ETHUSDT 4H Chart Review🔍 General Technical Context:
Prior Trend: Upward (strong rally from around 3,150 USDT).
Current Structure: After breaking out of the ascending channel, there was a strong decline, but is currently rebounding upward – it looks like a test of prior support as resistance.
📈 Key Horizontal Levels (Support/Resistance):
Resistance:
3,794 USDT – strong resistance resulting from the prior high (green line).
3,943 USDT – high of the ascending channel.
Support:
3,504 USDT – prior support, now potentially acting as resistance (red line).
3,383 USDT – July support.
3,132 USDT – strong base support, potential correction low.
📉 Technical Patterns:
Broken Upward Channel (orange lines): A clear downward breakout suggests a weakening of the previous trend.
Downward Trendline (purple): The current price is approaching it – a test and reaction (bounce or breakout) may occur.
📊 Stochastic RSI (oscillator at the bottom):
The indicator is entering the overbought zone (>80).
This may indicate an impending slowdown or correction, especially if the price encounters resistance at the purple downward trendline.
🔮 Scenarios:
✅ Bullish (if the breakout is upward):
A breakout of the purple trendline and resistance at 3,794 USDT could signal further gains towards 3,943 USDT or higher.
Confirmation could come from a retest of the purple line as support.
❌ Bearish (if resistance rejected):
Rejection from the trendline or the 3,794 USDT zone = possible correction to 3,504 or 3,383 USDT.
Break of 3,383 = potential decline to the 3,132–3,150 USDT zone.
🧭 Conclusion:
The market has regained strength from the local low but is at a potentially strong resistance zone.
Stochastic RSI overbought + near resistance = high risk of a near-term correction.
The key will be price performance within the purple trendline and 3,794 USDT.
Fibonacci Retracement
USDJPY → False breakdown of upward trend supportFX:USDJPY is testing trend support as part of a correction triggered by news. The dollar has been recovering since the start of the session, giving the pair a chance to rise.
As part of a correction against the backdrop of sharp and unexpected Friday NFP data, the currency pair is forming a false breakdown of trend support and testing the 0.7f buy zone. The market is reacting to the retest of support. Momentum is forming. Focus on the local range of 147.6 - 147.9. If the bulls keep the price above this consolidation, the price may continue to rise
Resistance levels: 147.95, 149.02
Support levels: 157.55, 147.0
Focus on the trend and the indicated consolidation, which may move into the realization phase. If the bulls take the initiative, the pair will have a chance to rise to 149 - 150.8.
Best regards, R. Linda!
$BTC Weekly Close Keeps Bullish StructureCRYPTOCAP:BTC looking hopeful closing the Week just above previous ATH POI and above the SMA9.
PA needs to stay above this to keep bullish momentum.
the CME Gap was filled, which was the main objective on this correction.
Let’s see how the market reacts on judgement day tomorrow 🤓
GOLD → The rally following weak NFP data may continueFX:XAUUSD is moving into distribution (rally) on the back of unexpected NFP data released on Friday. The dollar is plummeting...
Fundamentally, the gold market is getting support from an influx of funds after the unexpectedly weak NFP report. Against this backdrop, Trump said that the employment data had been “rigged” to make him look bad...
I believe that the situation is somewhat different: the president's administration failed to control this moment, hoping to see positive dynamics. Powell now has a small trump card to control his actions. The reduction in interest rates will most likely be postponed until the fall.
Technically, on D1, gold is rebounding from the support of the global trading range, forming a local bullish trend that coincides with the global one.
Resistance levels: 3362.8, 3383, 3433
Support levels: 3345, 3334
Gold is exiting the local downward channel, breaking through resistance at 3334 and 3345. Consolidation is forming, and by the end of the session, the price will break through resistance at 3354.75. The market is quite strong. Focus on two levels: 3362.8 and 3354.7. At the opening of the session, the price may attempt to break through the resistance level of 3362.8. If gold consolidates above this level, growth may continue. If not, then before further growth, the market may test the support level...
Best regards, R. Linda!
$BTC One Last Flush Before the Next Leg Up!Technical Analysis really is a beautiful thing.
As mentioned, price heading down to ~$111k.
Had a small bounce off the 50DMA at $112k.
Hopefully PA doesn’t range for too long in the previous ATH POI. That will really take steam out of the bull’s engine.
I’m expecting one last flush to push the RSI a bit lower before we can continue the trend back up.
As always in a bull market, BTFD!
