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Fibonacci Retracement

BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500. The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel. 95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K. Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475 Support levels: 95,500, 92,000 All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
22
GOLD → Gold not ready to fall? What's going on?FX:XAUUSD is forming a local bottom and is not ready to continue falling. The price is breaking through the downward resistance amid a weakening dollar and a complicated fundamental backdrop. At the beginning of the week, the price of gold stabilized above $3,250 as investors returned to defensive assets due to ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade agreements with China and Japan, as well as growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and Ukraine. The weakness of the dollar ahead of the Fed meeting and declining expectations of a rate cut are also supporting demand for gold. The focus remains on US trade news and the possible hawkish tone of the Fed this week. Technically, the price is testing the bottom of the range as resistance. If there is no reaction to the false breakout and the price continues to storm 3268, then a breakout and consolidation above the level will allow it to strengthen to 3292-3314. Resistance levels: 3269, 3294, 3314 Support levels: 3243, 3222, 3204 The price is forming a second retest of 3269 since the session opened. Buyers are testing resistance for a breakout. If the bulls break 3269 and consolidate above 3270, the chances for growth will be good. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of the liquidity zone at 3243 before growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
USDCAD → Storming the support level to break throughFX:USDCAD continues to storm support within the trading range amid a global downtrend The currency pair is within the range, but the battle for support continues. The reaction to false breakouts is weakening and the price continues to attack the 1.378 level, which only increases the chances of a further decline The dollar is rebounding from resistance and beginning to fall, which is having a corresponding effect on USDCAD. If the currency pair breaks 1.378 and consolidates below the level, this could trigger a continuation of the trend after consolidation... Resistance levels: 1.381, 1.383 Support levels: 1.378, 1.374 Focus on the lower boundary of the trading range at 1.378. The role of the range is consolidation against the backdrop of a downtrend. Thus, a breakout of support will activate the distribution phase Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
4
Master HBAR with Fibonacci: The Golden Pocket BlueprintSince topping out at $0.20151, HBAR has spent the last nine days in a corrective pullback. Digging into a rich confluence of supports that offers a long trade setup. Here’s how to spot the high‑probability entries, manage your risk, and scale out for maximum reward. Current Context Two days ago, price was firmly rejected at the weekly open ($0.19029) right alongside the anchored VWAP drawn from the $0.28781 swing high. HBAR now trades below the monthly open ($0.18210), the weekly open ($0.19029), and the daily open ($0.18024), sitting at about $0.177. Just beneath today’s level lies the swing low at $0.17543. Breaching this could flush out stops before any meaningful bounce. The Golden Support Zone All signals converge between $0.170 and $0.1725: The anchored VWAP from the $0.12488 low sits at around $0.17. The 0.618 fib retracement of the $0.15396→$0.20239 move falls at $0.17246. Just under the swing low where the liquidity lies. The secondary 0.666 fib retracement lands at $0.17014, reinforcing that floor. Volume‑profile analysis of the past 27 days pins its Point of Control right at $0.17, great confluence with the anchored VWAP. This “golden pocket” is your pivot for a low‑risk, high‑probability long. Long Trade Setup Ladder buy orders between the swing low ($0.17543) and the 0.666 fib at $0.17014. Aim to average in around $0.1725. Place a single stop‑loss just below $0.17 Scaling Your Exits First Partial Exit at the monthly open ($0.18210). This offers roughly a 2:1 R:R. Second Exit Zone around the weekly open and VWAP resistance (~$0.19) for about a 3:1 R:R. Final Target at the 0.618 fib retracement of the entire down‑wave (from $0.28781 to $0.12488) near $0.2256. An astounding 10:1 payoff for the patient trader. Keep in mind a potential false‑break (SFP) at $0.17543: if price briefly dips below then snaps back up, with increased volume. Short Trade Setup For traders looking to play the downside from the “golden pocket” flip, here’s a clear short strategy: Entry Zone: Ladder short entries between the 0.618 fib at $0.22557 and the 0.666 fib at $0.23339. Confluence: The 0.666 level aligns perfectly with the negative 0.618 fib from the prior swing, creating a resistance zone. Stop‑Loss: Place your stop just above $0.23339, invalidating the confluence. Take‑Profit: Target a return to around $0.206, where you can lock in gains as HBAR retests its previous high. By scaling into shorts across that fib band, you balance your risk and capture the high‑odds reversal offered by stacked Fibonacci confluence. Let the golden pocket guide both your longs and shorts! Key Takeaways Confluence is king: VWAPs, Fibonacci retracements, Liquidity and volume‑profile all align in the $0.170–$0.175 zone. Risk control: One stop‑loss under $0.17 protects the entire laddered entry. Tiered targets: Small wins at $0.182, larger as you clear $0.19, and a big payoff if HBAR rallies toward $0.225. Trail your SL accordingly. Patience pays: Wait for price to enter the golden pocket, avoid chasing! With these confluences lining up and clear levels to work from, HBAR’s next high‑probability long setup is staring you in the face. Trade smart, size appropriately, and let the market reward your discipline. Happy Trading! ___________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
4
BTCUSD/BITCOIN | M30 | SELL LIMIT ORDERHey There, I'm currently waiting for the level I've targeted to enter a sell position on Bitcoin. I've shared the exact entry level with you below. Just a heads-up: This trade carries high risk due to potential market manipulation. Please trade cautiously and avoid taking on too much risk. SIGNAL ALERT SELL LIMIT ORDER (BTCUSD/BITCOIN) 97,000/97,500 🟢TP1:96,850 🟢TP2:96,654 🟢TP3:96,100 🔴SL: 98,390 Traders, your likes are always my biggest source of motivation for me to share analysis. For this reason, I would like to ask each and every one of my followers; please do not miss your likes. I sincerely thank everyone who supports me with their likes.
