined invalidation levels and high-reward potential.
Tata Motors - Short term target - 850 to 900Tata Motors has formed Shark pattern confirmation.
Based on Fib targets it will have resistance at 850 to 900.
In short term it will have potential to reach 900 with following targets,
700 / 750 / 780 / 820 / 860 & 900.
2 Weekly candle close above 900 will have further potential upside.