BTC/USD 1D Chart 🔼 Resistance:
• USD 123,263 - local peak, strong resistance (green line)
• USD 119,120 - level tested several times, recent reflection
• 116,224 USD - zone of previous consolidations
🔽 support:
• 110,945 USD - SMA #2 (movable average), tested in the past
• 107,804 USD - local hole
• USD 103,542 - strong support from the past (historical retention of declines)
⸻
📊 Technical indicators
📉 Trend:
• The yellow upward trend line has been broken - a potential bull weakness signal.
• The candle pierces the trend line from the bottom - it is possible to change the direction to a side or downward trend.
📈 Medium walking (SMA):
• The red SMA #1 line acted as dynamic resistance.
• The price is currently testing SMA #2 as support.
• SMA #5 (blue, approx. 98,600 USD) is very strong long -term support.
📉 Macd:
• The MacD line is below the signal line → Bear signal (Bearish).
• Red histogram - inheritance impetus is growing.
📉 RSI:
• RSI has fallen below the level of 50 → the advantage of supply.
• Currently, it is approaching the supply of supply overload (<30), which can herald the technical reflection.
⸻
🔮 Scenarios
✅ Scenario Bycza (Bullish):
• Maintenance of a price above 110.945 USD (SMA #2).
• Return above the trend line or testing USD 116,224 and piercing up.
❌ Bear scenario (Bearish):
• Loss of support to 110.945 USD → decrease to USD 107,800.
• If this does not keep the course, the next strong level is USD 103,500.
⸻
🧠 Applications:
• Short -term: the market looks weak, the candle breaks the upward trend.
• Medium -term: still in the game, but if it does not reflect from the current levels, a greater correction is possible.
• Commercial decisions: It is worth waiting for confirmation of the direction (reflection from support or continuation of declines).
BTC Double BottomFibonacci sequence is a mathematical concept; it appears in various aspects of everyday life and nature. It's not directly used in a calculated way, but its principles are reflected in the patterns we see around us. Its key for traders to pinpoint these reversal areas to keep a positive risk/reward ratio. Bulls will target 116k if this low can be sustained.
$BTC CME Gap + Bad Bart = Easiest Short EverCME Gap + Bad Bart is like taking candy from a baby 👨🏻🍼
Look at that textbook bounce off the .382 Fib 🤓
Pain ain’t over folks.
RSI still shows room on the downside 📉
Global Liquidity drain on the 4th.
Looking like the 50% Gann Level is next ~$111k
Get those bids in 😎
And never forget the BullTards who were telling you about the “Bollinger Band Squeeze” and UpOnly season 🫠
GOLD → The market is waiting for NFP. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off resistance at 3310, confirming the upper limit of the new trading range. The dollar continues to rally, but the market as a whole is stagnating ahead of upcoming news—NFP is coming up!
Gold is consolidating at monthly lows around $3268, awaiting key US labor market data (NFP). Trump's new tariffs (10% globally, 35% for Canada, 39% for Switzerland) have boosted demand for the dollar, putting pressure on gold. Markets are waiting for NFP: forecast +110K jobs, unemployment 4.2%. Weak data (<100K) → gold may rise to $3400. Strong (>150K) → the dollar will strengthen, gold will continue to fall. The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is <50%.
Based on yesterday's data, I would cautiously suggest that NFP will be in the range of 125K–145K, slightly above the consensus (110K). This will play into Trump's hands (I think you understand what I mean...).
Resistance levels: 3300, 3310, 3320
Support levels: 3287, 3268, 3255
The news has a negative nuance — unpredictability. Be careful.
Technically, based on the data we have at the moment, I would assume that the market may test resistance at 3300-3310 before a possible pullback to the specified support. BUT! Unpredictable data could turn the game around, and in that case, if the dollar falls, gold could start to rise.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Today’s Opportunity: Stay Sharp on GBPJPY!Hey friends,
Here's my latest analysis on GBPJPY.
📌 Buy Entry Zone: 197.590 - 197.336
🎯 Target Level: 198.642
📅 Today, major economic data will be released from the U.S.
Make sure to factor this into your fundamental analysis.
📊 It’s not just about the charts—fundamentals matter too.
Technical + Fundamental = Powerful outcomes ✅
💬 Every like and bit of support keeps me going.
Thanks so much to everyone backing this journey! 🙌
SP500 → Countertrend correction before growthFX:SPX500 is correcting against an upward trend. In the second half of the week, the market received fairly positive fundamentals during the reporting period.
S&P 500 futures found support after strong reports from Meta and Microsoft, which exceeded earnings expectations and forecasts thanks to AI. The rise in futures supported demand for the “Magnificent Seven” despite Powell's hawkish comments. The focus is on Apple and Amazon reports in the evening, which could strengthen the tech rally. On Friday, we are seeing a countertrend correction in which the market is testing the 6288 zone of interest.