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDShort
by TraderTilki
3
BNB/USDT 1D chart Hello everyone, let's look at the 1D BNB chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves in a triangle where there is still space to keep the currently ongoing side trend. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = $ 599 T2 = $ 617 Т3 = $ 644 Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = $ 580 SL2 = $ 559 SL3 = $ 542 SL4 = 521 $ Looking at the MacD indicator, you can see an attempt to return to the upward trend, but here we do not have clear confirmation, which is why it is worth being careful.
by cryptodailyuk
S&P ES Long setup target 5963.50 / Calls SPY target 596Fibonacci technical analysis : S&P 500 E-mini Futures CME_MINI:ES1! has already found support at the Fib level 78.6% (5623.50) of my Down Fib. Last Daily candle (May 2) has closed above retracement Fib level 78.6%. My Down Fib guides me to look for CME_MINI:ES1! to eventually go up to hit first target at Fib level 127.2% (5963.50). CME_MINI:ES1! – Target 1 at 127.2% (5963.50), Target 2 at 161.8% (6205.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (6322.75) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (5506.25). Option Traders : My AMEX:SPY chart Down Fib shows price to go up to Target 1 at 127.2% (595.82), Target 2 at 161.8% (620.50) and Target 3 at 178.6 (632.50) Stop loss slightly below the 61.8% retracement Fib level (549). Enjoy the trading process and take time to smell the roses🌹
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by rose_excellence
SUI - Leveraging Fibonacci & Elliott for Precision TradesSUI’s movement is rapid, sharp swings—both up and down. In volatile conditions like this, we aim 0.702–0.786 fib retracements (and occasionally 0.886 in harmonic contexts) for high‑probability entries. Below is a clear, Elliott-focused breakdown of the current setup and both long and short trade plans. Before diving into the charts, let’s cover the basics of Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory provides a roadmap for market psychology by dividing price action into two distinct phases: 1. Impulse Phase (Waves 1–5) Wave 1: The spark that ignites a new trend as early adopters push prices beyond the prior range. Wave 2: A corrective pullback that tests the strength of the emerging trend, often retracing 38–61.8%. Wave 3: The powerhouse wave—typically the longest and most dynamic—driven by broad market participation and often extending to key Fibonacci levels (1.618, 2.618). Wave 4: A consolidating correction that digests gains and builds the base for the final thrust; it must not overlap Wave 1 territory in a classic impulse. Wave 5: The final leg of the advance, often fueled by last bursts of optimism and weaker hands. 2. Corrective Phase (Waves A–B–C) Wave A: Initial counter-trend reaction as profit-taking begins. Wave B: A deceptive retracement back toward the trend, frequently trapping traders. Wave C: The concluding leg of the correction, which typically tests or breaks the low of Wave A before the next cycle begins. Key Points: Impulse waves showcase momentum and structural clarity, often aligning with Fibonacci extensions. Corrective waves follow Fibonacci retracements (38.2%, 50%, 61.8%), offering optimal entry points. Wave 3 is seldom the shortest; Wave 4’s complexity sets the stage for Wave 5’s final push. In the current SUI structure: Wave 1 ignited the initial rally. Wave 2 delivered a healthy retracement, a pullback close to the 0.618 fib, setting the stage for stronger momentum. Wave 3 roared to a powerful peak topped at the 2.618 extension ($3.875) Now, we’re deep into Wave 4, likely an ABC corrective pattern. This pause is critical—it gathers energy before the final push of Wave 5. Below is a clear breakdown of each wave, big-picture confluences, and trade setups. 🚀 Elliott Wave Overview 1. Wave 1 & Wave 2 Wave 1: Quick surge from $2.4175 → $2.75, setting initial momentum. Wave 2: Pulled back close to the 0.618 fib, creating a solid launchpad. 2. Wave 3: The Power Move Peak: Hit the 2.618 extension of Wave 1→2 and aligned with the –2 extension of Wave 1. Significance: In strong bull markets, a run to the 2.618 extension often precedes a meaningful pullback. Here, Wave 3’s exhaustion suggests a retrace toward the 38.2% Fib of that advance—our ideal Wave 4 entry zone. 3. Wave 4: The Correction All eyes on the $3.17 level—the projected 1:1 extension of A→B and 0.382 fib retracement of Wave 3. This confluence zone is yet to be tested and could offer an ideal Wave 4 entry. ABC Pattern: Currently working on Wave C. 4. Wave 5: The Finale Target Zone: $4.00–$4.35, with strong focus at $4.31 Extension Levels: 1.133 → $3.9695 aligns with the 0.618 fib retracement. 