Support levels: 6288.4, 6262.6
Resistance levels: 6342, 6371
Most likely, the market will form a false breakout of support during the correction. If the bulls keep the index above the key level, we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTC/USD 4h chart🔸 Formation: Triangle descending (descending)
• Upper trend line (orange) - inheritance, connects lower and lower peaks.
• Lower support line (red) - approx. 116,700 USD - key support, tested many times.
🔻 Support
USD 116,700
Tested several times, currently threatened
🔻 Another support
USD 114,669
Target level when struck with a triangle
🔼 Resistance
USD 118,321
The nearest resistance - the former level of support
🔼 Resistance
USD 119,931
Local peak
🔼 Strong resistance
USD 121,107
Upper level of structure
📉 STOCHASTIC RSI (lower indicator)
• Line cutting and a decrease in the purchase area (> 80) towards the center.
• No extreme sales signal, but the trend begins to be negative.
⸻
📌 Applications and possible scenarios:
🔻 Bearish script (more technically likely):
• If BTC breaks below USD 116,700 with a 4H candle closure, possible:
• a decrease around USD 114,669 (lower limit of the triangle)
• Even lower - around 113,500-112,000 USD with an increased volume
🔼 Bullly script (less likely but possible):
• needed quick breaking above USD 118,300 and maintaining above this level
• Then the goal will be USD 119,931, and then possible traffic up to USD 121.107
⸻
📍 Summary:
• We see classic triangle descending-pro-draft formation.
• Support 116,700 USD very close to breaking - if it falls, down movement can be dynamic.
• Stochastic RSI coincides with the deterioration of the moment.
• The inheritance scenario seems dominant, unless there is a strong demand and over 118,300 USD.
ZORA 5-Wave Completion — 30% Crash Incoming?After exploding +1150% in just 20 days and completing all 5 waves, ZORA is now consolidating — trading sideways just under the $0.10 psychological level for the past 4 days.
📉 Current Market Structure
The current structure shows signs of a developing Head & Shoulders pattern, with price:
Trading below the daily open (dOpen) and weekly open (wOpen) → Bearish signs
Hovering near the prior daily open (pdOpen) → a breakdown here would confirm bearish continuation
🔴 Short Setup - Bearish Scenario
If ZORA breaks below pdOpen, we’re likely heading for:
0.618 Fib retracement at $0.06137 of the final wave 5
Confluence with 1.272 Trend-Based Fib Extension (TBFE) at $0.06148
This zone marks the next high-probability reaction point and a potential long opportunity if price shows a bounce or reversal.
📉 Overall Short Trade Target
The full retracement target sits between $0.0529 and $0.0514, offering multiple layers of confluence:
0.5 Fib retracement of the full 1150% move
0.786 Fib retracement of the final wave 5
Aligned with an old trading range and daily level
This makes it an ideal demand zone for patient bulls but only once price confirms.
💡 Educational Insight
This setup highlights an example of Elliott Wave Theory in action — after a strong 5-wave impulse move, markets often enter a corrective phase. The completion of wave 5, especially near key psychological levels like $0.10, often marks a local top, where price corrects toward key Fibonacci retracement zones.
Combining wave structure with confluence factors like Fib levels, VWAP, and prior trading ranges helps traders identify high-probability reversal zones — allowing for better timing, risk management, and trade planning. Always wait for confirmation before jumping into any trades.
Summary
Bearish continuation confirmed on pdOpen breakdown
First support zone: $0.0613–$0.0614
Final downside target: $0.0529–$0.0514
Look for long opportunities only on reaction + confirmation
_________________________________
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GOLD → Retest of resistance within a bearish runFX:XAUUSD breaks through the upward trend support amid a rallying dollar. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the zone of interest, but bears are quite aggressive...
Gold is partially recovering after falling to $3,268, a monthly low caused by the Fed's hawkish tone. The Central Bank kept its rate at 4.25–4.5% (9 votes to 2), highlighting uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs. Markets now estimate the probability of the rate remaining unchanged in September at 58% (previously 35%). The dollar's rise slowed amid concerns about the extension of the US-China trade truce and profit-taking ahead of key US employment data (after strong ADP and GDP reports). The nearest drivers are labor market statistics and trade news, while the technical picture for gold remains bearish.
Technically, on D1, the price is breaking key support zones, including the trend line, which overall only increases selling pressure on the metals market...