1.272 → $4.0683 is close to the weekly resistance level. 1.412 → $4.1678 alings with the 0.666 fib retracement. 1.618 → $4.3142 alings with the key swing high. 🔑 Key Confluence Levels Golden Pocket: $3.9739–$4.1492 (90-day retrace). Speed Fan 0.618: Support around $3.15. Fair Value Gap: Psychological: $3.00 major support. 📈 Long Trade Setup Entry Ladder: $3.25–$3.111 (stack orders to DCA) Stop‑Loss: $3.07 (just below the 0.786 Fib low) Profit Targets: Fib 1.133 at $3.9795 ($4 psychological & partial take‑profit) Fib 1.272 at $4.0683 Fib 1.412 at $4.1678 Fib 1.618 at $4.3142 Risk:Reward: ~6:1+ (average entry around $3.20 → SL at $3.07 → TP1 at $3.9795) 📉 Short Trade Setup Entry Zone: $4.00–$4.35 (sweet spot at weekly level/yearly open) Confirmation: Bearish reversal candle or volume spike down Stop‑Loss: Above $4.35 Target: $3.77 (near Wave 3 high turned support) Risk:Reward: ~2:1 (varies with DCA entry) ⚙️ Summary & Game Plan Primary Bias: Long in the $3.25–$3.111 zone—stack into the 0.382-0.412 fib retracement entries with tight SL, aiming for the $4.00–$4.30 upside zone. Alternate Bias: Short on a clear rejection within $4.00–$4.35, targeting $3.77 or lower. Risk Management: Keep stops tight to maximize R:R. Patience & Confirmation: Wait for price to reach these zones and show reversal signals (price action, volume, patterns) before committing. All set—now let SUI’s swings unveil the opportunities. Sit tight, follow your plan, and let patience pay its dividend. Happy Trading! ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
19
MKR/USDT 4h chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4H MKR chart to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price moves on the created upward trend line. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price: T1 = $ 1576 T2 = 1657 $ Т3 = 1714 $ Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = $ 1529 SL2 = $ 1499 SL3 = $ 1450 SL4 = 1372 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we see How slight relaxations give space for further increases by living in the upward trend of price.
by cryptodailyuk
GOLD → Correction before NFP. What are the chances of a decline?FX:XAUUSD strengthens amid dollar correction. The market is correcting ahead of NonFarm Payrolls, trying to accumulate potential before high volatility. Gold recovers ahead of US employment report On Friday, gold rebounded from a two-week low, recouping some of its losses ahead of the release of US labor market data (NFP), which could set the tone for prices going forward. Amid optimism over trade talks and a strong dollar, gold ended its worst week in two months, but geopolitical tensions and a potentially weak jobs report could boost demand for safe-haven assets again. The correction in the dollar gives gold a small chance to strengthen. However, fundamentally, the overall trend has already set the tone and gold may continue to fall. Resistance levels: 3268, 3285, 3295 Support levels: 3227, 3204 The correction may reach a local zone of interest (money pool) — liquidity above 3270, or the 0.7 Fibonacci zone, after which the price may continue its course along the new trend — down to 3193. However, unpredictable and unexpected data could disrupt the structure and push the price up to 3320-3350. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
9
USDJPY → Price in range, retest of resistanceFX:USDJPY is emerging from local consolidation in hopes of seeing economic data that could support the dollar. The target for this movement could be the liquidity zone at 144.00. The currency pair is trading within a neutral range of 144.14 - 141.64. However, a local consolidation has formed within the range, from which the price has broken out. The main task for the bulls is to hold the defense above 142.75, in which case we will be able to catch the price distribution to the upper border of the global range of 144.14. News ahead, positive data may strengthen the dollar, which will accordingly affect USDJPY, but there is strong resistance at 144.14, whose liquidity pool may trigger a downward rebound. The trend is neutral. Resistance levels: 143.9, 144.14 Support levels: 142.75, 141.98 There are no reasons to exit the global range. Over the past two weeks, this will be the first retest of the 144.14 zone, which in general only increases the chances of a false breakout and correction. Best regards, R. Linda!