Resistance levels: 3310, 3320, 3334
Support levels: 3287, 3267, 3255
As part of the correction, the price has exhausted the entire daily ATR, forming a retest of the liquidity and interest zone. If the bears keep the price below 3320-3310, gold may head towards support...
Best regards, R. Linda!
XRPUSDT → Range formation. Retest of resistanceBINANCE:XRPUSDT.P , after a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352 and the elimination of traders, has entered a correction phase. The trading range shown below has been formed, with an emphasis on resistance...
XRP previously formed a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352, as indicated in the idea above. After changing its market character, the price entered a correction phase. Focus on the range of 3.00 - 3.264. A retest of resistance (zone of interest and liquidity) is possible before falling to 3.161, 3.05 or to the liquidity zone of 3.00. There are no technical or fundamental reasons for exiting the consolidation; most likely, a retest of the zone of interest may end in manipulation and a pullback to support...
Resistance levels: 3.1609, 3.264, 3.352
Support levels: 3.05, 3.00
I do not rule out the fact that a retest of the 3.264 resistance level may have a breakout structure and the price will continue to rise, but based on the price behavior pattern on D1, the market structure, and market stagnation, I conclude that at the moment, the chances of seeing a correction from resistance are higher. Further developments will need to be considered after the retest of key zones on the chart...
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Correction within a downward channel. 112K or 125K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating. However, a local downward trading range is forming relative to the current setup. What is the probability of a correction continuing to 112K or growth to 125K?
Daily structure: a local correctional channel within a global bullish trend. We have cascading resistance at 119.2, 119.6, 120, and 120.8. It will be quite difficult to break through this zone on the first attempt, but MM can use it to form traps and collect liquidity.
At the bottom, everything is simpler — a breakdown of the local bullish structure, the formation of an intermediate minimum, below which there is a void down to 112K.
Yesterday, relative to 115-116K, mm staged a massacre (trap) on both sides of the market.
Liquidity collection, return to the range, and growth. The reaction to the false breakdown of support is quite strong. Since the opening of the session, Bitcoin has been heading towards resistance, but there may not be enough potential to break through the upper resistance conglomerate, so I expect to see a pullback or decline to 116-115-114.
Resistance levels: 119.2, 120.1, 120.85
Support levels: 116.37, 115.67, 112
Technically and fundamentally, I do not see any drivers that could support the market (I am talking about Bitcoin, since the driver for altcoins is the decline in Bitcoin's dominance). It is possible that this may appear later. In the current situation, I am considering a false breakout and correction, as the market has not yet finished consolidating or correcting, and the current downward trading range may be extended.
PS: As the price moves towards resistance, it is necessary to monitor the reaction. The market itself will show what it is preparing for...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → False breakdown 3310. Consolidation ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is forming a false breakdown of support at 3310, thereby confirming the boundaries of the trading range. The dollar is testing strong resistance within the global downtrend. And in the near future, we can expect more economic news...
Gold is trading below the key resistance level of $3345, remaining in a narrow range ahead of the Fed's decision and US GDP data for Q2. Weak data could reinforce expectations of a rate cut and support gold, while strong data would strengthen the dollar. The Fed is likely to keep rates at 4.25–4.5%, with markets pricing in a 64% chance of a 25 bps cut in September. Investors are waiting for signals from Jerome Powell, with a possible split within the Fed: some members may support calls for easing, which would be a driver for gold.
Technically, the situation on D1 is quite interesting. Gold is still below the previously broken trend resistance, but there is no continuation of the momentum. Buyers are reacting to support at 3310, but the market is stagnating due to uncertainty ahead of the news...
Resistance levels: 3345, 3375
Support levels: 3320, 3310, 3287
Thus, from a technical analysis perspective, I expect a retest of 3345, followed by a pullback to support at 3320, from which gold could move higher (if the bulls take the initiative), but if 3320 breaks and 3310 comes under pressure, gold could test 3287. Again, the emphasis is on trend support (the upward line) in the 3335-33450 zone. If the price can consolidate in this zone, we will have confirmation that the price has returned to the boundaries of the upward trend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDCHF → The resistance retest ended with a false breakoutFX:USDCHF tested resistance at 0.805 - 0.806 and formed a false breakout without the possibility of continuing growth. The global trend is downward...
Against the backdrop of the dollar's growth (reaction to news), the currency pair also moved to distribution to 0.8050. The price failed to break through resistance, forming a false breakout. USDCHF is consolidating below resistance, and a breakdown of the local structure could trigger a decline.
The dollar index is also facing fairly strong resistance and may continue its downward trend, which will also affect the decline in the USDCHF price.
Resistance levels: 0.805, 0.806, 0.81
Support levels: 0.800, 0.794, 0.791
If, within the current consolidation, the price begins to fall and break the local structure, then we can expect the decline to continue towards the specified targets!
Best regards, R. Linda!
AMD: Potential Mid-Term Reversal from Macro SupportPrice has reached ideal macro support zone: 90-70 within proper proportion and structure for at least a first wave correction to be finished.
Weekly
As long as price is holding above this week lows, odds to me are moving towards continuation of the uptrend in coming weeks (and even years).
1h timeframe:
Thank you for attention and best of luck to your trading!
MKR/USDT 4H Chart📉 Short-term situation:
The price is currently trading around 2028 USDT, after a sharp decline from around 2273 USDT (resistance).
The support level around 2000 USDT is currently being tested (coinciding with the SMA 200 – blue line).
A dynamic uptrend line (orange) is also visible, which could act as a key support level in the event of further declines.
🔍 Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance:
🔴 2188 USDT – recent local high and convergence with the SMA 21.
🟢 2273 USDT – major resistance; previous rebound and point of significant price reaction.
Support:
🔵 1980 USDT – local support + SMA200.
🟠 Uptrend line (~1940–1960 USDT).
🔴 1832 USDT – stronger horizontal support with multiple confirmations.
🔴 1623 USDT – very strong support, from previous lows.
📊 Technical indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
Current value: ~42, neutral, but approaching the oversold zone (<30).
The RSI is falling rapidly, suggesting selling pressure, but a reaction is possible near current support.
MACD:
Negative signal: signal line crossing from above + descending histogram.
Indicates a continuation of the correction, but we are approaching the potential exhaustion of the downward momentum.
📈 Moving averages:
EMA/SMA 50 and 200:
The price is currently testing the SMA200 – crucial for the medium-term trend.
SMA21 (red) and SMA50 (green) – have reversed downward, which may suggest a weakening of bullish momentum.
🔮 Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish scenario (confirmation of support):
A rebound from 1980–2000 USDT and further upward movement.
Potential target: first ~2180 USDT, then ~2273 USDT.
The condition is a demand response at the current level + an improvement in the RSI/MACD.
🔴 Bearish scenario (breakout of support):
If the 1980 USDT level is broken and the price falls below the uptrend line, a continued decline to 1832 USDT or even lower is possible.
Confirmation will be a strong bearish candle with high volume and a further decline in the RSI/MACD.
GOLD → Formation of a trading range. 3345?FX:XAUUSD confirms support for the local range. A false breakdown has formed and the price has returned to the buying zone. We are waiting for the bulls to take the initiative...
Gold is trying to recover after falling to $3302, remaining under pressure ahead of key events in the US: the publication of GDP data and the Fed's decision on interest rates. Support is provided by a pause in the dollar's growth, expectations of an extension of the US-China trade truce, and growing demand for safe-haven assets amid a surge in oil prices due to the threat of new sanctions against Russia. However, the sustainability of growth is in question: the dollar may strengthen thanks to optimism about the US economy and progress in negotiations.
A false breakdown of the support range is forming. Focus on 3310-3320. If the bulls keep the price above this zone, gold will have a chance to grow. BUT! If the price starts to contract and stick to 3310, we can expect the decline to continue...
Resistance levels: 3345, 3375
Support levels: 3320, 3310, 3287
The two-day movement has most likely exhausted its potential, or the market has decided to recover slightly due to the unpredictability factor. A false breakdown of support could trigger a pullback to the strong level of 3345, from which a rebound could form (either before growth or before the continuation of the decline; it is necessary to monitor the reaction and the market background...).
Best regards, R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Hunting for liquidity. Retest resistance before a fallBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P continues to consolidate after a strong rally. There is no strong driver yet, and Bitcoin is reacting weakly to economic data. There is a possibility of a continued correction...
Bitcoin is still in correction, but is rebounding from the local low of 117.4, formed during the pullback, and is heading back up towards the zone of interest at 119.8-120.1, which it did not reach during the main upward movement. I see no fundamental or technical reasons for the correction to end and for growth beyond 121K. I expect a rebound from the resistance zone towards 115-114K. However, in the medium term, I expect the market to attempt to close half or all of the gap between 112K and 114.8K, thereby expanding the key trading range.
Resistance levels: 119.77, 120.1K, 120.8K
Support levels: 117.4, 116.37, 115.68
Technically, a false breakout (liquidity capture) of key resistance and price consolidation in the selling zone could trigger bearish pressure on the market, which in turn would lead to a correction.
Best regards, R. Linda!






