by RLinda
7
SOL Analysis Deep Dive: Identifying Optimal Entry and Exit ZonesYesterday, SOL gave a sharp downside shakeout, dropping from the weekly open at $147.98 (perfectly retested) down to the 0.5 Fib retracement of the swing at $140.25. Here’s a structured breakdown of the key levels, trade setups, and R:R profiles for both longs and shorts: 🔑 Key Levels & Confluences 1. Higher-Timeframe Opens Weekly Open & Retest: $147.98 – pivoted price before the drop Monthly & Prior-Day Open Cluster: $147.98–$146.31 – strong support confluence zone 2. Fibonacci Support Zones 0.5 Fib at $140.25 – primary mean-reversion entry 0.786 Fib (smaller wave) at $138.78 – secondary, deeper support 3. Order Block Daily Bullish Order Block at $139.87 – just below 0.5 Fib, adds extra support 4. Volume-Weighted Average Price Anchored VWAP (from ATH $295.83) at ~$166.45 – key upside resistance 5. Market Profile Value Areas (10-Day Range) Value Area High (VAH) at ~$153.00 – overhead resistance confluence Value Area Low (VAL) at ~$145.75 – underpins support 📈 Long Trade Setups 1. 0.5/0.786 Fib + Daily Bullish Order Block Entry: $141-138.78 Stop-Loss: $137.5 Target: $165 (anchored VWAP / Fib zones) R:R ≈ 9:1 2. Higher-Timeframe Open Cluster Entry Zone: $147.98–$146.31(monthly/weekly open) Stop-Loss: $142.5 Target: $165 R:R ≈ 3:1 • Why these levels? The 0.5 Fib is a classic mean-reversion zone, bolstered by the daily order block. The $147–146 zone ties together multiple opens (weekly, monthly, prior-day), offering a solid demand area if price retraces back up. 📉 Short Trade Setup Trigger: Rejection / swing-failure around $153.4 Entry: $153.4 Stop-Loss: $154.3 Target: Weekly/Monthly open (~$147) R:R ≈ 6:1 • Low-risk short: A clean rejection at the recent high lets you define risk tightly above the swing, aiming to capture the retrace back to the opens. 🎯 Summary & Game Plan Primary bias: Look for long entries at the 0.5 Fib ($140.25) or the open-cluster zone ($147–146), with targets toward the anchored VWAP at ~$166. Alternate bias: A short on clear rejection from $153.4, targeting the opens as support. Risk management: Keep stops tight (SL below $137.5 or above $154.3) to maximize R:R on your favored setups. Volume & Price Action: Confirm entries with an uptick in volume or bullish price structure (for longs) or swift failure patterns (for shorts). Now it’s a waiting game! Let price revisit these zones, watch for confirmation signals, and then scale into your chosen side. Good luck! Don't chase, let the charts come to you! ____________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Long
by SiDec
31
NAS100USD: Price Respects Bearish Structure at 62% FibGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis on NAS100USD, we observe sustained bearish institutional order flow, and we aim to align with this directional bias by identifying high-probability selling opportunities. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Retracement into Premium Resistance: Price has recently retraced into premium pricing levels, reaching the 62% Fibonacci retracement zone—a level that often acts as dynamic resistance. This retracement also aligned with a bearish breaker block, confirming institutional resistance at that level. The market has since shown signs of rejection, reinforcing the bearish narrative. 2. Emergence of Fair Value Gap (FVG) as a Key Resistance Array: Following the rejection, a new FVG has formed, acting as a potential short-term resistance zone. This area provides a refined point of interest where institutions may look to re-engage in selling activity. The alignment of the FVG with previous resistance adds further confluence to the bearish setup. TRADING PLAN: We will monitor the newly formed FVG zone for signs of bearish confirmation. Upon confirmation, the plan is to execute short positions targeting liquidity pools in discounted price zones, in line with institutional price delivery patterns. Remain focused, wait for confirmation, and make sure this idea aligns with your overall trading plan. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect